------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/cer23/Dropbox/Ukraine foreign policy preferences cleavage/replication materials/beesleyreplication.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:   1 Oct 2019, 10:54:54

. do "/Users/cer23/Dropbox/Ukraine foreign policy preferences cleavage/replication materials/replication.do"

. use beesleyreplication.dta

. 
. 
. 
. **Dependent variables
. gen bettercloserrus2=1 if Q10==2
(981 missing values generated)

. replace bettercloserrus2=0 if Q10==1
(518 real changes made)

. *missing for both, neither, don't know, no response, or missing for Q10
. 
. gen joincunion2=1 if Q11==2
(1,011 missing values generated)

. replace joincunion2=0 if Q11==1
(563 real changes made)

. **missing for join neither, don't know, no response or missing for Q11
. 
. **For robustness checks
. gen bettercloserrus=3 if Q10==2
(981 missing values generated)

. replace bettercloserrus=2 if Q10==4
(260 real changes made)

. replace bettercloserrus=1 if Q10==1
(518 real changes made)

. *missing for neither, don't know, no response and missing for Q10
. 
. 
. gen joincunion=3 if Q11==2
(1,011 missing values generated)

. replace joincunion=2 if Q11==3
(228 real changes made)

. replace joincunion=1 if Q11==1
(563 real changes made)

. **missing for don't know, no response for Q11
. 
. 
. 
. **Language variable
. gen easierspeakRuss=1 if Language==2
(764 missing values generated)

. replace easierspeakRuss=1 if Language==5|Language==6
(85 real changes made)

. replace easierspeakRuss=0 if Language==3|Language==4|Language==1
(678 real changes made)

. 
. *Nationality
. gen rusnat2=1 if D8==2| D8==3
(1,238 missing values generated)

. replace rusnat2=0 if D8==1
(1,207 real changes made)

. 
. **control variables
. 
. **for Model 1
. gen unskilled=1 if D5==5
(1,286 missing values generated)

. replace unskilled=0 if D5>0 & D5<5
(914 real changes made)

. replace unskilled=0 if D5>5 & D5<98
(107 real changes made)

. 
. 
. gen relations=6-Q12E if Q12E<6
(153 missing values generated)

. **missing for DK, refused
. 
. **For Model 2
. gen female=1 if D1==2
(524 missing values generated)

. replace female=0 if D1==1
(523 real changes made)

. 
. gen age=D2
(1 missing value generated)

. 
. gen univplus=1 if D3==6
(1,095 missing values generated)

. replace univplus=1 if D3==7
(9 real changes made)

. replace univplus=0 if D3<6
(1,080 real changes made)

. 
. gen pensioner=1 if D4==5
(951 missing values generated)

. replace pensioner=0 if D4<5
(677 real changes made)

. replace pensioner=0 if D4>5 & D4<99
(267 real changes made)

. 
. gen employed=1 if D4<4
(882 missing values generated)

. replace employed=0 if D4>3 & D4<99
(875 real changes made)

. 
. 
. 
. gen rural=1 if settype==8
(1,074 missing values generated)

. replace rural=0 if settype<8
(1,073 real changes made)

.  
. gen quallife=(6-Q5) if Q5<6
(28 missing values generated)

. 
. gen demoverorder=1 if Q20B==1
(1,238 missing values generated)

. replace demoverorder=2 if Q20B==2
(334 real changes made)

. replace demoverorder=3 if Q20B==3
(357 real changes made)

. replace demoverorder=4 if Q20B==4
(193 real changes made)

. 
. **Figure 1
. 
. gen closertowhom=Q10 if Q10<98
(136 missing values generated)

. replace closertowhom=. if Q10==98
(0 real changes made)

. 
. gen easierspeakUkr=1 if Language==3|Language==4|Language==1
(840 missing values generated)

. replace easierspeakUkr=0 if Language==5|Language==6 |Language==2 
(839 real changes made)

. 
. catplot closertowhom easierspeakU, percent (easierspeakU) stack asyvars

. 
. **Figure 2 
. catplot joincunion easierspeakUkr, percent (easierspeakUkr) stack asyvars

. 
. **Figure 3
. 
. twoway (scatter totaltradeRussiapctgrp Ukrainian) (scatter totaltradeEUpctgrp Ukrainian)

. 
. **Table 2
. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations  [pweight= w
> eight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -386.9809  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -385.25776  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -385.25523  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -385.25523  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -375.04601

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -375.04601  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -374.29242  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -372.49138  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =    -372.24  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -372.23408  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -372.23408  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        793
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          4
                                                              avg =       30.5
                                                              max =        122

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(7)      =      80.01
Log pseudolikelihood = -372.23408               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .0737068   .3291672     0.22   0.823    -.5714492    .7188627
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.699978   1.055914     2.56   0.011     .6304249    4.769532
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |     2.0967   1.486885     1.41   0.159    -.8175419    5.010942
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .7969716   .3152604     2.53   0.011     .1790726    1.414871
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0364555   .0095005    -3.84   0.000    -.0550762   -.0178348
                                   unskilled |   .4222689   .2607291     1.62   0.105    -.0887507    .9332885
                                   relations |    -.16437   .2066774    -0.80   0.426    -.5694503    .2407103
                                       _cons |   2.624731   .8857864     2.96   0.003     .8886217    4.360841
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .5958971   .2874025                      .2315447    1.533585
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) replace

                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.074    
                                                                                              (0.329)   
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.700    
                                                                                             (1.056)**  
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       2.097    
                                                                                              (1.487)   
                                          rusnat2                                              0.797    
                                                                                             (0.315)**  
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.036   
                                                                                             (0.010)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            0.422    
                                                                                              (0.261)   
                                          relations                                            -0.164   
                                                                                              (0.207)   
                                          _cons                                                2.625    
                                                                                             (0.886)*** 
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.596    
                                                                                             (0.287)**  
                      N                                                                         793     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age u
> nivplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) l
> ink(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -259.73662  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -253.35768  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -253.31097  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -253.31096  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -255.16524

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -255.16524  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -252.44842  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.95663  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.40296  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.33965  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.33934  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.33934  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        628
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =     275.90
Log pseudolikelihood = -251.33934               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .5265998   .4505519     1.17   0.242    -.3564657    1.409665
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.686891   1.159542     3.18   0.001      1.41423    5.959551
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   2.488305   1.769986     1.41   0.160    -.9808034    5.957413
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .8525896   .3731704     2.28   0.022      .121189     1.58399
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0284893   .0082883    -3.44   0.001    -.0447342   -.0122445
                                   unskilled |  -.1310123   .3350725    -0.39   0.696    -.7877423    .5257177
                                   relations |  -.0153388   .1992585    -0.08   0.939    -.4058783    .3752007
                                      female |   .7764198   .2543929     3.05   0.002      .277819    1.275021
                                         age |    .028527   .0095192     3.00   0.003     .0098696    .0471844
                                    univplus |  -.7023798   .2848137    -2.47   0.014    -1.260604   -.1441553
                                    employed |   .8450488   .4304606     1.96   0.050     .0013614    1.688736
                                   pensioner |    .190926   .5884745     0.32   0.746    -.9624628    1.344315
                                       rural |   .3887537   .4633144     0.84   0.401    -.5193258    1.296833
                                    quallife |   .0440563   .1303977     0.34   0.735    -.2115186    .2996311
                                demoverorder |  -.4674492   .0892659    -5.24   0.000    -.6424071   -.2924913
                                       _cons |   .3188392   .9920152     0.32   0.748    -1.625475    2.263153
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2252657   .1955632                      .0410894    1.234983
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.074       0.527    
                                                                                        (0.329)     (0.451)   
                                    tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.700       3.687    
                                                                                       (1.056)**   (1.160)*** 
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       2.097       2.488    
                                                                                        (1.487)     (1.770)   
                                    rusnat2                                              0.797       0.853    
                                                                                       (0.315)**   (0.373)**  
                                    Ukrainian                                            -0.036      -0.028   
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.008)*** 
                                    unskilled                                            0.422       -0.131   
                                                                                        (0.261)     (0.335)   
                                    relations                                            -0.164      -0.015   
                                                                                        (0.207)     (0.199)   
                                    _cons                                                2.625       0.319    
                                                                                       (0.886)***   (0.992)   
                                    female                                                           0.776    
                                                                                                   (0.254)*** 
                                    age                                                              0.029    
                                                                                                   (0.010)*** 
                                    univplus                                                         -0.702   
                                                                                                   (0.285)**  
                                    employed                                                         0.845    
                                                                                                   (0.430)**  
                                    pensioner                                                        0.191    
                                                                                                    (0.588)   
                                    rural                                                            0.389    
                                                                                                    (0.463)   
                                    quallife                                                         0.044    
                                                                                                    (0.130)   
                                    demoverorder                                                     -0.467   
                                                                                                   (0.089)*** 
                var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.596       0.225    
                                                                                       (0.287)**    (0.196)   
                N                                                                         793         628     
               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus2 i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age un
> ivplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , fa
> mily(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -259.59698  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -253.20298  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -253.15954  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -253.15953  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -255.34363

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -255.34363  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -252.57536  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.74491  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.32391  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.31876  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.31876  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        628
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     288.05
Log pseudolikelihood = -251.31876               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .5289326   .4544322     1.16   0.244    -.3617381    1.419603
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.687336    1.21403     3.04   0.002      1.30788    6.066791
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   2.329635   1.973531     1.18   0.238    -1.538415    6.197684
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .8531579   .3719605     2.29   0.022     .1241287    1.582187
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0285775   .0088396    -3.23   0.001    -.0459029   -.0112521
                                   unskilled |   -.131727    .335967    -0.39   0.695    -.7902102    .5267561
                                   relations |  -.0136436   .1980827    -0.07   0.945    -.4018786    .3745914
                                      female |   .7755381   .2540269     3.05   0.002     .2776546    1.273422
                                         age |   .0284777   .0095194     2.99   0.003       .00982    .0471354
                                    univplus |  -.7000355   .2967066    -2.36   0.018     -1.28157   -.1185014
                                    employed |   .8503979   .4393028     1.94   0.053    -.0106199    1.711416
                                   pensioner |   .1903241   .5937071     0.32   0.749    -.9733205    1.353969
                                       rural |   .3784717   .4657725     0.81   0.416    -.5344256    1.291369
                                    quallife |   .0386313   .1294411     0.30   0.765    -.2150685    .2923311
                                demoverorder |  -.4690231   .0903903    -5.19   0.000    -.6461848   -.2918614
                                ILOunemp2013 |  -.0108141   .1844308    -0.06   0.953    -.3722918    .3506636
                                   grpmilhry |  -5.60e-07   2.62e-06    -0.21   0.831    -5.69e-06    4.57e-06
                                       _cons |   .4641582   1.644426     0.28   0.778    -2.758857    3.687173
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2193661   .2025088                      .0359236    1.339553
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.074       0.527       0.529    
                                                                                  (0.329)     (0.451)     (0.454)   
                              tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.700       3.687       3.687    
                                                                                 (1.056)**   (1.160)***  (1.214)*** 
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       2.097       2.488       2.330    
                                                                                  (1.487)     (1.770)     (1.974)   
                              rusnat2                                              0.797       0.853       0.853    
                                                                                 (0.315)**   (0.373)**   (0.372)**  
                              Ukrainian                                            -0.036      -0.028      -0.029   
                                                                                 (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)*** 
                              unskilled                                            0.422       -0.131      -0.132   
                                                                                  (0.261)     (0.335)     (0.336)   
                              relations                                            -0.164      -0.015      -0.014   
                                                                                  (0.207)     (0.199)     (0.198)   
                              _cons                                                2.625       0.319       0.464    
                                                                                 (0.886)***   (0.992)     (1.644)   
                              female                                                           0.776       0.776    
                                                                                             (0.254)***  (0.254)*** 
                              age                                                              0.029       0.028    
                                                                                             (0.010)***  (0.010)*** 
                              univplus                                                         -0.702      -0.700   
                                                                                             (0.285)**   (0.297)**  
                              employed                                                         0.845       0.850    
                                                                                             (0.430)**    (0.439)*  
                              pensioner                                                        0.191       0.190    
                                                                                              (0.588)     (0.594)   
                              rural                                                            0.389       0.378    
                                                                                              (0.463)     (0.466)   
                              quallife                                                         0.044       0.039    
                                                                                              (0.130)     (0.129)   
                              demoverorder                                                     -0.467      -0.469   
                                                                                             (0.089)***  (0.090)*** 
                              ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.011   
                                                                                                          (0.184)   
                              grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000   
                                                                                                          (0.000)   
          var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.596       0.225       0.219    
                                                                                 (0.287)**    (0.196)     (0.203)   
          N                                                                         793         628         628     
         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  bettercloserrus2 i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age u
> nivplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry if easierspeakR==1 [pweight= weight_Ukrain
> e] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -140.4538  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -136.91766  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -136.90089  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -136.90089  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -141.22888

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -141.22888  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -137.06233  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.94941  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.93836  (backed up)
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.93332  (backed up)
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood =  -136.9309  (backed up)
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.93031  (backed up)
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.93002  (backed up)
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.92987  (backed up)
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood =  -136.9298  (backed up)
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92978  (backed up)
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 21:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 22:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 23:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (not concave)
Iteration 24:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 26:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 27:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (not concave)
Iteration 28:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 29:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 30:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (not concave)
Iteration 31:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (not concave)
Iteration 32:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 33:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 34:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (not concave)
Iteration 35:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 36:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 37:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 38:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 39:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92977  (backed up)
Iteration 40:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92976  (not concave)
Iteration 41:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92976  (not concave)
Iteration 42:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92976  (backed up)
Iteration 43:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92976  (not concave)
Iteration 44:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92976  (not concave)
Iteration 45:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92976  
Iteration 46:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92976  (backed up)
Iteration 47:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92973  (not concave)
Iteration 48:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92973  
Iteration 49:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92962  (not concave)
Iteration 50:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.9296  (not concave)
Iteration 51:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92956  (not concave)
Iteration 52:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92953  
Iteration 53:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92287  (not concave)
Iteration 54:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.92278  
Iteration 55:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.90089  
Iteration 56:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.90089  (backed up)

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        361
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         17

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       21.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =   10256.81
Log pseudolikelihood = -136.90089               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 17 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
          bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   4.667009   1.001292     4.66   0.000     2.704514    6.629505
                           |
                   rusnat2 |   1.055697   .3031928     3.48   0.000     .4614498    1.649944
                 Ukrainian |  -.0155647   .0052724    -2.95   0.003    -.0258984    -.005231
                 unskilled |   .2493745   .5820224     0.43   0.668    -.8913684    1.390117
                 relations |   .0416225   .2307266     0.18   0.857    -.4105933    .4938384
                    female |   .7435323   .3558437     2.09   0.037     .0460914    1.440973
                       age |   .0232805   .0156128     1.49   0.136    -.0073201     .053881
                  univplus |  -.6588247    .283118    -2.33   0.020    -1.213726   -.1039235
                  employed |   1.661689   .5520023     3.01   0.003     .5797843    2.743593
                 pensioner |   1.167476   .8456114     1.38   0.167    -.4898918    2.824844
                     rural |  -.1973432   .7070372    -0.28   0.780    -1.583111    1.188424
                  quallife |  -.1521477   .1584645    -0.96   0.337    -.4627324     .158437
              demoverorder |  -.2511605   .1585072    -1.58   0.113     -.561829     .059508
              ILOunemp2013 |  -.1918275   .1145879    -1.67   0.094    -.4164156    .0327606
                 grpmilhry |  -5.05e-06   1.80e-06    -2.81   0.005    -8.57e-06   -1.53e-06
                     _cons |   1.429937   .9714332     1.47   0.141    -.4740373    3.333911
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   6.88e-32   8.39e-31                      2.85e-42    1.66e-21
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.074       0.527       0.529                
                                                                            (0.329)     (0.451)     (0.454)               
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.700       3.687       3.687       4.667    
                                                                           (1.056)**   (1.160)***  (1.214)***  (1.001)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       2.097       2.488       2.330                
                                                                            (1.487)     (1.770)     (1.974)               
                        rusnat2                                              0.797       0.853       0.853       1.056    
                                                                           (0.315)**   (0.373)**   (0.372)**   (0.303)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.036      -0.028      -0.029      -0.016   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)***  (0.005)*** 
                        unskilled                                            0.422       -0.131      -0.132      0.249    
                                                                            (0.261)     (0.335)     (0.336)     (0.582)   
                        relations                                            -0.164      -0.015      -0.014      0.042    
                                                                            (0.207)     (0.199)     (0.198)     (0.231)   
                        _cons                                                2.625       0.319       0.464       1.430    
                                                                           (0.886)***   (0.992)     (1.644)     (0.971)   
                        female                                                           0.776       0.776       0.744    
                                                                                       (0.254)***  (0.254)***  (0.356)**  
                        age                                                              0.029       0.028       0.023    
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.010)***   (0.016)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.702      -0.700      -0.659   
                                                                                       (0.285)**   (0.297)**   (0.283)**  
                        employed                                                         0.845       0.850       1.662    
                                                                                       (0.430)**    (0.439)*   (0.552)*** 
                        pensioner                                                        0.191       0.190       1.167    
                                                                                        (0.588)     (0.594)     (0.846)   
                        rural                                                            0.389       0.378       -0.197   
                                                                                        (0.463)     (0.466)     (0.707)   
                        quallife                                                         0.044       0.039       -0.152   
                                                                                        (0.130)     (0.129)     (0.158)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.467      -0.469      -0.251   
                                                                                       (0.089)***  (0.090)***   (0.159)   
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.011      -0.192   
                                                                                                    (0.184)     (0.115)*  
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)    (0.000)*** 
    bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.596       0.225       0.219       0.000    
                                                                           (0.287)**    (0.196)     (0.203)     (0.000)   
    N                                                                         793         628         628         361     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age 
> univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry if easierspeakR==0 [pweight= weight_Ukrai
> ne] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)
note: rusnat2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      rusnat2 dropped and 2 obs not used


Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -105.68642  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -100.91017  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -100.89549  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -100.89549  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -102.21143

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -102.21143  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -101.22389  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -100.83172  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -100.76309  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -100.75841  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -100.75841  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        265
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         22

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       12.0
                                                              max =         38

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(14)     =     188.08
Log pseudolikelihood = -100.75841               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 22 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
          bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.834339   .8760374     4.38   0.000     2.117337    5.551341
                           |
                   rusnat2 |          0  (omitted)
                 Ukrainian |  -.0695335   .0220353    -3.16   0.002     -.112722    -.026345
                 unskilled |   -.274656   .5181138    -0.53   0.596     -1.29014    .7408285
                 relations |  -.0595441   .2343858    -0.25   0.799    -.5189318    .3998436
                    female |   .4339025   .3855358     1.13   0.260    -.3217338    1.189539
                       age |    .033922   .0184163     1.84   0.065    -.0021733    .0700172
                  univplus |  -.4097541   .4699994    -0.87   0.383    -1.330936    .5114278
                  employed |   -.033999    .723038    -0.05   0.962    -1.451127    1.383129
                 pensioner |  -.6910217   .9671598    -0.71   0.475     -2.58662    1.204577
                     rural |   .9454607   .4728756     2.00   0.046     .0186416     1.87228
                  quallife |   .2834843   .1818734     1.56   0.119    -.0729811    .6399497
              demoverorder |  -.9038038   .1486837    -6.08   0.000    -1.195218   -.6123892
              ILOunemp2013 |   .3914341   .2953493     1.33   0.185      -.18744    .9703082
                 grpmilhry |   4.92e-06   4.45e-06     1.10   0.269    -3.80e-06    .0000136
                     _cons |    1.32847   2.767595     0.48   0.631    -4.095917    6.752857
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .1649427   .4422869                      .0008607    31.60774
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.074       0.527       0.529                
                                                                            (0.329)     (0.451)     (0.454)               
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.700       3.687       3.687       4.667    
                                                                           (1.056)**   (1.160)***  (1.214)***  (1.001)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       2.097       2.488       2.330                
                                                                            (1.487)     (1.770)     (1.974)               
                        rusnat2                                              0.797       0.853       0.853       1.056    
                                                                           (0.315)**   (0.373)**   (0.372)**   (0.303)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.036      -0.028      -0.029      -0.016   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)***  (0.005)*** 
                        unskilled                                            0.422       -0.131      -0.132      0.249    
                                                                            (0.261)     (0.335)     (0.336)     (0.582)   
                        relations                                            -0.164      -0.015      -0.014      0.042    
                                                                            (0.207)     (0.199)     (0.198)     (0.231)   
                        _cons                                                2.625       0.319       0.464       1.430    
                                                                           (0.886)***   (0.992)     (1.644)     (0.971)   
                        female                                                           0.776       0.776       0.744    
                                                                                       (0.254)***  (0.254)***  (0.356)**  
                        age                                                              0.029       0.028       0.023    
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.010)***   (0.016)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.702      -0.700      -0.659   
                                                                                       (0.285)**   (0.297)**   (0.283)**  
                        employed                                                         0.845       0.850       1.662    
                                                                                       (0.430)**    (0.439)*   (0.552)*** 
                        pensioner                                                        0.191       0.190       1.167    
                                                                                        (0.588)     (0.594)     (0.846)   
                        rural                                                            0.389       0.378       -0.197   
                                                                                        (0.463)     (0.466)     (0.707)   
                        quallife                                                         0.044       0.039       -0.152   
                                                                                        (0.130)     (0.129)     (0.158)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.467      -0.469      -0.251   
                                                                                       (0.089)***  (0.090)***   (0.159)   
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.011      -0.192   
                                                                                                    (0.184)     (0.115)*  
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)    (0.000)*** 
    bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        o.rusnat2                                                                                         
                                                                                                                          
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.596       0.225       0.219       0.000    
                                                                           (0.287)**    (0.196)     (0.203)     (0.000)   
    N                                                                         793         628         628         361     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                             
                                                                                                        
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.834    
                                                                                             (0.876)*** 
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                
                                                                                                        
                                          rusnat2                                                       
                                                                                                        
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.070   
                                                                                             (0.022)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            -0.275   
                                                                                              (0.518)   
                                          relations                                            -0.060   
                                                                                              (0.234)   
                                          _cons                                                1.328    
                                                                                              (2.768)   
                                          female                                               0.434    
                                                                                              (0.386)   
                                          age                                                  0.034    
                                                                                              (0.018)*  
                                          univplus                                             -0.410   
                                                                                              (0.470)   
                                          employed                                             -0.034   
                                                                                              (0.723)   
                                          pensioner                                            -0.691   
                                                                                              (0.967)   
                                          rural                                                0.945    
                                                                                             (0.473)**  
                                          quallife                                             0.283    
                                                                                              (0.182)   
                                          demoverorder                                         -0.904   
                                                                                             (0.149)*** 
                                          ILOunemp2013                                         0.391    
                                                                                              (0.295)   
                                          grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                            
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp              
                                                                                                        
                                          o.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.165    
                                                                                              (0.442)   
                      N                                                                         265     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. 
. **Table 3
. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations  [pweight= weight
> _Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -381.1032  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -379.78748  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -379.78405  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -379.78405  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -369.76286

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -369.76286  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -368.02552  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -366.51308  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -366.49977  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -366.49972  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -366.49972  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        797
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          5
                                                              avg =       30.7
                                                              max =        117

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(7)      =      72.62
Log pseudolikelihood = -366.49972               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .1212292   .2961139     0.41   0.682    -.4591434    .7016018
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.060648    1.01013     2.04   0.041     .0808287    4.040467
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   1.806778   2.239087     0.81   0.420    -2.581752    6.195309
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   1.040106   .2673376     3.89   0.000     .5161337    1.564078
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0388024   .0095515    -4.06   0.000    -.0575231   -.0200817
                                   unskilled |   .4627132   .2843785     1.63   0.104    -.0946585    1.020085
                                   relations |   .0711896    .265899     0.27   0.789    -.4499628     .592342
                                       _cons |    1.80788    .857792     2.11   0.035     .1266386    3.489121
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .5969628   .2699806                      .2460285    1.448469
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) replace

                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.121    
                                                                                              (0.296)   
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.061    
                                                                                             (1.010)**  
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.807    
                                                                                              (2.239)   
                                          rusnat2                                              1.040    
                                                                                             (0.267)*** 
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.039   
                                                                                             (0.010)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            0.463    
                                                                                              (0.284)   
                                          relations                                            0.071    
                                                                                              (0.266)   
                                          _cons                                                1.808    
                                                                                             (0.858)**  
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.597    
                                                                                             (0.270)**  
                      N                                                                         797     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univpl
> us employed pensioner   rural  quallife  demover    [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(
> robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -247.18698  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -239.83267  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -239.80079  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -239.80079  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -241.28274

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -241.28274  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -238.72993  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.94057  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.38895  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.32204  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.32078  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.32078  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        632
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.3
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =     360.64
Log pseudolikelihood = -237.32078               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .9216174   .4081826     2.26   0.024     .1215942    1.721641
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.543753   1.117298     2.28   0.023      .353889    4.733617
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |     3.4506    2.60817     1.32   0.186    -1.661319    8.562518
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   1.118622   .3490761     3.20   0.001      .434445    1.802798
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0304676   .0076354    -3.99   0.000    -.0454327   -.0155026
                                   unskilled |  -.2084705   .3581572    -0.58   0.561    -.9104458    .4935048
                                   relations |   .2495114   .2156142     1.16   0.247    -.1730847    .6721075
                                      female |   .6492823   .2941803     2.21   0.027     .0726995    1.225865
                                         age |   .0213239   .0110773     1.93   0.054    -.0003873    .0430351
                                    univplus |  -.5866566   .2958593    -1.98   0.047     -1.16653   -.0067829
                                    employed |    .831529   .4253935     1.95   0.051     -.002227    1.665285
                                   pensioner |   .8591592    .639344     1.34   0.179    -.3939321    2.112251
                                       rural |   .7317518   .4245312     1.72   0.085     -.100314    1.563818
                                    quallife |  -.1105502   .1035664    -1.07   0.286    -.3135366    .0924362
                                demoverorder |   -.361833   .1053304    -3.44   0.001    -.5682768   -.1553893
                                       _cons |   -.664365   1.137906    -0.58   0.559     -2.89462     1.56589
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2817067    .217748                      .0619231    1.281568
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.121       0.922    
                                                                                        (0.296)    (0.408)**  
                                    tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.061       2.544    
                                                                                       (1.010)**   (1.117)**  
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.807       3.451    
                                                                                        (2.239)     (2.608)   
                                    rusnat2                                              1.040       1.119    
                                                                                       (0.267)***  (0.349)*** 
                                    Ukrainian                                            -0.039      -0.030   
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.008)*** 
                                    unskilled                                            0.463       -0.208   
                                                                                        (0.284)     (0.358)   
                                    relations                                            0.071       0.250    
                                                                                        (0.266)     (0.216)   
                                    _cons                                                1.808       -0.664   
                                                                                       (0.858)**    (1.138)   
                                    female                                                           0.649    
                                                                                                   (0.294)**  
                                    age                                                              0.021    
                                                                                                    (0.011)*  
                                    univplus                                                         -0.587   
                                                                                                   (0.296)**  
                                    employed                                                         0.832    
                                                                                                    (0.425)*  
                                    pensioner                                                        0.859    
                                                                                                    (0.639)   
                                    rural                                                            0.732    
                                                                                                    (0.425)*  
                                    quallife                                                         -0.111   
                                                                                                    (0.104)   
                                    demoverorder                                                     -0.362   
                                                                                                   (0.105)*** 
                var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.597       0.282    
                                                                                       (0.270)**    (0.218)   
                N                                                                         797         632     
               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univpl
> us employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial
> ) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -246.70888  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -239.22979  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -239.1996  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -239.19959  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -241.67785

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -241.67785  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -239.00993  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -238.3268  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.30208  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.25052  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.24968  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.24968  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        632
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.3
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     866.27
Log pseudolikelihood = -237.24968               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .9382091   .4156325     2.26   0.024     .1235844    1.752834
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.661672   1.150058     2.31   0.021      .407599    4.915744
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |    3.11386   2.921204     1.07   0.286    -2.611594    8.839314
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   1.120557   .3484261     3.22   0.001     .4376541    1.803459
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0288985   .0082833    -3.49   0.000    -.0451336   -.0126635
                                   unskilled |   -.217441   .3588126    -0.61   0.545    -.9207008    .4858188
                                   relations |   .2538183   .2147122     1.18   0.237    -.1670099    .6746464
                                      female |   .6441827   .2947252     2.19   0.029     .0665319    1.221834
                                         age |   .0214705   .0110841     1.94   0.053     -.000254     .043195
                                    univplus |  -.5813518   .2985326    -1.95   0.051    -1.166465    .0037614
                                    employed |   .8346939   .4340134     1.92   0.054    -.0159567    1.685345
                                   pensioner |   .8472556   .6415162     1.32   0.187     -.410093    2.104604
                                       rural |   .7311074   .4303977     1.70   0.089    -.1124565    1.574671
                                    quallife |  -.1199366   .1104509    -1.09   0.278    -.3364164    .0965432
                                demoverorder |  -.3607063   .1090808    -3.31   0.001    -.5745008   -.1469118
                                ILOunemp2013 |   -.067904   .1786491    -0.38   0.704    -.4180499    .2822418
                                   grpmilhry |  -9.43e-07   2.91e-06    -0.32   0.746    -6.64e-06    4.76e-06
                                       _cons |  -.1985862   1.813357    -0.11   0.913      -3.7527    3.355528
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2528074   .2452229                      .0377681     1.69221
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.121       0.922       0.938    
                                                                                  (0.296)    (0.408)**   (0.416)**  
                              tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.061       2.544       2.662    
                                                                                 (1.010)**   (1.117)**   (1.150)**  
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.807       3.451       3.114    
                                                                                  (2.239)     (2.608)     (2.921)   
                              rusnat2                                              1.040       1.119       1.121    
                                                                                 (0.267)***  (0.349)***  (0.348)*** 
                              Ukrainian                                            -0.039      -0.030      -0.029   
                                                                                 (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.008)*** 
                              unskilled                                            0.463       -0.208      -0.217   
                                                                                  (0.284)     (0.358)     (0.359)   
                              relations                                            0.071       0.250       0.254    
                                                                                  (0.266)     (0.216)     (0.215)   
                              _cons                                                1.808       -0.664      -0.199   
                                                                                 (0.858)**    (1.138)     (1.813)   
                              female                                                           0.649       0.644    
                                                                                             (0.294)**   (0.295)**  
                              age                                                              0.021       0.021    
                                                                                              (0.011)*    (0.011)*  
                              univplus                                                         -0.587      -0.581   
                                                                                             (0.296)**    (0.299)*  
                              employed                                                         0.832       0.835    
                                                                                              (0.425)*    (0.434)*  
                              pensioner                                                        0.859       0.847    
                                                                                              (0.639)     (0.642)   
                              rural                                                            0.732       0.731    
                                                                                              (0.425)*    (0.430)*  
                              quallife                                                         -0.111      -0.120   
                                                                                              (0.104)     (0.110)   
                              demoverorder                                                     -0.362      -0.361   
                                                                                             (0.105)***  (0.109)*** 
                              ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.068   
                                                                                                          (0.179)   
                              grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000   
                                                                                                          (0.000)   
          var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.597       0.282       0.253    
                                                                                 (0.270)**    (0.218)     (0.245)   
          N                                                                         797         632         632     
         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univp
> lus employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry  if easierspeakR==1 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast
> :  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -145.83703  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -143.05847  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =   -143.032  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -143.03198  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -143.03198  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -146.85137

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -146.85137  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -143.01372  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.89402  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.88964  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.88964  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        367
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         17

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       21.6
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =    5611.89
Log pseudolikelihood = -142.88964               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 17 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
               joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.821001   1.208388     3.16   0.002     1.452604    6.189397
                           |
                   rusnat2 |   1.311272    .290828     4.51   0.000     .7412595    1.881284
                 Ukrainian |  -.0191666   .0063832    -3.00   0.003    -.0316774   -.0066558
                 unskilled |  -.0455455   .6187398    -0.07   0.941    -1.258253    1.167162
                 relations |   .2824605   .2813842     1.00   0.315    -.2690425    .8339635
                    female |   .8368902   .3581363     2.34   0.019      .134956    1.538824
                       age |   .0213796   .0148242     1.44   0.149    -.0076753    .0504346
                  univplus |  -.4569441   .2752462    -1.66   0.097    -.9964168    .0825285
                  employed |   1.061426   .4165342     2.55   0.011     .2450341    1.877818
                 pensioner |   .9556889   .7120982     1.34   0.180    -.4399979    2.351376
                     rural |  -.1018909    .706374    -0.14   0.885    -1.486358    1.282577
                  quallife |  -.2674189   .1455729    -1.84   0.066    -.5527365    .0178988
              demoverorder |  -.2918636   .1380819    -2.11   0.035    -.5624992    -.021228
              ILOunemp2013 |  -.1103901   .1190363    -0.93   0.354     -.343697    .1229168
                 grpmilhry |  -5.34e-06   2.34e-06    -2.28   0.023    -9.93e-06   -7.52e-07
                     _cons |   1.001934   1.604288     0.62   0.532    -2.142412     4.14628
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .0608341   .1391225                      .0006879    5.379884
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.121       0.922       0.938                
                                                                            (0.296)    (0.408)**   (0.416)**              
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.061       2.544       2.662       3.821    
                                                                           (1.010)**   (1.117)**   (1.150)**   (1.208)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.807       3.451       3.114                
                                                                            (2.239)     (2.608)     (2.921)               
                        rusnat2                                              1.040       1.119       1.121       1.311    
                                                                           (0.267)***  (0.349)***  (0.348)***  (0.291)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.039      -0.030      -0.029      -0.019   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.008)***  (0.006)*** 
                        unskilled                                            0.463       -0.208      -0.217      -0.046   
                                                                            (0.284)     (0.358)     (0.359)     (0.619)   
                        relations                                            0.071       0.250       0.254       0.282    
                                                                            (0.266)     (0.216)     (0.215)     (0.281)   
                        _cons                                                1.808       -0.664      -0.199      1.002    
                                                                           (0.858)**    (1.138)     (1.813)     (1.604)   
                        female                                                           0.649       0.644       0.837    
                                                                                       (0.294)**   (0.295)**   (0.358)**  
                        age                                                              0.021       0.021       0.021    
                                                                                        (0.011)*    (0.011)*    (0.015)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.587      -0.581      -0.457   
                                                                                       (0.296)**    (0.299)*    (0.275)*  
                        employed                                                         0.832       0.835       1.061    
                                                                                        (0.425)*    (0.434)*   (0.417)**  
                        pensioner                                                        0.859       0.847       0.956    
                                                                                        (0.639)     (0.642)     (0.712)   
                        rural                                                            0.732       0.731       -0.102   
                                                                                        (0.425)*    (0.430)*    (0.706)   
                        quallife                                                         -0.111      -0.120      -0.267   
                                                                                        (0.104)     (0.110)     (0.146)*  
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.362      -0.361      -0.292   
                                                                                       (0.105)***  (0.109)***  (0.138)**  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.068      -0.110   
                                                                                                    (0.179)     (0.119)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)    (0.000)**  
    joincunion2         1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.597       0.282       0.253       0.061    
                                                                           (0.270)**    (0.218)     (0.245)     (0.139)   
    N                                                                         797         632         632         367     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univp
> lus employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry  if easierspeakR==0 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast
> :  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)
note: rusnat2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      rusnat2 dropped and 3 obs not used


Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -91.130735  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -84.269431  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -84.153595  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -84.153391  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -84.153391  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -83.491006

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -83.491006  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -83.241023  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -82.979941  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -82.974828  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -82.974825  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        262
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         22

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       11.9
                                                              max =         38

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(14)     =      47.27
Log pseudolikelihood = -82.974825               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 22 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
               joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.043235   1.218737     2.50   0.013     .6545539    5.431915
                           |
                   rusnat2 |          0  (omitted)
                 Ukrainian |  -.0827392   .0294622    -2.81   0.005    -.1404841   -.0249943
                 unskilled |  -.2957961   .5712901    -0.52   0.605    -1.415504    .8239119
                 relations |   .2887831   .2724944     1.06   0.289    -.2452962    .8228623
                    female |   .0109334   .4581925     0.02   0.981    -.8871074    .9089743
                       age |   .0349253   .0231068     1.51   0.131    -.0103633    .0802139
                  univplus |  -.4889905   .6161505    -0.79   0.427    -1.696623    .7186424
                  employed |   .1339859    .918938     0.15   0.884    -1.667099    1.935071
                 pensioner |   .3449057   1.259995     0.27   0.784     -2.12464    2.814451
                     rural |   1.507631   .4375439     3.45   0.001     .6500605    2.365201
                  quallife |   .0781516    .138495     0.56   0.573    -.1932937    .3495969
              demoverorder |  -.7067435   .2592238    -2.73   0.006    -1.214813   -.1986742
              ILOunemp2013 |   .2553815   .3828407     0.67   0.505    -.4949725    1.005736
                 grpmilhry |   4.89e-06   4.97e-06     0.98   0.326    -4.86e-06    .0000146
                     _cons |   1.450394    2.64607     0.55   0.584    -3.735807    6.636595
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .7898983   .8386695                      .0985856     6.32891
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.121       0.922       0.938                
                                                                            (0.296)    (0.408)**   (0.416)**              
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.061       2.544       2.662       3.821    
                                                                           (1.010)**   (1.117)**   (1.150)**   (1.208)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.807       3.451       3.114                
                                                                            (2.239)     (2.608)     (2.921)               
                        rusnat2                                              1.040       1.119       1.121       1.311    
                                                                           (0.267)***  (0.349)***  (0.348)***  (0.291)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.039      -0.030      -0.029      -0.019   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.008)***  (0.006)*** 
                        unskilled                                            0.463       -0.208      -0.217      -0.046   
                                                                            (0.284)     (0.358)     (0.359)     (0.619)   
                        relations                                            0.071       0.250       0.254       0.282    
                                                                            (0.266)     (0.216)     (0.215)     (0.281)   
                        _cons                                                1.808       -0.664      -0.199      1.002    
                                                                           (0.858)**    (1.138)     (1.813)     (1.604)   
                        female                                                           0.649       0.644       0.837    
                                                                                       (0.294)**   (0.295)**   (0.358)**  
                        age                                                              0.021       0.021       0.021    
                                                                                        (0.011)*    (0.011)*    (0.015)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.587      -0.581      -0.457   
                                                                                       (0.296)**    (0.299)*    (0.275)*  
                        employed                                                         0.832       0.835       1.061    
                                                                                        (0.425)*    (0.434)*   (0.417)**  
                        pensioner                                                        0.859       0.847       0.956    
                                                                                        (0.639)     (0.642)     (0.712)   
                        rural                                                            0.732       0.731       -0.102   
                                                                                        (0.425)*    (0.430)*    (0.706)   
                        quallife                                                         -0.111      -0.120      -0.267   
                                                                                        (0.104)     (0.110)     (0.146)*  
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.362      -0.361      -0.292   
                                                                                       (0.105)***  (0.109)***  (0.138)**  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.068      -0.110   
                                                                                                    (0.179)     (0.119)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)    (0.000)**  
    joincunion2         1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        o.rusnat2                                                                                         
                                                                                                                          
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.597       0.282       0.253       0.061    
                                                                           (0.270)**    (0.218)     (0.245)     (0.139)   
    N                                                                         797         632         632         367     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                             
                                                                                                        
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.043    
                                                                                             (1.219)**  
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                
                                                                                                        
                                          rusnat2                                                       
                                                                                                        
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.083   
                                                                                             (0.029)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            -0.296   
                                                                                              (0.571)   
                                          relations                                            0.289    
                                                                                              (0.272)   
                                          _cons                                                1.450    
                                                                                              (2.646)   
                                          female                                               0.011    
                                                                                              (0.458)   
                                          age                                                  0.035    
                                                                                              (0.023)   
                                          univplus                                             -0.489   
                                                                                              (0.616)   
                                          employed                                             0.134    
                                                                                              (0.919)   
                                          pensioner                                            0.345    
                                                                                              (1.260)   
                                          rural                                                1.508    
                                                                                             (0.438)*** 
                                          quallife                                             0.078    
                                                                                              (0.138)   
                                          demoverorder                                         -0.707   
                                                                                             (0.259)*** 
                                          ILOunemp2013                                         0.255    
                                                                                              (0.383)   
                                          grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      joincunion2         1b.easierspeakRuss                                            
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp              
                                                                                                        
                                          o.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.790    
                                                                                              (0.839)   
                      N                                                                         262     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Figure 4
.  meglm  bettercloserrus2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  unskilled relations female age 
> univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , f
> amily(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -259.59698  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -253.20298  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -253.15954  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -253.15953  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -255.34363

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -255.34363  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -252.57536  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.74491  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.32391  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.31876  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.31876  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        628
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     288.05
Log pseudolikelihood = -251.31876               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                     rusnat2 |   .8531579   .3719605     2.29   0.022     .1241287    1.582187
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0285775   .0088396    -3.23   0.001    -.0459029   -.0112521
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .5289326   .4544322     1.16   0.244    -.3617381    1.419603
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.687336    1.21403     3.04   0.002      1.30788    6.066791
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   2.329635   1.973531     1.18   0.238    -1.538415    6.197684
                                             |
                                   unskilled |   -.131727    .335967    -0.39   0.695    -.7902102    .5267561
                                   relations |  -.0136436   .1980827    -0.07   0.945    -.4018786    .3745914
                                      female |   .7755381   .2540269     3.05   0.002     .2776546    1.273422
                                         age |   .0284777   .0095194     2.99   0.003       .00982    .0471354
                                    univplus |  -.7000355   .2967066    -2.36   0.018     -1.28157   -.1185014
                                    employed |   .8503979   .4393028     1.94   0.053    -.0106199    1.711416
                                   pensioner |   .1903241   .5937071     0.32   0.749    -.9733205    1.353969
                                       rural |   .3784717   .4657725     0.81   0.416    -.5344256    1.291369
                                    quallife |   .0386313   .1294411     0.30   0.765    -.2150685    .2923311
                                demoverorder |  -.4690231   .0903903    -5.19   0.000    -.6461848   -.2918614
                                ILOunemp2013 |  -.0108141   .1844308    -0.06   0.953    -.3722918    .3506636
                                   grpmilhry |  -5.60e-07   2.62e-06    -0.21   0.831    -5.69e-06    4.57e-06
                                       _cons |   .4641582   1.644426     0.28   0.778    -2.758857    3.687173
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2193661   .2025088                      .0359236    1.339553
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. margins, at(tottradediffR=( -.6 (.1) .3) easierspeakR=(0  1)) vsquish 

Predictive margins                              Number of obs     =        628
Model VCE    : Robust

Expression   : Marginal predicted mean, predict()
1._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =         -.6
2._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =         -.5
3._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =         -.4
4._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =         -.3
5._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =         -.2
6._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =         -.1
7._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =           0
8._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =          .1
9._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =          .2
10._at       : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =          .3
11._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =         -.6
12._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =         -.5
13._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =         -.4
14._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =         -.3
15._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =         -.2
16._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =         -.1
17._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =           0
18._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =          .1
19._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =          .2
20._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =          .3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .1476884   .0666504     2.22   0.027     .0170561    .2783207
          2  |   .1841567   .0664704     2.77   0.006      .053877    .3144364
          3  |   .2261037   .0640926     3.53   0.000     .1004845    .3517228
          4  |   .2734124    .060236     4.54   0.000     .1553521    .3914727
          5  |   .3257106   .0565608     5.76   0.000     .2148534    .4365678
          6  |   .3823404    .055693     6.87   0.000     .2731841    .4914968
          7  |   .4423453   .0599964     7.37   0.000     .3247546    .5599361
          8  |   .5044835   .0695163     7.26   0.000      .368234    .6407329
          9  |   .5672764   .0820007     6.92   0.000     .4065579    .7279949
         10  |   .6290988   .0946147     6.65   0.000     .4436574    .8145402
         11  |   .0825188   .0649666     1.27   0.204    -.0448134    .2098509
         12  |   .1246403   .0752689     1.66   0.098     -.022884    .2721646
         13  |   .1805451   .0800618     2.26   0.024     .0236269    .3374633
         14  |   .2509579   .0772674     3.25   0.001     .0995165    .4023993
         15  |   .3351028   .0666827     5.03   0.000      .204407    .4657986
         16  |   .4302922   .0521429     8.25   0.000     .3280939    .5324905
         17  |   .5317773   .0445216    11.94   0.000     .4445166     .619038
         18  |   .6331199   .0524332    12.07   0.000     .5303527     .735887
         19  |   .7272731   .0653123    11.14   0.000     .5992634    .8552828
         20  |   .8082018   .0718848    11.24   0.000     .6673102    .9490935
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. marginsplot

  Variables that uniquely identify margins: tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp easierspeakRuss

. 
. 
. **Figure 5
. 
. meglm  bettercloserrus2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  unskilled relations female age u
> nivplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , fa
> mily(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -259.59698  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -253.20298  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -253.15954  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -253.15953  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -255.34363

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -255.34363  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -252.57536  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.74491  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.32391  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.31876  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.31876  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        628
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     288.05
Log pseudolikelihood = -251.31876               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                     rusnat2 |   .8531579   .3719605     2.29   0.022     .1241287    1.582187
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0285775   .0088396    -3.23   0.001    -.0459029   -.0112521
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .5289326   .4544322     1.16   0.244    -.3617381    1.419603
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.687336    1.21403     3.04   0.002      1.30788    6.066791
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   2.329635   1.973531     1.18   0.238    -1.538415    6.197684
                                             |
                                   unskilled |   -.131727    .335967    -0.39   0.695    -.7902102    .5267561
                                   relations |  -.0136436   .1980827    -0.07   0.945    -.4018786    .3745914
                                      female |   .7755381   .2540269     3.05   0.002     .2776546    1.273422
                                         age |   .0284777   .0095194     2.99   0.003       .00982    .0471354
                                    univplus |  -.7000355   .2967066    -2.36   0.018     -1.28157   -.1185014
                                    employed |   .8503979   .4393028     1.94   0.053    -.0106199    1.711416
                                   pensioner |   .1903241   .5937071     0.32   0.749    -.9733205    1.353969
                                       rural |   .3784717   .4657725     0.81   0.416    -.5344256    1.291369
                                    quallife |   .0386313   .1294411     0.30   0.765    -.2150685    .2923311
                                demoverorder |  -.4690231   .0903903    -5.19   0.000    -.6461848   -.2918614
                                ILOunemp2013 |  -.0108141   .1844308    -0.06   0.953    -.3722918    .3506636
                                   grpmilhry |  -5.60e-07   2.62e-06    -0.21   0.831    -5.69e-06    4.57e-06
                                       _cons |   .4641582   1.644426     0.28   0.778    -2.758857    3.687173
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2193661   .2025088                      .0359236    1.339553
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. margins, at(tottradediffR=( -.6 (.1) .3) Ukrainian=(25  75)) vsquish 

Predictive margins                              Number of obs     =        628
Model VCE    : Robust

Expression   : Marginal predicted mean, predict()
1._at        : Ukrainian       =          25
               tottradedi~p    =         -.6
2._at        : Ukrainian       =          25
               tottradedi~p    =         -.5
3._at        : Ukrainian       =          25
               tottradedi~p    =         -.4
4._at        : Ukrainian       =          25
               tottradedi~p    =         -.3
5._at        : Ukrainian       =          25
               tottradedi~p    =         -.2
6._at        : Ukrainian       =          25
               tottradedi~p    =         -.1
7._at        : Ukrainian       =          25
               tottradedi~p    =           0
8._at        : Ukrainian       =          25
               tottradedi~p    =          .1
9._at        : Ukrainian       =          25
               tottradedi~p    =          .2
10._at       : Ukrainian       =          25
               tottradedi~p    =          .3
11._at       : Ukrainian       =          75
               tottradedi~p    =         -.6
12._at       : Ukrainian       =          75
               tottradedi~p    =         -.5
13._at       : Ukrainian       =          75
               tottradedi~p    =         -.4
14._at       : Ukrainian       =          75
               tottradedi~p    =         -.3
15._at       : Ukrainian       =          75
               tottradedi~p    =         -.2
16._at       : Ukrainian       =          75
               tottradedi~p    =         -.1
17._at       : Ukrainian       =          75
               tottradedi~p    =           0
18._at       : Ukrainian       =          75
               tottradedi~p    =          .1
19._at       : Ukrainian       =          75
               tottradedi~p    =          .2
20._at       : Ukrainian       =          75
               tottradedi~p    =          .3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .1809957   .1016401     1.78   0.075    -.0182151    .3802066
          2  |   .2498852   .1127236     2.22   0.027      .028951    .4708193
          3  |   .3331624   .1155464     2.88   0.004     .1066957    .5596292
          4  |   .4269171   .1090121     3.92   0.000     .2132573     .640577
          5  |   .5248634   .0954478     5.50   0.000     .3377891    .7119378
          6  |   .6198468   .0795877     7.79   0.000     .4638578    .7758359
          7  |   .7056562   .0659724    10.70   0.000     .5763528    .8349597
          8  |   .7783602   .0564724    13.78   0.000     .6676764    .8890441
          9  |   .8367015   .0501016    16.70   0.000     .7385043    .9348987
         10  |   .8815804   .0450574    19.57   0.000     .7932695    .9698913
         11  |   .0578538   .0314353     1.84   0.066    -.0037583     .119466
         12  |   .0873793    .039523     2.21   0.027     .0099156     .164843
         13  |     .12945    .046522     2.78   0.005     .0382685    .2206315
         14  |   .1863469   .0501953     3.71   0.000     .0879659    .2847279
         15  |    .258534   .0491988     5.25   0.000     .1621062    .3549619
         16  |   .3437685   .0451516     7.61   0.000     .2552731     .432264
         17  |   .4370991   .0434264    10.07   0.000      .351985    .5222132
         18  |     .53195   .0481491    11.05   0.000     .4375794    .6263205
         19  |   .6218195   .0564204    11.02   0.000     .5112376    .7324015
         20  |    .701819   .0635587    11.04   0.000     .5772462    .8263918
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. marginsplot

  Variables that uniquely identify margins: tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp Ukrainian

. 
. 
. **Table A1
. meglm  bettercloserrus2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian  easierspeakR##c.totaltradeRussiapct  easierspeakR##c.totaltradeEUpct unskilled 
> relations  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -382.88261  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -381.21928  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -381.21709  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -381.21709  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood =  -374.2121

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -374.2121  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -372.50742  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -370.82645  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -370.81306  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -370.81304  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        793
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          4
                                                              avg =       30.5
                                                              max =        122

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(9)      =     111.37
Log pseudolikelihood = -370.81304               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                            (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                         |               Robust
                        bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                 rusnat2 |   .7686093   .3072821     2.50   0.012     .1663474    1.370871
                               Ukrainian |  -.0370975    .010281    -3.61   0.000    -.0572479   -.0169471
                       1.easierspeakRuss |   .9868683   .7638618     1.29   0.196    -.5102734     2.48401
                  totaltradeRussiapctgrp |   3.334116   2.249384     1.48   0.138    -1.074596    7.742828
                                         |
easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                      1  |    .658669   2.209733     0.30   0.766    -3.672329    4.989667
                                         |
                      totaltradeEUpctgrp |   -2.53777   1.164717    -2.18   0.029    -4.820574   -.2549668
                                         |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp |
                                      1  |  -5.823697   2.338865    -2.49   0.013    -10.40779   -1.239607
                                         |
                               unskilled |   .4061135   .2629584     1.54   0.122    -.1092756    .9215026
                               relations |  -.1688004   .2061916    -0.82   0.413    -.5729285    .2353277
                                   _cons |   2.564591   1.197146     2.14   0.032     .2182288    4.910953
-----------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                   |
                               var(_cons)|   .5195621   .2772568                      .1825602    1.478662
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2pctseparate.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3)  replace

                       --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        bettercloserrus2    rusnat2                                          0.769    
                                                                                           (0.307)**  
                                            Ukrainian                                        -0.037   
                                                                                           (0.010)*** 
                                            0b.easierspeakRuss                               0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1.easierspeakRuss                                0.987    
                                                                                            (0.764)   
                                            totaltradeRussiapctgrp                           3.334    
                                                                                            (2.249)   
                                            0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp       0.659    
                                                                                            (2.210)   
                                            totaltradeEUpctgrp                               -2.538   
                                                                                           (1.165)**  
                                            0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp           -5.824   
                                                                                           (2.339)**  
                                            unskilled                                        0.406    
                                                                                            (0.263)   
                                            relations                                        -0.169   
                                                                                            (0.206)   
                                            _cons                                            2.565    
                                                                                           (1.197)**  
                        var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                            0.520    
                                                                                            (0.277)*  
                        N                                                                     793     
                       --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
.  meglm  bettercloserrus2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian easierspeakR##c.totaltradeRussiapct  easierspeakR##c.totaltradeEUpct unskilled 
>  relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife demover   [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast: 
>  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -258.82526  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -252.65692  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -252.61464  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -252.61463  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -254.56472

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -254.56472  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.83561  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.93591  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.54167  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.53883  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.53883  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        628
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     307.61
Log pseudolikelihood = -250.53883               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                            (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                         |               Robust
                        bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                 rusnat2 |   .8108698   .3576048     2.27   0.023     .1099773    1.511762
                               Ukrainian |  -.0285787   .0084389    -3.39   0.001    -.0451186   -.0120388
                       1.easierspeakRuss |   1.144796   .8186738     1.40   0.162    -.4597752    2.749367
                  totaltradeRussiapctgrp |    3.71938   2.000843     1.86   0.063       -.2022     7.64096
                                         |
easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                      1  |   1.912879   2.338563     0.82   0.413     -2.67062    6.496378
                                         |
                      totaltradeEUpctgrp |  -3.783081   1.438345    -2.63   0.009    -6.602185   -.9639775
                                         |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp |
                                      1  |  -5.193842   2.136585    -2.43   0.015    -9.381472   -1.006211
                                         |
                               unskilled |  -.1222215   .3271145    -0.37   0.709    -.7633541     .518911
                               relations |  -.0299318   .2028469    -0.15   0.883    -.4275043    .3676407
                                  female |   .7856925   .2457307     3.20   0.001     .3040693    1.267316
                                     age |   .0280027   .0095609     2.93   0.003     .0092637    .0467417
                                univplus |  -.6899009   .2846956    -2.42   0.015    -1.247894   -.1319078
                                employed |   .8591677   .4279585     2.01   0.045     .0203843    1.697951
                               pensioner |   .2454223   .5905182     0.42   0.678    -.9119721    1.402817
                                   rural |   .3936087   .4609583     0.85   0.393    -.5098529     1.29707
                                quallife |     .04106   .1323953     0.31   0.756    -.2184302    .3005501
                            demoverorder |  -.4760857   .0928371    -5.13   0.000     -.658043   -.2941283
                                   _cons |   .3900102   1.109073     0.35   0.725    -1.783732    2.563752
-----------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                   |
                               var(_cons)|   .2237403   .1975301                      .0396513    1.262499
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2pctseparate.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

                 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  bettercloserrus2    rusnat2                                          0.769       0.811    
                                                                                     (0.307)**   (0.358)**  
                                      Ukrainian                                        -0.037      -0.029   
                                                                                     (0.010)***  (0.008)*** 
                                      0b.easierspeakRuss                               0.000       0.000    
                                                                                      (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                      1.easierspeakRuss                                0.987       1.145    
                                                                                      (0.764)     (0.819)   
                                      totaltradeRussiapctgrp                           3.334       3.719    
                                                                                      (2.249)     (2.001)*  
                                      0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                      (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                      1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp       0.659       1.913    
                                                                                      (2.210)     (2.339)   
                                      totaltradeEUpctgrp                               -2.538      -3.783   
                                                                                     (1.165)**   (1.438)*** 
                                      0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp         0.000       0.000    
                                                                                      (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                      1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp           -5.824      -5.194   
                                                                                     (2.339)**   (2.137)**  
                                      unskilled                                        0.406       -0.122   
                                                                                      (0.263)     (0.327)   
                                      relations                                        -0.169      -0.030   
                                                                                      (0.206)     (0.203)   
                                      _cons                                            2.565       0.390    
                                                                                     (1.197)**    (1.109)   
                                      female                                                       0.786    
                                                                                                 (0.246)*** 
                                      age                                                          0.028    
                                                                                                 (0.010)*** 
                                      univplus                                                     -0.690   
                                                                                                 (0.285)**  
                                      employed                                                     0.859    
                                                                                                 (0.428)**  
                                      pensioner                                                    0.245    
                                                                                                  (0.591)   
                                      rural                                                        0.394    
                                                                                                  (0.461)   
                                      quallife                                                     0.041    
                                                                                                  (0.132)   
                                      demoverorder                                                 -0.476   
                                                                                                 (0.093)*** 
                  var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                            0.520       0.224    
                                                                                      (0.277)*    (0.198)   
                  N                                                                     793         628     
                 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  bettercloserrus2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian easierspeakR##c.totaltradeRussiapct  easierspeakR##c.totaltradeEUpct  unskilled
>   relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife demover   ILO   grpmilhry   [pweight= weight_U
> kraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -258.75085  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -252.30074  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -252.25688  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -252.25687  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -254.22081

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -254.22081  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.51657  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.74627  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.39478  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.39401  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.39401  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        628
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(19)     =     338.51
Log pseudolikelihood = -250.39401               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                            (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                         |               Robust
                        bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                 rusnat2 |   .8012594   .3528221     2.27   0.023     .1097407    1.492778
                               Ukrainian |   -.027246    .009267    -2.94   0.003     -.045409    -.009083
                       1.easierspeakRuss |   1.238746   .8680295     1.43   0.154    -.4625608    2.940052
                  totaltradeRussiapctgrp |   3.591051   1.856989     1.93   0.053      -.04858    7.230682
                                         |
easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                      1  |   2.380189   2.384456     1.00   0.318    -2.293258    7.053637
                                         |
                      totaltradeEUpctgrp |  -4.071875    1.89942    -2.14   0.032     -7.79467   -.3490792
                                         |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp |
                                      1  |  -6.134265    2.92479    -2.10   0.036    -11.86675   -.4017821
                                         |
                               unskilled |  -.1249365   .3237393    -0.39   0.700    -.7594538    .5095809
                               relations |  -.0394457   .1982649    -0.20   0.842    -.4280377    .3491463
                                  female |   .7893211   .2447636     3.22   0.001     .3095932    1.269049
                                     age |   .0281516   .0096871     2.91   0.004     .0091652    .0471379
                                univplus |  -.6910363   .2932058    -2.36   0.018    -1.265709   -.1163635
                                employed |   .8458903   .4402092     1.92   0.055    -.0169039    1.708684
                               pensioner |   .2497029   .5980406     0.42   0.676    -.9224352    1.421841
                                   rural |   .4377124   .4762603     0.92   0.358    -.4957405    1.371165
                                quallife |    .055671   .1293346     0.43   0.667    -.1978201     .309162
                            demoverorder |  -.4714315   .0930378    -5.07   0.000    -.6537823   -.2890808
                            ILOunemp2013 |   .0006749   .1850222     0.00   0.997    -.3619619    .3633118
                               grpmilhry |   1.61e-06   2.78e-06     0.58   0.563    -3.84e-06    7.05e-06
                                   _cons |   .2000781    1.78142     0.11   0.911    -3.291441    3.691597
-----------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                   |
                               var(_cons)|   .2211898   .2055792                      .0357798     1.36739
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2pctseparate.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

           --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            bettercloserrus2    rusnat2                                          0.769       0.811       0.801    
                                                                               (0.307)**   (0.358)**   (0.353)**  
                                Ukrainian                                        -0.037      -0.029      -0.027   
                                                                               (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)*** 
                                0b.easierspeakRuss                               0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                1.easierspeakRuss                                0.987       1.145       1.239    
                                                                                (0.764)     (0.819)     (0.868)   
                                totaltradeRussiapctgrp                           3.334       3.719       3.591    
                                                                                (2.249)     (2.001)*    (1.857)*  
                                0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp       0.659       1.913       2.380    
                                                                                (2.210)     (2.339)     (2.384)   
                                totaltradeEUpctgrp                               -2.538      -3.783      -4.072   
                                                                               (1.165)**   (1.438)***  (1.899)**  
                                0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp         0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp           -5.824      -5.194      -6.134   
                                                                               (2.339)**   (2.137)**   (2.925)**  
                                unskilled                                        0.406       -0.122      -0.125   
                                                                                (0.263)     (0.327)     (0.324)   
                                relations                                        -0.169      -0.030      -0.039   
                                                                                (0.206)     (0.203)     (0.198)   
                                _cons                                            2.565       0.390       0.200    
                                                                               (1.197)**    (1.109)     (1.781)   
                                female                                                       0.786       0.789    
                                                                                           (0.246)***  (0.245)*** 
                                age                                                          0.028       0.028    
                                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.010)*** 
                                univplus                                                     -0.690      -0.691   
                                                                                           (0.285)**   (0.293)**  
                                employed                                                     0.859       0.846    
                                                                                           (0.428)**    (0.440)*  
                                pensioner                                                    0.245       0.250    
                                                                                            (0.591)     (0.598)   
                                rural                                                        0.394       0.438    
                                                                                            (0.461)     (0.476)   
                                quallife                                                     0.041       0.056    
                                                                                            (0.132)     (0.129)   
                                demoverorder                                                 -0.476      -0.471   
                                                                                           (0.093)***  (0.093)*** 
                                ILOunemp2013                                                             0.001    
                                                                                                        (0.185)   
                                grpmilhry                                                                0.000    
                                                                                                        (0.000)   
            var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                            0.520       0.224       0.221    
                                                                                (0.277)*    (0.198)     (0.206)   
            N                                                                     793         628         628     
           --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
.  meglm  bettercloserrus2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian easierspeakR##c.totaltradeRussiapct  easierspeakR##c.totaltradeEUpct  unskilled
>   relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife demover   ILO   grpmilhry if easierspeakR==1  
> [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -140.31576  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -136.86179  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -136.84301  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -136.84301  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -141.08512

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -141.08512  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.98152  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.91049  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.87018  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86971  (backed up)
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86959  (backed up)
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86953  (backed up)
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86951  (backed up)
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86951  (backed up)
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (not concave)
Iteration 22:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (not concave)
Iteration 23:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (not concave)
Iteration 24:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 25:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 26:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 27:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 28:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (not concave)
Iteration 29:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 30:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 31:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 32:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (not concave)
Iteration 33:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (not concave)
Iteration 34:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (not concave)
Iteration 35:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (backed up)
Iteration 36:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8695  
Iteration 38:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86949  (not concave)
Iteration 39:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86949  
Iteration 40:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86948  (not concave)
Iteration 41:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86948  
Iteration 42:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86947  (not concave)
Iteration 43:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86946  (not concave)
Iteration 44:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86946  
Iteration 45:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86935  (not concave)
Iteration 46:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86935  (not concave)
Iteration 47:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86933  (not concave)
Iteration 48:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8693  
Iteration 49:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86613  (not concave)
Iteration 50:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86598  (not concave)
Iteration 51:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86591  (not concave)
Iteration 52:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86551  (not concave)
Iteration 53:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86519  (not concave)
Iteration 54:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86469  
Iteration 55:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.84301  
Iteration 56:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.84301  (not concave)
Iteration 57:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.84301  (backed up)

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        361
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         17

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       21.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(16)     =   29765.87
Log pseudolikelihood = -136.84301               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                          (Std. Err. adjusted for 17 clusters in Oblast)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                       |               Robust
      bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
               rusnat2 |   1.033117   .2881752     3.59   0.000     .4683041     1.59793
             Ukrainian |  -.0151008   .0059114    -2.55   0.011     -.026687   -.0035147
totaltradeRussiapctgrp |   4.954132   1.589425     3.12   0.002     1.838917    8.069348
                       |
    totaltradeEUpctgrp |  -6.294922   5.617901    -1.12   0.262    -17.30581    4.715962
                       |
             unskilled |   .2674465   .5905138     0.45   0.651    -.8899392    1.424832
             relations |   .0290743   .2158288     0.13   0.893    -.3939425    .4520911
                female |   .7574097   .3596956     2.11   0.035     .0524192      1.4624
                   age |   .0229261      .0155     1.48   0.139    -.0074534    .0533055
              univplus |  -.6582767   .2818514    -2.34   0.020    -1.210695   -.1058581
              employed |   1.665569   .5481824     3.04   0.002     .5911511    2.739987
             pensioner |   1.200739   .8107153     1.48   0.139    -.3882335    2.789712
                 rural |  -.1784811    .688162    -0.26   0.795    -1.527254    1.170292
              quallife |  -.1431074   .1580717    -0.91   0.365    -.4529223    .1667074
          demoverorder |  -.2472803    .157949    -1.57   0.117    -.5568547    .0622942
          ILOunemp2013 |  -.1940516   .1185514    -1.64   0.102    -.4264081     .038305
             grpmilhry |  -3.74e-06   4.70e-06    -0.80   0.426     -.000013    5.47e-06
                 _cons |    1.52481   .9984198     1.53   0.127     -.432057    3.481677
-----------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                 |
             var(_cons)|   1.69e-34   1.25e-33                      8.33e-41    3.42e-28
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2pctseparate.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

     --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      bettercloserrus2    rusnat2                                          0.769       0.811       0.801       1.033    
                                                                         (0.307)**   (0.358)**   (0.353)**   (0.288)*** 
                          Ukrainian                                        -0.037      -0.029      -0.027      -0.015   
                                                                         (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)***  (0.006)**  
                          0b.easierspeakRuss                               0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                          (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                          1.easierspeakRuss                                0.987       1.145       1.239                
                                                                          (0.764)     (0.819)     (0.868)               
                          totaltradeRussiapctgrp                           3.334       3.719       3.591       4.954    
                                                                          (2.249)     (2.001)*    (1.857)*   (1.589)*** 
                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                          (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp       0.659       1.913       2.380                
                                                                          (2.210)     (2.339)     (2.384)               
                          totaltradeEUpctgrp                               -2.538      -3.783      -4.072      -6.295   
                                                                         (1.165)**   (1.438)***  (1.899)**    (5.618)   
                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp         0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                          (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp           -5.824      -5.194      -6.134               
                                                                         (2.339)**   (2.137)**   (2.925)**              
                          unskilled                                        0.406       -0.122      -0.125      0.267    
                                                                          (0.263)     (0.327)     (0.324)     (0.591)   
                          relations                                        -0.169      -0.030      -0.039      0.029    
                                                                          (0.206)     (0.203)     (0.198)     (0.216)   
                          _cons                                            2.565       0.390       0.200       1.525    
                                                                         (1.197)**    (1.109)     (1.781)     (0.998)   
                          female                                                       0.786       0.789       0.757    
                                                                                     (0.246)***  (0.245)***  (0.360)**  
                          age                                                          0.028       0.028       0.023    
                                                                                     (0.010)***  (0.010)***   (0.016)   
                          univplus                                                     -0.690      -0.691      -0.658   
                                                                                     (0.285)**   (0.293)**   (0.282)**  
                          employed                                                     0.859       0.846       1.666    
                                                                                     (0.428)**    (0.440)*   (0.548)*** 
                          pensioner                                                    0.245       0.250       1.201    
                                                                                      (0.591)     (0.598)     (0.811)   
                          rural                                                        0.394       0.438       -0.178   
                                                                                      (0.461)     (0.476)     (0.688)   
                          quallife                                                     0.041       0.056       -0.143   
                                                                                      (0.132)     (0.129)     (0.158)   
                          demoverorder                                                 -0.476      -0.471      -0.247   
                                                                                     (0.093)***  (0.093)***   (0.158)   
                          ILOunemp2013                                                             0.001       -0.194   
                                                                                                  (0.185)     (0.119)   
                          grpmilhry                                                                0.000       -0.000   
                                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)   
                          1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                   0.000    
                                                                                                              (0.000)   
                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                              (0.000)   
                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp                                             0.000    
                                                                                                              (0.000)   
      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                            0.520       0.224       0.221       0.000    
                                                                          (0.277)*    (0.198)     (0.206)     (0.000)   
      N                                                                     793         628         628         361     
     --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  bettercloserrus2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian easierspeakR##c.totaltradeRussiapct  easierspeakR##c.totaltradeEUpct  unskilled
>   relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife demover   ILO   grpmilhry if easierspeakR==0  
> [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)
note: rusnat2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      rusnat2 dropped and 2 obs not used


Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -105.68485  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -100.90467  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -100.88895  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -100.88895  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -102.20316

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -102.20316  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -101.21492  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -100.81743  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -100.74965  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -100.7456  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood =  -100.7456  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        265
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         22

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       12.0
                                                              max =         38

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =     194.20
Log pseudolikelihood =  -100.7456               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                          (Std. Err. adjusted for 22 clusters in Oblast)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                       |               Robust
      bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
               rusnat2 |          0  (omitted)
             Ukrainian |  -.0692094   .0221957    -3.12   0.002    -.1127122   -.0257066
totaltradeRussiapctgrp |   3.628286   1.354681     2.68   0.007     .9731589    6.283413
                       |
    totaltradeEUpctgrp |  -3.995068   1.222561    -3.27   0.001    -6.391245   -1.598892
                       |
             unskilled |   -.274277   .5180871    -0.53   0.597    -1.289709    .7411551
             relations |   -.059969   .2337752    -0.26   0.798    -.5181599     .398222
                female |   .4361571   .3860681     1.13   0.259    -.3205224    1.192837
                   age |    .034016   .0186219     1.83   0.068    -.0024822    .0705142
              univplus |  -.4055177   .4808403    -0.84   0.399    -1.347947    .5369119
              employed |  -.0314549   .7194322    -0.04   0.965    -1.441516    1.378606
             pensioner |  -.6924528   .9670661    -0.72   0.474    -2.587867    1.202962
                 rural |    .956696   .4670112     2.05   0.041     .0413708    1.872021
              quallife |   .2850094   .1812468     1.57   0.116    -.0702277    .6402465
          demoverorder |  -.9033354   .1482753    -6.09   0.000     -1.19395   -.6127212
          ILOunemp2013 |   .3876905   .3065827     1.26   0.206    -.2132005    .9885815
             grpmilhry |   5.05e-06   4.17e-06     1.21   0.225    -3.11e-06    .0000132
                 _cons |   1.370134   2.819994     0.49   0.627    -4.156952     6.89722
-----------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                 |
             var(_cons)|   .1671213   .4331253                      .0010399    26.85812
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2pctseparate.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

     --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      bettercloserrus2    rusnat2                                          0.769       0.811       0.801       1.033    
                                                                         (0.307)**   (0.358)**   (0.353)**   (0.288)*** 
                          Ukrainian                                        -0.037      -0.029      -0.027      -0.015   
                                                                         (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)***  (0.006)**  
                          0b.easierspeakRuss                               0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                          (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                          1.easierspeakRuss                                0.987       1.145       1.239                
                                                                          (0.764)     (0.819)     (0.868)               
                          totaltradeRussiapctgrp                           3.334       3.719       3.591       4.954    
                                                                          (2.249)     (2.001)*    (1.857)*   (1.589)*** 
                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                          (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp       0.659       1.913       2.380                
                                                                          (2.210)     (2.339)     (2.384)               
                          totaltradeEUpctgrp                               -2.538      -3.783      -4.072      -6.295   
                                                                         (1.165)**   (1.438)***  (1.899)**    (5.618)   
                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp         0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                          (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp           -5.824      -5.194      -6.134               
                                                                         (2.339)**   (2.137)**   (2.925)**              
                          unskilled                                        0.406       -0.122      -0.125      0.267    
                                                                          (0.263)     (0.327)     (0.324)     (0.591)   
                          relations                                        -0.169      -0.030      -0.039      0.029    
                                                                          (0.206)     (0.203)     (0.198)     (0.216)   
                          _cons                                            2.565       0.390       0.200       1.525    
                                                                         (1.197)**    (1.109)     (1.781)     (0.998)   
                          female                                                       0.786       0.789       0.757    
                                                                                     (0.246)***  (0.245)***  (0.360)**  
                          age                                                          0.028       0.028       0.023    
                                                                                     (0.010)***  (0.010)***   (0.016)   
                          univplus                                                     -0.690      -0.691      -0.658   
                                                                                     (0.285)**   (0.293)**   (0.282)**  
                          employed                                                     0.859       0.846       1.666    
                                                                                     (0.428)**    (0.440)*   (0.548)*** 
                          pensioner                                                    0.245       0.250       1.201    
                                                                                      (0.591)     (0.598)     (0.811)   
                          rural                                                        0.394       0.438       -0.178   
                                                                                      (0.461)     (0.476)     (0.688)   
                          quallife                                                     0.041       0.056       -0.143   
                                                                                      (0.132)     (0.129)     (0.158)   
                          demoverorder                                                 -0.476      -0.471      -0.247   
                                                                                     (0.093)***  (0.093)***   (0.158)   
                          ILOunemp2013                                                             0.001       -0.194   
                                                                                                  (0.185)     (0.119)   
                          grpmilhry                                                                0.000       -0.000   
                                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)   
                          1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                   0.000    
                                                                                                              (0.000)   
                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                              (0.000)   
                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp                                             0.000    
                                                                                                              (0.000)   
      bettercloserrus2    o.rusnat2                                                                                     
                                                                                                                        
      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                            0.520       0.224       0.221       0.000    
                                                                          (0.277)*    (0.198)     (0.206)     (0.000)   
      N                                                                     793         628         628         361     
     --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                       --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        bettercloserrus2    rusnat2                                                   
                                                                                                      
                                            Ukrainian                                        -0.069   
                                                                                           (0.022)*** 
                                            0b.easierspeakRuss                               0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1.easierspeakRuss                                         
                                                                                                      
                                            totaltradeRussiapctgrp                           3.628    
                                                                                           (1.355)*** 
                                            0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                
                                                                                                      
                                            totaltradeEUpctgrp                               -3.995   
                                                                                           (1.223)*** 
                                            0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp                    
                                                                                                      
                                            unskilled                                        -0.274   
                                                                                            (0.518)   
                                            relations                                        -0.060   
                                                                                            (0.234)   
                                            _cons                                            1.370    
                                                                                            (2.820)   
                                            female                                           0.436    
                                                                                            (0.386)   
                                            age                                              0.034    
                                                                                            (0.019)*  
                                            univplus                                         -0.406   
                                                                                            (0.481)   
                                            employed                                         -0.031   
                                                                                            (0.719)   
                                            pensioner                                        -0.692   
                                                                                            (0.967)   
                                            rural                                            0.957    
                                                                                           (0.467)**  
                                            quallife                                         0.285    
                                                                                            (0.181)   
                                            demoverorder                                     -0.903   
                                                                                           (0.148)*** 
                                            ILOunemp2013                                     0.388    
                                                                                            (0.307)   
                                            grpmilhry                                        0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1b.easierspeakRuss                                        
                                                                                                      
                                            1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp              
                                                                                                      
                                            1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp                  
                                                                                                      
                        bettercloserrus2    o.rusnat2                                        0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                        var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                            0.167    
                                                                                            (0.433)   
                        N                                                                     265     
                       --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Table A2
. meglm  joincunion2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian  easierspeakR##c.totaltradeRussiapct  easierspeakR##c.totaltradeEUpct unskilled relat
> ions  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -375.65184  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -373.78626  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -373.78392  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -373.78392  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -368.40235

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -368.40235  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -366.66877  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -365.09494  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -364.32161  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -364.30341  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -364.30338  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        797
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          5
                                                              avg =       30.7
                                                              max =        117

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(9)      =     107.58
Log pseudolikelihood = -364.30338               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                            (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                         |               Robust
                             joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                 rusnat2 |    1.00478   .2539561     3.96   0.000     .5070356    1.502525
                               Ukrainian |  -.0400291   .0103136    -3.88   0.000    -.0602434   -.0198147
                       1.easierspeakRuss |   1.205607    .592266     2.04   0.042     .0447872    2.366427
                  totaltradeRussiapctgrp |    2.31003   1.976415     1.17   0.242    -1.563672    6.183733
                                         |
easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                      1  |   .6790273   2.231925     0.30   0.761    -3.695466     5.05352
                                         |
                      totaltradeEUpctgrp |  -2.067346   1.146741    -1.80   0.071    -4.314918    .1802258
                                         |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp |
                                      1  |  -6.858808   2.369859    -2.89   0.004    -11.50365   -2.213971
                                         |
                               unskilled |   .4431333   .2812991     1.58   0.115    -.1082028    .9944694
                               relations |   .0724375   .2642547     0.27   0.784    -.4454921    .5903672
                                   _cons |   1.877326   1.155316     1.62   0.104    -.3870524    4.141704
-----------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                   |
                               var(_cons)|    .481714   .2513948                      .1732079     1.33971
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2pctseparate.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3)  replace

                       --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        joincunion2         rusnat2                                          1.005    
                                                                                           (0.254)*** 
                                            Ukrainian                                        -0.040   
                                                                                           (0.010)*** 
                                            0b.easierspeakRuss                               0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1.easierspeakRuss                                1.206    
                                                                                           (0.592)**  
                                            totaltradeRussiapctgrp                           2.310    
                                                                                            (1.976)   
                                            0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp       0.679    
                                                                                            (2.232)   
                                            totaltradeEUpctgrp                               -2.067   
                                                                                            (1.147)*  
                                            0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp           -6.859   
                                                                                           (2.370)*** 
                                            unskilled                                        0.443    
                                                                                            (0.281)   
                                            relations                                        0.072    
                                                                                            (0.264)   
                                            _cons                                            1.877    
                                                                                            (1.155)   
                        var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                            0.482    
                                                                                            (0.251)*  
                        N                                                                     797     
                       --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
.  meglm  joincunion2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian easierspeakR##c.totaltradeRussiapct  easierspeakR##c.totaltradeEUpct unskilled  rela
> tions female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife demover   [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , fa
> mily(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -245.41958  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -237.96914  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -237.92916  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -237.92915  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -240.07797

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -240.07797  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.46655  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.30041  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -235.94586  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -235.58953  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -235.57622  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -235.57622  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        632
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.3
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =    1145.98
Log pseudolikelihood = -235.57622               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                            (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                         |               Robust
                             joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                 rusnat2 |   1.077381   .3261243     3.30   0.001     .4381894    1.716573
                               Ukrainian |  -.0307577   .0078267    -3.93   0.000    -.0460978   -.0154175
                       1.easierspeakRuss |   1.771458   .7264556     2.44   0.015     .3476313    3.195285
                  totaltradeRussiapctgrp |   2.303829   1.797194     1.28   0.200    -1.218607    5.826265
                                         |
easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                      1  |   2.952848   2.121121     1.39   0.164    -1.204474    7.110169
                                         |
                      totaltradeEUpctgrp |  -2.861207    1.49105    -1.92   0.055    -5.783612    .0611969
                                         |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp |
                                      1  |  -7.467444   2.525734    -2.96   0.003    -12.41779   -2.517095
                                         |
                               unskilled |  -.1976852   .3486687    -0.57   0.571    -.8810634    .4856929
                               relations |   .2215834   .2181145     1.02   0.310    -.2059132    .6490799
                                  female |   .6559059   .2796814     2.35   0.019     .1077405    1.204071
                                     age |   .0209272   .0114118     1.83   0.067    -.0014394    .0432939
                                univplus |  -.5705092   .2930103    -1.95   0.052    -1.144799    .0037806
                                employed |   .8621131   .4198964     2.05   0.040     .0391313    1.685095
                               pensioner |   .9250582   .6490325     1.43   0.154    -.3470221    2.197138
                                   rural |   .7451722   .4197085     1.78   0.076    -.0774413    1.567786
                                quallife |  -.1094051    .110746    -0.99   0.323    -.3264633    .1076531
                            demoverorder |  -.3711613   .1107973    -3.35   0.001      -.58832   -.1540025
                                   _cons |  -.4792985   1.254852    -0.38   0.702    -2.938763    1.980166
-----------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                   |
                               var(_cons)|   .2444987   .1834156                      .0561993    1.063708
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2pctseparate.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

                 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  joincunion2         rusnat2                                          1.005       1.077    
                                                                                     (0.254)***  (0.326)*** 
                                      Ukrainian                                        -0.040      -0.031   
                                                                                     (0.010)***  (0.008)*** 
                                      0b.easierspeakRuss                               0.000       0.000    
                                                                                      (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                      1.easierspeakRuss                                1.206       1.771    
                                                                                     (0.592)**   (0.726)**  
                                      totaltradeRussiapctgrp                           2.310       2.304    
                                                                                      (1.976)     (1.797)   
                                      0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                      (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                      1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp       0.679       2.953    
                                                                                      (2.232)     (2.121)   
                                      totaltradeEUpctgrp                               -2.067      -2.861   
                                                                                      (1.147)*    (1.491)*  
                                      0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp         0.000       0.000    
                                                                                      (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                      1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp           -6.859      -7.467   
                                                                                     (2.370)***  (2.526)*** 
                                      unskilled                                        0.443       -0.198   
                                                                                      (0.281)     (0.349)   
                                      relations                                        0.072       0.222    
                                                                                      (0.264)     (0.218)   
                                      _cons                                            1.877       -0.479   
                                                                                      (1.155)     (1.255)   
                                      female                                                       0.656    
                                                                                                 (0.280)**  
                                      age                                                          0.021    
                                                                                                  (0.011)*  
                                      univplus                                                     -0.571   
                                                                                                  (0.293)*  
                                      employed                                                     0.862    
                                                                                                 (0.420)**  
                                      pensioner                                                    0.925    
                                                                                                  (0.649)   
                                      rural                                                        0.745    
                                                                                                  (0.420)*  
                                      quallife                                                     -0.109   
                                                                                                  (0.111)   
                                      demoverorder                                                 -0.371   
                                                                                                 (0.111)*** 
                  var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                            0.482       0.244    
                                                                                      (0.251)*    (0.183)   
                  N                                                                     797         632     
                 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  joincunion2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian easierspeakR##c.totaltradeRussiapct  easierspeakR##c.totaltradeEUpct  unskilled  rel
> ations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife demover   ILO   grpmilhry   [pweight= weight_Ukrain
> e] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -244.73956  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -236.59529  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -236.55066  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -236.55064  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -239.09121

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -239.09121  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -236.49481  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -235.6078  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -234.91553  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -234.91065  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -234.91064  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        632
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.3
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(19)     =    2484.17
Log pseudolikelihood = -234.91064               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                            (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                         |               Robust
                             joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                 rusnat2 |   1.065392    .310955     3.43   0.001     .4559311    1.674852
                               Ukrainian |  -.0260784   .0083804    -3.11   0.002    -.0425036   -.0096531
                       1.easierspeakRuss |   1.997842   .7925734     2.52   0.012     .4444264    3.551257
                  totaltradeRussiapctgrp |   2.196582    1.63945     1.34   0.180     -1.01668    5.409844
                                         |
easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                      1  |   3.803412   2.198971     1.73   0.084    -.5064928    8.113316
                                         |
                      totaltradeEUpctgrp |  -3.538575   2.026128    -1.75   0.081    -7.509713    .4325626
                                         |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp |
                                      1  |  -9.427494   3.188334    -2.96   0.003    -15.67651   -3.178475
                                         |
                               unskilled |    -.20728   .3439891    -0.60   0.547    -.8814861    .4669262
                               relations |   .2051685   .2098154     0.98   0.328    -.2060623    .6163992
                                  female |   .6529157   .2753465     2.37   0.018     .1132465    1.192585
                                     age |   .0214647   .0115239     1.86   0.063    -.0011218    .0440512
                                univplus |   -.562669   .2949083    -1.91   0.056    -1.140679    .0153406
                                employed |   .8276283   .4312388     1.92   0.055    -.0175842    1.672841
                               pensioner |   .9149657   .6583401     1.39   0.165    -.3753571    2.205288
                                   rural |   .8513644   .4427851     1.92   0.055    -.0164785    1.719207
                                quallife |  -.0891771   .1075357    -0.83   0.407    -.2999432    .1215889
                            demoverorder |  -.3582983   .1130945    -3.17   0.002    -.5799593   -.1366372
                            ILOunemp2013 |  -.0702754   .1703475    -0.41   0.680    -.4041504    .2635997
                               grpmilhry |   2.96e-06   2.92e-06     1.01   0.312    -2.77e-06    8.69e-06
                                   _cons |  -.4624605   1.859644    -0.25   0.804    -4.107297    3.182376
-----------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                   |
                               var(_cons)|   .2112574   .1665769                      .0450441    .9908001
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2pctseparate.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

           --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            joincunion2         rusnat2                                          1.005       1.077       1.065    
                                                                               (0.254)***  (0.326)***  (0.311)*** 
                                Ukrainian                                        -0.040      -0.031      -0.026   
                                                                               (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.008)*** 
                                0b.easierspeakRuss                               0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                1.easierspeakRuss                                1.206       1.771       1.998    
                                                                               (0.592)**   (0.726)**   (0.793)**  
                                totaltradeRussiapctgrp                           2.310       2.304       2.197    
                                                                                (1.976)     (1.797)     (1.639)   
                                0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp       0.679       2.953       3.803    
                                                                                (2.232)     (2.121)     (2.199)*  
                                totaltradeEUpctgrp                               -2.067      -2.861      -3.539   
                                                                                (1.147)*    (1.491)*    (2.026)*  
                                0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp         0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp           -6.859      -7.467      -9.427   
                                                                               (2.370)***  (2.526)***  (3.188)*** 
                                unskilled                                        0.443       -0.198      -0.207   
                                                                                (0.281)     (0.349)     (0.344)   
                                relations                                        0.072       0.222       0.205    
                                                                                (0.264)     (0.218)     (0.210)   
                                _cons                                            1.877       -0.479      -0.462   
                                                                                (1.155)     (1.255)     (1.860)   
                                female                                                       0.656       0.653    
                                                                                           (0.280)**   (0.275)**  
                                age                                                          0.021       0.021    
                                                                                            (0.011)*    (0.012)*  
                                univplus                                                     -0.571      -0.563   
                                                                                            (0.293)*    (0.295)*  
                                employed                                                     0.862       0.828    
                                                                                           (0.420)**    (0.431)*  
                                pensioner                                                    0.925       0.915    
                                                                                            (0.649)     (0.658)   
                                rural                                                        0.745       0.851    
                                                                                            (0.420)*    (0.443)*  
                                quallife                                                     -0.109      -0.089   
                                                                                            (0.111)     (0.108)   
                                demoverorder                                                 -0.371      -0.358   
                                                                                           (0.111)***  (0.113)*** 
                                ILOunemp2013                                                             -0.070   
                                                                                                        (0.170)   
                                grpmilhry                                                                0.000    
                                                                                                        (0.000)   
            var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                            0.482       0.244       0.211    
                                                                                (0.251)*    (0.183)     (0.167)   
            N                                                                     797         632         632     
           --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
.  meglm  joincunion2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian easierspeakR##c.totaltradeRussiapct  easierspeakR##c.totaltradeEUpct  unskilled  rel
> ations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife demover   ILO   grpmilhry if easierspeakR==1  [pwei
> ght= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -144.9986  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -142.22608  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -142.19984  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -142.19982  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -142.19982  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -146.08938

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -146.08938  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.29867  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.17728  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.16067  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.16067  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        367
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         17

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       21.6
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(16)     =   30488.07
Log pseudolikelihood = -142.16067               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                          (Std. Err. adjusted for 17 clusters in Oblast)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                       |               Robust
           joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
               rusnat2 |   1.257047   .2711516     4.64   0.000        .7256    1.788495
             Ukrainian |  -.0164385   .0077622    -2.12   0.034    -.0316522   -.0012249
totaltradeRussiapctgrp |   5.050732   1.822346     2.77   0.006     1.478999    8.622465
                       |
    totaltradeEUpctgrp |  -10.08992   5.877677    -1.72   0.086    -21.60996    1.430113
                       |
             unskilled |   .0101726   .6192362     0.02   0.987    -1.203508    1.223853
             relations |   .2301538   .2808156     0.82   0.412    -.3202347    .7805423
                female |   .8480956   .3400985     2.49   0.013     .1815148    1.514676
                   age |   .0204448    .015232     1.34   0.180    -.0094093     .050299
              univplus |  -.4428688   .2681833    -1.65   0.099    -.9684984    .0827607
              employed |   1.093155   .3988788     2.74   0.006     .3113667    1.874943
             pensioner |   1.051297   .6883922     1.53   0.127    -.2979265    2.400521
                 rural |  -.0256604   .7029491    -0.04   0.971    -1.403415    1.352095
              quallife |  -.2431089    .148716    -1.63   0.102     -.534587    .0483691
          demoverorder |  -.2810033   .1436786    -1.96   0.050    -.5626083    .0006016
          ILOunemp2013 |  -.1447619   .1408063    -1.03   0.304    -.4207372    .1312134
             grpmilhry |  -4.10e-07   5.00e-06    -0.08   0.935    -.0000102    9.39e-06
                 _cons |    1.53762   1.648499     0.93   0.351    -1.693378    4.768618
-----------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                 |
             var(_cons)|   .0339921   .1351565                       .000014    82.38642
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2pctseparate.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

     --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      joincunion2         rusnat2                                          1.005       1.077       1.065       1.257    
                                                                         (0.254)***  (0.326)***  (0.311)***  (0.271)*** 
                          Ukrainian                                        -0.040      -0.031      -0.026      -0.016   
                                                                         (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.008)***  (0.008)**  
                          0b.easierspeakRuss                               0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                          (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                          1.easierspeakRuss                                1.206       1.771       1.998                
                                                                         (0.592)**   (0.726)**   (0.793)**              
                          totaltradeRussiapctgrp                           2.310       2.304       2.197       5.051    
                                                                          (1.976)     (1.797)     (1.639)    (1.822)*** 
                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                          (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp       0.679       2.953       3.803                
                                                                          (2.232)     (2.121)     (2.199)*              
                          totaltradeEUpctgrp                               -2.067      -2.861      -3.539     -10.090   
                                                                          (1.147)*    (1.491)*    (2.026)*    (5.878)*  
                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp         0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                          (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp           -6.859      -7.467      -9.427               
                                                                         (2.370)***  (2.526)***  (3.188)***             
                          unskilled                                        0.443       -0.198      -0.207      0.010    
                                                                          (0.281)     (0.349)     (0.344)     (0.619)   
                          relations                                        0.072       0.222       0.205       0.230    
                                                                          (0.264)     (0.218)     (0.210)     (0.281)   
                          _cons                                            1.877       -0.479      -0.462      1.538    
                                                                          (1.155)     (1.255)     (1.860)     (1.648)   
                          female                                                       0.656       0.653       0.848    
                                                                                     (0.280)**   (0.275)**   (0.340)**  
                          age                                                          0.021       0.021       0.020    
                                                                                      (0.011)*    (0.012)*    (0.015)   
                          univplus                                                     -0.571      -0.563      -0.443   
                                                                                      (0.293)*    (0.295)*    (0.268)*  
                          employed                                                     0.862       0.828       1.093    
                                                                                     (0.420)**    (0.431)*   (0.399)*** 
                          pensioner                                                    0.925       0.915       1.051    
                                                                                      (0.649)     (0.658)     (0.688)   
                          rural                                                        0.745       0.851       -0.026   
                                                                                      (0.420)*    (0.443)*    (0.703)   
                          quallife                                                     -0.109      -0.089      -0.243   
                                                                                      (0.111)     (0.108)     (0.149)   
                          demoverorder                                                 -0.371      -0.358      -0.281   
                                                                                     (0.111)***  (0.113)***   (0.144)*  
                          ILOunemp2013                                                             -0.070      -0.145   
                                                                                                  (0.170)     (0.141)   
                          grpmilhry                                                                0.000       -0.000   
                                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)   
                          1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                   0.000    
                                                                                                              (0.000)   
                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                              (0.000)   
                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp                                             0.000    
                                                                                                              (0.000)   
      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                            0.482       0.244       0.211       0.034    
                                                                          (0.251)*    (0.183)     (0.167)     (0.135)   
      N                                                                     797         632         632         367     
     --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  joincunion2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian easierspeakR##c.totaltradeRussiapct  easierspeakR##c.totaltradeEUpct  unskilled  rel
> ations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife demover   ILO   grpmilhry if easierspeakR==0  [pwei
> ght= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)
note: rusnat2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      rusnat2 dropped and 3 obs not used


Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -91.022322  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -84.223852  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -84.102865  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -84.102605  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -84.102605  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -83.440905

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -83.440905  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -83.308542  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -82.902599  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -82.891318  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -82.89128  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood =  -82.89128  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        262
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         22

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       11.9
                                                              max =         38

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =      52.86
Log pseudolikelihood =  -82.89128               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                          (Std. Err. adjusted for 22 clusters in Oblast)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                       |               Robust
           joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
               rusnat2 |          0  (omitted)
             Ukrainian |  -.0824512   .0303829    -2.71   0.007    -.1420006   -.0229017
totaltradeRussiapctgrp |    2.23749   1.747277     1.28   0.200     -1.18711    5.662089
                       |
    totaltradeEUpctgrp |  -3.486024   1.551657    -2.25   0.025    -6.527215   -.4448327
                       |
             unskilled |  -.2989997   .5695757    -0.52   0.600    -1.415348    .8173483
             relations |   .2881218   .2683466     1.07   0.283    -.2378278    .8140715
                female |   .0103196   .4591462     0.02   0.982    -.8895904    .9102296
                   age |   .0349887   .0230062     1.52   0.128    -.0101027    .0800801
              univplus |   -.480425   .6216826    -0.77   0.440    -1.698901    .7380506
              employed |   .1322679   .9067231     0.15   0.884    -1.644877    1.909412
             pensioner |   .3334368   1.257104     0.27   0.791    -2.130442    2.797316
                 rural |   1.524678   .4345573     3.51   0.000     .6729616    2.376395
              quallife |   .0781971   .1370497     0.57   0.568    -.1904154    .3468096
          demoverorder |  -.7051808   .2582037    -2.73   0.006    -1.211251   -.1991109
          ILOunemp2013 |   .2526199   .3989001     0.63   0.527      -.52921     1.03445
             grpmilhry |   5.31e-06   4.67e-06     1.14   0.255    -3.83e-06    .0000145
                 _cons |   1.629501   2.860155     0.57   0.569    -3.976301    7.235302
-----------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                 |
             var(_cons)|   .7781343   .8238343                      .0976926     6.19794
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2pctseparate.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

     --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      joincunion2         rusnat2                                          1.005       1.077       1.065       1.257    
                                                                         (0.254)***  (0.326)***  (0.311)***  (0.271)*** 
                          Ukrainian                                        -0.040      -0.031      -0.026      -0.016   
                                                                         (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.008)***  (0.008)**  
                          0b.easierspeakRuss                               0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                          (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                          1.easierspeakRuss                                1.206       1.771       1.998                
                                                                         (0.592)**   (0.726)**   (0.793)**              
                          totaltradeRussiapctgrp                           2.310       2.304       2.197       5.051    
                                                                          (1.976)     (1.797)     (1.639)    (1.822)*** 
                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                          (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp       0.679       2.953       3.803                
                                                                          (2.232)     (2.121)     (2.199)*              
                          totaltradeEUpctgrp                               -2.067      -2.861      -3.539     -10.090   
                                                                          (1.147)*    (1.491)*    (2.026)*    (5.878)*  
                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp         0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                          (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp           -6.859      -7.467      -9.427               
                                                                         (2.370)***  (2.526)***  (3.188)***             
                          unskilled                                        0.443       -0.198      -0.207      0.010    
                                                                          (0.281)     (0.349)     (0.344)     (0.619)   
                          relations                                        0.072       0.222       0.205       0.230    
                                                                          (0.264)     (0.218)     (0.210)     (0.281)   
                          _cons                                            1.877       -0.479      -0.462      1.538    
                                                                          (1.155)     (1.255)     (1.860)     (1.648)   
                          female                                                       0.656       0.653       0.848    
                                                                                     (0.280)**   (0.275)**   (0.340)**  
                          age                                                          0.021       0.021       0.020    
                                                                                      (0.011)*    (0.012)*    (0.015)   
                          univplus                                                     -0.571      -0.563      -0.443   
                                                                                      (0.293)*    (0.295)*    (0.268)*  
                          employed                                                     0.862       0.828       1.093    
                                                                                     (0.420)**    (0.431)*   (0.399)*** 
                          pensioner                                                    0.925       0.915       1.051    
                                                                                      (0.649)     (0.658)     (0.688)   
                          rural                                                        0.745       0.851       -0.026   
                                                                                      (0.420)*    (0.443)*    (0.703)   
                          quallife                                                     -0.109      -0.089      -0.243   
                                                                                      (0.111)     (0.108)     (0.149)   
                          demoverorder                                                 -0.371      -0.358      -0.281   
                                                                                     (0.111)***  (0.113)***   (0.144)*  
                          ILOunemp2013                                                             -0.070      -0.145   
                                                                                                  (0.170)     (0.141)   
                          grpmilhry                                                                0.000       -0.000   
                                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)   
                          1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                   0.000    
                                                                                                              (0.000)   
                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                              (0.000)   
                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp                                             0.000    
                                                                                                              (0.000)   
      joincunion2         o.rusnat2                                                                                     
                                                                                                                        
      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                            0.482       0.244       0.211       0.034    
                                                                          (0.251)*    (0.183)     (0.167)     (0.135)   
      N                                                                     797         632         632         367     
     --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                       --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        joincunion2         rusnat2                                                   
                                                                                                      
                                            Ukrainian                                        -0.082   
                                                                                           (0.030)*** 
                                            0b.easierspeakRuss                               0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1.easierspeakRuss                                         
                                                                                                      
                                            totaltradeRussiapctgrp                           2.237    
                                                                                            (1.747)   
                                            0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                
                                                                                                      
                                            totaltradeEUpctgrp                               -3.486   
                                                                                           (1.552)**  
                                            0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeEUpctgrp                    
                                                                                                      
                                            unskilled                                        -0.299   
                                                                                            (0.570)   
                                            relations                                        0.288    
                                                                                            (0.268)   
                                            _cons                                            1.630    
                                                                                            (2.860)   
                                            female                                           0.010    
                                                                                            (0.459)   
                                            age                                              0.035    
                                                                                            (0.023)   
                                            univplus                                         -0.480   
                                                                                            (0.622)   
                                            employed                                         0.132    
                                                                                            (0.907)   
                                            pensioner                                        0.333    
                                                                                            (1.257)   
                                            rural                                            1.525    
                                                                                           (0.435)*** 
                                            quallife                                         0.078    
                                                                                            (0.137)   
                                            demoverorder                                     -0.705   
                                                                                           (0.258)*** 
                                            ILOunemp2013                                     0.253    
                                                                                            (0.399)   
                                            grpmilhry                                        0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                            1b.easierspeakRuss                                        
                                                                                                      
                                            1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp              
                                                                                                      
                                            1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeEUpctgrp                  
                                                                                                      
                        joincunion2         o.rusnat2                                        0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                        var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                            0.778    
                                                                                            (0.824)   
                        N                                                                     262     
                       --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Table A3
. 
. gen oilorgas=1 if Oblast=="Cherkassy"
(1,481 missing values generated)

. replace oilorgas=1 if Oblast=="Rivnenska"
(29 real changes made)

. replace oilorgas=1 if Oblast=="Sumska"
(35 real changes made)

. replace oilorgas=0 if oilorgas==.
(1,417 real changes made)

. 
. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations  if oilorgas
> ==0 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -358.70275  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -356.64765  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -356.64405  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -356.64405  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -348.71567

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -348.71567  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -347.24558  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -346.27538  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -346.26836  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -346.26834  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        757
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         23

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         10
                                                              avg =       32.9
                                                              max =        122

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(7)      =      91.22
Log pseudolikelihood = -346.26834               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 23 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |  -.0789371   .3357146    -0.24   0.814    -.7369256    .5790513
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.406674   1.528538     2.23   0.026     .4107935    6.402554
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   .7351561   1.453944     0.51   0.613    -2.114523    3.584835
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .6200057   .3134207     1.98   0.048     .0057124    1.234299
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0378676   .0100254    -3.78   0.000     -.057517   -.0182182
                                   unskilled |   .2841541   .2857399     0.99   0.320    -.2758859     .844194
                                   relations |  -.1490784   .2135654    -0.70   0.485    -.5676589     .269502
                                       _cons |   2.852299   .9990194     2.86   0.004      .894257    4.810341
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .5734481   .3087115                      .1996439    1.647146
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffintergas3.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) replace

                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    -0.079   
                                                                                              (0.336)   
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.407    
                                                                                             (1.529)**  
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.735    
                                                                                              (1.454)   
                                          rusnat2                                              0.620    
                                                                                             (0.313)**  
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.038   
                                                                                             (0.010)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            0.284    
                                                                                              (0.286)   
                                          relations                                            -0.149   
                                                                                              (0.214)   
                                          _cons                                                2.852    
                                                                                             (0.999)*** 
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.573    
                                                                                              (0.309)*  
                      N                                                                         757     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age u
> nivplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  if oilorgas==0 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , fam
> ily(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -238.74463  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -230.92346  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -230.88101  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -230.88099  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -232.79982

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -232.79982  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -230.25173  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -229.57776  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -229.22332  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -229.22203  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -229.22203  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        602
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         23

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          7
                                                              avg =       26.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =     376.14
Log pseudolikelihood = -229.22203               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 23 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .1347028   .4388078     0.31   0.759    -.7253446    .9947501
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   5.371063   2.099074     2.56   0.011     1.256953    9.485173
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |  -.1951307   2.380954    -0.08   0.935    -4.861715    4.471454
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .4846622   .3829026     1.27   0.206    -.2658132    1.235138
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0331253   .0076205    -4.35   0.000    -.0480612   -.0181895
                                   unskilled |  -.4035132   .3393129    -1.19   0.234    -1.068554    .2615279
                                   relations |  -.0023165   .2109074    -0.01   0.991    -.4156874    .4110544
                                      female |   .8374343   .2865901     2.92   0.003     .2757281    1.399141
                                         age |   .0298785   .0095183     3.14   0.002     .0112229    .0485341
                                    univplus |  -.8222429   .2824557    -2.91   0.004    -1.375846   -.2686399
                                    employed |   .8992408    .478762     1.88   0.060    -.0391154    1.837597
                                   pensioner |   .4700204   .6206007     0.76   0.449    -.7463346    1.686375
                                       rural |   .3091325   .5137526     0.60   0.547    -.6978041    1.316069
                                    quallife |   .0800779    .143721     0.56   0.577      -.20161    .3617658
                                demoverorder |  -.4851683   .1004506    -4.83   0.000    -.6820478   -.2882888
                                       _cons |   .7689745   1.083251     0.71   0.478    -1.354158    2.892107
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2129614   .2117139                      .0303449     1.49457
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffintergas3.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss                                    -0.079      0.135    
                                                                                        (0.336)     (0.439)   
                                    tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.407       5.371    
                                                                                       (1.529)**   (2.099)**  
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.735       -0.195   
                                                                                        (1.454)     (2.381)   
                                    rusnat2                                              0.620       0.485    
                                                                                       (0.313)**    (0.383)   
                                    Ukrainian                                            -0.038      -0.033   
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.008)*** 
                                    unskilled                                            0.284       -0.404   
                                                                                        (0.286)     (0.339)   
                                    relations                                            -0.149      -0.002   
                                                                                        (0.214)     (0.211)   
                                    _cons                                                2.852       0.769    
                                                                                       (0.999)***   (1.083)   
                                    female                                                           0.837    
                                                                                                   (0.287)*** 
                                    age                                                              0.030    
                                                                                                   (0.010)*** 
                                    univplus                                                         -0.822   
                                                                                                   (0.282)*** 
                                    employed                                                         0.899    
                                                                                                    (0.479)*  
                                    pensioner                                                        0.470    
                                                                                                    (0.621)   
                                    rural                                                            0.309    
                                                                                                    (0.514)   
                                    quallife                                                         0.080    
                                                                                                    (0.144)   
                                    demoverorder                                                     -0.485   
                                                                                                   (0.100)*** 
                var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.573       0.213    
                                                                                        (0.309)*    (0.212)   
                N                                                                         757         602     
               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age u
> nivplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry  if oilorgas==0 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] 
> || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -238.58581  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -230.82005  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -230.77326  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -230.77324  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -230.77324  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -232.97608

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -232.97608  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -230.37653  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -230.04518  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -229.32494  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -229.18832  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -229.18422  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -229.18422  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        602
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         23

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          7
                                                              avg =       26.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     487.96
Log pseudolikelihood = -229.18422               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 23 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .1373781   .4410735     0.31   0.755    -.7271101    1.001866
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   5.309647   2.197603     2.42   0.016     1.002425    9.616869
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |  -.3517454   2.515903    -0.14   0.889    -5.282825    4.579334
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .4810751   .3836605     1.25   0.210    -.2708856    1.233036
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0339565   .0098429    -3.45   0.001    -.0532481   -.0146649
                                   unskilled |  -.4039147    .339519    -1.19   0.234     -1.06936    .2615302
                                   relations |  -.0013259   .2104193    -0.01   0.995    -.4137401    .4110883
                                      female |   .8377529   .2856386     2.93   0.003     .2779116    1.397594
                                         age |   .0297437   .0095271     3.12   0.002      .011071    .0484165
                                    univplus |  -.8212354   .2974754    -2.76   0.006    -1.404276   -.2381944
                                    employed |   .9079341   .4851415     1.87   0.061    -.0429257    1.858794
                                   pensioner |   .4745422   .6240521     0.76   0.447    -.7485774    1.697662
                                       rural |    .292741   .5200303     0.56   0.573    -.7264997    1.311982
                                    quallife |    .074203   .1447408     0.51   0.608    -.2094837    .3578897
                                demoverorder |  -.4885845   .1001119    -4.88   0.000    -.6848002   -.2923688
                                ILOunemp2013 |   .0107287    .193626     0.06   0.956    -.3687713    .3902288
                                   grpmilhry |  -5.86e-07   2.69e-06    -0.22   0.828    -5.86e-06    4.69e-06
                                       _cons |   .8200142   1.712346     0.48   0.632    -2.536123    4.176151
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2108928   .2246603                      .0261392    1.701497
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffintergas3.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss                                    -0.079      0.135       0.137    
                                                                                  (0.336)     (0.439)     (0.441)   
                              tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.407       5.371       5.310    
                                                                                 (1.529)**   (2.099)**   (2.198)**  
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.735       -0.195      -0.352   
                                                                                  (1.454)     (2.381)     (2.516)   
                              rusnat2                                              0.620       0.485       0.481    
                                                                                 (0.313)**    (0.383)     (0.384)   
                              Ukrainian                                            -0.038      -0.033      -0.034   
                                                                                 (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.010)*** 
                              unskilled                                            0.284       -0.404      -0.404   
                                                                                  (0.286)     (0.339)     (0.340)   
                              relations                                            -0.149      -0.002      -0.001   
                                                                                  (0.214)     (0.211)     (0.210)   
                              _cons                                                2.852       0.769       0.820    
                                                                                 (0.999)***   (1.083)     (1.712)   
                              female                                                           0.837       0.838    
                                                                                             (0.287)***  (0.286)*** 
                              age                                                              0.030       0.030    
                                                                                             (0.010)***  (0.010)*** 
                              univplus                                                         -0.822      -0.821   
                                                                                             (0.282)***  (0.297)*** 
                              employed                                                         0.899       0.908    
                                                                                              (0.479)*    (0.485)*  
                              pensioner                                                        0.470       0.475    
                                                                                              (0.621)     (0.624)   
                              rural                                                            0.309       0.293    
                                                                                              (0.514)     (0.520)   
                              quallife                                                         0.080       0.074    
                                                                                              (0.144)     (0.145)   
                              demoverorder                                                     -0.485      -0.489   
                                                                                             (0.100)***  (0.100)*** 
                              ILOunemp2013                                                                 0.011    
                                                                                                          (0.194)   
                              grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000   
                                                                                                          (0.000)   
          var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.573       0.213       0.211    
                                                                                  (0.309)*    (0.212)     (0.225)   
          N                                                                         757         602         602     
         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age 
> univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry  if oilorgas==0 & easierspeakR==1 [pweigh
> t= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -135.42177  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -132.29721  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -132.27861  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -132.2786  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -136.67225

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.67225  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -132.71842  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -132.41481  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -132.35855  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -132.32992  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood =  -132.3119  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -132.30869  
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -132.30719  (backed up)
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -132.30683  (backed up)
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -132.30665  (backed up)
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30661  (backed up)
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30659  (backed up)
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30658  (backed up)
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 22:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 23:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 24:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 26:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 27:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (not concave)
Iteration 28:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 29:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (not concave)
Iteration 30:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 31:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (not concave)
Iteration 32:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (not concave)
Iteration 33:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (not concave)
Iteration 34:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (not concave)
Iteration 35:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 36:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (not concave)
Iteration 38:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 39:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30657  (backed up)
Iteration 40:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30656  (backed up)
Iteration 41:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30656  (not concave)
Iteration 42:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30656  
Iteration 43:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30651  (backed up)
Iteration 44:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30645  (backed up)
Iteration 45:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30635  (not concave)
Iteration 46:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30634  (not concave)
Iteration 47:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30634  (not concave)
Iteration 48:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30632  (not concave)
Iteration 49:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30632  (not concave)
Iteration 50:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30623  (not concave)
Iteration 51:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30616  (not concave)
Iteration 52:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30606  (not concave)
Iteration 53:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30571  (not concave)
Iteration 54:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.30517  (not concave)
Iteration 55:  log pseudolikelihood =  -132.3043  
Iteration 56:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.29315  (not concave)
Iteration 57:  log pseudolikelihood =  -132.2926  (not concave)
Iteration 58:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.28371  
Iteration 59:  log pseudolikelihood = -132.28148  
Iteration 60:  log pseudolikelihood =  -132.2786  
Iteration 61:  log pseudolikelihood =  -132.2786  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        356
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         15

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       23.7
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(14)     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood =  -132.2786               Prob > chi2       =          .
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 15 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
          bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.967388   .8361484     4.74   0.000     2.328567    5.606209
                           |
                   rusnat2 |   .7060301   .3346161     2.11   0.035     .0501946    1.361866
                 Ukrainian |  -.0222674   .0068038    -3.27   0.001    -.0356025   -.0089322
                 unskilled |  -.0584927     .56708    -0.10   0.918    -1.169949    1.052964
                 relations |   .0301377   .2421918     0.12   0.901    -.4445495    .5048249
                    female |   .8107142    .369327     2.20   0.028     .0868466    1.534582
                       age |   .0262343   .0146684     1.79   0.074    -.0025152    .0549837
                  univplus |  -.7444836   .2873109    -2.59   0.010    -1.307603   -.1813647
                  employed |   1.701445   .5951941     2.86   0.004     .5348862    2.868004
                 pensioner |   1.168371   .8121692     1.44   0.150    -.4234513    2.760193
                     rural |  -.4193954   .7947835    -0.53   0.598    -1.977143    1.138352
                  quallife |   -.159771   .1776421    -0.90   0.368    -.5079432    .1884011
              demoverorder |  -.2876528   .1577788    -1.82   0.068    -.5968935    .0215879
              ILOunemp2013 |  -.2233884   .0995268    -2.24   0.025    -.4184574   -.0283195
                 grpmilhry |  -4.97e-06   2.02e-06    -2.46   0.014    -8.92e-06   -1.01e-06
                     _cons |   2.038344   1.074045     1.90   0.058    -.0667452    4.143434
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   1.86e-36   2.63e-35                      1.60e-48    2.16e-24
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffintergas3.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    -0.079      0.135       0.137                
                                                                            (0.336)     (0.439)     (0.441)               
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.407       5.371       5.310       3.967    
                                                                           (1.529)**   (2.099)**   (2.198)**   (0.836)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.735       -0.195      -0.352               
                                                                            (1.454)     (2.381)     (2.516)               
                        rusnat2                                              0.620       0.485       0.481       0.706    
                                                                           (0.313)**    (0.383)     (0.384)    (0.335)**  
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.038      -0.033      -0.034      -0.022   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.010)***  (0.007)*** 
                        unskilled                                            0.284       -0.404      -0.404      -0.058   
                                                                            (0.286)     (0.339)     (0.340)     (0.567)   
                        relations                                            -0.149      -0.002      -0.001      0.030    
                                                                            (0.214)     (0.211)     (0.210)     (0.242)   
                        _cons                                                2.852       0.769       0.820       2.038    
                                                                           (0.999)***   (1.083)     (1.712)     (1.074)*  
                        female                                                           0.837       0.838       0.811    
                                                                                       (0.287)***  (0.286)***  (0.369)**  
                        age                                                              0.030       0.030       0.026    
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.010)***   (0.015)*  
                        univplus                                                         -0.822      -0.821      -0.744   
                                                                                       (0.282)***  (0.297)***  (0.287)*** 
                        employed                                                         0.899       0.908       1.701    
                                                                                        (0.479)*    (0.485)*   (0.595)*** 
                        pensioner                                                        0.470       0.475       1.168    
                                                                                        (0.621)     (0.624)     (0.812)   
                        rural                                                            0.309       0.293       -0.419   
                                                                                        (0.514)     (0.520)     (0.795)   
                        quallife                                                         0.080       0.074       -0.160   
                                                                                        (0.144)     (0.145)     (0.178)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.485      -0.489      -0.288   
                                                                                       (0.100)***  (0.100)***   (0.158)*  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 0.011       -0.223   
                                                                                                    (0.194)    (0.100)**  
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)    (0.000)**  
    bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.573       0.213       0.211       0.000    
                                                                            (0.309)*    (0.212)     (0.225)     (0.000)   
    N                                                                         757         602         602         356     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age 
> univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry  if oilorgas==0 & easierspeakR==0 [pweigh
> t= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)
note: rusnat2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      rusnat2 dropped and 2 obs not used


Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -91.399502  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -84.823646  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -84.691894  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -84.691776  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -84.691776  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -85.771118

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -85.771118  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -84.951211  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -84.670191  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -84.617361  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -84.610273  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -84.610269  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        244
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         20

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       12.2
                                                              max =         38

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(14)     =     228.34
Log pseudolikelihood = -84.610269               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 20 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
          bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   6.120771   2.264839     2.70   0.007     1.681769    10.55977
                           |
                   rusnat2 |          0  (omitted)
                 Ukrainian |  -.0578885   .0326461    -1.77   0.076    -.1218737    .0060966
                 unskilled |  -.7607492   .5003728    -1.52   0.128    -1.741462    .2199635
                 relations |  -.0556674    .265111    -0.21   0.834    -.5752754    .4639406
                    female |    .534886   .4924591     1.09   0.277    -.4303162    1.500088
                       age |   .0300782    .020598     1.46   0.144    -.0102931    .0704495
                  univplus |  -.6964475   .3839687    -1.81   0.070    -1.449012    .0561173
                  employed |  -.0179688   .9251846    -0.02   0.985    -1.831297     1.79536
                 pensioner |  -.0541826   1.087807    -0.05   0.960    -2.186246    2.077881
                     rural |   1.120341   .5495866     2.04   0.041     .0431709    2.197511
                  quallife |   .3968375   .2263521     1.75   0.080    -.0468045    .8404795
              demoverorder |  -.9801228   .1687707    -5.81   0.000    -1.310907   -.6493382
              ILOunemp2013 |   .4971524   .3837768     1.30   0.195    -.2550364    1.249341
                 grpmilhry |   7.48e-06   4.45e-06     1.68   0.093    -1.24e-06    .0000162
                     _cons |  -.4464449   2.894783    -0.15   0.877    -6.120114    5.227225
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .1515093   .6017988                       .000063    364.2778
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffintergas3.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    -0.079      0.135       0.137                
                                                                            (0.336)     (0.439)     (0.441)               
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.407       5.371       5.310       3.967    
                                                                           (1.529)**   (2.099)**   (2.198)**   (0.836)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.735       -0.195      -0.352               
                                                                            (1.454)     (2.381)     (2.516)               
                        rusnat2                                              0.620       0.485       0.481       0.706    
                                                                           (0.313)**    (0.383)     (0.384)    (0.335)**  
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.038      -0.033      -0.034      -0.022   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.010)***  (0.007)*** 
                        unskilled                                            0.284       -0.404      -0.404      -0.058   
                                                                            (0.286)     (0.339)     (0.340)     (0.567)   
                        relations                                            -0.149      -0.002      -0.001      0.030    
                                                                            (0.214)     (0.211)     (0.210)     (0.242)   
                        _cons                                                2.852       0.769       0.820       2.038    
                                                                           (0.999)***   (1.083)     (1.712)     (1.074)*  
                        female                                                           0.837       0.838       0.811    
                                                                                       (0.287)***  (0.286)***  (0.369)**  
                        age                                                              0.030       0.030       0.026    
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.010)***   (0.015)*  
                        univplus                                                         -0.822      -0.821      -0.744   
                                                                                       (0.282)***  (0.297)***  (0.287)*** 
                        employed                                                         0.899       0.908       1.701    
                                                                                        (0.479)*    (0.485)*   (0.595)*** 
                        pensioner                                                        0.470       0.475       1.168    
                                                                                        (0.621)     (0.624)     (0.812)   
                        rural                                                            0.309       0.293       -0.419   
                                                                                        (0.514)     (0.520)     (0.795)   
                        quallife                                                         0.080       0.074       -0.160   
                                                                                        (0.144)     (0.145)     (0.178)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.485      -0.489      -0.288   
                                                                                       (0.100)***  (0.100)***   (0.158)*  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 0.011       -0.223   
                                                                                                    (0.194)    (0.100)**  
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)    (0.000)**  
    bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        o.rusnat2                                                                                         
                                                                                                                          
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.573       0.213       0.211       0.000    
                                                                            (0.309)*    (0.212)     (0.225)     (0.000)   
    N                                                                         757         602         602         356     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                             
                                                                                                        
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           6.121    
                                                                                             (2.265)*** 
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                
                                                                                                        
                                          rusnat2                                                       
                                                                                                        
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.058   
                                                                                              (0.033)*  
                                          unskilled                                            -0.761   
                                                                                              (0.500)   
                                          relations                                            -0.056   
                                                                                              (0.265)   
                                          _cons                                                -0.446   
                                                                                              (2.895)   
                                          female                                               0.535    
                                                                                              (0.492)   
                                          age                                                  0.030    
                                                                                              (0.021)   
                                          univplus                                             -0.696   
                                                                                              (0.384)*  
                                          employed                                             -0.018   
                                                                                              (0.925)   
                                          pensioner                                            -0.054   
                                                                                              (1.088)   
                                          rural                                                1.120    
                                                                                             (0.550)**  
                                          quallife                                             0.397    
                                                                                              (0.226)*  
                                          demoverorder                                         -0.980   
                                                                                             (0.169)*** 
                                          ILOunemp2013                                         0.497    
                                                                                              (0.384)   
                                          grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)*  
                      bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                            
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp              
                                                                                                        
                                          o.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.152    
                                                                                              (0.602)   
                      N                                                                         244     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Table A4
. 
. 
. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations  if oilorgas==0  
> [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -357.87299  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -356.07477  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -356.0679  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -356.0679  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -346.46517

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -346.46517  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -344.91733  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -343.88331  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -343.85031  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -343.85021  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -343.85021  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        761
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         23

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         10
                                                              avg =       33.1
                                                              max =        117

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(7)      =      77.65
Log pseudolikelihood = -343.85021               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 23 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |  -.1050388   .2502789    -0.42   0.675    -.5955765    .3854989
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.116333    1.54028     2.02   0.043      .097439    6.135227
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |    .003866   1.842008     0.00   0.998    -3.606404    3.614136
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |    .803804   .2194758     3.66   0.000     .3736393    1.233969
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0402043   .0096291    -4.18   0.000    -.0590769   -.0213316
                                   unskilled |   .3719797   .2892381     1.29   0.198    -.1949166     .938876
                                   relations |   .0821188   .2761872     0.30   0.766    -.4591981    .6234358
                                       _cons |   2.129863   .9478679     2.25   0.025     .2720759     3.98765
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .6357462   .2850185                      .2640414    1.530719
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffintergas3.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) replace

                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    -0.105   
                                                                                              (0.250)   
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.116    
                                                                                             (1.540)**  
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.004    
                                                                                              (1.842)   
                                          rusnat2                                              0.804    
                                                                                             (0.219)*** 
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.040   
                                                                                             (0.010)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            0.372    
                                                                                              (0.289)   
                                          relations                                            0.082    
                                                                                              (0.276)   
                                          _cons                                                2.130    
                                                                                             (0.948)**  
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.636    
                                                                                             (0.285)**  
                      N                                                                         761     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. meglm  joincunion2 i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univplu
> s employed pensioner   rural  quallife  demover    if oilorgas==0 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) l
> ink(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -231.28751  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -222.4949  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -222.44991  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -222.44987  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -222.44987  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -223.48473

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -223.48473  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -221.14469  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -220.26479  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -220.03129  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -220.02868  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -220.02868  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        608
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         23

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          7
                                                              avg =       26.4
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =     415.17
Log pseudolikelihood = -220.02868               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 23 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .4106883   .3527295     1.16   0.244    -.2806488    1.102025
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   4.580124   1.754391     2.61   0.009     1.141581    8.018667
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   .2249445   2.296321     0.10   0.922    -4.275762     4.72565
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .6792014   .3134893     2.17   0.030     .0647737    1.293629
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0362576   .0063395    -5.72   0.000    -.0486828   -.0238325
                                   unskilled |  -.4607063   .3404246    -1.35   0.176    -1.127926    .2065136
                                   relations |   .2770041   .2235961     1.24   0.215    -.1612362    .7152444
                                      female |   .7727764   .3061978     2.52   0.012     .1726397    1.372913
                                         age |   .0256158   .0110927     2.31   0.021     .0038745     .047357
                                    univplus |  -.7757501   .2822562    -2.75   0.006    -1.328962   -.2225381
                                    employed |   .7228067    .444379     1.63   0.104    -.1481602    1.593774
                                   pensioner |    .802904   .6809383     1.18   0.238    -.5317104    2.137519
                                       rural |   .6654755   .4859134     1.37   0.171    -.2868972    1.617848
                                    quallife |  -.0905307    .114791    -0.79   0.430    -.3155169    .1344556
                                demoverorder |  -.4281213   .1116803    -3.83   0.000    -.6470108   -.2092319
                                       _cons |    .144357   1.153918     0.13   0.900    -2.117282    2.405996
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2825786   .2127421                      .0646106    1.235875
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffintergas3.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss                                    -0.105      0.411    
                                                                                        (0.250)     (0.353)   
                                    tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.116       4.580    
                                                                                       (1.540)**   (1.754)*** 
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.004       0.225    
                                                                                        (1.842)     (2.296)   
                                    rusnat2                                              0.804       0.679    
                                                                                       (0.219)***  (0.313)**  
                                    Ukrainian                                            -0.040      -0.036   
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.006)*** 
                                    unskilled                                            0.372       -0.461   
                                                                                        (0.289)     (0.340)   
                                    relations                                            0.082       0.277    
                                                                                        (0.276)     (0.224)   
                                    _cons                                                2.130       0.144    
                                                                                       (0.948)**    (1.154)   
                                    female                                                           0.773    
                                                                                                   (0.306)**  
                                    age                                                              0.026    
                                                                                                   (0.011)**  
                                    univplus                                                         -0.776   
                                                                                                   (0.282)*** 
                                    employed                                                         0.723    
                                                                                                    (0.444)   
                                    pensioner                                                        0.803    
                                                                                                    (0.681)   
                                    rural                                                            0.665    
                                                                                                    (0.486)   
                                    quallife                                                         -0.091   
                                                                                                    (0.115)   
                                    demoverorder                                                     -0.428   
                                                                                                   (0.112)*** 
                var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.636       0.283    
                                                                                       (0.285)**    (0.213)   
                N                                                                         761         608     
               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univpl
> us employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry  if oilorgas==0 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , 
> family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -230.94284  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -222.14777  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -222.09699  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -222.09693  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -222.09693  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -223.84015

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -223.84015  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -221.38862  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -220.60623  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -220.00092  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -219.98659  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -219.98653  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -219.98653  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        608
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         23

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          7
                                                              avg =       26.4
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     831.94
Log pseudolikelihood = -219.98653               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 23 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .4236459   .3464281     1.22   0.221    -.2553407    1.102633
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   4.585546   1.831472     2.50   0.012     .9959267    8.175165
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |  -.0300966   2.474947    -0.01   0.990    -4.880904    4.820711
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .6791745   .3126923     2.17   0.030     .0663088     1.29204
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0361253   .0085481    -4.23   0.000    -.0528792   -.0193714
                                   unskilled |  -.4642548   .3405031    -1.36   0.173    -1.131629     .203119
                                   relations |   .2789575   .2230373     1.25   0.211    -.1581876    .7161026
                                      female |   .7704245   .3049984     2.53   0.012     .1726386     1.36821
                                         age |    .025639   .0110835     2.31   0.021     .0039158    .0473622
                                    univplus |  -.7724215   .2863353    -2.70   0.007    -1.333629   -.2112146
                                    employed |   .7310121   .4527623     1.61   0.106    -.1563858     1.61841
                                   pensioner |   .7989938   .6823656     1.17   0.242    -.5384182    2.136406
                                       rural |   .6537475   .4943485     1.32   0.186    -.3151578    1.622653
                                    quallife |  -.0978394   .1229777    -0.80   0.426    -.3388712    .1431924
                                demoverorder |  -.4293252   .1143908    -3.75   0.000     -.653527   -.2051233
                                ILOunemp2013 |  -.0232543   .1882787    -0.12   0.902    -.3922738    .3457652
                                   grpmilhry |  -8.98e-07   2.88e-06    -0.31   0.755    -6.55e-06    4.75e-06
                                       _cons |   .3875948   1.894009     0.20   0.838    -3.324595    4.099785
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2672233   .2410887                      .0455954    1.566131
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffintergas3.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss                                    -0.105      0.411       0.424    
                                                                                  (0.250)     (0.353)     (0.346)   
                              tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.116       4.580       4.586    
                                                                                 (1.540)**   (1.754)***  (1.831)**  
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.004       0.225       -0.030   
                                                                                  (1.842)     (2.296)     (2.475)   
                              rusnat2                                              0.804       0.679       0.679    
                                                                                 (0.219)***  (0.313)**   (0.313)**  
                              Ukrainian                                            -0.040      -0.036      -0.036   
                                                                                 (0.010)***  (0.006)***  (0.009)*** 
                              unskilled                                            0.372       -0.461      -0.464   
                                                                                  (0.289)     (0.340)     (0.341)   
                              relations                                            0.082       0.277       0.279    
                                                                                  (0.276)     (0.224)     (0.223)   
                              _cons                                                2.130       0.144       0.388    
                                                                                 (0.948)**    (1.154)     (1.894)   
                              female                                                           0.773       0.770    
                                                                                             (0.306)**   (0.305)**  
                              age                                                              0.026       0.026    
                                                                                             (0.011)**   (0.011)**  
                              univplus                                                         -0.776      -0.772   
                                                                                             (0.282)***  (0.286)*** 
                              employed                                                         0.723       0.731    
                                                                                              (0.444)     (0.453)   
                              pensioner                                                        0.803       0.799    
                                                                                              (0.681)     (0.682)   
                              rural                                                            0.665       0.654    
                                                                                              (0.486)     (0.494)   
                              quallife                                                         -0.091      -0.098   
                                                                                              (0.115)     (0.123)   
                              demoverorder                                                     -0.428      -0.429   
                                                                                             (0.112)***  (0.114)*** 
                              ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.023   
                                                                                                          (0.188)   
                              grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000   
                                                                                                          (0.000)   
          var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.636       0.283       0.267    
                                                                                 (0.285)**    (0.213)     (0.241)   
          N                                                                         761         608         608     
         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univp
> lus employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry  if oilorgas==0 & easierspeakR==1 [pweight= weight_Ukra
> ine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -141.20909  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -138.69016  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -138.67052  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -138.67051  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -142.45202

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.45202  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -138.73859  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -138.48438  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -138.3362  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -138.3278  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -138.32777  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -138.32777  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        362
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         15

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       24.1
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(14)     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -138.32777               Prob > chi2       =          .
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 15 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
               joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.999462   1.038414     2.89   0.004     .9642089    5.034715
                           |
                   rusnat2 |   .9394523   .2816576     3.34   0.001     .3874136    1.491491
                 Ukrainian |  -.0281365   .0081272    -3.46   0.001    -.0440656   -.0122074
                 unskilled |  -.2901663   .5917086    -0.49   0.624    -1.449894    .8695614
                 relations |   .2941104   .2923935     1.01   0.314    -.2789703    .8671912
                    female |   .9592843   .3805114     2.52   0.012     .2134957    1.705073
                       age |    .023652   .0141786     1.67   0.095    -.0041375    .0514415
                  univplus |  -.5782778   .2732979    -2.12   0.034    -1.113932   -.0426239
                  employed |   1.123013   .4624298     2.43   0.015     .2166671    2.029359
                 pensioner |   1.002673   .7374355     1.36   0.174    -.4426744     2.44802
                     rural |  -.3223343   .7819826    -0.41   0.680    -1.854992    1.210323
                  quallife |  -.2668091   .1525252    -1.75   0.080    -.5657529    .0321347
              demoverorder |  -.3336131   .1438514    -2.32   0.020    -.6155566   -.0516695
              ILOunemp2013 |    -.13619   .0948523    -1.44   0.151     -.322097     .049717
                 grpmilhry |  -5.09e-06   2.57e-06    -1.98   0.047    -.0000101   -6.00e-08
                     _cons |    1.55548      1.558     1.00   0.318    -1.498144    4.609103
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .0918227   .1467752                      .0040025    2.106515
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffintergas3.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    -0.105      0.411       0.424                
                                                                            (0.250)     (0.353)     (0.346)               
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.116       4.580       4.586       2.999    
                                                                           (1.540)**   (1.754)***  (1.831)**   (1.038)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.004       0.225       -0.030               
                                                                            (1.842)     (2.296)     (2.475)               
                        rusnat2                                              0.804       0.679       0.679       0.939    
                                                                           (0.219)***  (0.313)**   (0.313)**   (0.282)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.040      -0.036      -0.036      -0.028   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.006)***  (0.009)***  (0.008)*** 
                        unskilled                                            0.372       -0.461      -0.464      -0.290   
                                                                            (0.289)     (0.340)     (0.341)     (0.592)   
                        relations                                            0.082       0.277       0.279       0.294    
                                                                            (0.276)     (0.224)     (0.223)     (0.292)   
                        _cons                                                2.130       0.144       0.388       1.555    
                                                                           (0.948)**    (1.154)     (1.894)     (1.558)   
                        female                                                           0.773       0.770       0.959    
                                                                                       (0.306)**   (0.305)**   (0.381)**  
                        age                                                              0.026       0.026       0.024    
                                                                                       (0.011)**   (0.011)**    (0.014)*  
                        univplus                                                         -0.776      -0.772      -0.578   
                                                                                       (0.282)***  (0.286)***  (0.273)**  
                        employed                                                         0.723       0.731       1.123    
                                                                                        (0.444)     (0.453)    (0.462)**  
                        pensioner                                                        0.803       0.799       1.003    
                                                                                        (0.681)     (0.682)     (0.737)   
                        rural                                                            0.665       0.654       -0.322   
                                                                                        (0.486)     (0.494)     (0.782)   
                        quallife                                                         -0.091      -0.098      -0.267   
                                                                                        (0.115)     (0.123)     (0.153)*  
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.428      -0.429      -0.334   
                                                                                       (0.112)***  (0.114)***  (0.144)**  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.023      -0.136   
                                                                                                    (0.188)     (0.095)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)    (0.000)**  
    joincunion2         1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.636       0.283       0.267       0.092    
                                                                           (0.285)**    (0.213)     (0.241)     (0.147)   
    N                                                                         761         608         608         362     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univp
> lus employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry  if oilorgas==0 & easierspeakR==0 [pweight= weight_Ukra
> ine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)
note: rusnat2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      rusnat2 dropped and 3 obs not used


Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -80.750755  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -71.696084  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -71.603381  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -71.603206  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -71.603206  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -71.420551

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -71.420551  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -71.023311  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -70.912142  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -70.909119  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -70.909109  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -70.909109  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        243
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         20

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       12.2
                                                              max =         38

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(14)     =      86.57
Log pseudolikelihood = -70.909109               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 20 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
               joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   5.697306   1.865639     3.05   0.002     2.040721    9.353891
                           |
                   rusnat2 |          0  (omitted)
                 Ukrainian |  -.0703104   .0333814    -2.11   0.035    -.1357368   -.0048839
                 unskilled |   -.810014   .4643475    -1.74   0.081    -1.720118    .1000903
                 relations |    .375415   .2751308     1.36   0.172    -.1638314    .9146615
                    female |   .0753652   .5291851     0.14   0.887    -.9618186    1.112549
                       age |   .0379456   .0249498     1.52   0.128     -.010955    .0868463
                  univplus |  -.9087282   .5955053    -1.53   0.127    -2.075897    .2584407
                  employed |  -.0294249   1.029154    -0.03   0.977     -2.04653     1.98768
                 pensioner |   .3698067   1.405281     0.26   0.792    -2.384493    3.124106
                     rural |   1.686732   .4793307     3.52   0.000      .747261    2.626203
                  quallife |   .0515867   .1454655     0.35   0.723    -.2335204    .3366938
              demoverorder |  -.8773933   .3022656    -2.90   0.004    -1.469823   -.2849635
              ILOunemp2013 |   .3771607   .4372162     0.86   0.388    -.4797673    1.234089
                 grpmilhry |   7.00e-06   4.87e-06     1.44   0.151    -2.55e-06    .0000166
                     _cons |   .0326664   2.878191     0.01   0.991    -5.608484    5.673817
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .5923935   .7662626                      .0469439    7.475525
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffintergas3.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    -0.105      0.411       0.424                
                                                                            (0.250)     (0.353)     (0.346)               
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.116       4.580       4.586       2.999    
                                                                           (1.540)**   (1.754)***  (1.831)**   (1.038)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.004       0.225       -0.030               
                                                                            (1.842)     (2.296)     (2.475)               
                        rusnat2                                              0.804       0.679       0.679       0.939    
                                                                           (0.219)***  (0.313)**   (0.313)**   (0.282)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.040      -0.036      -0.036      -0.028   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.006)***  (0.009)***  (0.008)*** 
                        unskilled                                            0.372       -0.461      -0.464      -0.290   
                                                                            (0.289)     (0.340)     (0.341)     (0.592)   
                        relations                                            0.082       0.277       0.279       0.294    
                                                                            (0.276)     (0.224)     (0.223)     (0.292)   
                        _cons                                                2.130       0.144       0.388       1.555    
                                                                           (0.948)**    (1.154)     (1.894)     (1.558)   
                        female                                                           0.773       0.770       0.959    
                                                                                       (0.306)**   (0.305)**   (0.381)**  
                        age                                                              0.026       0.026       0.024    
                                                                                       (0.011)**   (0.011)**    (0.014)*  
                        univplus                                                         -0.776      -0.772      -0.578   
                                                                                       (0.282)***  (0.286)***  (0.273)**  
                        employed                                                         0.723       0.731       1.123    
                                                                                        (0.444)     (0.453)    (0.462)**  
                        pensioner                                                        0.803       0.799       1.003    
                                                                                        (0.681)     (0.682)     (0.737)   
                        rural                                                            0.665       0.654       -0.322   
                                                                                        (0.486)     (0.494)     (0.782)   
                        quallife                                                         -0.091      -0.098      -0.267   
                                                                                        (0.115)     (0.123)     (0.153)*  
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.428      -0.429      -0.334   
                                                                                       (0.112)***  (0.114)***  (0.144)**  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.023      -0.136   
                                                                                                    (0.188)     (0.095)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)    (0.000)**  
    joincunion2         1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        o.rusnat2                                                                                         
                                                                                                                          
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.636       0.283       0.267       0.092    
                                                                           (0.285)**    (0.213)     (0.241)     (0.147)   
    N                                                                         761         608         608         362     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                             
                                                                                                        
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           5.697    
                                                                                             (1.866)*** 
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                
                                                                                                        
                                          rusnat2                                                       
                                                                                                        
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.070   
                                                                                             (0.033)**  
                                          unskilled                                            -0.810   
                                                                                              (0.464)*  
                                          relations                                            0.375    
                                                                                              (0.275)   
                                          _cons                                                0.033    
                                                                                              (2.878)   
                                          female                                               0.075    
                                                                                              (0.529)   
                                          age                                                  0.038    
                                                                                              (0.025)   
                                          univplus                                             -0.909   
                                                                                              (0.596)   
                                          employed                                             -0.029   
                                                                                              (1.029)   
                                          pensioner                                            0.370    
                                                                                              (1.405)   
                                          rural                                                1.687    
                                                                                             (0.479)*** 
                                          quallife                                             0.052    
                                                                                              (0.145)   
                                          demoverorder                                         -0.877   
                                                                                             (0.302)*** 
                                          ILOunemp2013                                         0.377    
                                                                                              (0.437)   
                                          grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      joincunion2         1b.easierspeakRuss                                            
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp              
                                                                                                        
                                          o.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.592    
                                                                                              (0.766)   
                      N                                                                         243     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. ***
. 
. **Table A5
. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp    [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(bi
> nomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -565.61123  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -564.24457  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -564.24317  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -564.24317  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -536.17715

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -536.17715  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -524.70199  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -524.49278  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -524.4886  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -524.4886  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =      1,055
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         15
                                                              avg =       40.6
                                                              max =        159

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(3)      =      14.88
Log pseudolikelihood =  -524.4886               Prob > chi2       =     0.0019
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .5526518   .3638887     1.52   0.129    -.1605571    1.265861
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.375036   1.689233     2.00   0.046     .0642001    6.685871
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   3.009538   2.405555     1.25   0.211    -1.705263    7.724338
                                             |
                                       _cons |  -.6361747   .3524054    -1.81   0.071    -1.326877    .0545272
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   1.374508   .6845023                      .5179059    3.647909
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using basemodel.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) replace

                     -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000   
                                                                                              (0.000)  
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.553   
                                                                                              (0.364)  
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.375   
                                                                                             (1.689)** 
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000   
                                                                                              (0.000)  
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       3.010   
                                                                                              (2.406)  
                                          _cons                                               -0.636   
                                                                                             (0.352)*  
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                1.375   
                                                                                             (0.685)** 
                      N                                                                        1,055   
                     -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial)
>  link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -571.25195  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -570.17973  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -570.17912  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -570.17912  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -538.20336

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -538.20336  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -523.71457  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -523.40636  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -523.39642  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -523.39642  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =      1,070
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         16
                                                              avg =       41.2
                                                              max =        153

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(3)      =      10.66
Log pseudolikelihood = -523.39642               Prob > chi2       =     0.0137
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .4791079   .3566469     1.34   0.179    -.2199073    1.178123
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.168639   1.825624     1.74   0.083    -.4095192    6.746797
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |    2.53891   2.999224     0.85   0.397     -3.33946     8.41728
                                             |
                                       _cons |  -.8203301   .3804687    -2.16   0.031    -1.566035   -.0746252
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   1.592014   .7323699                      .6462058    3.922137
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using basemodel.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

                ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000              
                                                                                         (0.000)             
                                     1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.553              
                                                                                         (0.364)             
                                     tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.375              
                                                                                        (1.689)**            
                                     0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000              
                                                                                         (0.000)             
                                     1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       3.010              
                                                                                         (2.406)             
                                     _cons                                               -0.636              
                                                                                        (0.352)*             
                 joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                              0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)  
                                     1.easierspeakRuss                                               0.479   
                                                                                                    (0.357)  
                                     tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                      3.169   
                                                                                                   (1.826)*  
                                     0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)  
                                     1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                  2.539   
                                                                                                    (2.999)  
                                     _cons                                                          -0.820   
                                                                                                   (0.380)** 
                 var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                1.375      1.592   
                                                                                        (0.685)**  (0.732)** 
                 N                                                                        1,055      1,070   
                ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp   i.easierspeakRus##c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp [pweigh
> t= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -557.88039  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -557.17073  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -557.17017  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -557.17017  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood =  -533.8775

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -533.8775  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -522.72055  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -522.36262  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -522.35252  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -522.35251  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =      1,055
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         15
                                                              avg =       40.6
                                                              max =        159

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(5)      =      19.49
Log pseudolikelihood = -522.35251               Prob > chi2       =     0.0016
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   1.662997    .886415     1.88   0.061    -.0743443    3.400339
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.384017   1.234669     1.93   0.053    -.0358909    4.803924
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   6.419896   3.142109     2.04   0.041     .2614753    12.57832
                                             |
                      totaltradeRussiapctgrp |   3.247453   3.584528     0.91   0.365    -3.778092      10.273
                                             |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                          1  |    -6.0375   4.010012    -1.51   0.132    -13.89698    1.821979
                                             |
                                       _cons |  -1.221991   .6537725    -1.87   0.062    -2.503361    .0593796
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   1.332162   .6766885                      .4922419    3.605252
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using basemodel.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

          ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
           bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000                 0.000   
                                                                                   (0.000)               (0.000)  
                               1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.553                 1.663   
                                                                                   (0.364)              (0.886)*  
                               tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.375                 2.384   
                                                                                  (1.689)**             (1.235)*  
                               0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000                 0.000   
                                                                                   (0.000)               (0.000)  
                               1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       3.010                 6.420   
                                                                                   (2.406)              (3.142)** 
                               _cons                                               -0.636                -1.222   
                                                                                  (0.352)*              (0.654)*  
           joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                              0.000              
                                                                                              (0.000)             
                               1.easierspeakRuss                                               0.479              
                                                                                              (0.357)             
                               tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                      3.169              
                                                                                             (1.826)*             
                               0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                0.000              
                                                                                              (0.000)             
                               1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                  2.539              
                                                                                              (2.999)             
                               _cons                                                          -0.820              
                                                                                             (0.380)**            
                               totaltradeRussiapctgrp                                                     3.247   
                                                                                                         (3.585)  
                               0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               0.000   
                                                                                                         (0.000)  
                               1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                                -6.038   
                                                                                                         (4.010)  
           var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                1.375      1.592      1.332   
                                                                                  (0.685)**  (0.732)**  (0.677)** 
           N                                                                        1,055      1,070      1,055   
          ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp   i.easierspeakRus##c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp [pweight= we
> ight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -561.12694  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -560.48331  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -560.48273  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -560.48273  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -535.46191

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -535.46191  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -520.76321  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -520.35058  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -520.33415  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -520.33414  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =      1,070
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =         16
                                                              avg =       41.2
                                                              max =        153

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(5)      =      16.03
Log pseudolikelihood = -520.33414               Prob > chi2       =     0.0068
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   1.890728   .7779047     2.43   0.015     .3660628    3.415393
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.182981   1.280474     1.70   0.088    -.3267024    4.692665
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   7.253076   3.572082     2.03   0.042     .2519242    14.25423
                                             |
                      totaltradeRussiapctgrp |   3.344373   3.726001     0.90   0.369    -3.958455     10.6472
                                             |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                          1  |  -7.687082   3.905333    -1.97   0.049    -15.34139   -.0327705
                                             |
                                       _cons |  -1.425608   .6443194    -2.21   0.027    -2.688451   -.1627653
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   1.516224   .7257297                      .5933925    3.874225
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using basemodel.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

     --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000                 0.000              
                                                                              (0.000)               (0.000)             
                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.553                 1.663              
                                                                              (0.364)              (0.886)*             
                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.375                 2.384              
                                                                             (1.689)**             (1.235)*             
                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000                 0.000              
                                                                              (0.000)               (0.000)             
                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       3.010                 6.420              
                                                                              (2.406)              (3.142)**            
                          _cons                                               -0.636                -1.222              
                                                                             (0.352)*              (0.654)*             
      joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                              0.000                 0.000   
                                                                                         (0.000)               (0.000)  
                          1.easierspeakRuss                                               0.479                 1.891   
                                                                                         (0.357)              (0.778)** 
                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                      3.169                 2.183   
                                                                                        (1.826)*              (1.280)*  
                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                0.000                 0.000   
                                                                                         (0.000)               (0.000)  
                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                  2.539                 7.253   
                                                                                         (2.999)              (3.572)** 
                          _cons                                                          -0.820                -1.426   
                                                                                        (0.380)**             (0.644)** 
                          totaltradeRussiapctgrp                                                     3.247      3.344   
                                                                                                    (3.585)    (3.726)  
                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               0.000      0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)    (0.000)  
                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                                -6.038     -7.687   
                                                                                                    (4.010)   (3.905)** 
      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                1.375      1.592      1.332      1.516   
                                                                             (0.685)**  (0.732)**  (0.677)**  (0.726)** 
      N                                                                        1,055      1,070      1,055      1,070   
     --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Table A6
. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.easierspeakRus##c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp rusnat2 c
> .Ukrainian unskilled relations  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -382.88261  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -381.21928  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -381.21709  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -381.21709  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood =  -374.2121

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -374.2121  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -372.50742  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -370.82645  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -370.81306  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -370.81304  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        793
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          4
                                                              avg =       30.5
                                                              max =        122

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(9)      =     111.37
Log pseudolikelihood = -370.81304               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .9868683   .7638618     1.29   0.196    -.5102734     2.48401
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |    2.53777   1.164717     2.18   0.029     .2549668    4.820574
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   5.823697   2.338865     2.49   0.013     1.239607    10.40779
                                             |
                      totaltradeRussiapctgrp |   .7963457   2.507535     0.32   0.751    -4.118332    5.711024
                                             |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                          1  |  -5.165028   3.083554    -1.68   0.094    -11.20868     .878626
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .7686093   .3072821     2.50   0.012     .1663474    1.370871
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0370975    .010281    -3.61   0.000    -.0572479   -.0169471
                                   unskilled |   .4061135   .2629584     1.54   0.122    -.1092756    .9215026
                                   relations |  -.1688004   .2061916    -0.82   0.413    -.5729285    .2353277
                                       _cons |   2.564591   1.197146     2.14   0.032     .2182288    4.910953
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .5195621   .2772568                      .1825602    1.478662
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffplusinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) replace

                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.987    
                                                                                              (0.764)   
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.538    
                                                                                             (1.165)**  
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       5.824    
                                                                                             (2.339)**  
                                          totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               0.796    
                                                                                              (2.508)   
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp         0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp           -5.165   
                                                                                              (3.084)*  
                                          rusnat2                                              0.769    
                                                                                             (0.307)**  
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.037   
                                                                                             (0.010)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            0.406    
                                                                                              (0.263)   
                                          relations                                            -0.169   
                                                                                              (0.206)   
                                          _cons                                                2.565    
                                                                                             (1.197)**  
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.520    
                                                                                              (0.277)*  
                      N                                                                         793     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.easierspeakRus##c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp rusnat2 c
> .Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  [pweight= weigh
> t_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -258.82526  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -252.65692  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -252.61464  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -252.61463  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -254.56472

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -254.56472  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.83152  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.94046  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.54134  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.53883  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.53883  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        628
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     307.61
Log pseudolikelihood = -250.53883               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   1.144796   .8186738     1.40   0.162    -.4597751    2.749367
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.783081   1.438344     2.63   0.009     .9639775    6.602184
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   5.193841   2.136585     2.43   0.015     1.006211    9.381471
                                             |
                      totaltradeRussiapctgrp |   -.063701   2.468201    -0.03   0.979    -4.901285    4.773884
                                             |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                          1  |  -3.280962   3.054116    -1.07   0.283    -9.266919    2.704994
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .8108698   .3576048     2.27   0.023     .1099774    1.511762
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0285787   .0084389    -3.39   0.001    -.0451186   -.0120388
                                   unskilled |  -.1222215   .3271144    -0.37   0.709    -.7633541     .518911
                                   relations |  -.0299318   .2028469    -0.15   0.883    -.4275043    .3676407
                                      female |   .7856925   .2457306     3.20   0.001     .3040693    1.267316
                                         age |   .0280027   .0095609     2.93   0.003     .0092637    .0467417
                                    univplus |  -.6899009   .2846956    -2.42   0.015    -1.247894   -.1319078
                                    employed |   .8591677   .4279585     2.01   0.045     .0203844    1.697951
                                   pensioner |   .2454223   .5905182     0.42   0.678    -.9119721    1.402817
                                       rural |   .3936087   .4609582     0.85   0.393    -.5098529     1.29707
                                    quallife |     .04106   .1323953     0.31   0.756    -.2184302    .3005501
                                demoverorder |  -.4760857   .0928371    -5.13   0.000     -.658043   -.2941283
                                       _cons |   .3900102   1.109072     0.35   0.725    -1.783732    2.563752
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2237401   .1975298                      .0396513    1.262497
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffplusinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.987       1.145    
                                                                                        (0.764)     (0.819)   
                                    tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.538       3.783    
                                                                                       (1.165)**   (1.438)*** 
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       5.824       5.194    
                                                                                       (2.339)**   (2.137)**  
                                    totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               0.796       -0.064   
                                                                                        (2.508)     (2.468)   
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp         0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp           -5.165      -3.281   
                                                                                        (3.084)*    (3.054)   
                                    rusnat2                                              0.769       0.811    
                                                                                       (0.307)**   (0.358)**  
                                    Ukrainian                                            -0.037      -0.029   
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.008)*** 
                                    unskilled                                            0.406       -0.122   
                                                                                        (0.263)     (0.327)   
                                    relations                                            -0.169      -0.030   
                                                                                        (0.206)     (0.203)   
                                    _cons                                                2.565       0.390    
                                                                                       (1.197)**    (1.109)   
                                    female                                                           0.786    
                                                                                                   (0.246)*** 
                                    age                                                              0.028    
                                                                                                   (0.010)*** 
                                    univplus                                                         -0.690   
                                                                                                   (0.285)**  
                                    employed                                                         0.859    
                                                                                                   (0.428)**  
                                    pensioner                                                        0.245    
                                                                                                    (0.591)   
                                    rural                                                            0.394    
                                                                                                    (0.461)   
                                    quallife                                                         0.041    
                                                                                                    (0.132)   
                                    demoverorder                                                     -0.476   
                                                                                                   (0.093)*** 
                var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.520       0.224    
                                                                                        (0.277)*    (0.198)   
                N                                                                         793         628     
               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.easierspeakRus##c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp rusnat2 c
> .Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry
>   [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -258.75085  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -252.30074  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -252.25688  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -252.25687  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -254.22081

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -254.22081  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.51301  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.75375  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.39484  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.39401  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.39401  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        628
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(19)     =     338.51
Log pseudolikelihood = -250.39401               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   1.238746   .8680295     1.43   0.154    -.4625608    2.940052
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   4.071875    1.89942     2.14   0.032     .3490792     7.79467
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   6.134265    2.92479     2.10   0.036     .4017821    11.86675
                                             |
                      totaltradeRussiapctgrp |  -.4808239   2.706259    -0.18   0.859    -5.784994    4.823346
                                             |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                          1  |  -3.754076   3.317986    -1.13   0.258    -10.25721    2.749057
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .8012594   .3528221     2.27   0.023     .1097407    1.492778
                                   Ukrainian |   -.027246    .009267    -2.94   0.003     -.045409    -.009083
                                   unskilled |  -.1249365   .3237393    -0.39   0.700    -.7594538    .5095809
                                   relations |  -.0394457   .1982649    -0.20   0.842    -.4280377    .3491463
                                      female |   .7893211   .2447636     3.22   0.001     .3095932    1.269049
                                         age |   .0281516   .0096871     2.91   0.004     .0091652    .0471379
                                    univplus |  -.6910363   .2932058    -2.36   0.018    -1.265709   -.1163635
                                    employed |   .8458903   .4402092     1.92   0.055    -.0169039    1.708684
                                   pensioner |   .2497029   .5980406     0.42   0.676    -.9224352    1.421841
                                       rural |   .4377124   .4762603     0.92   0.358    -.4957405    1.371165
                                    quallife |    .055671   .1293346     0.43   0.667    -.1978201     .309162
                                demoverorder |  -.4714315   .0930378    -5.07   0.000    -.6537823   -.2890808
                                ILOunemp2013 |   .0006749   .1850222     0.00   0.997    -.3619619    .3633118
                                   grpmilhry |   1.61e-06   2.78e-06     0.58   0.563    -3.84e-06    7.05e-06
                                       _cons |   .2000781    1.78142     0.11   0.911    -3.291441    3.691597
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2211898   .2055792                      .0357798     1.36739
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffplusinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.987       1.145       1.239    
                                                                                  (0.764)     (0.819)     (0.868)   
                              tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.538       3.783       4.072    
                                                                                 (1.165)**   (1.438)***  (1.899)**  
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       5.824       5.194       6.134    
                                                                                 (2.339)**   (2.137)**   (2.925)**  
                              totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               0.796       -0.064      -0.481   
                                                                                  (2.508)     (2.468)     (2.706)   
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp         0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp           -5.165      -3.281      -3.754   
                                                                                  (3.084)*    (3.054)     (3.318)   
                              rusnat2                                              0.769       0.811       0.801    
                                                                                 (0.307)**   (0.358)**   (0.353)**  
                              Ukrainian                                            -0.037      -0.029      -0.027   
                                                                                 (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)*** 
                              unskilled                                            0.406       -0.122      -0.125   
                                                                                  (0.263)     (0.327)     (0.324)   
                              relations                                            -0.169      -0.030      -0.039   
                                                                                  (0.206)     (0.203)     (0.198)   
                              _cons                                                2.565       0.390       0.200    
                                                                                 (1.197)**    (1.109)     (1.781)   
                              female                                                           0.786       0.789    
                                                                                             (0.246)***  (0.245)*** 
                              age                                                              0.028       0.028    
                                                                                             (0.010)***  (0.010)*** 
                              univplus                                                         -0.690      -0.691   
                                                                                             (0.285)**   (0.293)**  
                              employed                                                         0.859       0.846    
                                                                                             (0.428)**    (0.440)*  
                              pensioner                                                        0.245       0.250    
                                                                                              (0.591)     (0.598)   
                              rural                                                            0.394       0.438    
                                                                                              (0.461)     (0.476)   
                              quallife                                                         0.041       0.056    
                                                                                              (0.132)     (0.129)   
                              demoverorder                                                     -0.476      -0.471   
                                                                                             (0.093)***  (0.093)*** 
                              ILOunemp2013                                                                 0.001    
                                                                                                          (0.185)   
                              grpmilhry                                                                    0.000    
                                                                                                          (0.000)   
          var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.520       0.224       0.221    
                                                                                  (0.277)*    (0.198)     (0.206)   
          N                                                                         793         628         628     
         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. bysort easierspeakR: meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.easierspeakRus##c.totaltradeR
> ussiapctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    dem
> over  ILO   grpmilhry  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakRuss = 0
note: rusnat2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      rusnat2 dropped and 2 obs not used


Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -105.68485  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -100.90467  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -100.88895  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -100.88895  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -102.20316

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -102.20316  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -101.21494  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -100.81758  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -100.74967  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -100.7456  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood =  -100.7456  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        265
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         22

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       12.0
                                                              max =         38

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =     194.20
Log pseudolikelihood =  -100.7456               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 22 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
          bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.995068   1.222561     3.27   0.001     1.598892    6.391245
                           |
    totaltradeRussiapctgrp |  -.3667827    1.88824    -0.19   0.846    -4.067665      3.3341
                           |
                   rusnat2 |          0  (omitted)
                 Ukrainian |  -.0692094   .0221957    -3.12   0.002    -.1127122   -.0257066
                 unskilled |   -.274277   .5180871    -0.53   0.597    -1.289709    .7411551
                 relations |   -.059969   .2337752    -0.26   0.798    -.5181599     .398222
                    female |   .4361571   .3860681     1.13   0.259    -.3205224    1.192837
                       age |    .034016   .0186219     1.83   0.068    -.0024822    .0705142
                  univplus |  -.4055177   .4808403    -0.84   0.399    -1.347947    .5369119
                  employed |  -.0314549   .7194322    -0.04   0.965    -1.441516    1.378606
                 pensioner |  -.6924528   .9670661    -0.72   0.474    -2.587867    1.202962
                     rural |    .956696   .4670112     2.05   0.041     .0413708    1.872021
                  quallife |   .2850094   .1812468     1.57   0.116    -.0702277    .6402465
              demoverorder |  -.9033354   .1482753    -6.09   0.000     -1.19395   -.6127212
              ILOunemp2013 |   .3876905   .3065827     1.26   0.206    -.2132005    .9885815
                 grpmilhry |   5.05e-06   4.17e-06     1.21   0.225    -3.11e-06    .0000132
                     _cons |   1.370134   2.819994     0.49   0.627    -4.156952     6.89722
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .1671214   .4331254                      .0010399    26.85811
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakRuss = 1

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -140.31576  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -136.86179  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -136.84301  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -136.84301  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -141.08512

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -141.08512  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.98751  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.91136  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.87025  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.87001  (backed up)
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86989  (backed up)
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 21:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 22:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 23:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 24:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 26:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 28:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 29:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 30:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 31:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 32:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 33:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 34:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 35:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 36:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86986  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86986  (not concave)
Iteration 38:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86986  
Iteration 39:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86983  (backed up)
Iteration 40:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86973  (backed up)
Iteration 41:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86952  (backed up)
Iteration 42:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86911  (not concave)
Iteration 43:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86907  (not concave)
Iteration 44:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86901  (not concave)
Iteration 45:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86898  (not concave)
Iteration 46:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8689  
Iteration 47:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.85764  (not concave)
Iteration 48:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.85736  
Iteration 49:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.84301  
Iteration 50:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.84301  (backed up)

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        361
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         17

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       21.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(16)     =   29631.52
Log pseudolikelihood = -136.84301               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 17 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
          bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   6.292561   5.616318     1.12   0.263    -4.715221    17.30034
                           |
    totaltradeRussiapctgrp |  -1.339086   4.185074    -0.32   0.749     -9.54168    6.863507
                           |
                   rusnat2 |   1.033082   .2881459     3.59   0.000     .4683263    1.597838
                 Ukrainian |  -.0150993   .0059112    -2.55   0.011     -.026685   -.0035136
                 unskilled |   .2671167   .5903553     0.45   0.651    -.8899584    1.424192
                 relations |   .0290559    .215809     0.13   0.893    -.3939221    .4520338
                    female |   .7572051    .359673     2.11   0.035      .052259    1.462151
                       age |   .0229248   .0154984     1.48   0.139    -.0074516    .0533012
                  univplus |  -.6581528   .2818393    -2.34   0.020    -1.210548   -.1057579
                  employed |   1.665372   .5481363     3.04   0.002     .5910445      2.7397
                 pensioner |   1.200409   .8106635     1.48   0.139     -.388462     2.78928
                     rural |  -.1784142   .6880982    -0.26   0.795    -1.527062    1.170233
                  quallife |  -.1431113   .1580556    -0.91   0.365    -.4528945     .166672
              demoverorder |   -.247208   .1579268    -1.57   0.118    -.5567389    .0623229
              ILOunemp2013 |  -.1940793     .11855    -1.64   0.102     -.426433    .0382744
                 grpmilhry |  -3.74e-06   4.70e-06    -0.80   0.426     -.000013    5.47e-06
                     _cons |   1.524838   .9981409     1.53   0.127    -.4314827    3.481158
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   7.59e-35   1.10e-34                      4.40e-36    1.31e-33
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakRuss = .
no observations

. outreg using logitbcr2diffplusinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.987       1.145       1.239                
                                                                            (0.764)     (0.819)     (0.868)               
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.538       3.783       4.072       6.293    
                                                                           (1.165)**   (1.438)***  (1.899)**    (5.616)   
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       5.824       5.194       6.134                
                                                                           (2.339)**   (2.137)**   (2.925)**              
                        totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               0.796       -0.064      -0.481      -1.339   
                                                                            (2.508)     (2.468)     (2.706)     (4.185)   
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp         0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp           -5.165      -3.281      -3.754               
                                                                            (3.084)*    (3.054)     (3.318)               
                        rusnat2                                              0.769       0.811       0.801       1.033    
                                                                           (0.307)**   (0.358)**   (0.353)**   (0.288)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.037      -0.029      -0.027      -0.015   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)***  (0.006)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.406       -0.122      -0.125      0.267    
                                                                            (0.263)     (0.327)     (0.324)     (0.590)   
                        relations                                            -0.169      -0.030      -0.039      0.029    
                                                                            (0.206)     (0.203)     (0.198)     (0.216)   
                        _cons                                                2.565       0.390       0.200       1.525    
                                                                           (1.197)**    (1.109)     (1.781)     (0.998)   
                        female                                                           0.786       0.789       0.757    
                                                                                       (0.246)***  (0.245)***  (0.360)**  
                        age                                                              0.028       0.028       0.023    
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.010)***   (0.015)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.690      -0.691      -0.658   
                                                                                       (0.285)**   (0.293)**   (0.282)**  
                        employed                                                         0.859       0.846       1.665    
                                                                                       (0.428)**    (0.440)*   (0.548)*** 
                        pensioner                                                        0.245       0.250       1.200    
                                                                                        (0.591)     (0.598)     (0.811)   
                        rural                                                            0.394       0.438       -0.178   
                                                                                        (0.461)     (0.476)     (0.688)   
                        quallife                                                         0.041       0.056       -0.143   
                                                                                        (0.132)     (0.129)     (0.158)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.476      -0.471      -0.247   
                                                                                       (0.093)***  (0.093)***   (0.158)   
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 0.001       -0.194   
                                                                                                    (0.185)     (0.119)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    0.000       -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)     (0.000)   
    bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                                             0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.520       0.224       0.221       0.000    
                                                                            (0.277)*    (0.198)     (0.206)     (0.000)   
    N                                                                         793         628         628         361     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. bysort easierspeakU: meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.easierspeakRus##c.totaltradeR
> ussiapctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    dem
> over  ILO   grpmilhry  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakUkr = 0

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -140.31576  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -136.86179  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -136.84301  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -136.84301  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -141.08512

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -141.08512  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.98751  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.91136  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.87025  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.87001  (backed up)
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86989  (backed up)
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 22:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 23:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 24:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 25:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 26:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 28:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 29:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 30:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 31:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 32:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 33:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 34:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 35:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  
Iteration 36:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (backed up)
Iteration 37:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 38:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  (not concave)
Iteration 39:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86987  
Iteration 40:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86976  (not concave)
Iteration 41:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86976  
Iteration 42:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86973  (not concave)
Iteration 43:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86965  (not concave)
Iteration 44:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86962  (not concave)
Iteration 45:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86951  (not concave)
Iteration 46:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.86934  (not concave)
Iteration 47:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8688  
Iteration 48:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.8657  
Iteration 49:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.84301  
Iteration 50:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.84301  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        361
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         17

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       21.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(16)     =   29765.87
Log pseudolikelihood = -136.84301               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 17 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
          bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   6.294922   5.617901     1.12   0.262    -4.715962    17.30581
                           |
    totaltradeRussiapctgrp |   -1.34079   4.186432    -0.32   0.749    -9.546045    6.864466
                           |
                   rusnat2 |   1.033117   .2881752     3.59   0.000     .4683041     1.59793
                 Ukrainian |  -.0151008   .0059114    -2.55   0.011     -.026687   -.0035147
                 unskilled |   .2674465   .5905138     0.45   0.651    -.8899392    1.424832
                 relations |   .0290743   .2158288     0.13   0.893    -.3939425    .4520911
                    female |   .7574097   .3596956     2.11   0.035     .0524192      1.4624
                       age |   .0229261      .0155     1.48   0.139    -.0074534    .0533055
                  univplus |  -.6582767   .2818514    -2.34   0.020    -1.210695   -.1058581
                  employed |   1.665569   .5481824     3.04   0.002     .5911511    2.739987
                 pensioner |   1.200739   .8107153     1.48   0.139    -.3882335    2.789712
                     rural |  -.1784811   .6881619    -0.26   0.795    -1.527254    1.170292
                  quallife |  -.1431074   .1580717    -0.91   0.365    -.4529223    .1667074
              demoverorder |  -.2472803    .157949    -1.57   0.117    -.5568547    .0622942
              ILOunemp2013 |  -.1940516   .1185514    -1.64   0.102    -.4264081     .038305
                 grpmilhry |  -3.74e-06   4.70e-06    -0.80   0.426     -.000013    5.47e-06
                     _cons |    1.52481   .9984198     1.53   0.127     -.432057    3.481677
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   1.16e-32   2.37e-32                      2.10e-34    6.38e-31
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakUkr = 1
note: rusnat2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      rusnat2 dropped and 2 obs not used


Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -105.68485  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -100.90467  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -100.88895  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -100.88895  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -102.20316

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -102.20316  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -101.21494  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -100.81758  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -100.74967  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -100.7456  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood =  -100.7456  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        265
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         22

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       12.0
                                                              max =         38

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =     194.20
Log pseudolikelihood =  -100.7456               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 22 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
          bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.995068   1.222561     3.27   0.001     1.598892    6.391245
                           |
    totaltradeRussiapctgrp |  -.3667827    1.88824    -0.19   0.846    -4.067665      3.3341
                           |
                   rusnat2 |          0  (omitted)
                 Ukrainian |  -.0692094   .0221957    -3.12   0.002    -.1127122   -.0257066
                 unskilled |   -.274277   .5180871    -0.53   0.597    -1.289709    .7411551
                 relations |   -.059969   .2337752    -0.26   0.798    -.5181599     .398222
                    female |   .4361571   .3860681     1.13   0.259    -.3205224    1.192837
                       age |    .034016   .0186219     1.83   0.068    -.0024822    .0705142
                  univplus |  -.4055177   .4808403    -0.84   0.399    -1.347947    .5369119
                  employed |  -.0314549   .7194322    -0.04   0.965    -1.441516    1.378606
                 pensioner |  -.6924528   .9670661    -0.72   0.474    -2.587867    1.202962
                     rural |    .956696   .4670112     2.05   0.041     .0413708    1.872021
                  quallife |   .2850094   .1812468     1.57   0.116    -.0702277    .6402465
              demoverorder |  -.9033354   .1482753    -6.09   0.000     -1.19395   -.6127212
              ILOunemp2013 |   .3876905   .3065827     1.26   0.206    -.2132005    .9885815
                 grpmilhry |   5.05e-06   4.17e-06     1.21   0.225    -3.11e-06    .0000132
                     _cons |   1.370134   2.819994     0.49   0.627    -4.156952     6.89722
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .1671214   .4331254                      .0010399    26.85811
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakUkr = .
no observations

. outreg using logitbcr2diffplusinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.987       1.145       1.239                
                                                                            (0.764)     (0.819)     (0.868)               
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.538       3.783       4.072       6.293    
                                                                           (1.165)**   (1.438)***  (1.899)**    (5.616)   
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       5.824       5.194       6.134                
                                                                           (2.339)**   (2.137)**   (2.925)**              
                        totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               0.796       -0.064      -0.481      -1.339   
                                                                            (2.508)     (2.468)     (2.706)     (4.185)   
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp         0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp           -5.165      -3.281      -3.754               
                                                                            (3.084)*    (3.054)     (3.318)               
                        rusnat2                                              0.769       0.811       0.801       1.033    
                                                                           (0.307)**   (0.358)**   (0.353)**   (0.288)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.037      -0.029      -0.027      -0.015   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)***  (0.006)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.406       -0.122      -0.125      0.267    
                                                                            (0.263)     (0.327)     (0.324)     (0.590)   
                        relations                                            -0.169      -0.030      -0.039      0.029    
                                                                            (0.206)     (0.203)     (0.198)     (0.216)   
                        _cons                                                2.565       0.390       0.200       1.525    
                                                                           (1.197)**    (1.109)     (1.781)     (0.998)   
                        female                                                           0.786       0.789       0.757    
                                                                                       (0.246)***  (0.245)***  (0.360)**  
                        age                                                              0.028       0.028       0.023    
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.010)***   (0.015)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.690      -0.691      -0.658   
                                                                                       (0.285)**   (0.293)**   (0.282)**  
                        employed                                                         0.859       0.846       1.665    
                                                                                       (0.428)**    (0.440)*   (0.548)*** 
                        pensioner                                                        0.245       0.250       1.200    
                                                                                        (0.591)     (0.598)     (0.811)   
                        rural                                                            0.394       0.438       -0.178   
                                                                                        (0.461)     (0.476)     (0.688)   
                        quallife                                                         0.041       0.056       -0.143   
                                                                                        (0.132)     (0.129)     (0.158)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.476      -0.471      -0.247   
                                                                                       (0.093)***  (0.093)***   (0.158)   
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 0.001       -0.194   
                                                                                                    (0.185)     (0.119)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    0.000       -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)     (0.000)   
    bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                                             0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        o.rusnat2                                                                                         
                                                                                                                          
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.520       0.224       0.221       0.000    
                                                                            (0.277)*    (0.198)     (0.206)     (0.000)   
    N                                                                         793         628         628         361     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                             
                                                                                                        
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.995    
                                                                                             (1.223)*** 
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                
                                                                                                        
                                          totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               -0.367   
                                                                                              (1.888)   
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp         0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                    
                                                                                                        
                                          rusnat2                                                       
                                                                                                        
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.069   
                                                                                             (0.022)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            -0.274   
                                                                                              (0.518)   
                                          relations                                            -0.060   
                                                                                              (0.234)   
                                          _cons                                                1.370    
                                                                                              (2.820)   
                                          female                                               0.436    
                                                                                              (0.386)   
                                          age                                                  0.034    
                                                                                              (0.019)*  
                                          univplus                                             -0.406   
                                                                                              (0.481)   
                                          employed                                             -0.031   
                                                                                              (0.719)   
                                          pensioner                                            -0.692   
                                                                                              (0.967)   
                                          rural                                                0.957    
                                                                                             (0.467)**  
                                          quallife                                             0.285    
                                                                                              (0.181)   
                                          demoverorder                                         -0.903   
                                                                                             (0.148)*** 
                                          ILOunemp2013                                         0.388    
                                                                                              (0.307)   
                                          grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                            
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp              
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                  
                                                                                                        
                                          o.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.167    
                                                                                              (0.433)   
                      N                                                                         265     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Table A7
. 
. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.easierspeakRus##c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukra
> inian unskilled relations  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -375.65184  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -373.78626  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -373.78392  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -373.78392  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -368.40235

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -368.40235  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -366.66675  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -365.15258  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -364.32474  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -364.30343  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -364.30338  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -364.30338  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        797
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          5
                                                              avg =       30.7
                                                              max =        117

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(9)      =     107.58
Log pseudolikelihood = -364.30338               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   1.205605   .5922669     2.04   0.042     .0447836    2.366427
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.067343   1.146741     1.80   0.071     -.180228    4.314914
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   6.858809   2.369866     2.89   0.004     2.213956    11.50366
                                             |
                      totaltradeRussiapctgrp |   .2426885   2.252492     0.11   0.914    -4.172115    4.657492
                                             |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                          1  |  -6.179779   2.565657    -2.41   0.016    -11.20837   -1.151184
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   1.004781   .2539563     3.96   0.000     .5070357    1.502526
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0400291   .0103137    -3.88   0.000    -.0602436   -.0198147
                                   unskilled |   .4431341   .2812995     1.58   0.115    -.1082028    .9944709
                                   relations |   .0724375    .264255     0.27   0.784    -.4454927    .5903678
                                       _cons |   1.877329   1.155318     1.62   0.104    -.3870517    4.141711
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .4817213   .2514007                      .1732092    1.339741
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffplusinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) replace

                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    1.206    
                                                                                             (0.592)**  
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.067    
                                                                                              (1.147)*  
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       6.859    
                                                                                             (2.370)*** 
                                          totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               0.243    
                                                                                              (2.252)   
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp         0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp           -6.180   
                                                                                             (2.566)**  
                                          rusnat2                                              1.005    
                                                                                             (0.254)*** 
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.040   
                                                                                             (0.010)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            0.443    
                                                                                              (0.281)   
                                          relations                                            0.072    
                                                                                              (0.264)   
                                          _cons                                                1.877    
                                                                                              (1.155)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.482    
                                                                                              (0.251)*  
                      N                                                                         797     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. meglm  joincunion2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.easierspeakRus##c.totaltradeRussiapc
> tgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner   rural  quallife  demover    [pweight= 
> weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -245.41958  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -237.96914  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -237.92916  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -237.92915  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -240.07797

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -240.07797  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.45745  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -236.59808  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -235.6567  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -235.5774  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -235.57622  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -235.57622  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        632
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.3
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =    1145.98
Log pseudolikelihood = -235.57622               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                     rusnat2 |   1.077381   .3261243     3.30   0.001     .4381894    1.716573
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0307577   .0078267    -3.93   0.000    -.0460978   -.0154175
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   1.771458   .7264556     2.44   0.015     .3476314    3.195285
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.861207    1.49105     1.92   0.055     -.061197    5.783612
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   7.467443   2.525734     2.96   0.003     2.517095    12.41779
                                             |
                      totaltradeRussiapctgrp |  -.5573783   2.371957    -0.23   0.814    -5.206329    4.091572
                                             |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                          1  |  -4.514596   2.692882    -1.68   0.094    -9.792547    .7633557
                                             |
                                   unskilled |  -.1976852   .3486687    -0.57   0.571    -.8810634    .4856929
                                   relations |   .2215834   .2181145     1.02   0.310    -.2059132    .6490799
                                      female |   .6559059   .2796814     2.35   0.019     .1077405    1.204071
                                         age |   .0209272   .0114118     1.83   0.067    -.0014394    .0432939
                                    univplus |  -.5705092   .2930103    -1.95   0.052    -1.144799    .0037806
                                    employed |   .8621131   .4198964     2.05   0.040     .0391313    1.685095
                                   pensioner |   .9250582   .6490325     1.43   0.154    -.3470221    2.197138
                                       rural |   .7451722   .4197085     1.78   0.076    -.0774413    1.567786
                                    quallife |  -.1094051    .110746    -0.99   0.323    -.3264633    .1076531
                                demoverorder |  -.3711613   .1107973    -3.35   0.001      -.58832   -.1540025
                                       _cons |  -.4792985   1.254852    -0.38   0.702    -2.938763    1.980166
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2444986   .1834155                      .0561993    1.063707
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffplusinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss                                    1.206       1.771    
                                                                                       (0.592)**   (0.726)**  
                                    tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.067       2.861    
                                                                                        (1.147)*    (1.491)*  
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       6.859       7.467    
                                                                                       (2.370)***  (2.526)*** 
                                    totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               0.243       -0.557   
                                                                                        (2.252)     (2.372)   
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp         0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp           -6.180      -4.515   
                                                                                       (2.566)**    (2.693)*  
                                    rusnat2                                              1.005       1.077    
                                                                                       (0.254)***  (0.326)*** 
                                    Ukrainian                                            -0.040      -0.031   
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.008)*** 
                                    unskilled                                            0.443       -0.198   
                                                                                        (0.281)     (0.349)   
                                    relations                                            0.072       0.222    
                                                                                        (0.264)     (0.218)   
                                    _cons                                                1.877       -0.479   
                                                                                        (1.155)     (1.255)   
                                    female                                                           0.656    
                                                                                                   (0.280)**  
                                    age                                                              0.021    
                                                                                                    (0.011)*  
                                    univplus                                                         -0.571   
                                                                                                    (0.293)*  
                                    employed                                                         0.862    
                                                                                                   (0.420)**  
                                    pensioner                                                        0.925    
                                                                                                    (0.649)   
                                    rural                                                            0.745    
                                                                                                    (0.420)*  
                                    quallife                                                         -0.109   
                                                                                                    (0.111)   
                                    demoverorder                                                     -0.371   
                                                                                                   (0.111)*** 
                var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.482       0.244    
                                                                                        (0.251)*    (0.183)   
                N                                                                         797         632     
               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. meglm  joincunion2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.easierspeakRus##c.totaltradeRussiapc
> tgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpm
> ilhry  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -244.73956  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -236.59529  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -236.55066  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -236.55064  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -239.09121

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -239.09121  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -236.48699  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -235.66633  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -234.93084  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -234.91069  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -234.91064  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -234.91064  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        632
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.3
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(19)     =    2484.18
Log pseudolikelihood = -234.91064               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                     rusnat2 |   1.065392   .3109553     3.43   0.001      .455931    1.674853
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0260784   .0083804    -3.11   0.002    -.0425037   -.0096531
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   1.997841   .7925738     2.52   0.012     .4444253    3.551257
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.538575   2.026128     1.75   0.081    -.4325616    7.509712
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   9.427506   3.188336     2.96   0.003     3.178483    15.67653
                                             |
                      totaltradeRussiapctgrp |  -1.341996    2.71135    -0.49   0.621    -6.656145    3.972154
                                             |
    easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp |
                                          1  |  -5.624083    2.94072    -1.91   0.056    -11.38779    .1396226
                                             |
                                   unskilled |  -.2072797   .3439892    -0.60   0.547    -.8814862    .4669268
                                   relations |   .2051687   .2098155     0.98   0.328    -.2060622    .6163995
                                      female |    .652916   .2753468     2.37   0.018     .1132463    1.192586
                                         age |   .0214647   .0115239     1.86   0.063    -.0011218    .0440512
                                    univplus |   -.562669   .2949085    -1.91   0.056    -1.140679    .0153409
                                    employed |   .8276283   .4312388     1.92   0.055    -.0175842    1.672841
                                   pensioner |   .9149664   .6583403     1.39   0.165    -.3753568     2.20529
                                       rural |   .8513641   .4427853     1.92   0.055    -.0164792    1.719207
                                    quallife |  -.0891771   .1075357    -0.83   0.407    -.2999432     .121589
                                demoverorder |  -.3582983   .1130945    -3.17   0.002    -.5799595   -.1366371
                                ILOunemp2013 |  -.0702748    .170348    -0.41   0.680    -.4041507     .263601
                                   grpmilhry |   2.96e-06   2.92e-06     1.01   0.312    -2.77e-06    8.69e-06
                                       _cons |  -.4624629   1.859647    -0.25   0.804    -4.107304    3.182379
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2112607   .1665801                      .0450445    .9908215
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffplusinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss                                    1.206       1.771       1.998    
                                                                                 (0.592)**   (0.726)**   (0.793)**  
                              tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.067       2.861       3.539    
                                                                                  (1.147)*    (1.491)*    (2.026)*  
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       6.859       7.467       9.428    
                                                                                 (2.370)***  (2.526)***  (3.188)*** 
                              totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               0.243       -0.557      -1.342   
                                                                                  (2.252)     (2.372)     (2.711)   
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp         0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp           -6.180      -4.515      -5.624   
                                                                                 (2.566)**    (2.693)*    (2.941)*  
                              rusnat2                                              1.005       1.077       1.065    
                                                                                 (0.254)***  (0.326)***  (0.311)*** 
                              Ukrainian                                            -0.040      -0.031      -0.026   
                                                                                 (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.008)*** 
                              unskilled                                            0.443       -0.198      -0.207   
                                                                                  (0.281)     (0.349)     (0.344)   
                              relations                                            0.072       0.222       0.205    
                                                                                  (0.264)     (0.218)     (0.210)   
                              _cons                                                1.877       -0.479      -0.462   
                                                                                  (1.155)     (1.255)     (1.860)   
                              female                                                           0.656       0.653    
                                                                                             (0.280)**   (0.275)**  
                              age                                                              0.021       0.021    
                                                                                              (0.011)*    (0.012)*  
                              univplus                                                         -0.571      -0.563   
                                                                                              (0.293)*    (0.295)*  
                              employed                                                         0.862       0.828    
                                                                                             (0.420)**    (0.431)*  
                              pensioner                                                        0.925       0.915    
                                                                                              (0.649)     (0.658)   
                              rural                                                            0.745       0.851    
                                                                                              (0.420)*    (0.443)*  
                              quallife                                                         -0.109      -0.089   
                                                                                              (0.111)     (0.108)   
                              demoverorder                                                     -0.371      -0.358   
                                                                                             (0.111)***  (0.113)*** 
                              ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.070   
                                                                                                          (0.170)   
                              grpmilhry                                                                    0.000    
                                                                                                          (0.000)   
          var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.482       0.244       0.211    
                                                                                  (0.251)*    (0.183)     (0.167)   
          N                                                                         797         632         632     
         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  joincunion2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.easierspeakRus##c.totaltradeRussiap
> ctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grp
> milhry if easierspeakR==1 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -144.9986  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -142.22608  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -142.19984  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -142.19982  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -142.19982  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -146.08938

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -146.08938  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.30213  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.17707  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.16067  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.16067  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        367
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         17

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       21.6
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(16)     =   30488.10
Log pseudolikelihood = -142.16067               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 17 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
               joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                   rusnat2 |   1.257047   .2711516     4.64   0.000        .7256    1.788495
                 Ukrainian |  -.0164385   .0077622    -2.12   0.034    -.0316522   -.0012249
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   10.08992   5.877677     1.72   0.086    -1.430112    21.60996
                           |
    totaltradeRussiapctgrp |  -5.039191   4.172014    -1.21   0.227    -13.21619    3.137806
                           |
                 unskilled |   .0101726   .6192362     0.02   0.987    -1.203508    1.223853
                 relations |   .2301538   .2808156     0.82   0.412    -.3202347    .7805424
                    female |   .8480956   .3400986     2.49   0.013     .1815147    1.514677
                       age |   .0204448    .015232     1.34   0.180    -.0094093     .050299
                  univplus |  -.4428689   .2681833    -1.65   0.099    -.9684985    .0827607
                  employed |   1.093155   .3988788     2.74   0.006     .3113667    1.874943
                 pensioner |   1.051297   .6883922     1.53   0.127    -.2979265    2.400521
                     rural |  -.0256604   .7029492    -0.04   0.971    -1.403415    1.352095
                  quallife |  -.2431089   .1487161    -1.63   0.102     -.534587    .0483692
              demoverorder |  -.2810033   .1436786    -1.96   0.050    -.5626083    .0006016
              ILOunemp2013 |  -.1447619   .1408063    -1.03   0.304    -.4207372    .1312134
                 grpmilhry |  -4.10e-07   5.00e-06    -0.08   0.935    -.0000102    9.39e-06
                     _cons |    1.53762   1.648499     0.93   0.351    -1.693378    4.768618
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .0339922   .1351566                       .000014    82.38567
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffplusinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    1.206       1.771       1.998                
                                                                           (0.592)**   (0.726)**   (0.793)**              
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.067       2.861       3.539       10.090   
                                                                            (1.147)*    (1.491)*    (2.026)*    (5.878)*  
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       6.859       7.467       9.428                
                                                                           (2.370)***  (2.526)***  (3.188)***             
                        totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               0.243       -0.557      -1.342      -5.039   
                                                                            (2.252)     (2.372)     (2.711)     (4.172)   
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp         0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp           -6.180      -4.515      -5.624               
                                                                           (2.566)**    (2.693)*    (2.941)*              
                        rusnat2                                              1.005       1.077       1.065       1.257    
                                                                           (0.254)***  (0.326)***  (0.311)***  (0.271)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.040      -0.031      -0.026      -0.016   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.008)***  (0.008)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.443       -0.198      -0.207      0.010    
                                                                            (0.281)     (0.349)     (0.344)     (0.619)   
                        relations                                            0.072       0.222       0.205       0.230    
                                                                            (0.264)     (0.218)     (0.210)     (0.281)   
                        _cons                                                1.877       -0.479      -0.462      1.538    
                                                                            (1.155)     (1.255)     (1.860)     (1.648)   
                        female                                                           0.656       0.653       0.848    
                                                                                       (0.280)**   (0.275)**   (0.340)**  
                        age                                                              0.021       0.021       0.020    
                                                                                        (0.011)*    (0.012)*    (0.015)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.571      -0.563      -0.443   
                                                                                        (0.293)*    (0.295)*    (0.268)*  
                        employed                                                         0.862       0.828       1.093    
                                                                                       (0.420)**    (0.431)*   (0.399)*** 
                        pensioner                                                        0.925       0.915       1.051    
                                                                                        (0.649)     (0.658)     (0.688)   
                        rural                                                            0.745       0.851       -0.026   
                                                                                        (0.420)*    (0.443)*    (0.703)   
                        quallife                                                         -0.109      -0.089      -0.243   
                                                                                        (0.111)     (0.108)     (0.149)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.371      -0.358      -0.281   
                                                                                       (0.111)***  (0.113)***   (0.144)*  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.070      -0.145   
                                                                                                    (0.170)     (0.141)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    0.000       -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)     (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                                             0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.482       0.244       0.211       0.034    
                                                                            (0.251)*    (0.183)     (0.167)     (0.135)   
    N                                                                         797         632         632         367     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  joincunion2 rusnat2 c.Ukrainian i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.easierspeakRus##c.totaltradeRussiap
> ctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grp
> milhry if easierspeakR==0 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)
note: rusnat2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      rusnat2 dropped and 3 obs not used


Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -91.022322  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -84.223852  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -84.102865  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -84.102605  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -84.102605  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -83.440905

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -83.440905  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -83.308542  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -82.902599  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -82.891318  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -82.89128  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood =  -82.89128  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        262
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         22

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       11.9
                                                              max =         38

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =      52.86
Log pseudolikelihood =  -82.89128               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 22 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
               joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                   rusnat2 |          0  (omitted)
                 Ukrainian |  -.0824512   .0303829    -2.71   0.007    -.1420006   -.0229017
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.486024   1.551657     2.25   0.025     .4448327    6.527215
                           |
    totaltradeRussiapctgrp |  -1.248534   2.315096    -0.54   0.590    -5.786039    3.288972
                           |
                 unskilled |  -.2989997   .5695757    -0.52   0.600    -1.415348    .8173483
                 relations |   .2881218   .2683466     1.07   0.283    -.2378278    .8140715
                    female |   .0103196   .4591462     0.02   0.982    -.8895904    .9102296
                       age |   .0349887   .0230062     1.52   0.128    -.0101027    .0800801
                  univplus |   -.480425   .6216826    -0.77   0.440    -1.698901    .7380506
                  employed |   .1322679   .9067231     0.15   0.884    -1.644877    1.909412
                 pensioner |   .3334368   1.257104     0.27   0.791    -2.130442    2.797316
                     rural |   1.524678   .4345573     3.51   0.000     .6729616    2.376395
                  quallife |   .0781971   .1370497     0.57   0.568    -.1904154    .3468096
              demoverorder |  -.7051808   .2582037    -2.73   0.006    -1.211251   -.1991109
              ILOunemp2013 |   .2526199   .3989001     0.63   0.527      -.52921     1.03445
                 grpmilhry |   5.31e-06   4.67e-06     1.14   0.255    -3.83e-06    .0000145
                     _cons |   1.629501   2.860155     0.57   0.569    -3.976301    7.235302
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .7781343   .8238343                      .0976926     6.19794
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffplusinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    1.206       1.771       1.998                
                                                                           (0.592)**   (0.726)**   (0.793)**              
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.067       2.861       3.539       10.090   
                                                                            (1.147)*    (1.491)*    (2.026)*    (5.878)*  
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       6.859       7.467       9.428                
                                                                           (2.370)***  (2.526)***  (3.188)***             
                        totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               0.243       -0.557      -1.342      -5.039   
                                                                            (2.252)     (2.372)     (2.711)     (4.172)   
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp         0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp           -6.180      -4.515      -5.624               
                                                                           (2.566)**    (2.693)*    (2.941)*              
                        rusnat2                                              1.005       1.077       1.065       1.257    
                                                                           (0.254)***  (0.326)***  (0.311)***  (0.271)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.040      -0.031      -0.026      -0.016   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.008)***  (0.008)***  (0.008)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.443       -0.198      -0.207      0.010    
                                                                            (0.281)     (0.349)     (0.344)     (0.619)   
                        relations                                            0.072       0.222       0.205       0.230    
                                                                            (0.264)     (0.218)     (0.210)     (0.281)   
                        _cons                                                1.877       -0.479      -0.462      1.538    
                                                                            (1.155)     (1.255)     (1.860)     (1.648)   
                        female                                                           0.656       0.653       0.848    
                                                                                       (0.280)**   (0.275)**   (0.340)**  
                        age                                                              0.021       0.021       0.020    
                                                                                        (0.011)*    (0.012)*    (0.015)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.571      -0.563      -0.443   
                                                                                        (0.293)*    (0.295)*    (0.268)*  
                        employed                                                         0.862       0.828       1.093    
                                                                                       (0.420)**    (0.431)*   (0.399)*** 
                        pensioner                                                        0.925       0.915       1.051    
                                                                                        (0.649)     (0.658)     (0.688)   
                        rural                                                            0.745       0.851       -0.026   
                                                                                        (0.420)*    (0.443)*    (0.703)   
                        quallife                                                         -0.109      -0.089      -0.243   
                                                                                        (0.111)     (0.108)     (0.149)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.371      -0.358      -0.281   
                                                                                       (0.111)***  (0.113)***   (0.144)*  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.070      -0.145   
                                                                                                    (0.170)     (0.141)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    0.000       -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)     (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                                             0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
    joincunion2         o.rusnat2                                                                                         
                                                                                                                          
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.482       0.244       0.211       0.034    
                                                                            (0.251)*    (0.183)     (0.167)     (0.135)   
    N                                                                         797         632         632         367     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                             
                                                                                                        
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.486    
                                                                                             (1.552)**  
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                
                                                                                                        
                                          totaltradeRussiapctgrp                               -1.249   
                                                                                              (2.315)   
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp         0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                    
                                                                                                        
                                          rusnat2                                                       
                                                                                                        
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.082   
                                                                                             (0.030)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            -0.299   
                                                                                              (0.570)   
                                          relations                                            0.288    
                                                                                              (0.268)   
                                          _cons                                                1.630    
                                                                                              (2.860)   
                                          female                                               0.010    
                                                                                              (0.459)   
                                          age                                                  0.035    
                                                                                              (0.023)   
                                          univplus                                             -0.480   
                                                                                              (0.622)   
                                          employed                                             0.132    
                                                                                              (0.907)   
                                          pensioner                                            0.333    
                                                                                              (1.257)   
                                          rural                                                1.525    
                                                                                             (0.435)*** 
                                          quallife                                             0.078    
                                                                                              (0.137)   
                                          demoverorder                                         -0.705   
                                                                                             (0.258)*** 
                                          ILOunemp2013                                         0.253    
                                                                                              (0.399)   
                                          grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss                                            
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp              
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.totaltradeRussiapctgrp                  
                                                                                                        
                      joincunion2         o.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.778    
                                                                                              (0.824)   
                      N                                                                         262     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. *Figure A1
. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univpl
> us employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial
> ) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -246.70888  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -239.22979  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -239.1996  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -239.19959  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -241.67785

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -241.67785  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -239.00993  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -238.3268  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.30208  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.25052  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.24968  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.24968  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        632
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.3
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     866.27
Log pseudolikelihood = -237.24968               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .9382091   .4156325     2.26   0.024     .1235844    1.752834
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.661672   1.150058     2.31   0.021      .407599    4.915744
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |    3.11386   2.921204     1.07   0.286    -2.611594    8.839314
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   1.120557   .3484261     3.22   0.001     .4376541    1.803459
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0288985   .0082833    -3.49   0.000    -.0451336   -.0126635
                                   unskilled |   -.217441   .3588126    -0.61   0.545    -.9207008    .4858188
                                   relations |   .2538183   .2147122     1.18   0.237    -.1670099    .6746464
                                      female |   .6441827   .2947252     2.19   0.029     .0665319    1.221834
                                         age |   .0214705   .0110841     1.94   0.053     -.000254     .043195
                                    univplus |  -.5813518   .2985326    -1.95   0.051    -1.166465    .0037614
                                    employed |   .8346939   .4340134     1.92   0.054    -.0159567    1.685345
                                   pensioner |   .8472556   .6415162     1.32   0.187     -.410093    2.104604
                                       rural |   .7311074   .4303977     1.70   0.089    -.1124565    1.574671
                                    quallife |  -.1199366   .1104509    -1.09   0.278    -.3364164    .0965432
                                demoverorder |  -.3607063   .1090808    -3.31   0.001    -.5745008   -.1469118
                                ILOunemp2013 |   -.067904   .1786491    -0.38   0.704    -.4180499    .2822418
                                   grpmilhry |  -9.43e-07   2.91e-06    -0.32   0.746    -6.64e-06    4.76e-06
                                       _cons |  -.1985862   1.813357    -0.11   0.913      -3.7527    3.355528
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2528074   .2452229                      .0377681     1.69221
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(tottradediffR=( -.6 (.1) .3) easierspeakR=(0  1)) vsquish 

Predictive margins                              Number of obs     =        632
Model VCE    : Robust

Expression   : Marginal predicted mean, predict()
1._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =         -.6
2._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =         -.5
3._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =         -.4
4._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =         -.3
5._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =         -.2
6._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =         -.1
7._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =           0
8._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =          .1
9._at        : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =          .2
10._at       : easierspeakRuss =           0
               tottradedi~p    =          .3
11._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =         -.6
12._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =         -.5
13._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =         -.4
14._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =         -.3
15._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =         -.2
16._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =         -.1
17._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =           0
18._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =          .1
19._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =          .2
20._at       : easierspeakRuss =           1
               tottradedi~p    =          .3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |   .1568926   .0599831     2.62   0.009     .0393279    .2744573
          2  |   .1828832   .0570748     3.20   0.001     .0710187    .2947477
          3  |    .211589   .0533562     3.97   0.000     .1070129    .3161651
          4  |   .2429985   .0497056     4.89   0.000     .1455773    .3404197
          5  |   .2770418     .04763     5.82   0.000     .1836888    .3703948
          6  |    .313582   .0490363     6.39   0.000     .2174726    .4096913
          7  |   .3524071   .0551939     6.38   0.000     .2442289    .4605852
          8  |   .3932254   .0658628     5.97   0.000     .2641367    .5223142
          9  |   .4356648   .0797857     5.46   0.000     .2792877    .5920419
         10  |    .479277   .0955365     5.02   0.000     .2920288    .6665252
         11  |   .0864909   .0952273     0.91   0.364    -.1001513     .273133
         12  |   .1265761   .1073186     1.18   0.238    -.0837645    .3369167
         13  |   .1786862   .1118913     1.60   0.110    -.0406168    .3979891
         14  |   .2434972   .1062619     2.29   0.022     .0352276    .4517667
         15  |   .3206041   .0892225     3.59   0.000     .1457313    .4954769
         16  |   .4081274   .0628715     6.49   0.000     .2849015    .5313533
         17  |   .5024672   .0389431    12.90   0.000     .4261401    .5787942
         18  |   .5984946   .0470566    12.72   0.000     .5062653    .6907239
         19  |   .6903179   .0741315     9.31   0.000     .5450229    .8356129
         20  |   .7724524   .0946729     8.16   0.000     .5868969    .9580078
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. marginsplot

  Variables that uniquely identify margins: tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp easierspeakRuss

. 
. **Figure A2
. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univpl
> us employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial
> ) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -246.70888  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -239.22979  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -239.1996  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -239.19959  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -241.67785

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -241.67785  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -239.00993  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -238.3268  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.30208  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.25052  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.24968  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.24968  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        632
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.3
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     866.27
Log pseudolikelihood = -237.24968               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .9382091   .4156325     2.26   0.024     .1235844    1.752834
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.661672   1.150058     2.31   0.021      .407599    4.915744
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |    3.11386   2.921204     1.07   0.286    -2.611594    8.839314
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   1.120557   .3484261     3.22   0.001     .4376541    1.803459
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0288985   .0082833    -3.49   0.000    -.0451336   -.0126635
                                   unskilled |   -.217441   .3588126    -0.61   0.545    -.9207008    .4858188
                                   relations |   .2538183   .2147122     1.18   0.237    -.1670099    .6746464
                                      female |   .6441827   .2947252     2.19   0.029     .0665319    1.221834
                                         age |   .0214705   .0110841     1.94   0.053     -.000254     .043195
                                    univplus |  -.5813518   .2985326    -1.95   0.051    -1.166465    .0037614
                                    employed |   .8346939   .4340134     1.92   0.054    -.0159567    1.685345
                                   pensioner |   .8472556   .6415162     1.32   0.187     -.410093    2.104604
                                       rural |   .7311074   .4303977     1.70   0.089    -.1124565    1.574671
                                    quallife |  -.1199366   .1104509    -1.09   0.278    -.3364164    .0965432
                                demoverorder |  -.3607063   .1090808    -3.31   0.001    -.5745008   -.1469118
                                ILOunemp2013 |   -.067904   .1786491    -0.38   0.704    -.4180499    .2822418
                                   grpmilhry |  -9.43e-07   2.91e-06    -0.32   0.746    -6.64e-06    4.76e-06
                                       _cons |  -.1985862   1.813357    -0.11   0.913      -3.7527    3.355528
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2528074   .2452229                      .0377681     1.69221
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. margins, at(tottradediffR=( -.6 (.1) .3) Ukrainian=(25  75)) vsquish 

Predictive margins                              Number of obs     =        632
Model VCE    : Robust

Expression   : Marginal predicted mean, predict()
1._at        : tottradedi~p    =         -.6
               Ukrainian       =          25
2._at        : tottradedi~p    =         -.6
               Ukrainian       =          75
3._at        : tottradedi~p    =         -.5
               Ukrainian       =          25
4._at        : tottradedi~p    =         -.5
               Ukrainian       =          75
5._at        : tottradedi~p    =         -.4
               Ukrainian       =          25
6._at        : tottradedi~p    =         -.4
               Ukrainian       =          75
7._at        : tottradedi~p    =         -.3
               Ukrainian       =          25
8._at        : tottradedi~p    =         -.3
               Ukrainian       =          75
9._at        : tottradedi~p    =         -.2
               Ukrainian       =          25
10._at       : tottradedi~p    =         -.2
               Ukrainian       =          75
11._at       : tottradedi~p    =         -.1
               Ukrainian       =          25
12._at       : tottradedi~p    =         -.1
               Ukrainian       =          75
13._at       : tottradedi~p    =           0
               Ukrainian       =          25
14._at       : tottradedi~p    =           0
               Ukrainian       =          75
15._at       : tottradedi~p    =          .1
               Ukrainian       =          25
16._at       : tottradedi~p    =          .1
               Ukrainian       =          75
17._at       : tottradedi~p    =          .2
               Ukrainian       =          25
18._at       : tottradedi~p    =          .2
               Ukrainian       =          75
19._at       : tottradedi~p    =          .3
               Ukrainian       =          25
20._at       : tottradedi~p    =          .3
               Ukrainian       =          75

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             |            Delta-method
             |     Margin   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         _at |
          1  |    .191739   .1137639     1.69   0.092    -.0312341    .4147122
          2  |   .0630126   .0405279     1.55   0.120    -.0164206    .1424457
          3  |   .2508614    .123192     2.04   0.042     .0094096    .4923131
          4  |   .0891834   .0501081     1.78   0.075    -.0090266    .1873934
          5  |   .3209618   .1231587     2.61   0.009     .0795751    .5623485
          6  |   .1251352   .0575842     2.17   0.030     .0122722    .2379983
          7  |   .3993359   .1131922     3.53   0.000     .1774834    .6211885
          8  |    .172441   .0600262     2.87   0.004     .0547918    .2900902
          9  |   .4816747   .0967509     4.98   0.000     .2920463    .6713031
         10  |   .2314297   .0555977     4.16   0.000     .1224602    .3403993
         11  |   .5629637   .0801831     7.02   0.000     .4058076    .7201197
         12  |   .3006255     .04588     6.55   0.000     .2107024    .3905487
         13  |    .638592   .0693532     9.21   0.000     .5026622    .7745219
         14  |   .3767121   .0385392     9.77   0.000     .3011766    .4522476
         15  |   .7052704   .0653194    10.80   0.000     .5772467    .8332942
         16  |   .4551514   .0430377    10.58   0.000     .3707991    .5395038
         17  |   .7614898   .0647552    11.76   0.000      .634572    .8884076
         18  |   .5312179   .0550013     9.66   0.000     .4234173    .6390185
         19  |   .8074171   .0647994    12.46   0.000     .6804127    .9344216
         20  |   .6010356   .0656196     9.16   0.000     .4724236    .7296476
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. marginsplot

  Variables that uniquely identify margins: tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp Ukrainian

. 
. 
. **Table A8
. meglm  bettercloserrus  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations  [pweight= we
> ight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(ordinal) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -1016.3977  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -848.4338  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -847.68154  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -847.67873  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -847.67873  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -839.28063

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -839.28063  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -835.51829  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -834.61653  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -834.61204  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -834.61204  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        976
Family:                 ordinal
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          6
                                                              avg =       37.5
                                                              max =        135

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(7)      =     125.01
Log pseudolikelihood = -834.61204               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                             bettercloserrus |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .2637599   .3143489     0.84   0.401    -.3523527    .8798725
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.501124   .6766571     3.70   0.000       1.1749    3.827347
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   -.267245   1.169645    -0.23   0.819    -2.559707    2.025217
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .6635063   .2504339     2.65   0.008     .1726648    1.154348
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0258254   .0073271    -3.52   0.000    -.0401863   -.0114646
                                   unskilled |   .3049228   .2043109     1.49   0.136    -.0955191    .7053648
                                   relations |  -.0779509   .1384197    -0.56   0.573    -.3492485    .1933466
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                       /cut1 |  -2.213174    .696749    -3.18   0.001    -3.578777   -.8475709
                                       /cut2 |  -1.128612   .7153576    -1.58   0.115    -2.530688    .2734626
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .3171887   .1397008                      .1337887    .7519968
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using ologitbcrdiffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) replace

                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      bettercloserrus     0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.264    
                                                                                              (0.314)   
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.501    
                                                                                             (0.677)*** 
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       -0.267   
                                                                                              (1.170)   
                                          rusnat2                                              0.664    
                                                                                             (0.250)*** 
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.026   
                                                                                             (0.007)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            0.305    
                                                                                              (0.204)   
                                          relations                                            -0.078   
                                                                                              (0.138)   
                      cut1                _cons                                                -2.213   
                                                                                             (0.697)*** 
                      cut2                _cons                                                -1.129   
                                                                                              (0.715)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.317    
                                                                                             (0.140)**  
                      N                                                                         976     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian  unskilled relations female age u
> nivplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(ordinal) li
> nk(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -755.27521  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -582.54837  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -580.6535  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -580.65064  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -580.65064  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -581.11813

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -581.11813  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -577.89628  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -576.81255  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -575.46777  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -575.29883  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -575.29347  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -575.29345  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        757
Family:                 ordinal
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       29.1
                                                              max =        116

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =     480.92
Log pseudolikelihood = -575.29345               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                             bettercloserrus |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .5674331   .4035566     1.41   0.160    -.2235234     1.35839
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.703769   .5076961     5.33   0.000     1.708703    3.698835
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   .5082248   1.598143     0.32   0.750    -2.624078    3.640528
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .6386993   .3110374     2.05   0.040     .0290771    1.248322
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0231482   .0073089    -3.17   0.002    -.0374734   -.0088231
                                   unskilled |  -.0883142   .2291088    -0.39   0.700    -.5373591    .3607307
                                   relations |   .0257679   .1236917     0.21   0.835    -.2166634    .2681992
                                      female |   .6707758   .1525615     4.40   0.000     .3717609    .9697908
                                         age |   .0164418   .0101446     1.62   0.105    -.0034412    .0363248
                                    univplus |   -.383924   .2011395    -1.91   0.056    -.7781502    .0103022
                                    employed |   .7436444   .3162822     2.35   0.019     .1237428    1.363546
                                   pensioner |   .5190784   .4774476     1.09   0.277    -.4167017    1.454858
                                       rural |   .3550547   .3474692     1.02   0.307    -.3259724    1.036082
                                    quallife |  -.0810843   .1135577    -0.71   0.475    -.3036532    .1414847
                                demoverorder |  -.3583553   .0873634    -4.10   0.000    -.5295844   -.1871261
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                       /cut1 |   -.911103    1.06681    -0.85   0.393    -3.002012    1.179806
                                       /cut2 |   .1768878   1.055688     0.17   0.867    -1.892222    2.245998
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2158344   .1113188                      .0785425    .5931116
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using ologitbcrdiffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                bettercloserrus     0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.264       0.567    
                                                                                        (0.314)     (0.404)   
                                    tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.501       2.704    
                                                                                       (0.677)***  (0.508)*** 
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       -0.267      0.508    
                                                                                        (1.170)     (1.598)   
                                    rusnat2                                              0.664       0.639    
                                                                                       (0.250)***  (0.311)**  
                                    Ukrainian                                            -0.026      -0.023   
                                                                                       (0.007)***  (0.007)*** 
                                    unskilled                                            0.305       -0.088   
                                                                                        (0.204)     (0.229)   
                                    relations                                            -0.078      0.026    
                                                                                        (0.138)     (0.124)   
                cut1                _cons                                                -2.213      -0.911   
                                                                                       (0.697)***   (1.067)   
                cut2                _cons                                                -1.129      0.177    
                                                                                        (0.715)     (1.056)   
                                    female                                                           0.671    
                                                                                                   (0.153)*** 
                                    age                                                              0.016    
                                                                                                    (0.010)   
                                    univplus                                                         -0.384   
                                                                                                    (0.201)*  
                                    employed                                                         0.744    
                                                                                                   (0.316)**  
                                    pensioner                                                        0.519    
                                                                                                    (0.477)   
                                    rural                                                            0.355    
                                                                                                    (0.347)   
                                    quallife                                                         -0.081   
                                                                                                    (0.114)   
                                    demoverorder                                                     -0.358   
                                                                                                   (0.087)*** 
                var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.317       0.216    
                                                                                       (0.140)**    (0.111)*  
                N                                                                         976         757     
               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age un
> ivplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , fa
> mily(ordinal) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -755.27521  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -581.10785  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -579.13424  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -579.13142  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -579.13142  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -581.70536

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -581.70536  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -577.10532  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -575.48195  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -575.08095  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -575.06075  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -575.06075  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        757
Family:                 ordinal
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       29.1
                                                              max =        116

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     491.71
Log pseudolikelihood = -575.06075               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                             bettercloserrus |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .5827314   .4144186     1.41   0.160    -.2295142    1.394977
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.738437   .5958654     4.60   0.000     1.570562    3.906311
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   .0642854   1.677309     0.04   0.969    -3.223181    3.351751
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |    .645716   .3041734     2.12   0.034      .049547    1.241885
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0230932   .0070448    -3.28   0.001    -.0369008   -.0092856
                                   unskilled |  -.0953184   .2331744    -0.41   0.683     -.552332    .3616951
                                   relations |   .0282699   .1275949     0.22   0.825    -.2218115    .2783514
                                      female |   .6760953   .1498311     4.51   0.000     .3824318    .9697588
                                         age |   .0162815   .0101799     1.60   0.110    -.0036708    .0362338
                                    univplus |  -.3774786   .2082174    -1.81   0.070    -.7855772      .03062
                                    employed |   .7572926   .3191738     2.37   0.018     .1317234    1.382862
                                   pensioner |   .5206361   .4802574     1.08   0.278    -.4206512    1.461923
                                       rural |   .3426219   .3472763     0.99   0.324    -.3380271    1.023271
                                    quallife |  -.0894402   .1130982    -0.79   0.429    -.3111086    .1322282
                                demoverorder |  -.3567148   .0870196    -4.10   0.000      -.52727   -.1861597
                                ILOunemp2013 |  -.0438164   .1349242    -0.32   0.745     -.308263    .2206303
                                   grpmilhry |  -1.63e-06   2.25e-06    -0.72   0.469    -6.05e-06    2.78e-06
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                       /cut1 |   -1.35739    1.36444    -0.99   0.320    -4.031643    1.316864
                                       /cut2 |  -.2710551   1.348065    -0.20   0.841    -2.913213    2.371103
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .1897352    .131328                      .0488626    .7367491
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using ologitbcrdiffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          bettercloserrus     0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.264       0.567       0.583    
                                                                                  (0.314)     (0.404)     (0.414)   
                              tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.501       2.704       2.738    
                                                                                 (0.677)***  (0.508)***  (0.596)*** 
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       -0.267      0.508       0.064    
                                                                                  (1.170)     (1.598)     (1.677)   
                              rusnat2                                              0.664       0.639       0.646    
                                                                                 (0.250)***  (0.311)**   (0.304)**  
                              Ukrainian                                            -0.026      -0.023      -0.023   
                                                                                 (0.007)***  (0.007)***  (0.007)*** 
                              unskilled                                            0.305       -0.088      -0.095   
                                                                                  (0.204)     (0.229)     (0.233)   
                              relations                                            -0.078      0.026       0.028    
                                                                                  (0.138)     (0.124)     (0.128)   
          cut1                _cons                                                -2.213      -0.911      -1.357   
                                                                                 (0.697)***   (1.067)     (1.364)   
          cut2                _cons                                                -1.129      0.177       -0.271   
                                                                                  (0.715)     (1.056)     (1.348)   
                              female                                                           0.671                
                                                                                             (0.153)***             
                              age                                                              0.016                
                                                                                              (0.010)               
                              univplus                                                         -0.384               
                                                                                              (0.201)*              
                              employed                                                         0.744                
                                                                                             (0.316)**              
                              pensioner                                                        0.519                
                                                                                              (0.477)               
                              rural                                                            0.355                
                                                                                              (0.347)               
                              quallife                                                         -0.081               
                                                                                              (0.114)               
                              demoverorder                                                     -0.358               
                                                                                             (0.087)***             
                              female                                                                       0.676    
                                                                                                         (0.150)*** 
                              age                                                                          0.016    
                                                                                                          (0.010)   
                              univplus                                                                     -0.377   
                                                                                                          (0.208)*  
                              employed                                                                     0.757    
                                                                                                         (0.319)**  
                              pensioner                                                                    0.521    
                                                                                                          (0.480)   
                              rural                                                                        0.343    
                                                                                                          (0.347)   
                              quallife                                                                     -0.089   
                                                                                                          (0.113)   
                              demoverorder                                                                 -0.357   
                                                                                                         (0.087)*** 
                              ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.044   
                                                                                                          (0.135)   
                              grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000   
                                                                                                          (0.000)   
          var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.317       0.216       0.190    
                                                                                 (0.140)**    (0.111)*    (0.131)   
          N                                                                         976         757         757     
         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age un
> ivplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry if easierspeakR==1 [pweight= weight_Ukraine
> ] || Oblast:  , family(ordinal) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -383.90283  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -332.2101  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -330.49879  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -330.49423  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -330.49423  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -335.74022

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -335.74022  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -330.51706  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -330.44226  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -330.44177  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -330.44177  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        441
Family:                 ordinal
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         17

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       25.9
                                                              max =        116

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =     701.43
Log pseudolikelihood = -330.44177               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 17 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
           bettercloserrus |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   1.537469    1.13786     1.35   0.177    -.6926953    3.767633
                           |
                   rusnat2 |   .8470285   .3176286     2.67   0.008     .2244879    1.469569
                 Ukrainian |  -.0144427   .0062029    -2.33   0.020    -.0266001   -.0022852
                 unskilled |   .0644185   .3941481     0.16   0.870    -.7080975    .8369345
                 relations |   .0567752   .1309995     0.43   0.665    -.1999792    .3135296
                    female |   .6582131   .2635608     2.50   0.013     .1416433    1.174783
                       age |   .0081427   .0165479     0.49   0.623    -.0242906     .040576
                  univplus |  -.2829001   .2298603    -1.23   0.218     -.733418    .1676178
                  employed |   1.131695   .4255465     2.66   0.008      .297639    1.965751
                 pensioner |   1.241946   .7280908     1.71   0.088     -.185086    2.668978
                     rural |  -.0019557   .5661636    -0.00   0.997    -1.111616    1.107705
                  quallife |  -.2125984   .1241059    -1.71   0.087    -.4558415    .0306447
              demoverorder |  -.1851295   .1517509    -1.22   0.222    -.4825557    .1122968
              ILOunemp2013 |  -.1685863   .1082314    -1.56   0.119     -.380716    .0435433
                 grpmilhry |  -5.26e-06   1.28e-06    -4.12   0.000    -7.76e-06   -2.75e-06
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                     /cut1 |  -2.575761   1.039875    -2.48   0.013    -4.613878   -.5376432
                     /cut2 |  -1.436176   .9502537    -1.51   0.131    -3.298639    .4262874
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .0226827   .0659333                      .0000761    6.759783
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using ologitbcrdiffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    bettercloserrus     0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.264       0.567       0.583                
                                                                            (0.314)     (0.404)     (0.414)               
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.501       2.704       2.738       1.537    
                                                                           (0.677)***  (0.508)***  (0.596)***   (1.138)   
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       -0.267      0.508       0.064                
                                                                            (1.170)     (1.598)     (1.677)               
                        rusnat2                                              0.664       0.639       0.646       0.847    
                                                                           (0.250)***  (0.311)**   (0.304)**   (0.318)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.026      -0.023      -0.023      -0.014   
                                                                           (0.007)***  (0.007)***  (0.007)***  (0.006)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.305       -0.088      -0.095      0.064    
                                                                            (0.204)     (0.229)     (0.233)     (0.394)   
                        relations                                            -0.078      0.026       0.028       0.057    
                                                                            (0.138)     (0.124)     (0.128)     (0.131)   
    cut1                _cons                                                -2.213      -0.911      -1.357      -2.576   
                                                                           (0.697)***   (1.067)     (1.364)    (1.040)**  
    cut2                _cons                                                -1.129      0.177       -0.271      -1.436   
                                                                            (0.715)     (1.056)     (1.348)     (0.950)   
                        female                                                           0.671                            
                                                                                       (0.153)***                         
                        age                                                              0.016                            
                                                                                        (0.010)                           
                        univplus                                                         -0.384                           
                                                                                        (0.201)*                          
                        employed                                                         0.744                            
                                                                                       (0.316)**                          
                        pensioner                                                        0.519                            
                                                                                        (0.477)                           
                        rural                                                            0.355                            
                                                                                        (0.347)                           
                        quallife                                                         -0.081                           
                                                                                        (0.114)                           
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.358                           
                                                                                       (0.087)***                         
                        female                                                                       0.676                
                                                                                                   (0.150)***             
                        age                                                                          0.016                
                                                                                                    (0.010)               
                        univplus                                                                     -0.377               
                                                                                                    (0.208)*              
                        employed                                                                     0.757                
                                                                                                   (0.319)**              
                        pensioner                                                                    0.521                
                                                                                                    (0.480)               
                        rural                                                                        0.343                
                                                                                                    (0.347)               
                        quallife                                                                     -0.089               
                                                                                                    (0.113)               
                        demoverorder                                                                 -0.357               
                                                                                                   (0.087)***             
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.044               
                                                                                                    (0.135)               
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000               
                                                                                                    (0.000)               
    bettercloserrus     1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        female                                                                                   0.658    
                                                                                                               (0.264)**  
                        age                                                                                      0.008    
                                                                                                                (0.017)   
                        univplus                                                                                 -0.283   
                                                                                                                (0.230)   
                        employed                                                                                 1.132    
                                                                                                               (0.426)*** 
                        pensioner                                                                                1.242    
                                                                                                                (0.728)*  
                        rural                                                                                    -0.002   
                                                                                                                (0.566)   
                        quallife                                                                                 -0.213   
                                                                                                                (0.124)*  
                        demoverorder                                                                             -0.185   
                                                                                                                (0.152)   
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                             -0.169   
                                                                                                                (0.108)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                                -0.000   
                                                                                                               (0.000)*** 
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.317       0.216       0.190       0.023    
                                                                           (0.140)**    (0.111)*    (0.131)     (0.066)   
    N                                                                         976         757         757         441     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  bettercloserrus  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age u
> nivplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry if easierspeakR==0 [pweight= weight_Ukrain
> e] || Oblast:  , family(ordinal) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -281.8352  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -240.55588  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -238.53892  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -238.52604  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -238.52604  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -238.46892

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -238.46892  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.12577  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -236.48772  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -236.4477  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -236.44746  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -236.44746  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        316
Family:                 ordinal
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         22

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          3
                                                              avg =       14.4
                                                              max =         46

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =     159.82
Log pseudolikelihood = -236.44746               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 22 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
           bettercloserrus |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.208344   .6031578     3.66   0.000     1.026177    3.390512
                           |
                   rusnat2 |   .6005632   .6722004     0.89   0.372    -.7169254    1.918052
                 Ukrainian |  -.0455856   .0175439    -2.60   0.009    -.0799711   -.0112001
                 unskilled |  -.2217974   .2839066    -0.78   0.435     -.778244    .3346493
                 relations |   .0750729   .2575584     0.29   0.771    -.4297323    .5798781
                    female |   .6168053   .2910193     2.12   0.034     .0464179    1.187193
                       age |   .0239176    .013015     1.84   0.066    -.0015914    .0494265
                  univplus |  -.2487303   .2779794    -0.89   0.371    -.7935598    .2960992
                  employed |   .6167555   .5213942     1.18   0.237    -.4051585    1.638669
                 pensioner |   .0176824   .7071289     0.03   0.980    -1.368265     1.40363
                     rural |   .6854058   .3983928     1.72   0.085    -.0954298    1.466241
                  quallife |   .0829018   .2191881     0.38   0.705     -.346699    .5125026
              demoverorder |  -.5165045   .1226197    -4.21   0.000    -.7568347   -.2761743
              ILOunemp2013 |   .3185372   .2310685     1.38   0.168    -.1343487     .771423
                 grpmilhry |   3.41e-06   4.42e-06     0.77   0.441    -5.26e-06    .0000121
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                     /cut1 |   .3587763   1.994234     0.18   0.857     -3.54985    4.267403
                     /cut2 |   1.424801   2.065164     0.69   0.490    -2.622847    5.472449
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .3781729   .3540928                      .0603516    2.369692
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using ologitbcrdiffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    bettercloserrus     0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.264       0.567       0.583                
                                                                            (0.314)     (0.404)     (0.414)               
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.501       2.704       2.738       1.537    
                                                                           (0.677)***  (0.508)***  (0.596)***   (1.138)   
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       -0.267      0.508       0.064                
                                                                            (1.170)     (1.598)     (1.677)               
                        rusnat2                                              0.664       0.639       0.646       0.847    
                                                                           (0.250)***  (0.311)**   (0.304)**   (0.318)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.026      -0.023      -0.023      -0.014   
                                                                           (0.007)***  (0.007)***  (0.007)***  (0.006)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.305       -0.088      -0.095      0.064    
                                                                            (0.204)     (0.229)     (0.233)     (0.394)   
                        relations                                            -0.078      0.026       0.028       0.057    
                                                                            (0.138)     (0.124)     (0.128)     (0.131)   
    cut1                _cons                                                -2.213      -0.911      -1.357      -2.576   
                                                                           (0.697)***   (1.067)     (1.364)    (1.040)**  
    cut2                _cons                                                -1.129      0.177       -0.271      -1.436   
                                                                            (0.715)     (1.056)     (1.348)     (0.950)   
                        female                                                           0.671                            
                                                                                       (0.153)***                         
                        age                                                              0.016                            
                                                                                        (0.010)                           
                        univplus                                                         -0.384                           
                                                                                        (0.201)*                          
                        employed                                                         0.744                            
                                                                                       (0.316)**                          
                        pensioner                                                        0.519                            
                                                                                        (0.477)                           
                        rural                                                            0.355                            
                                                                                        (0.347)                           
                        quallife                                                         -0.081                           
                                                                                        (0.114)                           
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.358                           
                                                                                       (0.087)***                         
                        female                                                                       0.676                
                                                                                                   (0.150)***             
                        age                                                                          0.016                
                                                                                                    (0.010)               
                        univplus                                                                     -0.377               
                                                                                                    (0.208)*              
                        employed                                                                     0.757                
                                                                                                   (0.319)**              
                        pensioner                                                                    0.521                
                                                                                                    (0.480)               
                        rural                                                                        0.343                
                                                                                                    (0.347)               
                        quallife                                                                     -0.089               
                                                                                                    (0.113)               
                        demoverorder                                                                 -0.357               
                                                                                                   (0.087)***             
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.044               
                                                                                                    (0.135)               
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000               
                                                                                                    (0.000)               
    bettercloserrus     1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        female                                                                                   0.658    
                                                                                                               (0.264)**  
                        age                                                                                      0.008    
                                                                                                                (0.017)   
                        univplus                                                                                 -0.283   
                                                                                                                (0.230)   
                        employed                                                                                 1.132    
                                                                                                               (0.426)*** 
                        pensioner                                                                                1.242    
                                                                                                                (0.728)*  
                        rural                                                                                    -0.002   
                                                                                                                (0.566)   
                        quallife                                                                                 -0.213   
                                                                                                                (0.124)*  
                        demoverorder                                                                             -0.185   
                                                                                                                (0.152)   
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                             -0.169   
                                                                                                                (0.108)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                                -0.000   
                                                                                                               (0.000)*** 
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.317       0.216       0.190       0.023    
                                                                           (0.140)**    (0.111)*    (0.131)     (0.066)   
    N                                                                         976         757         757         441     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      bettercloserrus     0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                             
                                                                                                        
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.208    
                                                                                             (0.603)*** 
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                
                                                                                                        
                                          rusnat2                                              0.601    
                                                                                              (0.672)   
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.046   
                                                                                             (0.018)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            -0.222   
                                                                                              (0.284)   
                                          relations                                            0.075    
                                                                                              (0.258)   
                      cut1                _cons                                                0.359    
                                                                                              (1.994)   
                      cut2                _cons                                                1.425    
                                                                                              (2.065)   
                                          female                                                        
                                                                                                        
                                          age                                                           
                                                                                                        
                                          univplus                                                      
                                                                                                        
                                          employed                                                      
                                                                                                        
                                          pensioner                                                     
                                                                                                        
                                          rural                                                         
                                                                                                        
                                          quallife                                                      
                                                                                                        
                                          demoverorder                                                  
                                                                                                        
                                          female                                                        
                                                                                                        
                                          age                                                           
                                                                                                        
                                          univplus                                                      
                                                                                                        
                                          employed                                                      
                                                                                                        
                                          pensioner                                                     
                                                                                                        
                                          rural                                                         
                                                                                                        
                                          quallife                                                      
                                                                                                        
                                          demoverorder                                                  
                                                                                                        
                                          ILOunemp2013                                                  
                                                                                                        
                                          grpmilhry                                                     
                                                                                                        
                      bettercloserrus     1b.easierspeakRuss                                            
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp              
                                                                                                        
                                          female                                               0.617    
                                                                                             (0.291)**  
                                          age                                                  0.024    
                                                                                              (0.013)*  
                                          univplus                                             -0.249   
                                                                                              (0.278)   
                                          employed                                             0.617    
                                                                                              (0.521)   
                                          pensioner                                            0.018    
                                                                                              (0.707)   
                                          rural                                                0.685    
                                                                                              (0.398)*  
                                          quallife                                             0.083    
                                                                                              (0.219)   
                                          demoverorder                                         -0.517   
                                                                                             (0.123)*** 
                                          ILOunemp2013                                         0.319    
                                                                                              (0.231)   
                                          grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.378    
                                                                                              (0.354)   
                      N                                                                         316     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Table A9
. meglm  joincunion  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations  [pweight= weight_
> Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(ordinal) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -976.08495  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -805.23224  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -804.40333  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -804.39999  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -804.39999  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -791.93743

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -791.93743  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -789.65588  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -787.47393  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -787.36439  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -787.36295  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -787.36295  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        959
Family:                 ordinal
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          6
                                                              avg =       36.9
                                                              max =        136

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(7)      =      72.74
Log pseudolikelihood = -787.36295               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                  joincunion |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .1431589   .2825554     0.51   0.612    -.4106395    .6969574
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   1.925699   .8169006     2.36   0.018     .3246033    3.526795
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |    .297004   1.685628     0.18   0.860    -3.006766    3.600774
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .7684867   .2807537     2.74   0.006     .2182196    1.318754
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0318909   .0084065    -3.79   0.000    -.0483674   -.0154145
                                   unskilled |   .2765663   .1850326     1.49   0.135    -.0860909    .6392235
                                   relations |  -.0545218   .1844367    -0.30   0.768    -.4160111    .3069676
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                       /cut1 |  -2.355355   .7474947    -3.15   0.002    -3.820418   -.8902925
                                       /cut2 |  -1.356653   .7449052    -1.82   0.069     -2.81664    .1033347
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .4025956   .1731433                      .1732986    .9352832
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using ologitjcudiffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) replace

                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      joincunion          0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.143    
                                                                                              (0.283)   
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           1.926    
                                                                                             (0.817)**  
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.297    
                                                                                              (1.686)   
                                          rusnat2                                              0.768    
                                                                                             (0.281)*** 
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.032   
                                                                                             (0.008)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            0.277    
                                                                                              (0.185)   
                                          relations                                            -0.055   
                                                                                              (0.184)   
                      cut1                _cons                                                -2.355   
                                                                                             (0.747)*** 
                      cut2                _cons                                                -1.357   
                                                                                              (0.745)*  
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.403    
                                                                                             (0.173)**  
                      N                                                                         959     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. meglm  joincunion  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univplu
> s employed pensioner   rural  quallife  demover    [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(ordinal) link(logit)vce(ro
> bust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -715.28361  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -531.98132  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -528.93883  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -528.91875  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -528.91875  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -530.92562

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -530.92562  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -525.96363  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -524.86469  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -524.74431  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -524.7412  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -524.74119  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        742
Family:                 ordinal
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       28.5
                                                              max =        117

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =     227.54
Log pseudolikelihood = -524.74119               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                  joincunion |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .6903124   .3404991     2.03   0.043     .0229465    1.357678
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.506401   .6753469     3.71   0.000     1.182745    3.830057
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   1.708373   1.876247     0.91   0.363    -1.969003    5.385749
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .6260985   .3262235     1.92   0.055    -.0132878    1.265485
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0267974   .0074714    -3.59   0.000    -.0414411   -.0121538
                                   unskilled |  -.2288149   .2044511    -1.12   0.263    -.6295317    .1719019
                                   relations |    .056046   .1739111     0.32   0.747    -.2848135    .3969055
                                      female |   .5448956   .2062804     2.64   0.008     .1405934    .9491978
                                         age |   .0162831   .0107987     1.51   0.132     -.004882    .0374482
                                    univplus |  -.3696289   .2034207    -1.82   0.069    -.7683262    .0290684
                                    employed |   .3870329   .2798562     1.38   0.167    -.1614753     .935541
                                   pensioner |   .5526697   .4680959     1.18   0.238    -.3647814    1.470121
                                       rural |   .6135953   .2926346     2.10   0.036     .0400421    1.187148
                                    quallife |  -.0228514   .0976088    -0.23   0.815    -.2141611    .1684583
                                demoverorder |   -.347819   .1212629    -2.87   0.004      -.58549    -.110148
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                       /cut1 |  -.7090505    1.11184    -0.64   0.524    -2.888218    1.470117
                                       /cut2 |   .3039644   1.086312     0.28   0.780    -1.825168    2.433097
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2147897   .1509971                      .0541526    .8519377
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using ologitjcudiffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                joincunion          0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.143       0.690    
                                                                                        (0.283)    (0.340)**  
                                    tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           1.926       2.506    
                                                                                       (0.817)**   (0.675)*** 
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.297       1.708    
                                                                                        (1.686)     (1.876)   
                                    rusnat2                                              0.768       0.626    
                                                                                       (0.281)***   (0.326)*  
                                    Ukrainian                                            -0.032      -0.027   
                                                                                       (0.008)***  (0.007)*** 
                                    unskilled                                            0.277       -0.229   
                                                                                        (0.185)     (0.204)   
                                    relations                                            -0.055      0.056    
                                                                                        (0.184)     (0.174)   
                cut1                _cons                                                -2.355      -0.709   
                                                                                       (0.747)***   (1.112)   
                cut2                _cons                                                -1.357      0.304    
                                                                                        (0.745)*    (1.086)   
                                    female                                                           0.545    
                                                                                                   (0.206)*** 
                                    age                                                              0.016    
                                                                                                    (0.011)   
                                    univplus                                                         -0.370   
                                                                                                    (0.203)*  
                                    employed                                                         0.387    
                                                                                                    (0.280)   
                                    pensioner                                                        0.553    
                                                                                                    (0.468)   
                                    rural                                                            0.614    
                                                                                                   (0.293)**  
                                    quallife                                                         -0.023   
                                                                                                    (0.098)   
                                    demoverorder                                                     -0.348   
                                                                                                   (0.121)*** 
                var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.403       0.215    
                                                                                       (0.173)**    (0.151)   
                N                                                                         959         742     
               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. meglm  joincunion  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univplu
> s employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(ordinal) 
> link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -715.28361  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -530.50052  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -527.39021  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -527.36989  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -527.36989  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -531.60385

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -531.60385  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -525.59165  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -524.64609  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -524.61159  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -524.61138  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -524.61138  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        742
Family:                 ordinal
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       28.5
                                                              max =        117

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     234.41
Log pseudolikelihood = -524.61138               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                  joincunion |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .7082515   .3526745     2.01   0.045     .0170221    1.399481
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.601931   .8421125     3.09   0.002      .951421    4.252441
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   1.235589   2.221262     0.56   0.578    -3.118004    5.589182
                                             |
                                     rusnat2 |   .6329404   .3172492     2.00   0.046     .0111433    1.254738
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0259955    .007991    -3.25   0.001    -.0416576   -.0103334
                                   unskilled |  -.2338078   .2052449    -1.14   0.255    -.6360803    .1684648
                                   relations |   .0571893   .1754238     0.33   0.744     -.286635    .4010136
                                      female |   .5453352   .2060662     2.65   0.008     .1414529    .9492175
                                         age |   .0163529   .0108567     1.51   0.132    -.0049259    .0376317
                                    univplus |  -.3652915   .2058348    -1.77   0.076    -.7687202    .0381373
                                    employed |   .3889769   .2870277     1.36   0.175     -.173587    .9515408
                                   pensioner |   .5418903   .4681313     1.16   0.247    -.3756302    1.459411
                                       rural |    .604614   .2996473     2.02   0.044     .0173161    1.191912
                                    quallife |  -.0293733   .0997219    -0.29   0.768    -.2248246    .1660781
                                demoverorder |  -.3472406   .1217932    -2.85   0.004    -.5859508   -.1085303
                                ILOunemp2013 |  -.0535448   .1774884    -0.30   0.763    -.4014158    .2943261
                                   grpmilhry |  -1.24e-06   2.53e-06    -0.49   0.624    -6.20e-06    3.72e-06
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                       /cut1 |  -1.151499   1.690369    -0.68   0.496    -4.464562    2.161563
                                       /cut2 |  -.1403535   1.651367    -0.08   0.932    -3.376973    3.096266
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .1852731   .1678846                      .0313689    1.094273
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using ologitjcudiffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          joincunion          0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.143       0.690       0.708    
                                                                                  (0.283)    (0.340)**   (0.353)**  
                              tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           1.926       2.506       2.602    
                                                                                 (0.817)**   (0.675)***  (0.842)*** 
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.297       1.708       1.236    
                                                                                  (1.686)     (1.876)     (2.221)   
                              rusnat2                                              0.768       0.626       0.633    
                                                                                 (0.281)***   (0.326)*   (0.317)**  
                              Ukrainian                                            -0.032      -0.027      -0.026   
                                                                                 (0.008)***  (0.007)***  (0.008)*** 
                              unskilled                                            0.277       -0.229      -0.234   
                                                                                  (0.185)     (0.204)     (0.205)   
                              relations                                            -0.055      0.056       0.057    
                                                                                  (0.184)     (0.174)     (0.175)   
          cut1                _cons                                                -2.355      -0.709      -1.151   
                                                                                 (0.747)***   (1.112)     (1.690)   
          cut2                _cons                                                -1.357      0.304       -0.140   
                                                                                  (0.745)*    (1.086)     (1.651)   
                              female                                                           0.545                
                                                                                             (0.206)***             
                              age                                                              0.016                
                                                                                              (0.011)               
                              univplus                                                         -0.370               
                                                                                              (0.203)*              
                              employed                                                         0.387                
                                                                                              (0.280)               
                              pensioner                                                        0.553                
                                                                                              (0.468)               
                              rural                                                            0.614                
                                                                                             (0.293)**              
                              quallife                                                         -0.023               
                                                                                              (0.098)               
                              demoverorder                                                     -0.348               
                                                                                             (0.121)***             
                              female                                                                       0.545    
                                                                                                         (0.206)*** 
                              age                                                                          0.016    
                                                                                                          (0.011)   
                              univplus                                                                     -0.365   
                                                                                                          (0.206)*  
                              employed                                                                     0.389    
                                                                                                          (0.287)   
                              pensioner                                                                    0.542    
                                                                                                          (0.468)   
                              rural                                                                        0.605    
                                                                                                         (0.300)**  
                              quallife                                                                     -0.029   
                                                                                                          (0.100)   
                              demoverorder                                                                 -0.347   
                                                                                                         (0.122)*** 
                              ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.054   
                                                                                                          (0.177)   
                              grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000   
                                                                                                          (0.000)   
          var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.403       0.215       0.185    
                                                                                 (0.173)**    (0.151)     (0.168)   
          N                                                                         959         742         742     
         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  joincunion  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univpl
> us employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry if easierspeakR==1 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast: 
>  , family(ordinal) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -377.6221  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -323.66666  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -322.08459  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -322.08122  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -322.08122  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -328.39994

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -328.39994  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -322.78668  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -322.39295  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -322.20354  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -322.12643  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -322.10911  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -322.10226  
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -322.09918  (backed up)
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -322.09881  (backed up)
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -322.09879  (backed up)
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (not concave)
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (not concave)
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (not concave)
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 21:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 22:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 23:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 24:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 26:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (not concave)
Iteration 28:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 29:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (not concave)
Iteration 30:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 31:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 32:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (not concave)
Iteration 33:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 34:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (not concave)
Iteration 35:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (backed up)
Iteration 36:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09878  (not concave)
Iteration 38:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09877  
Iteration 39:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09874  (not concave)
Iteration 40:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09874  (not concave)
Iteration 41:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09874  
Iteration 42:  log pseudolikelihood =  -322.0986  (backed up)
Iteration 43:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09806  (backed up)
Iteration 44:  log pseudolikelihood =  -322.0978  (backed up)
Iteration 45:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.09678  
Iteration 46:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.08122  (not concave)
Iteration 47:  log pseudolikelihood = -322.08122  (backed up)

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        440
Family:                 ordinal
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         17

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       25.9
                                                              max =        117

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =     670.12
Log pseudolikelihood = -322.08122               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 17 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
                joincunion |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.379503   .7870502     3.02   0.003     .8369126    3.922093
                           |
                   rusnat2 |    .754632   .2872751     2.63   0.009     .1915831    1.317681
                 Ukrainian |  -.0133195   .0056188    -2.37   0.018    -.0243321   -.0023068
                 unskilled |  -.1013819   .2987904    -0.34   0.734    -.6870004    .4842365
                 relations |   .0582702    .208413     0.28   0.780    -.3502118    .4667522
                    female |    .554191   .2188128     2.53   0.011     .1253257    .9830562
                       age |   .0168161   .0170326     0.99   0.324    -.0165672    .0501994
                  univplus |  -.1800753   .1949542    -0.92   0.356    -.5621785     .202028
                  employed |   .7291752   .4228939     1.72   0.085    -.0996816    1.558032
                 pensioner |   .8549128   .7995711     1.07   0.285    -.7122178    2.422043
                     rural |   .2092126    .626552     0.33   0.738    -1.018807    1.437232
                  quallife |  -.1274311   .0790605    -1.61   0.107    -.2823869    .0275246
              demoverorder |  -.2284621   .1585981    -1.44   0.150    -.5393087    .0823845
              ILOunemp2013 |  -.2111577   .0875542    -2.41   0.016    -.3827608   -.0395546
                 grpmilhry |  -5.05e-06   1.59e-06    -3.18   0.001    -8.16e-06   -1.94e-06
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                     /cut1 |  -2.401785   1.167327    -2.06   0.040    -4.689704   -.1138664
                     /cut2 |  -1.396395   1.111696    -1.26   0.209    -3.575279    .7824888
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   8.29e-32   2.66e-30                      3.69e-59    .0001864
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using ologitjcudiffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    joincunion          0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.143       0.690       0.708                
                                                                            (0.283)    (0.340)**   (0.353)**              
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           1.926       2.506       2.602       2.380    
                                                                           (0.817)**   (0.675)***  (0.842)***  (0.787)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.297       1.708       1.236                
                                                                            (1.686)     (1.876)     (2.221)               
                        rusnat2                                              0.768       0.626       0.633       0.755    
                                                                           (0.281)***   (0.326)*   (0.317)**   (0.287)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.032      -0.027      -0.026      -0.013   
                                                                           (0.008)***  (0.007)***  (0.008)***  (0.006)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.277       -0.229      -0.234      -0.101   
                                                                            (0.185)     (0.204)     (0.205)     (0.299)   
                        relations                                            -0.055      0.056       0.057       0.058    
                                                                            (0.184)     (0.174)     (0.175)     (0.208)   
    cut1                _cons                                                -2.355      -0.709      -1.151      -2.402   
                                                                           (0.747)***   (1.112)     (1.690)    (1.167)**  
    cut2                _cons                                                -1.357      0.304       -0.140      -1.396   
                                                                            (0.745)*    (1.086)     (1.651)     (1.112)   
                        female                                                           0.545                            
                                                                                       (0.206)***                         
                        age                                                              0.016                            
                                                                                        (0.011)                           
                        univplus                                                         -0.370                           
                                                                                        (0.203)*                          
                        employed                                                         0.387                            
                                                                                        (0.280)                           
                        pensioner                                                        0.553                            
                                                                                        (0.468)                           
                        rural                                                            0.614                            
                                                                                       (0.293)**                          
                        quallife                                                         -0.023                           
                                                                                        (0.098)                           
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.348                           
                                                                                       (0.121)***                         
                        female                                                                       0.545                
                                                                                                   (0.206)***             
                        age                                                                          0.016                
                                                                                                    (0.011)               
                        univplus                                                                     -0.365               
                                                                                                    (0.206)*              
                        employed                                                                     0.389                
                                                                                                    (0.287)               
                        pensioner                                                                    0.542                
                                                                                                    (0.468)               
                        rural                                                                        0.605                
                                                                                                   (0.300)**              
                        quallife                                                                     -0.029               
                                                                                                    (0.100)               
                        demoverorder                                                                 -0.347               
                                                                                                   (0.122)***             
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.054               
                                                                                                    (0.177)               
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000               
                                                                                                    (0.000)               
    joincunion          1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        female                                                                                   0.554    
                                                                                                               (0.219)**  
                        age                                                                                      0.017    
                                                                                                                (0.017)   
                        univplus                                                                                 -0.180   
                                                                                                                (0.195)   
                        employed                                                                                 0.729    
                                                                                                                (0.423)*  
                        pensioner                                                                                0.855    
                                                                                                                (0.800)   
                        rural                                                                                    0.209    
                                                                                                                (0.627)   
                        quallife                                                                                 -0.127   
                                                                                                                (0.079)   
                        demoverorder                                                                             -0.228   
                                                                                                                (0.159)   
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                             -0.211   
                                                                                                               (0.088)**  
                        grpmilhry                                                                                -0.000   
                                                                                                               (0.000)*** 
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.403       0.215       0.185       0.000    
                                                                           (0.173)**    (0.151)     (0.168)     (0.000)   
    N                                                                         959         742         742         440     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  joincunion  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskilled relations female age univpl
> us employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry  if easierspeakR==0 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:
>   , family(ordinal) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -238.12632  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -198.20725  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -193.61626  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -193.52433  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -193.52424  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -193.52424  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood =  -195.5829

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -195.5829  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -193.60917  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -193.17952  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -193.08429  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -193.08259  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -193.08258  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        302
Family:                 ordinal
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         22

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          3
                                                              avg =       13.7
                                                              max =         41

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =     209.14
Log pseudolikelihood = -193.08258               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 22 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
                joincunion |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.068569   .7615078     2.72   0.007     .5760409    3.561097
                           |
                   rusnat2 |   .6704059   .8094162     0.83   0.408    -.9160208    2.256833
                 Ukrainian |  -.0640073   .0189103    -3.38   0.001    -.1010708   -.0269438
                 unskilled |  -.4900884   .3706513    -1.32   0.186    -1.216552    .2363748
                 relations |   .0367417   .2229387     0.16   0.869    -.4002101    .4736935
                    female |    .448957   .3840359     1.17   0.242    -.3037395    1.201654
                       age |    .015692   .0134993     1.16   0.245    -.0107662    .0421501
                  univplus |  -.5776017   .4416657    -1.31   0.191    -1.443251    .2880472
                  employed |   .2065947   .3575232     0.58   0.563    -.4941379    .9073274
                 pensioner |   .4341482   .5450308     0.80   0.426    -.6340924    1.502389
                     rural |   1.002863   .3300027     3.04   0.002     .3560697    1.649657
                  quallife |   .1136515   .2075307     0.55   0.584    -.2931013    .5204042
              demoverorder |  -.5642949   .1570911    -3.59   0.000    -.8721878    -.256402
              ILOunemp2013 |   .3839834   .2566273     1.50   0.135    -.1189969    .8869637
                 grpmilhry |   3.76e-06   3.08e-06     1.22   0.223    -2.28e-06    9.80e-06
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                     /cut1 |  -.9562395   1.995689    -0.48   0.632    -4.867717    2.955239
                     /cut2 |   .1016004   1.999062     0.05   0.959    -3.816489     4.01969
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .1742986   .2342663                      .0125093    2.428583
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using ologitjcudiffinter.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    joincunion          0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.143       0.690       0.708                
                                                                            (0.283)    (0.340)**   (0.353)**              
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           1.926       2.506       2.602       2.380    
                                                                           (0.817)**   (0.675)***  (0.842)***  (0.787)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.297       1.708       1.236                
                                                                            (1.686)     (1.876)     (2.221)               
                        rusnat2                                              0.768       0.626       0.633       0.755    
                                                                           (0.281)***   (0.326)*   (0.317)**   (0.287)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.032      -0.027      -0.026      -0.013   
                                                                           (0.008)***  (0.007)***  (0.008)***  (0.006)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.277       -0.229      -0.234      -0.101   
                                                                            (0.185)     (0.204)     (0.205)     (0.299)   
                        relations                                            -0.055      0.056       0.057       0.058    
                                                                            (0.184)     (0.174)     (0.175)     (0.208)   
    cut1                _cons                                                -2.355      -0.709      -1.151      -2.402   
                                                                           (0.747)***   (1.112)     (1.690)    (1.167)**  
    cut2                _cons                                                -1.357      0.304       -0.140      -1.396   
                                                                            (0.745)*    (1.086)     (1.651)     (1.112)   
                        female                                                           0.545                            
                                                                                       (0.206)***                         
                        age                                                              0.016                            
                                                                                        (0.011)                           
                        univplus                                                         -0.370                           
                                                                                        (0.203)*                          
                        employed                                                         0.387                            
                                                                                        (0.280)                           
                        pensioner                                                        0.553                            
                                                                                        (0.468)                           
                        rural                                                            0.614                            
                                                                                       (0.293)**                          
                        quallife                                                         -0.023                           
                                                                                        (0.098)                           
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.348                           
                                                                                       (0.121)***                         
                        female                                                                       0.545                
                                                                                                   (0.206)***             
                        age                                                                          0.016                
                                                                                                    (0.011)               
                        univplus                                                                     -0.365               
                                                                                                    (0.206)*              
                        employed                                                                     0.389                
                                                                                                    (0.287)               
                        pensioner                                                                    0.542                
                                                                                                    (0.468)               
                        rural                                                                        0.605                
                                                                                                   (0.300)**              
                        quallife                                                                     -0.029               
                                                                                                    (0.100)               
                        demoverorder                                                                 -0.347               
                                                                                                   (0.122)***             
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.054               
                                                                                                    (0.177)               
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000               
                                                                                                    (0.000)               
    joincunion          1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        female                                                                                   0.554    
                                                                                                               (0.219)**  
                        age                                                                                      0.017    
                                                                                                                (0.017)   
                        univplus                                                                                 -0.180   
                                                                                                                (0.195)   
                        employed                                                                                 0.729    
                                                                                                                (0.423)*  
                        pensioner                                                                                0.855    
                                                                                                                (0.800)   
                        rural                                                                                    0.209    
                                                                                                                (0.627)   
                        quallife                                                                                 -0.127   
                                                                                                                (0.079)   
                        demoverorder                                                                             -0.228   
                                                                                                                (0.159)   
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                             -0.211   
                                                                                                               (0.088)**  
                        grpmilhry                                                                                -0.000   
                                                                                                               (0.000)*** 
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.403       0.215       0.185       0.000    
                                                                           (0.173)**    (0.151)     (0.168)     (0.000)   
    N                                                                         959         742         742         440     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      joincunion          0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                             
                                                                                                        
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.069    
                                                                                             (0.762)*** 
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                
                                                                                                        
                                          rusnat2                                              0.670    
                                                                                              (0.809)   
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.064   
                                                                                             (0.019)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            -0.490   
                                                                                              (0.371)   
                                          relations                                            0.037    
                                                                                              (0.223)   
                      cut1                _cons                                                -0.956   
                                                                                              (1.996)   
                      cut2                _cons                                                0.102    
                                                                                              (1.999)   
                                          female                                                        
                                                                                                        
                                          age                                                           
                                                                                                        
                                          univplus                                                      
                                                                                                        
                                          employed                                                      
                                                                                                        
                                          pensioner                                                     
                                                                                                        
                                          rural                                                         
                                                                                                        
                                          quallife                                                      
                                                                                                        
                                          demoverorder                                                  
                                                                                                        
                                          female                                                        
                                                                                                        
                                          age                                                           
                                                                                                        
                                          univplus                                                      
                                                                                                        
                                          employed                                                      
                                                                                                        
                                          pensioner                                                     
                                                                                                        
                                          rural                                                         
                                                                                                        
                                          quallife                                                      
                                                                                                        
                                          demoverorder                                                  
                                                                                                        
                                          ILOunemp2013                                                  
                                                                                                        
                                          grpmilhry                                                     
                                                                                                        
                      joincunion          1b.easierspeakRuss                                            
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp              
                                                                                                        
                                          female                                               0.449    
                                                                                              (0.384)   
                                          age                                                  0.016    
                                                                                              (0.013)   
                                          univplus                                             -0.578   
                                                                                              (0.442)   
                                          employed                                             0.207    
                                                                                              (0.358)   
                                          pensioner                                            0.434    
                                                                                              (0.545)   
                                          rural                                                1.003    
                                                                                             (0.330)*** 
                                          quallife                                             0.114    
                                                                                              (0.208)   
                                          demoverorder                                         -0.564   
                                                                                             (0.157)*** 
                                          ILOunemp2013                                         0.384    
                                                                                              (0.257)   
                                          grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.174    
                                                                                              (0.234)   
                      N                                                                         302     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Table A10
. gen ukrpctoblast=Ukrainian

. gen ilo=ILO

. gsem(i.closertowhom <- c.ukrpctoblast  i.rusnat2 i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.unskilled c.relations i.fe
> male c.age i.univplus i.employed i.pensioner  i.rural  c.quallife c.demover c.ilo  c.grpmilhry   M1[Oblast]@1), mlogit

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -901.33997  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -712.05082  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -700.83602  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -700.56964  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -700.56943  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -700.56943  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood =  -706.2783

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -706.2783  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -702.26103  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -700.56454  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -700.02499  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -699.85266  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -699.84523  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -699.84523  

Generalized structural equation model           Number of obs     =        785
Response       : closertowhom
Base outcome   : 1
Family         : multinomial
Link           : logit
Log likelihood = -699.84523

 ( 1)  [2.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 2)  [3.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 3)  [4.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1.closertowhom                               |  (base outcome)
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2.closertowhom <-                            |
                                ukrpctoblast |  -.0341643   .0083554    -4.09   0.000    -.0505406    -.017788
                                   1.rusnat2 |   .7143606   .3504637     2.04   0.042     .0274645    1.401257
                           1.easierspeakRuss |    .634043    .344955     1.84   0.066    -.0420564    1.310142
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |    3.25594   .9691627     3.36   0.001     1.356416    5.155464
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |  -.6135143   1.816671    -0.34   0.736    -4.174124    2.947096
                                             |
                                 1.unskilled |   .0013247   .3045034     0.00   0.997    -.5954911    .5981405
                                   relations |  -.0353637   .1557061    -0.23   0.820    -.3405422    .2698147
                                    1.female |   .7539682    .223621     3.37   0.001      .315679    1.192257
                                         age |   .0345573   .0103725     3.33   0.001     .0142275    .0548871
                                  1.univplus |  -.4075773   .2502856    -1.63   0.103    -.8981281    .0829735
                                  1.employed |   .4932271   .3719996     1.33   0.185    -.2358788    1.222333
                                 1.pensioner |  -.1320676    .476139    -0.28   0.781    -1.065283    .8011476
                                     1.rural |   .4068065   .2963313     1.37   0.170    -.1739921    .9876052
                                    quallife |   .0077686   .1462341     0.05   0.958     -.278845    .2943822
                                demoverorder |  -.4555442   .1063964    -4.28   0.000    -.6640773   -.2470111
                                         ilo |  -.0300141   .1537943    -0.20   0.845    -.3314453    .2714171
                                   grpmilhry |  -2.91e-06   2.15e-06    -1.35   0.177    -7.13e-06    1.31e-06
                                             |
                                  M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                                             |
                                       _cons |   1.233636   1.334975     0.92   0.355    -1.382866    3.850138
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3.closertowhom <-                            |
                                ukrpctoblast |  -.0311403   .0138645    -2.25   0.025    -.0583142   -.0039665
                                   1.rusnat2 |   .6737008   .6089684     1.11   0.269    -.5198554    1.867257
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .8547281   .7499034     1.14   0.254    -.6150556    2.324512
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   -1.65108    1.79564    -0.92   0.358     -5.17047     1.86831
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   .9077159   3.711121     0.24   0.807    -6.365947    8.181379
                                             |
                                 1.unskilled |   .3078415   .5735664     0.54   0.591     -.816328    1.432011
                                   relations |  -.1166196   .2900897    -0.40   0.688    -.6851851    .4519458
                                    1.female |   1.038808   .4822919     2.15   0.031     .0935331    1.984083
                                         age |   .0324071   .0199835     1.62   0.105    -.0067598    .0715739
                                  1.univplus |  -.7532635   .5201683    -1.45   0.148    -1.772775    .2662477
                                  1.employed |  -.4903238   .6877872    -0.71   0.476    -1.838362    .8577145
                                 1.pensioner |  -1.254654   .8812939    -1.42   0.155    -2.981958    .4726501
                                     1.rural |  -.6848445   .6897937    -0.99   0.321    -2.036815    .6671263
                                    quallife |   .0060936   .2880025     0.02   0.983     -.558381    .5705681
                                demoverorder |  -.4623969   .2117185    -2.18   0.029    -.8773575   -.0474362
                                         ilo |   .4867545   .2394049     2.03   0.042     .0175296    .9559794
                                   grpmilhry |   3.78e-06   3.31e-06     1.14   0.253    -2.70e-06    .0000103
                                             |
                                  M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                                             |
                                       _cons |  -4.506521   2.475762    -1.82   0.069    -9.358925    .3458822
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
4.closertowhom <-                            |
                                ukrpctoblast |  -.0191869   .0091512    -2.10   0.036     -.037123   -.0012508
                                   1.rusnat2 |   .1881065   .4057036     0.46   0.643     -.607058     .983271
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .6030147   .3766073     1.60   0.109    -.1351221    1.341151
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   1.816735   .9828186     1.85   0.065    -.1095538    3.743024
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   .1775651   1.963433     0.09   0.928    -3.670694    4.025824
                                             |
                                 1.unskilled |   .4105839   .3207861     1.28   0.201    -.2181454    1.039313
                                   relations |  -.1247751   .1663466    -0.75   0.453    -.4508084    .2012581
                                    1.female |   .6020165   .2442387     2.46   0.014     .1233174    1.080716
                                         age |   .0366884   .0112396     3.26   0.001     .0146591    .0587176
                                  1.univplus |  -.0726379    .268907    -0.27   0.787    -.5996859    .4544101
                                  1.employed |   .7891898   .4316773     1.83   0.068    -.0568822    1.635262
                                 1.pensioner |  -.2784725   .5312022    -0.52   0.600     -1.31961    .7626648
                                     1.rural |   .4320362    .320431     1.35   0.178     -.195997    1.060069
                                    quallife |    .023056   .1585836     0.15   0.884    -.2877622    .3338742
                                demoverorder |  -.2571299    .116366    -2.21   0.027     -.485203   -.0290568
                                         ilo |   .0430619   .1662517     0.26   0.796    -.2827854    .3689092
                                   grpmilhry |  -4.79e-07   2.27e-06    -0.21   0.833    -4.94e-06    3.98e-06
                                             |
                                  M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                                             |
                                       _cons |  -1.565789   1.499208    -1.04   0.296    -4.504182    1.372604
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                              var(M1[Oblast])|   .1008962   .1102082                      .0118608    .8582933
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using mlogitbcrdiffinter.doc, starlevel (10, 5, 1) bdec (3) se replace

                      ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                       1b.closertowhom  o.ukrpctoblast                                       0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.rusnat2                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.rusnat2                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.unskilled                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.unskilled                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.relations                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.female                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.female                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.age                                                0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.univplus                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.univplus                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.employed                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.employed                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.pensioner                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.pensioner                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.rural                                             0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.rural                                             0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.quallife                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.demoverorder                                       0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.ilo                                                0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.grpmilhry                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        M1[Oblast]                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o._cons                                              0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                       2.closertowhom   ukrpctoblast                                         -0.034   
                                                                                           (0.008)*** 
                                        0b.rusnat2                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rusnat2                                            0.714    
                                                                                           (0.350)**  
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.634    
                                                                                            (0.345)*  
                                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.256    
                                                                                           (0.969)*** 
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       -0.614   
                                                                                            (1.817)   
                                        0b.unskilled                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.unskilled                                          0.001    
                                                                                            (0.305)   
                                        relations                                            -0.035   
                                                                                            (0.156)   
                                        0b.female                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.female                                             0.754    
                                                                                           (0.224)*** 
                                        age                                                  0.035    
                                                                                           (0.010)*** 
                                        0b.univplus                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.univplus                                           -0.408   
                                                                                            (0.250)   
                                        0b.employed                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.employed                                           0.493    
                                                                                            (0.372)   
                                        0b.pensioner                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.pensioner                                          -0.132   
                                                                                            (0.476)   
                                        0b.rural                                             0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rural                                              0.407    
                                                                                            (0.296)   
                                        quallife                                             0.008    
                                                                                            (0.146)   
                                        demoverorder                                         -0.456   
                                                                                           (0.106)*** 
                                        ilo                                                  -0.030   
                                                                                            (0.154)   
                                        grpmilhry                                            -0.000   
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        M1[Oblast]                                           1.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        _cons                                                1.234    
                                                                                            (1.335)   
                       3.closertowhom   ukrpctoblast                                         -0.031   
                                                                                           (0.014)**  
                                        0b.rusnat2                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rusnat2                                            0.674    
                                                                                            (0.609)   
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.855    
                                                                                            (0.750)   
                                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           -1.651   
                                                                                            (1.796)   
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.908    
                                                                                            (3.711)   
                                        0b.unskilled                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.unskilled                                          0.308    
                                                                                            (0.574)   
                                        relations                                            -0.117   
                                                                                            (0.290)   
                                        0b.female                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.female                                             1.039    
                                                                                           (0.482)**  
                                        age                                                  0.032    
                                                                                            (0.020)   
                                        0b.univplus                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.univplus                                           -0.753   
                                                                                            (0.520)   
                                        0b.employed                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.employed                                           -0.490   
                                                                                            (0.688)   
                                        0b.pensioner                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.pensioner                                          -1.255   
                                                                                            (0.881)   
                                        0b.rural                                             0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rural                                              -0.685   
                                                                                            (0.690)   
                                        quallife                                             0.006    
                                                                                            (0.288)   
                                        demoverorder                                         -0.462   
                                                                                           (0.212)**  
                                        ilo                                                  0.487    
                                                                                           (0.239)**  
                                        grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        M1[Oblast]                                           1.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        _cons                                                -4.507   
                                                                                            (2.476)*  
                       4.closertowhom   ukrpctoblast                                         -0.019   
                                                                                           (0.009)**  
                                        0b.rusnat2                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rusnat2                                            0.188    
                                                                                            (0.406)   
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.603    
                                                                                            (0.377)   
                                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           1.817    
                                                                                            (0.983)*  
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.178    
                                                                                            (1.963)   
                                        0b.unskilled                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.unskilled                                          0.411    
                                                                                            (0.321)   
                                        relations                                            -0.125   
                                                                                            (0.166)   
                                        0b.female                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.female                                             0.602    
                                                                                           (0.244)**  
                                        age                                                  0.037    
                                                                                           (0.011)*** 
                                        0b.univplus                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.univplus                                           -0.073   
                                                                                            (0.269)   
                                        0b.employed                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.employed                                           0.789    
                                                                                            (0.432)*  
                                        0b.pensioner                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.pensioner                                          -0.278   
                                                                                            (0.531)   
                                        0b.rural                                             0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rural                                              0.432    
                                                                                            (0.320)   
                                        quallife                                             0.023    
                                                                                            (0.159)   
                                        demoverorder                                         -0.257   
                                                                                           (0.116)**  
                                        ilo                                                  0.043    
                                                                                            (0.166)   
                                        grpmilhry                                            -0.000   
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        M1[Oblast]                                           1.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        _cons                                                -1.566   
                                                                                            (1.499)   
                       var(M1[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.101    
                                                                                            (0.110)   
                       N                                                                      785     
                      ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. *Table A11
. gsem(i.joincunion <- c.ukrpctoblast  i.rusnat2 i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.unskilled c.relations i.fema
> le c.age i.univplus i.employed i.pensioner  i.rural  c.quallife c.demover c.ilo  c.grpmilhry   M1[Oblast]@1), mlogit

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -748.74293  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -540.32238  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -533.14799  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -532.96909  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -532.96892  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -532.96892  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -537.65798

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -537.65798  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -531.79007  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -531.47212  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -531.47146  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -531.47146  

Generalized structural equation model           Number of obs     =        742
Response       : joincunion
Base outcome   : 1
Family         : multinomial
Link           : logit
Log likelihood = -531.47146

 ( 1)  [2.joincunion]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 2)  [3.joincunion]M1[Oblast] = 1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1.joincunion                                 |  (base outcome)
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2.joincunion <-                              |
                                ukrpctoblast |  -.0303485   .0097363    -3.12   0.002    -.0494313   -.0112657
                                   1.rusnat2 |    .488388    .402296     1.21   0.225    -.3000977    1.276874
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .1386077   .3959098     0.35   0.726    -.6373611    .9145766
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.205143   1.131723     1.95   0.051    -.0129937    4.423279
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   .1654702    2.10933     0.08   0.937    -3.968741    4.299682
                                             |
                                 1.unskilled |   .0300234   .3593217     0.08   0.933    -.6742342     .734281
                                   relations |  -.2140255   .1728233    -1.24   0.216    -.5527529    .1247019
                                    1.female |   .5672169    .262334     2.16   0.031     .0530516    1.081382
                                         age |   .0340076   .0116614     2.92   0.004     .0111516    .0568636
                                  1.univplus |  -.4985401   .2902424    -1.72   0.086    -1.067405    .0703246
                                  1.employed |  -.1297111   .4064441    -0.32   0.750     -.926327    .6669048
                                 1.pensioner |  -1.304188    .537392    -2.43   0.015    -2.357457   -.2509192
                                     1.rural |  -.1315567   .3738117    -0.35   0.725    -.8642142    .6011007
                                    quallife |  -.0461135   .1723885    -0.27   0.789    -.3839886    .2917617
                                demoverorder |  -.6157346   .1261335    -4.88   0.000    -.8629517   -.3685174
                                         ilo |   .3217713   .1806393     1.78   0.075    -.0322753    .6758179
                                   grpmilhry |   2.60e-06   2.46e-06     1.06   0.290    -2.22e-06    7.42e-06
                                             |
                                  M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                                             |
                                       _cons |  -.6063948   1.584797    -0.38   0.702     -3.71254    2.499751
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3.joincunion <-                              |
                                ukrpctoblast |  -.0373699   .0088116    -4.24   0.000    -.0546404   -.0200994
                                   1.rusnat2 |   .6613086   .3464323     1.91   0.056    -.0176863    1.340303
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .8938199   .3720723     2.40   0.016     .1645717    1.623068
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |    2.31395   1.032415     2.24   0.025     .2904551    4.337446
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   1.656194   1.919154     0.86   0.388    -2.105279    5.417668
                                             |
                                 1.unskilled |  -.1191958   .3200588    -0.37   0.710    -.7464996    .5081079
                                   relations |   .0663509   .1649317     0.40   0.687    -.2569094    .3896112
                                    1.female |   .5501646   .2334349     2.36   0.018     .0926405    1.007689
                                         age |   .0341232   .0107674     3.17   0.002     .0130195    .0552269
                                  1.univplus |  -.4402875   .2576371    -1.71   0.087    -.9452469    .0646718
                                  1.employed |   .2662879   .3934992     0.68   0.499    -.5049563    1.037532
                                 1.pensioner |   .0700993   .5008238     0.14   0.889    -.9114974    1.051696
                                     1.rural |    .710808   .3276028     2.17   0.030     .0687182    1.352898
                                    quallife |  -.0295584   .1550928    -0.19   0.849    -.3335346    .2744178
                                demoverorder |   -.479725   .1109559    -4.32   0.000    -.6971946   -.2622555
                                         ilo |   .0142792   .1692487     0.08   0.933    -.3174421    .3460005
                                   grpmilhry |  -1.63e-06   2.36e-06    -0.69   0.489    -6.26e-06    2.99e-06
                                             |
                                  M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                                             |
                                       _cons |   .5226845     1.4439     0.36   0.717    -2.307308    3.352677
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                              var(M1[Oblast])|   .1334861   .1167337                      .0240469    .7409903
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using mlogitjcudiffinter.doc, starlevel (10, 5, 1) bdec (3) se replace

                      ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                       1b.joincunion    o.ukrpctoblast                                       0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.rusnat2                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.rusnat2                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.unskilled                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.unskilled                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.relations                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.female                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.female                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.age                                                0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.univplus                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.univplus                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.employed                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.employed                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.pensioner                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.pensioner                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.rural                                             0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.rural                                             0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.quallife                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.demoverorder                                       0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.ilo                                                0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.grpmilhry                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        M1[Oblast]                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o._cons                                              0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                       2.joincunion     ukrpctoblast                                         -0.030   
                                                                                           (0.010)*** 
                                        0b.rusnat2                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rusnat2                                            0.488    
                                                                                            (0.402)   
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.139    
                                                                                            (0.396)   
                                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.205    
                                                                                            (1.132)*  
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.165    
                                                                                            (2.109)   
                                        0b.unskilled                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.unskilled                                          0.030    
                                                                                            (0.359)   
                                        relations                                            -0.214   
                                                                                            (0.173)   
                                        0b.female                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.female                                             0.567    
                                                                                           (0.262)**  
                                        age                                                  0.034    
                                                                                           (0.012)*** 
                                        0b.univplus                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.univplus                                           -0.499   
                                                                                            (0.290)*  
                                        0b.employed                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.employed                                           -0.130   
                                                                                            (0.406)   
                                        0b.pensioner                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.pensioner                                          -1.304   
                                                                                           (0.537)**  
                                        0b.rural                                             0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rural                                              -0.132   
                                                                                            (0.374)   
                                        quallife                                             -0.046   
                                                                                            (0.172)   
                                        demoverorder                                         -0.616   
                                                                                           (0.126)*** 
                                        ilo                                                  0.322    
                                                                                            (0.181)*  
                                        grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        M1[Oblast]                                           1.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        _cons                                                -0.606   
                                                                                            (1.585)   
                       3.joincunion     ukrpctoblast                                         -0.037   
                                                                                           (0.009)*** 
                                        0b.rusnat2                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rusnat2                                            0.661    
                                                                                            (0.346)*  
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.894    
                                                                                           (0.372)**  
                                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.314    
                                                                                           (1.032)**  
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.656    
                                                                                            (1.919)   
                                        0b.unskilled                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.unskilled                                          -0.119   
                                                                                            (0.320)   
                                        relations                                            0.066    
                                                                                            (0.165)   
                                        0b.female                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.female                                             0.550    
                                                                                           (0.233)**  
                                        age                                                  0.034    
                                                                                           (0.011)*** 
                                        0b.univplus                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.univplus                                           -0.440   
                                                                                            (0.258)*  
                                        0b.employed                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.employed                                           0.266    
                                                                                            (0.393)   
                                        0b.pensioner                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.pensioner                                          0.070    
                                                                                            (0.501)   
                                        0b.rural                                             0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rural                                              0.711    
                                                                                           (0.328)**  
                                        quallife                                             -0.030   
                                                                                            (0.155)   
                                        demoverorder                                         -0.480   
                                                                                           (0.111)*** 
                                        ilo                                                  0.014    
                                                                                            (0.169)   
                                        grpmilhry                                            -0.000   
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        M1[Oblast]                                           1.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        _cons                                                0.523    
                                                                                            (1.444)   
                       var(M1[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.133    
                                                                                            (0.117)   
                       N                                                                      742     
                      ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Table A12
. bysort easierspeakRus: gsem(i.closertowhom <- c.ukrpctoblast  i.rusnat2 i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.uns
> killed c.relations i.female c.age i.univplus i.employed i.pensioner  i.rural  c.quallife c.demover c.ilo  c.grpmilhry   M1[O
> blast]@1), mlogit

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakRuss = 0

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -319.7355  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -261.08097  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -254.37625  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -254.1852  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -254.17297  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -254.17064  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -254.17013  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -254.17001  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -254.16998  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -254.16997  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -256.63955

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -256.63955  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -254.11627  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -253.83662  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -253.81279  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -253.81279  

Generalized structural equation model           Number of obs     =        325
Response       : closertowhom
Base outcome   : 1
Family         : multinomial
Link           : logit
Log likelihood = -253.81279

 ( 1)  [2.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 2)  [3.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 3)  [4.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1.closertowhom             |  (base outcome)
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2.closertowhom <-          |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0722416   .0209617    -3.45   0.001    -.1133257   -.0311575
                 1.rusnat2 |  -16.33672   6079.839    -0.00   0.998     -11932.6    11899.93
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.183076   1.184958     2.69   0.007     .8606023    5.505551
                           |
               1.unskilled |  -.1149421   .4492687    -0.26   0.798    -.9954925    .7656083
                 relations |  -.1290168   .2581989    -0.50   0.617    -.6350774    .3770438
                  1.female |   .5133479    .364376     1.41   0.159    -.2008158    1.227512
                       age |   .0402008   .0170554     2.36   0.018     .0067727    .0736288
                1.univplus |  -.2291925   .4446504    -0.52   0.606    -1.100691    .6423064
                1.employed |  -.3452993   .5587666    -0.62   0.537    -1.440462    .7498632
               1.pensioner |  -1.145836   .7046546    -1.63   0.104    -2.526934    .2352613
                   1.rural |   .7554081   .4329484     1.74   0.081    -.0931553    1.603971
                  quallife |   .2530504   .2585982     0.98   0.328    -.2537927    .7598935
              demoverorder |  -.7918097   .1855639    -4.27   0.000    -1.155508   -.4281112
                       ilo |   .3947111   .2852757     1.38   0.166     -.164419    .9538412
                 grpmilhry |   3.02e-06   3.72e-06     0.81   0.417    -4.27e-06    .0000103
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |   1.656297   2.488475     0.67   0.506    -3.221024    6.533617
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3.closertowhom <-          |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0858976   .0425405    -2.02   0.043    -.1692756   -.0025197
                 1.rusnat2 |  -16.46762   15060.73    -0.00   0.999    -29534.95    29502.02
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |  -1.507813   1.850253    -0.81   0.415    -5.134241    2.118616
                           |
               1.unskilled |   .1497603    .918011     0.16   0.870    -1.649508    1.949029
                 relations |  -.9130627   .5533282    -1.65   0.099    -1.997566    .1714406
                  1.female |    .871014   .8722142     1.00   0.318    -.8384945    2.580522
                       age |   .0207205   .0343346     0.60   0.546     -.046574     .088015
                1.univplus |  -.4335264   1.207141    -0.36   0.719     -2.79948    1.932427
                1.employed |  -2.389584    1.38467    -1.73   0.084    -5.103487    .3243193
               1.pensioner |  -1.039381    1.24328    -0.84   0.403    -3.476165    1.397403
                   1.rural |  -.4812775   .8564812    -0.56   0.574     -2.15995    1.197395
                  quallife |  -.2244534   .5767491    -0.39   0.697    -1.354861     .905954
              demoverorder |   -.480453   .3954295    -1.22   0.224    -1.255481    .2945746
                       ilo |   .6966755   .5454429     1.28   0.202     -.372373    1.765724
                 grpmilhry |   2.99e-07   7.91e-06     0.04   0.970    -.0000152    .0000158
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |   2.727743   5.009828     0.54   0.586    -7.091339    12.54683
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
4.closertowhom <-          |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0570263   .0207411    -2.75   0.006     -.097678   -.0163745
                 1.rusnat2 |   2.717156   1.315876     2.06   0.039     .1380869    5.296226
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   1.117436   1.126784     0.99   0.321     -1.09102    3.325892
                           |
               1.unskilled |  -.0153882   .4703907    -0.03   0.974     -.937337    .9065606
                 relations |   .4347127   .2984556     1.46   0.145    -.1502496    1.019675
                  1.female |   .7442125   .4008978     1.86   0.063    -.0415327    1.529958
                       age |   .0489929   .0183147     2.68   0.007     .0130967    .0848891
                1.univplus |  -.1395505   .4479253    -0.31   0.755    -1.017468     .738367
                1.employed |     1.2816    .713955     1.80   0.073    -.1177262    2.680926
               1.pensioner |  -.1379945   .8117071    -0.17   0.865    -1.728911    1.452922
                   1.rural |    .499639   .4138235     1.21   0.227    -.3114402    1.310718
                  quallife |  -.0090551   .2460179    -0.04   0.971    -.4912413    .4731312
              demoverorder |  -.1477607   .1957634    -0.75   0.450      -.53145    .2359286
                       ilo |   .0567224    .281384     0.20   0.840    -.4947801     .608225
                 grpmilhry |  -8.78e-06   4.72e-06    -1.86   0.063     -.000018    4.70e-07
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |  -.8236519   2.729655    -0.30   0.763    -6.173677    4.526374
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            var(M1[Oblast])|   .1484961    .210713                      .0092019    2.396367
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakRuss = 1

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -497.05188  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -415.99239  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -409.97931  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -409.71597  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -409.66004  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -409.64611  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -409.64332  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -409.64272  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -409.64259  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -409.64255  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -415.94731

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -415.94731  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -413.37739  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -410.82504  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -409.71805  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -409.66261  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -409.65152  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -409.64708  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood =  -409.6453  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -409.64459  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log likelihood =  -409.6443  (not concave)
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -409.64408  (not concave)
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 17:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 18:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 19:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 20:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 22:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 23:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 24:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 25:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 26:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 28:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 29:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 30:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 31:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 32:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 33:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 34:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 35:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 36:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 38:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 39:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 40:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 41:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 42:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 43:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 44:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 45:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 46:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 47:  log likelihood = -409.64402  (backed up)
Iteration 48:  log likelihood = -409.64401  (backed up)
Iteration 49:  log likelihood = -409.64397  (not concave)
Iteration 50:  log likelihood = -409.64397  (not concave)
Iteration 51:  log likelihood = -409.64396  (not concave)
Iteration 52:  log likelihood = -409.64395  (not concave)
Iteration 53:  log likelihood = -409.64393  (not concave)
Iteration 54:  log likelihood = -409.64392  (not concave)
Iteration 55:  log likelihood = -409.64368  
Iteration 56:  log likelihood = -409.64255  
Iteration 57:  log likelihood = -409.64255  (not concave)
Iteration 58:  log likelihood = -409.64255  (backed up)

Generalized structural equation model           Number of obs     =        460
Response       : closertowhom
Base outcome   : 1
Family         : multinomial
Link           : logit
Log likelihood = -409.64255

 ( 1)  [2.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 2)  [3.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 3)  [4.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1.closertowhom             |  (base outcome)
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2.closertowhom <-          |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0199287   .0078902    -2.53   0.012    -.0353932   -.0044642
                 1.rusnat2 |   .8084817   .3641336     2.22   0.026      .094793     1.52217
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.575827   1.752405     2.04   0.041     .1411757    7.010479
                           |
               1.unskilled |   .5223744   .5249279     1.00   0.320    -.5064655    1.551214
                 relations |   -.098311   .2140423    -0.46   0.646    -.5178263    .3212042
                  1.female |   .7871735   .3004966     2.62   0.009     .1982111    1.376136
                       age |    .030958   .0141623     2.19   0.029     .0032005    .0587156
                1.univplus |  -.3513325   .3216102    -1.09   0.275    -.9816769    .2790118
                1.employed |   1.181426   .5162363     2.29   0.022      .169622    2.193231
               1.pensioner |    .680596   .6944576     0.98   0.327    -.6805158    2.041708
                   1.rural |   .0641281   .5103614     0.13   0.900    -.9361619    1.064418
                  quallife |   -.094667   .1904557    -0.50   0.619    -.4679533    .2786193
              demoverorder |  -.2952267   .1407763    -2.10   0.036    -.5711431   -.0193103
                       ilo |  -.1205237   .1717536    -0.70   0.483    -.4571545    .2161071
                 grpmilhry |  -6.05e-06   2.22e-06    -2.72   0.007    -.0000104   -1.68e-06
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |   1.542739   1.422942     1.08   0.278    -1.246176    4.331655
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3.closertowhom <-          |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0163146   .0144283    -1.13   0.258    -.0445935    .0119643
                 1.rusnat2 |   .8058246   .6316924     1.28   0.202    -.4322697    2.043919
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.840964   3.646743     0.78   0.436    -4.306522     9.98845
                           |
               1.unskilled |   .8414397    .814645     1.03   0.302    -.7552353    2.438115
                 relations |   .2001133   .4122635     0.49   0.627    -.6079084    1.008135
                  1.female |   1.114397   .6006864     1.86   0.064    -.0629269    2.291721
                       age |   .0324412   .0257573     1.26   0.208    -.0180421    .0829245
                1.univplus |  -.6944462   .6135418    -1.13   0.258    -1.896966    .5080737
                1.employed |    .626582   1.164391     0.54   0.590    -1.655582    2.908746
               1.pensioner |  -.6247399   1.434223    -0.44   0.663    -3.435766    2.186286
                   1.rural |  -14.21373    833.046    -0.02   0.986    -1646.954    1618.526
                  quallife |  -.0141435   .3676477    -0.04   0.969    -.7347197    .7064328
              demoverorder |  -.4129812   .2648936    -1.56   0.119    -.9321631    .1062007
                       ilo |   .2875551   .2907241     0.99   0.323    -.2822537    .8573638
                 grpmilhry |   4.74e-06   4.12e-06     1.15   0.250    -3.34e-06    .0000128
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |  -5.185416   2.845759    -1.82   0.068      -10.763    .3921692
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
4.closertowhom <-          |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0093956   .0093093    -1.01   0.313    -.0276414    .0088502
                 1.rusnat2 |   .0415643   .4314914     0.10   0.923    -.8041432    .8872719
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   4.551683   2.009141     2.27   0.023     .6138387    8.489528
                           |
               1.unskilled |   1.060634   .5539028     1.91   0.056    -.0249953    2.146264
                 relations |  -.3284573   .2327916    -1.41   0.158    -.7847204    .1278058
                  1.female |   .6373567   .3411693     1.87   0.062    -.0313228    1.306036
                       age |   .0291712   .0158134     1.84   0.065    -.0018224    .0601648
                1.univplus |  -.1664465   .3596622    -0.46   0.644    -.8713716    .5384785
                1.employed |   .5764319   .6023137     0.96   0.339    -.6040813    1.756945
               1.pensioner |  -.3270555   .8006819    -0.41   0.683    -1.896363    1.242252
                   1.rural |  -.0616315   .6358173    -0.10   0.923    -1.307811    1.184548
                  quallife |   .1265856   .2183544     0.58   0.562    -.3013811    .5545523
              demoverorder |  -.2643847   .1617317    -1.63   0.102    -.5813731    .0526036
                       ilo |  -.0362982    .202642    -0.18   0.858    -.4334693    .3608728
                 grpmilhry |   1.56e-06   2.55e-06     0.61   0.540    -3.43e-06    6.55e-06
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |  -.4473894   1.662479    -0.27   0.788    -3.705788    2.811009
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            var(M1[Oblast])|   2.32e-36   4.09e-19                             .           .
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakRuss = .
insufficient observations

. outreg using mlogitbcrdiffinterrus.doc, starlevel (10, 5, 1) bdec (3) se merge

                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 1b.joincunion    o.ukrpctoblast                                       0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  0b.rusnat2                                           0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1o.rusnat2                                           0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1o.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  o.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                         0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1o.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  0b.unskilled                                         0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1o.unskilled                                         0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  o.relations                                          0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  0b.female                                            0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1o.female                                            0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  o.age                                                0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  0b.univplus                                          0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1o.univplus                                          0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  0b.employed                                          0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1o.employed                                          0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  0b.pensioner                                         0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1o.pensioner                                         0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  0b.rural                                             0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1o.rural                                             0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  o.quallife                                           0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  o.demoverorder                                       0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  o.ilo                                                0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  o.grpmilhry                                          0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  M1[Oblast]                                           0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  o._cons                                              0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                 2.joincunion     ukrpctoblast                                         -0.030               
                                                                                     (0.010)***             
                                  0b.rusnat2                                           0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.rusnat2                                            0.488                
                                                                                      (0.402)               
                                  0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.139                
                                                                                      (0.396)               
                                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.205                
                                                                                      (1.132)*              
                                  0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.165                
                                                                                      (2.109)               
                                  0b.unskilled                                         0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.unskilled                                          0.030                
                                                                                      (0.359)               
                                  relations                                            -0.214               
                                                                                      (0.173)               
                                  0b.female                                            0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.female                                             0.567                
                                                                                     (0.262)**              
                                  age                                                  0.034                
                                                                                     (0.012)***             
                                  0b.univplus                                          0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.univplus                                           -0.499               
                                                                                      (0.290)*              
                                  0b.employed                                          0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.employed                                           -0.130               
                                                                                      (0.406)               
                                  0b.pensioner                                         0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.pensioner                                          -1.304               
                                                                                     (0.537)**              
                                  0b.rural                                             0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.rural                                              -0.132               
                                                                                      (0.374)               
                                  quallife                                             -0.046               
                                                                                      (0.172)               
                                  demoverorder                                         -0.616               
                                                                                     (0.126)***             
                                  ilo                                                  0.322                
                                                                                      (0.181)*              
                                  grpmilhry                                            0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  M1[Oblast]                                           1.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  _cons                                                -0.606               
                                                                                      (1.585)               
                 3.joincunion     ukrpctoblast                                         -0.037               
                                                                                     (0.009)***             
                                  0b.rusnat2                                           0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.rusnat2                                            0.661                
                                                                                      (0.346)*              
                                  0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.894                
                                                                                     (0.372)**              
                                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.314                
                                                                                     (1.032)**              
                                  0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.656                
                                                                                      (1.919)               
                                  0b.unskilled                                         0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.unskilled                                          -0.119               
                                                                                      (0.320)               
                                  relations                                            0.066                
                                                                                      (0.165)               
                                  0b.female                                            0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.female                                             0.550                
                                                                                     (0.233)**              
                                  age                                                  0.034                
                                                                                     (0.011)***             
                                  0b.univplus                                          0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.univplus                                           -0.440               
                                                                                      (0.258)*              
                                  0b.employed                                          0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.employed                                           0.266                
                                                                                      (0.393)               
                                  0b.pensioner                                         0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.pensioner                                          0.070                
                                                                                      (0.501)               
                                  0b.rural                                             0.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  1.rural                                              0.711                
                                                                                     (0.328)**              
                                  quallife                                             -0.030               
                                                                                      (0.155)               
                                  demoverorder                                         -0.480               
                                                                                     (0.111)***             
                                  ilo                                                  0.014                
                                                                                      (0.169)               
                                  grpmilhry                                            -0.000               
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  M1[Oblast]                                           1.000                
                                                                                      (0.000)               
                                  _cons                                                0.523                
                                                                                      (1.444)               
                 1b.closertowhom  o.ukrpctoblast                                                   0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  0b.rusnat2                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1o.rusnat2                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1b.easierspeakRuss                                               0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  o.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                     0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                 0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  0b.unskilled                                                     0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1o.unskilled                                                     0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  o.relations                                                      0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  0b.female                                                        0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1o.female                                                        0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  o.age                                                            0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  0b.univplus                                                      0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1o.univplus                                                      0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  0b.employed                                                      0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1o.employed                                                      0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  0b.pensioner                                                     0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1o.pensioner                                                     0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  0b.rural                                                         0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1o.rural                                                         0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  o.quallife                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  o.demoverorder                                                   0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  o.ilo                                                            0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  o.grpmilhry                                                      0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  M1[Oblast]                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  o._cons                                                          0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                 2.closertowhom   ukrpctoblast                                                     -0.020   
                                                                                                 (0.008)**  
                                  0b.rusnat2                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.rusnat2                                                        0.808    
                                                                                                 (0.364)**  
                                  1b.easierspeakRuss                                               0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                       3.576    
                                                                                                 (1.752)**  
                                  1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                 0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  0b.unskilled                                                     0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.unskilled                                                      0.522    
                                                                                                  (0.525)   
                                  relations                                                        -0.098   
                                                                                                  (0.214)   
                                  0b.female                                                        0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.female                                                         0.787    
                                                                                                 (0.300)*** 
                                  age                                                              0.031    
                                                                                                 (0.014)**  
                                  0b.univplus                                                      0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.univplus                                                       -0.351   
                                                                                                  (0.322)   
                                  0b.employed                                                      0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.employed                                                       1.181    
                                                                                                 (0.516)**  
                                  0b.pensioner                                                     0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.pensioner                                                      0.681    
                                                                                                  (0.694)   
                                  0b.rural                                                         0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.rural                                                          0.064    
                                                                                                  (0.510)   
                                  quallife                                                         -0.095   
                                                                                                  (0.190)   
                                  demoverorder                                                     -0.295   
                                                                                                 (0.141)**  
                                  ilo                                                              -0.121   
                                                                                                  (0.172)   
                                  grpmilhry                                                        -0.000   
                                                                                                 (0.000)*** 
                                  M1[Oblast]                                                       1.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  _cons                                                            1.543    
                                                                                                  (1.423)   
                 3.closertowhom   ukrpctoblast                                                     -0.016   
                                                                                                  (0.014)   
                                  0b.rusnat2                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.rusnat2                                                        0.806    
                                                                                                  (0.632)   
                                  1b.easierspeakRuss                                               0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                       2.841    
                                                                                                  (3.647)   
                                  1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                 0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  0b.unskilled                                                     0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.unskilled                                                      0.841    
                                                                                                  (0.815)   
                                  relations                                                        0.200    
                                                                                                  (0.412)   
                                  0b.female                                                        0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.female                                                         1.114    
                                                                                                  (0.601)*  
                                  age                                                              0.032    
                                                                                                  (0.026)   
                                  0b.univplus                                                      0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.univplus                                                       -0.694   
                                                                                                  (0.614)   
                                  0b.employed                                                      0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.employed                                                       0.627    
                                                                                                  (1.164)   
                                  0b.pensioner                                                     0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.pensioner                                                      -0.625   
                                                                                                  (1.434)   
                                  0b.rural                                                         0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.rural                                                         -14.214   
                                                                                                 (833.046)  
                                  quallife                                                         -0.014   
                                                                                                  (0.368)   
                                  demoverorder                                                     -0.413   
                                                                                                  (0.265)   
                                  ilo                                                              0.288    
                                                                                                  (0.291)   
                                  grpmilhry                                                        0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  M1[Oblast]                                                       1.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  _cons                                                            -5.185   
                                                                                                  (2.846)*  
                 4.closertowhom   ukrpctoblast                                                     -0.009   
                                                                                                  (0.009)   
                                  0b.rusnat2                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.rusnat2                                                        0.042    
                                                                                                  (0.431)   
                                  1b.easierspeakRuss                                               0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                       4.552    
                                                                                                 (2.009)**  
                                  1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                 0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  0b.unskilled                                                     0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.unskilled                                                      1.061    
                                                                                                  (0.554)*  
                                  relations                                                        -0.328   
                                                                                                  (0.233)   
                                  0b.female                                                        0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.female                                                         0.637    
                                                                                                  (0.341)*  
                                  age                                                              0.029    
                                                                                                  (0.016)*  
                                  0b.univplus                                                      0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.univplus                                                       -0.166   
                                                                                                  (0.360)   
                                  0b.employed                                                      0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.employed                                                       0.576    
                                                                                                  (0.602)   
                                  0b.pensioner                                                     0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.pensioner                                                      -0.327   
                                                                                                  (0.801)   
                                  0b.rural                                                         0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  1.rural                                                          -0.062   
                                                                                                  (0.636)   
                                  quallife                                                         0.127    
                                                                                                  (0.218)   
                                  demoverorder                                                     -0.264   
                                                                                                  (0.162)   
                                  ilo                                                              -0.036   
                                                                                                  (0.203)   
                                  grpmilhry                                                        0.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  M1[Oblast]                                                       1.000    
                                                                                                  (0.000)   
                                  _cons                                                            -0.447   
                                                                                                  (1.662)   
                 var(M1[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.133       0.000    
                                                                                      (0.117)     (0.000)   
                 N                                                                      742         460     
                ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Table A13
. 
. bysort easierspeakUkr: gsem(i.closertowhom <- c.ukrpctoblast  i.rusnat2 i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.uns
> killed c.relations i.female c.age i.univplus i.employed i.pensioner  i.rural  c.quallife c.demover c.ilo  c.grpmilhry   M1[O
> blast]@1), mlogit

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakUkr = 0

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -497.05188  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -415.99239  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -409.97931  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -409.71597  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -409.66004  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -409.64611  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -409.64332  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -409.64272  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -409.64259  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -409.64255  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -415.94731

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -415.94731  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -413.37739  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -410.82504  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -409.71805  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -409.66261  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -409.65152  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -409.64708  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log likelihood =  -409.6453  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -409.64459  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log likelihood =  -409.6443  (not concave)
Iteration 10:  log likelihood = -409.64408  (not concave)
Iteration 11:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 12:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 14:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 17:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 18:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 19:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 20:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 22:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 23:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 24:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 25:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 26:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 28:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 29:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 30:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 31:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 32:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 33:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 34:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 35:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 36:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 38:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 39:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 40:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 41:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (not concave)
Iteration 42:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 43:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 44:  log likelihood = -409.64403  (backed up)
Iteration 45:  log likelihood = -409.64402  (not concave)
Iteration 46:  log likelihood = -409.64402  
Iteration 47:  log likelihood = -409.64402  (backed up)
Iteration 48:  log likelihood = -409.64401  (backed up)
Iteration 49:  log likelihood = -409.64396  (not concave)
Iteration 50:  log likelihood = -409.64395  (not concave)
Iteration 51:  log likelihood = -409.64394  (not concave)
Iteration 52:  log likelihood = -409.64393  
Iteration 53:  log likelihood = -409.64255  (not concave)
Iteration 54:  log likelihood = -409.64255  (not concave)
Iteration 55:  log likelihood = -409.64255  (not concave)
Iteration 56:  log likelihood = -409.64255  (not concave)
Iteration 57:  log likelihood = -409.64255  (backed up)

Generalized structural equation model           Number of obs     =        460
Response       : closertowhom
Base outcome   : 1
Family         : multinomial
Link           : logit
Log likelihood = -409.64255

 ( 1)  [2.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 2)  [3.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 3)  [4.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1.closertowhom             |  (base outcome)
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2.closertowhom <-          |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0199287   .0078902    -2.53   0.012    -.0353932   -.0044642
                 1.rusnat2 |     .80848    .364133     2.22   0.026     .0947924    1.522168
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.575777   1.752399     2.04   0.041     .1411381    7.010417
                           |
               1.unskilled |   .5223757   .5249272     1.00   0.320    -.5064627    1.551214
                 relations |   -.098311    .214042    -0.46   0.646    -.5178256    .3212036
                  1.female |   .7871718   .3004961     2.62   0.009     .1982103    1.376133
                       age |   .0309579   .0141623     2.19   0.029     .0032004    .0587155
                1.univplus |  -.3513314   .3216097    -1.09   0.275    -.9816748    .2790119
                1.employed |   1.181423   .5162358     2.29   0.022     .1696199    2.193227
               1.pensioner |   .6805887   .6944566     0.98   0.327    -.6805212    2.041699
                   1.rural |   .0641286   .5103607     0.13   0.900      -.93616    1.064417
                  quallife |  -.0946667   .1904555    -0.50   0.619    -.4679525    .2786192
              demoverorder |  -.2952251   .1407761    -2.10   0.036    -.5711411    -.019309
                       ilo |  -.1205235   .1717533    -0.70   0.483    -.4571539    .2161068
                 grpmilhry |  -6.05e-06   2.22e-06    -2.72   0.007    -.0000104   -1.68e-06
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |   1.542737   1.422941     1.08   0.278    -1.246175     4.33165
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3.closertowhom <-          |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0163146   .0144283    -1.13   0.258    -.0445935    .0119643
                 1.rusnat2 |   .8058252   .6316919     1.28   0.202    -.4322683    2.043919
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.840958   3.646733     0.78   0.436    -4.306507    9.988423
                           |
               1.unskilled |   .8414401   .8146442     1.03   0.302    -.7552332    2.438113
                 relations |   .2001127   .4122631     0.49   0.627    -.6079081    1.008133
                  1.female |   1.114395   .6006859     1.86   0.064     -.062928    2.291718
                       age |   .0324411   .0257572     1.26   0.208    -.0180421    .0829244
                1.univplus |  -.6944462   .6135415    -1.13   0.258    -1.896965    .5080729
                1.employed |   .6265825    1.16439     0.54   0.590    -1.655581    2.908746
               1.pensioner |  -.6247421   1.434223    -0.44   0.663    -3.435767    2.186283
                   1.rural |  -13.67024   634.8223    -0.02   0.983    -1257.899    1230.559
                  quallife |  -.0141438   .3676475    -0.04   0.969    -.7347197     .706432
              demoverorder |    -.41298   .2648934    -1.56   0.119    -.9321615    .1062015
                       ilo |   .2875539   .2907239     0.99   0.323    -.2822544    .8573623
                 grpmilhry |   4.74e-06   4.12e-06     1.15   0.250    -3.34e-06    .0000128
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |  -5.185412   2.845757    -1.82   0.068    -10.76299    .3921699
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
4.closertowhom <-          |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0093956   .0093092    -1.01   0.313    -.0276414    .0088501
                 1.rusnat2 |   .0415646   .4314911     0.10   0.923    -.8041425    .8872717
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   4.551646   2.009136     2.27   0.023     .6138127     8.48948
                           |
               1.unskilled |   1.060634   .5539025     1.91   0.056    -.0249951    2.146263
                 relations |  -.3284575   .2327915    -1.41   0.158    -.7847204    .1278054
                  1.female |   .6373547   .3411691     1.87   0.062    -.0313245    1.306034
                       age |   .0291711   .0158134     1.84   0.065    -.0018225    .0601647
                1.univplus |   -.166446   .3596621    -0.46   0.644    -.8713709    .5384788
                1.employed |   .5764313   .6023136     0.96   0.339    -.6040818    1.756944
               1.pensioner |  -.3270595   .8006817    -0.41   0.683    -1.896367    1.242248
                   1.rural |  -.0616309   .6358169    -0.10   0.923    -1.307809    1.184547
                  quallife |   .1265854   .2183543     0.58   0.562    -.3013812     .554552
              demoverorder |  -.2643835   .1617317    -1.63   0.102    -.5813718    .0526048
                       ilo |  -.0362975   .2026419    -0.18   0.858    -.4334683    .3608732
                 grpmilhry |   1.56e-06   2.55e-06     0.61   0.540    -3.43e-06    6.55e-06
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |  -.4473936   1.662478    -0.27   0.788    -3.705791    2.811004
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            var(M1[Oblast])|   5.07e-36   4.01e-19                             .           .
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakUkr = 1

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -319.7355  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -261.08097  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -254.37625  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -254.1852  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -254.17297  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -254.17064  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -254.17013  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -254.17001  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -254.16998  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -254.16997  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -256.63955

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -256.63955  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -254.11627  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -253.83662  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -253.81279  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -253.81279  

Generalized structural equation model           Number of obs     =        325
Response       : closertowhom
Base outcome   : 1
Family         : multinomial
Link           : logit
Log likelihood = -253.81279

 ( 1)  [2.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 2)  [3.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 3)  [4.closertowhom]M1[Oblast] = 1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1.closertowhom             |  (base outcome)
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2.closertowhom <-          |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0722416   .0209617    -3.45   0.001    -.1133257   -.0311575
                 1.rusnat2 |  -16.33672   6079.839    -0.00   0.998     -11932.6    11899.93
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.183076   1.184958     2.69   0.007     .8606023    5.505551
                           |
               1.unskilled |  -.1149421   .4492687    -0.26   0.798    -.9954925    .7656083
                 relations |  -.1290168   .2581989    -0.50   0.617    -.6350774    .3770438
                  1.female |   .5133479    .364376     1.41   0.159    -.2008158    1.227512
                       age |   .0402008   .0170554     2.36   0.018     .0067727    .0736288
                1.univplus |  -.2291925   .4446504    -0.52   0.606    -1.100691    .6423064
                1.employed |  -.3452993   .5587666    -0.62   0.537    -1.440462    .7498632
               1.pensioner |  -1.145836   .7046546    -1.63   0.104    -2.526934    .2352613
                   1.rural |   .7554081   .4329484     1.74   0.081    -.0931553    1.603971
                  quallife |   .2530504   .2585982     0.98   0.328    -.2537927    .7598935
              demoverorder |  -.7918097   .1855639    -4.27   0.000    -1.155508   -.4281112
                       ilo |   .3947111   .2852757     1.38   0.166     -.164419    .9538412
                 grpmilhry |   3.02e-06   3.72e-06     0.81   0.417    -4.27e-06    .0000103
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |   1.656297   2.488475     0.67   0.506    -3.221024    6.533617
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3.closertowhom <-          |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0858976   .0425405    -2.02   0.043    -.1692756   -.0025197
                 1.rusnat2 |  -16.46762   15060.73    -0.00   0.999    -29534.95    29502.02
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |  -1.507813   1.850253    -0.81   0.415    -5.134241    2.118616
                           |
               1.unskilled |   .1497603    .918011     0.16   0.870    -1.649508    1.949029
                 relations |  -.9130627   .5533282    -1.65   0.099    -1.997566    .1714406
                  1.female |    .871014   .8722142     1.00   0.318    -.8384945    2.580522
                       age |   .0207205   .0343346     0.60   0.546     -.046574     .088015
                1.univplus |  -.4335264   1.207141    -0.36   0.719     -2.79948    1.932427
                1.employed |  -2.389584    1.38467    -1.73   0.084    -5.103487    .3243193
               1.pensioner |  -1.039381    1.24328    -0.84   0.403    -3.476165    1.397403
                   1.rural |  -.4812775   .8564812    -0.56   0.574     -2.15995    1.197395
                  quallife |  -.2244534   .5767491    -0.39   0.697    -1.354861     .905954
              demoverorder |   -.480453   .3954295    -1.22   0.224    -1.255481    .2945746
                       ilo |   .6966755   .5454429     1.28   0.202     -.372373    1.765724
                 grpmilhry |   2.99e-07   7.91e-06     0.04   0.970    -.0000152    .0000158
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |   2.727743   5.009828     0.54   0.586    -7.091339    12.54683
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
4.closertowhom <-          |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0570263   .0207411    -2.75   0.006     -.097678   -.0163745
                 1.rusnat2 |   2.717156   1.315876     2.06   0.039     .1380869    5.296226
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   1.117436   1.126784     0.99   0.321     -1.09102    3.325892
                           |
               1.unskilled |  -.0153882   .4703907    -0.03   0.974     -.937337    .9065606
                 relations |   .4347127   .2984556     1.46   0.145    -.1502496    1.019675
                  1.female |   .7442125   .4008978     1.86   0.063    -.0415327    1.529958
                       age |   .0489929   .0183147     2.68   0.007     .0130967    .0848891
                1.univplus |  -.1395505   .4479253    -0.31   0.755    -1.017468     .738367
                1.employed |     1.2816    .713955     1.80   0.073    -.1177262    2.680926
               1.pensioner |  -.1379945   .8117071    -0.17   0.865    -1.728911    1.452922
                   1.rural |    .499639   .4138235     1.21   0.227    -.3114402    1.310718
                  quallife |  -.0090551   .2460179    -0.04   0.971    -.4912413    .4731312
              demoverorder |  -.1477607   .1957634    -0.75   0.450      -.53145    .2359286
                       ilo |   .0567224    .281384     0.20   0.840    -.4947801     .608225
                 grpmilhry |  -8.78e-06   4.72e-06    -1.86   0.063     -.000018    4.70e-07
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |  -.8236519   2.729655    -0.30   0.763    -6.173677    4.526374
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            var(M1[Oblast])|   .1484961    .210713                      .0092019    2.396367
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakUkr = .
insufficient observations

. outreg using mlogitbcrdiffinterU.doc, starlevel (10, 5, 1) bdec (3) se replace

                     -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      1b.closertowhom  o.ukrpctoblast                                        0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       0b.rusnat2                                            0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1o.rusnat2                                            0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       0b.easierspeakRuss                                    0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       o.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                          0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp      0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       0b.unskilled                                          0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1o.unskilled                                          0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       o.relations                                           0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       0b.female                                             0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1o.female                                             0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       o.age                                                 0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       0b.univplus                                           0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1o.univplus                                           0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       0b.employed                                           0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1o.employed                                           0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       0b.pensioner                                          0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1o.pensioner                                          0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       0b.rural                                              0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1o.rural                                              0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       o.quallife                                            0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       o.demoverorder                                        0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       o.ilo                                                 0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       o.grpmilhry                                           0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       M1[Oblast]                                            0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       o._cons                                               0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                      2.closertowhom   ukrpctoblast                                          -0.072    
                                                                                           (0.021)***  
                                       0b.rusnat2                                            0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.rusnat2                                            -16.337    
                                                                                          (6,079.839)  
                                       0b.easierspeakRuss                                    0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                            3.183     
                                                                                           (1.185)***  
                                       0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp      0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       0b.unskilled                                          0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.unskilled                                           -0.115    
                                                                                            (0.449)    
                                       relations                                             -0.129    
                                                                                            (0.258)    
                                       0b.female                                             0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.female                                              0.513     
                                                                                            (0.364)    
                                       age                                                   0.040     
                                                                                           (0.017)**   
                                       0b.univplus                                           0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.univplus                                            -0.229    
                                                                                            (0.445)    
                                       0b.employed                                           0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.employed                                            -0.345    
                                                                                            (0.559)    
                                       0b.pensioner                                          0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.pensioner                                           -1.146    
                                                                                            (0.705)    
                                       0b.rural                                              0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.rural                                               0.755     
                                                                                            (0.433)*   
                                       quallife                                              0.253     
                                                                                            (0.259)    
                                       demoverorder                                          -0.792    
                                                                                           (0.186)***  
                                       ilo                                                   0.395     
                                                                                            (0.285)    
                                       grpmilhry                                             0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       M1[Oblast]                                            1.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       _cons                                                 1.656     
                                                                                            (2.488)    
                      3.closertowhom   ukrpctoblast                                          -0.086    
                                                                                           (0.043)**   
                                       0b.rusnat2                                            0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.rusnat2                                            -16.468    
                                                                                          (15,060.728) 
                                       0b.easierspeakRuss                                    0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                            -1.508    
                                                                                            (1.850)    
                                       0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp      0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       0b.unskilled                                          0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.unskilled                                           0.150     
                                                                                            (0.918)    
                                       relations                                             -0.913    
                                                                                            (0.553)*   
                                       0b.female                                             0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.female                                              0.871     
                                                                                            (0.872)    
                                       age                                                   0.021     
                                                                                            (0.034)    
                                       0b.univplus                                           0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.univplus                                            -0.434    
                                                                                            (1.207)    
                                       0b.employed                                           0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.employed                                            -2.390    
                                                                                            (1.385)*   
                                       0b.pensioner                                          0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.pensioner                                           -1.039    
                                                                                            (1.243)    
                                       0b.rural                                              0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.rural                                               -0.481    
                                                                                            (0.856)    
                                       quallife                                              -0.224    
                                                                                            (0.577)    
                                       demoverorder                                          -0.480    
                                                                                            (0.395)    
                                       ilo                                                   0.697     
                                                                                            (0.545)    
                                       grpmilhry                                             0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       M1[Oblast]                                            1.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       _cons                                                 2.728     
                                                                                            (5.010)    
                      4.closertowhom   ukrpctoblast                                          -0.057    
                                                                                           (0.021)***  
                                       0b.rusnat2                                            0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.rusnat2                                             2.717     
                                                                                           (1.316)**   
                                       0b.easierspeakRuss                                    0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                            1.117     
                                                                                            (1.127)    
                                       0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp      0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       0b.unskilled                                          0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.unskilled                                           -0.015    
                                                                                            (0.470)    
                                       relations                                             0.435     
                                                                                            (0.298)    
                                       0b.female                                             0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.female                                              0.744     
                                                                                            (0.401)*   
                                       age                                                   0.049     
                                                                                           (0.018)***  
                                       0b.univplus                                           0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.univplus                                            -0.140    
                                                                                            (0.448)    
                                       0b.employed                                           0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.employed                                            1.282     
                                                                                            (0.714)*   
                                       0b.pensioner                                          0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.pensioner                                           -0.138    
                                                                                            (0.812)    
                                       0b.rural                                              0.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       1.rural                                               0.500     
                                                                                            (0.414)    
                                       quallife                                              -0.009    
                                                                                            (0.246)    
                                       demoverorder                                          -0.148    
                                                                                            (0.196)    
                                       ilo                                                   0.057     
                                                                                            (0.281)    
                                       grpmilhry                                             -0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)*   
                                       M1[Oblast]                                            1.000     
                                                                                            (0.000)    
                                       _cons                                                 -0.824    
                                                                                            (2.730)    
                      var(M1[Oblast])  _cons                                                 0.148     
                                                                                            (0.211)    
                      N                                                                       325      
                     -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Table A14
. bysort easierspeakRus: gsem(i.joincunion <- c.ukrpctoblast  i.rusnat2 i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.unski
> lled c.relations i.female c.age i.univplus i.employed i.pensioner  i.rural  c.quallife c.demover c.ilo  c.grpmilhry   M1[Obl
> ast]@1), mlogit

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakRuss = 0

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -234.62078  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -186.96143  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -180.08865  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -179.85993  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -179.84556  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -179.84294  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -179.84236  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -179.84222  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -179.84219  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -179.84218  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -181.80272

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -181.80272  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -180.04809  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -179.70252  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -179.66738  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -179.66729  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -179.66729  

Generalized structural equation model           Number of obs     =        302
Response       : joincunion
Base outcome   : 1
Family         : multinomial
Link           : logit
Log likelihood = -179.66729

 ( 1)  [2.joincunion]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 2)  [3.joincunion]M1[Oblast] = 1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1.joincunion               |  (base outcome)
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2.joincunion <-            |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0595773   .0243851    -2.44   0.015    -.1073713   -.0117833
                 1.rusnat2 |   2.743218   1.263317     2.17   0.030     .2671623    5.219274
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.168854    1.21816     1.78   0.075    -.2186953    4.556403
                           |
               1.unskilled |  -.4058101   .5713598    -0.71   0.478    -1.525655    .7140345
                 relations |   -.070506   .3003436    -0.23   0.814    -.6591687    .5181567
                  1.female |   .9478803   .4651893     2.04   0.042      .036126    1.859635
                       age |   .0178141   .0193376     0.92   0.357     -.020087    .0557151
                1.univplus |  -.6165198   .5218125    -1.18   0.237    -1.639254    .4062139
                1.employed |  -.8672988   .5911087    -1.47   0.142    -2.025851    .2912529
               1.pensioner |  -.9231789    .752844    -1.23   0.220    -2.398726    .5523682
                   1.rural |   .3378007    .495804     0.68   0.496    -.6339573    1.309559
                  quallife |   .3759634   .3170935     1.19   0.236    -.2455284    .9974552
              demoverorder |  -.8807554   .2347077    -3.75   0.000    -1.340774   -.4207368
                       ilo |   .5054312   .3168109     1.60   0.111    -.1155068    1.126369
                 grpmilhry |   8.74e-07   4.52e-06     0.19   0.847    -7.99e-06    9.74e-06
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |   .2375914   2.947146     0.08   0.936    -5.538708    6.013891
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3.joincunion <-            |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0920387   .0236354    -3.89   0.000    -.1383633   -.0457141
                 1.rusnat2 |  -17.45324   7236.573    -0.00   0.998    -14200.88    14165.97
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   1.922887   1.243826     1.55   0.122    -.5149662     4.36074
                           |
               1.unskilled |   .0084552   .4939741     0.02   0.986    -.9597162    .9766267
                 relations |   .2301363   .3138301     0.73   0.463    -.3849595     .845232
                  1.female |   .1166296   .4094288     0.28   0.776    -.6858361    .9190952
                       age |   .0410259   .0193509     2.12   0.034     .0030988     .078953
                1.univplus |  -.5414108   .5169012    -1.05   0.295    -1.554518    .4716969
                1.employed |  -.2092921   .6626306    -0.32   0.752    -1.508024     1.08944
               1.pensioner |  -.2451613     .78211    -0.31   0.754    -1.778069    1.287746
                   1.rural |   .9462587   .5067647     1.87   0.062    -.0469818    1.939499
                  quallife |   .0602819   .2895659     0.21   0.835    -.5072568    .6278205
              demoverorder |  -.6683835   .2127276    -3.14   0.002    -1.085322    -.251445
                       ilo |   .3604638   .3450988     1.04   0.296    -.3159175    1.036845
                 grpmilhry |   2.60e-06   4.02e-06     0.65   0.519    -5.29e-06    .0000105
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |   2.014935   2.753462     0.73   0.464    -3.381752    7.411622
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            var(M1[Oblast])|   .1545548   .2951558                      .0036604    6.525837
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakRuss = 1

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -423.48326  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -331.32839  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -326.75822  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -326.70585  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -326.70583  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -332.00442

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -332.00442  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -327.23963  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -326.72128  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -326.69134  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -326.69133  

Generalized structural equation model           Number of obs     =        440
Response       : joincunion
Base outcome   : 1
Family         : multinomial
Link           : logit
Log likelihood = -326.69133

 ( 1)  [2.joincunion]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 2)  [3.joincunion]M1[Oblast] = 1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1.joincunion               |  (base outcome)
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2.joincunion <-            |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0241932   .0099712    -2.43   0.015    -.0437363   -.0046501
                 1.rusnat2 |    .407234   .4282575     0.95   0.342    -.4321352    1.246603
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   4.220259   2.119815     1.99   0.046     .0654979     8.37502
                           |
               1.unskilled |     .18687   .5383429     0.35   0.729    -.8682628    1.242003
                 relations |  -.1847767   .2351373    -0.79   0.432    -.6456372    .2760839
                  1.female |   .4340516   .3514872     1.23   0.217    -.2548507    1.122954
                       age |   .0451618   .0159338     2.83   0.005     .0139321    .0763916
                1.univplus |  -.5105021   .3752981    -1.36   0.174    -1.246073    .2250687
                1.employed |   .7777992   .6775787     1.15   0.251    -.5502307    2.105829
               1.pensioner |  -1.253953   .8736975    -1.44   0.151    -2.966369    .4584627
                   1.rural |  -1.484368   .8730701    -1.70   0.089    -3.195554     .226818
                  quallife |  -.3722515   .2317239    -1.61   0.108     -.826422     .081919
              demoverorder |  -.4292565   .1655671    -2.59   0.010    -.7537621   -.1047509
                       ilo |   .0547731   .2141862     0.26   0.798     -.365024    .4745703
                 grpmilhry |   2.76e-06   2.87e-06     0.96   0.337    -2.87e-06    8.38e-06
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |    .240882   1.764014     0.14   0.891    -3.216521    3.698285
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3.joincunion <-            |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0228361   .0082156    -2.78   0.005    -.0389384   -.0067339
                 1.rusnat2 |   .7602672   .3568684     2.13   0.033      .060818    1.459716
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.607037   1.735941     2.08   0.038     .2046558    7.009419
                           |
               1.unskilled |  -.0703511   .4677825    -0.15   0.880     -.987188    .8464857
                 relations |  -.0552638    .207567    -0.27   0.790    -.4620876    .3515599
                  1.female |   .6300111   .2992701     2.11   0.035     .0434525     1.21657
                       age |   .0375385   .0139693     2.69   0.007     .0101592    .0649179
                1.univplus |   -.338296   .3193367    -1.06   0.289    -.9641844    .2875925
                1.employed |   .6943787   .5153264     1.35   0.178    -.3156424      1.7044
               1.pensioner |   .1841449   .6998884     0.26   0.792    -1.187611    1.555901
                   1.rural |   .1398093   .5113598     0.27   0.785    -.8624376    1.142056
                  quallife |  -.1597084   .1952717    -0.82   0.413    -.5424339     .223017
              demoverorder |  -.3728114   .1376046    -2.71   0.007    -.6425114   -.1031113
                       ilo |  -.0558027   .1800785    -0.31   0.757      -.40875    .2971446
                 grpmilhry |  -6.40e-06   2.37e-06    -2.70   0.007     -.000011   -1.75e-06
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |   1.615284   1.485088     1.09   0.277    -1.295434    4.526003
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            var(M1[Oblast])|    .013327   .0826151                      7.05e-08     2519.94
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakRuss = .
insufficient observations

. outreg using mlogitjcudiffinterrus.doc, starlevel (10, 5, 1) bdec (3) se replace

                      ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                       1b.joincunion    o.ukrpctoblast                                       0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.rusnat2                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.rusnat2                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.unskilled                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.unskilled                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.relations                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.female                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.female                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.age                                                0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.univplus                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.univplus                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.employed                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.employed                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.pensioner                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.pensioner                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.rural                                             0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1o.rural                                             0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.quallife                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.demoverorder                                       0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.ilo                                                0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o.grpmilhry                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        M1[Oblast]                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        o._cons                                              0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                       2.joincunion     ukrpctoblast                                         -0.024   
                                                                                           (0.010)**  
                                        0b.rusnat2                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rusnat2                                            0.407    
                                                                                            (0.428)   
                                        1b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           4.220    
                                                                                           (2.120)**  
                                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.unskilled                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.unskilled                                          0.187    
                                                                                            (0.538)   
                                        relations                                            -0.185   
                                                                                            (0.235)   
                                        0b.female                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.female                                             0.434    
                                                                                            (0.351)   
                                        age                                                  0.045    
                                                                                           (0.016)*** 
                                        0b.univplus                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.univplus                                           -0.511   
                                                                                            (0.375)   
                                        0b.employed                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.employed                                           0.778    
                                                                                            (0.678)   
                                        0b.pensioner                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.pensioner                                          -1.254   
                                                                                            (0.874)   
                                        0b.rural                                             0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rural                                              -1.484   
                                                                                            (0.873)*  
                                        quallife                                             -0.372   
                                                                                            (0.232)   
                                        demoverorder                                         -0.429   
                                                                                           (0.166)*** 
                                        ilo                                                  0.055    
                                                                                            (0.214)   
                                        grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        M1[Oblast]                                           1.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        _cons                                                0.241    
                                                                                            (1.764)   
                       3.joincunion     ukrpctoblast                                         -0.023   
                                                                                           (0.008)*** 
                                        0b.rusnat2                                           0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rusnat2                                            0.760    
                                                                                           (0.357)**  
                                        1b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.607    
                                                                                           (1.736)**  
                                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        0b.unskilled                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.unskilled                                          -0.070   
                                                                                            (0.468)   
                                        relations                                            -0.055   
                                                                                            (0.208)   
                                        0b.female                                            0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.female                                             0.630    
                                                                                           (0.299)**  
                                        age                                                  0.038    
                                                                                           (0.014)*** 
                                        0b.univplus                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.univplus                                           -0.338   
                                                                                            (0.319)   
                                        0b.employed                                          0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.employed                                           0.694    
                                                                                            (0.515)   
                                        0b.pensioner                                         0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.pensioner                                          0.184    
                                                                                            (0.700)   
                                        0b.rural                                             0.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        1.rural                                              0.140    
                                                                                            (0.511)   
                                        quallife                                             -0.160   
                                                                                            (0.195)   
                                        demoverorder                                         -0.373   
                                                                                           (0.138)*** 
                                        ilo                                                  -0.056   
                                                                                            (0.180)   
                                        grpmilhry                                            -0.000   
                                                                                           (0.000)*** 
                                        M1[Oblast]                                           1.000    
                                                                                            (0.000)   
                                        _cons                                                1.615    
                                                                                            (1.485)   
                       var(M1[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.013    
                                                                                            (0.083)   
                       N                                                                      440     
                      ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Table A15
. bysort easierspeakUkr: gsem(i.joincunion <- c.ukrpctoblast  i.rusnat2 i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp i.unski
> lled c.relations i.female c.age i.univplus i.employed i.pensioner  i.rural  c.quallife c.demover c.ilo  c.grpmilhry   M1[Obl
> ast]@1), mlogit

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakUkr = 0

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -423.48326  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -331.32839  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -326.75822  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -326.70585  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -326.70583  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -332.00442

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -332.00442  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -327.23963  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -326.72128  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -326.69134  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -326.69133  

Generalized structural equation model           Number of obs     =        440
Response       : joincunion
Base outcome   : 1
Family         : multinomial
Link           : logit
Log likelihood = -326.69133

 ( 1)  [2.joincunion]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 2)  [3.joincunion]M1[Oblast] = 1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1.joincunion               |  (base outcome)
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2.joincunion <-            |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0241932   .0099712    -2.43   0.015    -.0437363   -.0046501
                 1.rusnat2 |    .407234   .4282575     0.95   0.342    -.4321352    1.246603
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   4.220259   2.119815     1.99   0.046     .0654979     8.37502
                           |
               1.unskilled |     .18687   .5383429     0.35   0.729    -.8682628    1.242003
                 relations |  -.1847767   .2351373    -0.79   0.432    -.6456372    .2760839
                  1.female |   .4340516   .3514872     1.23   0.217    -.2548507    1.122954
                       age |   .0451618   .0159338     2.83   0.005     .0139321    .0763916
                1.univplus |  -.5105021   .3752981    -1.36   0.174    -1.246073    .2250687
                1.employed |   .7777992   .6775787     1.15   0.251    -.5502307    2.105829
               1.pensioner |  -1.253953   .8736975    -1.44   0.151    -2.966369    .4584627
                   1.rural |  -1.484368   .8730701    -1.70   0.089    -3.195554     .226818
                  quallife |  -.3722515   .2317239    -1.61   0.108     -.826422     .081919
              demoverorder |  -.4292565   .1655671    -2.59   0.010    -.7537621   -.1047509
                       ilo |   .0547731   .2141862     0.26   0.798     -.365024    .4745703
                 grpmilhry |   2.76e-06   2.87e-06     0.96   0.337    -2.87e-06    8.38e-06
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |    .240882   1.764014     0.14   0.891    -3.216521    3.698285
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3.joincunion <-            |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0228361   .0082156    -2.78   0.005    -.0389384   -.0067339
                 1.rusnat2 |   .7602672   .3568684     2.13   0.033      .060818    1.459716
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.607037   1.735941     2.08   0.038     .2046558    7.009419
                           |
               1.unskilled |  -.0703511   .4677825    -0.15   0.880     -.987188    .8464857
                 relations |  -.0552638    .207567    -0.27   0.790    -.4620876    .3515599
                  1.female |   .6300111   .2992701     2.11   0.035     .0434525     1.21657
                       age |   .0375385   .0139693     2.69   0.007     .0101592    .0649179
                1.univplus |   -.338296   .3193367    -1.06   0.289    -.9641844    .2875925
                1.employed |   .6943787   .5153264     1.35   0.178    -.3156424      1.7044
               1.pensioner |   .1841449   .6998884     0.26   0.792    -1.187611    1.555901
                   1.rural |   .1398093   .5113598     0.27   0.785    -.8624376    1.142056
                  quallife |  -.1597084   .1952717    -0.82   0.413    -.5424339     .223017
              demoverorder |  -.3728114   .1376046    -2.71   0.007    -.6425114   -.1031113
                       ilo |  -.0558027   .1800785    -0.31   0.757      -.40875    .2971446
                 grpmilhry |  -6.40e-06   2.37e-06    -2.70   0.007     -.000011   -1.75e-06
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |   1.615284   1.485088     1.09   0.277    -1.295434    4.526003
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            var(M1[Oblast])|    .013327   .0826151                      7.05e-08     2519.94
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakUkr = 1

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -234.62078  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -186.96143  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -180.08865  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -179.85993  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -179.84556  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -179.84294  
Iteration 6:   log likelihood = -179.84236  
Iteration 7:   log likelihood = -179.84222  
Iteration 8:   log likelihood = -179.84219  
Iteration 9:   log likelihood = -179.84218  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -181.80272

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -181.80272  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -180.04809  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -179.70252  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -179.66738  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -179.66729  
Iteration 5:   log likelihood = -179.66729  

Generalized structural equation model           Number of obs     =        302
Response       : joincunion
Base outcome   : 1
Family         : multinomial
Link           : logit
Log likelihood = -179.66729

 ( 1)  [2.joincunion]M1[Oblast] = 1
 ( 2)  [3.joincunion]M1[Oblast] = 1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
1.joincunion               |  (base outcome)
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
2.joincunion <-            |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0595773   .0243851    -2.44   0.015    -.1073713   -.0117833
                 1.rusnat2 |   2.743218   1.263317     2.17   0.030     .2671623    5.219274
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.168854    1.21816     1.78   0.075    -.2186953    4.556403
                           |
               1.unskilled |  -.4058101   .5713598    -0.71   0.478    -1.525655    .7140345
                 relations |   -.070506   .3003436    -0.23   0.814    -.6591687    .5181567
                  1.female |   .9478803   .4651893     2.04   0.042      .036126    1.859635
                       age |   .0178141   .0193376     0.92   0.357     -.020087    .0557151
                1.univplus |  -.6165198   .5218125    -1.18   0.237    -1.639254    .4062139
                1.employed |  -.8672988   .5911087    -1.47   0.142    -2.025851    .2912529
               1.pensioner |  -.9231789    .752844    -1.23   0.220    -2.398726    .5523682
                   1.rural |   .3378007    .495804     0.68   0.496    -.6339573    1.309559
                  quallife |   .3759634   .3170935     1.19   0.236    -.2455284    .9974552
              demoverorder |  -.8807554   .2347077    -3.75   0.000    -1.340774   -.4207368
                       ilo |   .5054312   .3168109     1.60   0.111    -.1155068    1.126369
                 grpmilhry |   8.74e-07   4.52e-06     0.19   0.847    -7.99e-06    9.74e-06
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |   .2375914   2.947146     0.08   0.936    -5.538708    6.013891
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
3.joincunion <-            |
              ukrpctoblast |  -.0920387   .0236354    -3.89   0.000    -.1383633   -.0457141
                 1.rusnat2 |  -17.45324   7236.573    -0.00   0.998    -14200.88    14165.97
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   1.922887   1.243826     1.55   0.122    -.5149662     4.36074
                           |
               1.unskilled |   .0084552   .4939741     0.02   0.986    -.9597162    .9766267
                 relations |   .2301363   .3138301     0.73   0.463    -.3849595     .845232
                  1.female |   .1166296   .4094288     0.28   0.776    -.6858361    .9190952
                       age |   .0410259   .0193509     2.12   0.034     .0030988     .078953
                1.univplus |  -.5414108   .5169012    -1.05   0.295    -1.554518    .4716969
                1.employed |  -.2092921   .6626306    -0.32   0.752    -1.508024     1.08944
               1.pensioner |  -.2451613     .78211    -0.31   0.754    -1.778069    1.287746
                   1.rural |   .9462587   .5067647     1.87   0.062    -.0469818    1.939499
                  quallife |   .0602819   .2895659     0.21   0.835    -.5072568    .6278205
              demoverorder |  -.6683835   .2127276    -3.14   0.002    -1.085322    -.251445
                       ilo |   .3604638   .3450988     1.04   0.296    -.3159175    1.036845
                 grpmilhry |   2.60e-06   4.02e-06     0.65   0.519    -5.29e-06    .0000105
                           |
                M1[Oblast] |          1  (constrained)
                           |
                     _cons |   2.014935   2.753462     0.73   0.464    -3.381752    7.411622
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            var(M1[Oblast])|   .1545548   .2951558                      .0036604    6.525837
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-> easierspeakUkr = .
insufficient observations

. outreg using mlogitjcudiffinterU.doc, starlevel (10, 5, 1) bdec (3) se replace

                      ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                       1b.joincunion    o.ukrpctoblast                                        0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        0b.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1o.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss                                    0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        o.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                          0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp      0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        0b.unskilled                                          0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1o.unskilled                                          0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        o.relations                                           0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        0b.female                                             0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1o.female                                             0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        o.age                                                 0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        0b.univplus                                           0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1o.univplus                                           0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        0b.employed                                           0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1o.employed                                           0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        0b.pensioner                                          0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1o.pensioner                                          0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        0b.rural                                              0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1o.rural                                              0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        o.quallife                                            0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        o.demoverorder                                        0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        o.ilo                                                 0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        o.grpmilhry                                           0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        M1[Oblast]                                            0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        o._cons                                               0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                       2.joincunion     ukrpctoblast                                         -0.060    
                                                                                            (0.024)**  
                                        0b.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.rusnat2                                             2.743    
                                                                                            (1.263)**  
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss                                    0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                            2.169    
                                                                                            (1.218)*   
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp      0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        0b.unskilled                                          0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.unskilled                                          -0.406    
                                                                                             (0.571)   
                                        relations                                            -0.071    
                                                                                             (0.300)   
                                        0b.female                                             0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.female                                              0.948    
                                                                                            (0.465)**  
                                        age                                                   0.018    
                                                                                             (0.019)   
                                        0b.univplus                                           0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.univplus                                           -0.617    
                                                                                             (0.522)   
                                        0b.employed                                           0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.employed                                           -0.867    
                                                                                             (0.591)   
                                        0b.pensioner                                          0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.pensioner                                          -0.923    
                                                                                             (0.753)   
                                        0b.rural                                              0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.rural                                               0.338    
                                                                                             (0.496)   
                                        quallife                                              0.376    
                                                                                             (0.317)   
                                        demoverorder                                         -0.881    
                                                                                           (0.235)***  
                                        ilo                                                   0.505    
                                                                                             (0.317)   
                                        grpmilhry                                             0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        M1[Oblast]                                            1.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        _cons                                                 0.238    
                                                                                             (2.947)   
                       3.joincunion     ukrpctoblast                                         -0.092    
                                                                                           (0.024)***  
                                        0b.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.rusnat2                                            -17.453   
                                                                                           (7,236.573) 
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss                                    0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                            1.923    
                                                                                             (1.244)   
                                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp      0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        0b.unskilled                                          0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.unskilled                                           0.008    
                                                                                             (0.494)   
                                        relations                                             0.230    
                                                                                             (0.314)   
                                        0b.female                                             0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.female                                              0.117    
                                                                                             (0.409)   
                                        age                                                   0.041    
                                                                                            (0.019)**  
                                        0b.univplus                                           0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.univplus                                           -0.541    
                                                                                             (0.517)   
                                        0b.employed                                           0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.employed                                           -0.209    
                                                                                             (0.663)   
                                        0b.pensioner                                          0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.pensioner                                          -0.245    
                                                                                             (0.782)   
                                        0b.rural                                              0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        1.rural                                               0.946    
                                                                                            (0.507)*   
                                        quallife                                              0.060    
                                                                                             (0.290)   
                                        demoverorder                                         -0.668    
                                                                                           (0.213)***  
                                        ilo                                                   0.360    
                                                                                             (0.345)   
                                        grpmilhry                                             0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        M1[Oblast]                                            1.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)   
                                        _cons                                                 2.015    
                                                                                             (2.753)   
                       var(M1[Oblast])  _cons                                                 0.155    
                                                                                             (0.295)   
                       N                                                                       302     
                      ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Table A16
. gen probenergy=1 if Q9_9==9
(1,358 missing values generated)

. replace probenergy=0 if Q9_9==.
(1,358 real changes made)

. 
. 
. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  totalimportgasoil probenergy rusnat2 c.Ukrainian un
> skilled relations  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -381.71825  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -379.63065  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -379.62693  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -379.62693  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -374.54829

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -374.54829  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood =  -372.8683  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -371.07409  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -370.94203  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -370.94178  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -370.94178  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        793
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          4
                                                              avg =       30.5
                                                              max =        122

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(9)      =     103.35
Log pseudolikelihood = -370.94178               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .1015266   .3253841     0.31   0.755    -.5362146    .7392678
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.647975   .9880427     2.68   0.007     .7114468    4.584503
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |    1.93487   1.465162     1.32   0.187    -.9367953    4.806535
                                             |
                           totalimportgasoil |  -2.74e-07   1.24e-07    -2.21   0.027    -5.18e-07   -3.05e-08
                                  probenergy |   .2976839   .4142714     0.72   0.472    -.5142731    1.109641
                                     rusnat2 |   .7787177   .3082068     2.53   0.012     .1746435    1.382792
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0404185   .0106878    -3.78   0.000    -.0613663   -.0194708
                                   unskilled |   .4237024   .2599448     1.63   0.103      -.08578    .9331849
                                   relations |  -.1644576   .2061967    -0.80   0.425    -.5685957    .2396804
                                       _cons |   3.071593   1.066222     2.88   0.004     .9818366    5.161349
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .4997867   .2879191                      .1615925    1.545782
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffintergas.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) replace

                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.102    
                                                                                              (0.325)   
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.648    
                                                                                             (0.988)*** 
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.935    
                                                                                              (1.465)   
                                          totalimportgasoil                                    -0.000   
                                                                                             (0.000)**  
                                          probenergy                                           0.298    
                                                                                              (0.414)   
                                          rusnat2                                              0.779    
                                                                                             (0.308)**  
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.040   
                                                                                             (0.011)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            0.424    
                                                                                              (0.260)   
                                          relations                                            -0.164   
                                                                                              (0.206)   
                                          _cons                                                3.072    
                                                                                             (1.066)*** 
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.500    
                                                                                              (0.288)*  
                      N                                                                         793     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  totalimportgasoil probenergy rusnat2 c.Ukrainian  u
> nskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner   rural  quallife    demover  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:
>   , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -258.92673  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -252.55354  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -252.50741  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood =  -252.5074  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -254.80765

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -254.80765  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -252.03644  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.15016  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.66685  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.65937  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.65935  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        628
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     370.85
Log pseudolikelihood = -250.65935               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .5283076   .4607975     1.15   0.252    -.3748388    1.431454
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.675995   1.146457     3.21   0.001     1.428982    5.923009
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   2.481253   1.756283     1.41   0.158     -.960998    5.923503
                                             |
                           totalimportgasoil |  -1.30e-07   1.04e-07    -1.24   0.213    -3.34e-07    7.46e-08
                                  probenergy |   .3426006   .4257175     0.80   0.421    -.4917904    1.176992
                                     rusnat2 |    .859665   .3717156     2.31   0.021     .1311158    1.588214
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0303522   .0087632    -3.46   0.001    -.0475278   -.0131765
                                   unskilled |  -.1018388    .335899    -0.30   0.762    -.7601888    .5565112
                                   relations |  -.0014145   .2049897    -0.01   0.994    -.4031869    .4003578
                                      female |   .7837489    .254644     3.08   0.002     .2846559    1.282842
                                         age |   .0282954   .0096895     2.92   0.003     .0093044    .0472864
                                    univplus |    -.70818   .2789438    -2.54   0.011      -1.2549   -.1614601
                                    employed |    .905102   .4102393     2.21   0.027     .1010477    1.709156
                                   pensioner |   .2578528   .5932075     0.43   0.664    -.9048125    1.420518
                                       rural |   .3916521   .4735301     0.83   0.408    -.5364499    1.319754
                                    quallife |   .0454744   .1343635     0.34   0.735    -.2178732     .308822
                                demoverorder |  -.4656966   .0924946    -5.03   0.000    -.6469827   -.2844105
                                       _cons |   .4093231   1.075264     0.38   0.703    -1.698156    2.516802
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2229775   .2140836                      .0339634    1.463898
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffintergas.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.102       0.528    
                                                                                        (0.325)     (0.461)   
                                    tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.648       3.676    
                                                                                       (0.988)***  (1.146)*** 
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.935       2.481    
                                                                                        (1.465)     (1.756)   
                                    totalimportgasoil                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                       (0.000)**    (0.000)   
                                    probenergy                                           0.298       0.343    
                                                                                        (0.414)     (0.426)   
                                    rusnat2                                              0.779       0.860    
                                                                                       (0.308)**   (0.372)**  
                                    Ukrainian                                            -0.040      -0.030   
                                                                                       (0.011)***  (0.009)*** 
                                    unskilled                                            0.424       -0.102   
                                                                                        (0.260)     (0.336)   
                                    relations                                            -0.164      -0.001   
                                                                                        (0.206)     (0.205)   
                                    _cons                                                3.072       0.409    
                                                                                       (1.066)***   (1.075)   
                                    female                                                           0.784    
                                                                                                   (0.255)*** 
                                    age                                                              0.028    
                                                                                                   (0.010)*** 
                                    univplus                                                         -0.708   
                                                                                                   (0.279)**  
                                    employed                                                         0.905    
                                                                                                   (0.410)**  
                                    pensioner                                                        0.258    
                                                                                                    (0.593)   
                                    rural                                                            0.392    
                                                                                                    (0.474)   
                                    quallife                                                         0.045    
                                                                                                    (0.134)   
                                    demoverorder                                                     -0.466   
                                                                                                   (0.092)*** 
                var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.500       0.223    
                                                                                        (0.288)*    (0.214)   
                N                                                                         793         628     
               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  totalimportgasoil probenergy rusnat2 c.Ukrainian un
> skilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry totalimportg
> asoil probenergy [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -258.41468  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -251.79795  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -251.75036  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -251.75035  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -254.03824

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -254.03824  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -251.33532  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.65324  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -250.3052  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.30412  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -250.30412  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        628
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(19)     =     449.80
Log pseudolikelihood = -250.30412               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .5074178   .4556139     1.11   0.265    -.3855691    1.400405
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.731081   1.196623     3.12   0.002     1.385743    6.076419
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   3.160955   2.103876     1.50   0.133    -.9625657    7.284475
                                             |
                           totalimportgasoil |  -3.40e-07   3.45e-07    -0.99   0.324    -1.02e-06    3.36e-07
                                  probenergy |   .3425656   .4153724     0.82   0.410    -.4715492    1.156681
                                     rusnat2 |   .8495235   .3742402     2.27   0.023     .1160263    1.583021
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0322648   .0094282    -3.42   0.001    -.0507438   -.0137859
                                   unskilled |  -.0898395    .333759    -0.27   0.788    -.7439951     .564316
                                   relations |  -.0116598   .1999722    -0.06   0.954    -.4035981    .3802786
                                      female |   .7878435   .2544797     3.10   0.002     .2890724    1.286615
                                         age |   .0283645   .0098527     2.88   0.004     .0090536    .0476753
                                    univplus |   -.706396   .2863128    -2.47   0.014    -1.267559   -.1452333
                                    employed |   .9040639   .4149638     2.18   0.029     .0907499    1.717378
                                   pensioner |   .2871459   .5912389     0.49   0.627     -.871661    1.445953
                                       rural |   .4437777   .4605867     0.96   0.335    -.4589557    1.346511
                                    quallife |   .0678397   .1268772     0.53   0.593    -.1808351    .3165145
                                demoverorder |  -.4609549   .0919574    -5.01   0.000     -.641188   -.2807217
                                ILOunemp2013 |   .0768734   .2244169     0.34   0.732    -.3629757    .5167225
                                   grpmilhry |   4.23e-06   6.36e-06     0.67   0.506    -8.23e-06    .0000167
                                       _cons |  -.2483974   1.867964    -0.13   0.894    -3.909539    3.412744
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2191261   .2246018                      .0293915    1.633677
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffintergas.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.102       0.528       0.507    
                                                                                  (0.325)     (0.461)     (0.456)   
                              tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.648       3.676       3.731    
                                                                                 (0.988)***  (1.146)***  (1.197)*** 
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.935       2.481       3.161    
                                                                                  (1.465)     (1.756)     (2.104)   
                              totalimportgasoil                                    -0.000      -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                 (0.000)**    (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              probenergy                                           0.298       0.343       0.343    
                                                                                  (0.414)     (0.426)     (0.415)   
                              rusnat2                                              0.779       0.860       0.850    
                                                                                 (0.308)**   (0.372)**   (0.374)**  
                              Ukrainian                                            -0.040      -0.030      -0.032   
                                                                                 (0.011)***  (0.009)***  (0.009)*** 
                              unskilled                                            0.424       -0.102      -0.090   
                                                                                  (0.260)     (0.336)     (0.334)   
                              relations                                            -0.164      -0.001      -0.012   
                                                                                  (0.206)     (0.205)     (0.200)   
                              _cons                                                3.072       0.409       -0.248   
                                                                                 (1.066)***   (1.075)     (1.868)   
                              female                                                           0.784       0.788    
                                                                                             (0.255)***  (0.254)*** 
                              age                                                              0.028       0.028    
                                                                                             (0.010)***  (0.010)*** 
                              univplus                                                         -0.708      -0.706   
                                                                                             (0.279)**   (0.286)**  
                              employed                                                         0.905       0.904    
                                                                                             (0.410)**   (0.415)**  
                              pensioner                                                        0.258       0.287    
                                                                                              (0.593)     (0.591)   
                              rural                                                            0.392       0.444    
                                                                                              (0.474)     (0.461)   
                              quallife                                                         0.045       0.068    
                                                                                              (0.134)     (0.127)   
                              demoverorder                                                     -0.466      -0.461   
                                                                                             (0.092)***  (0.092)*** 
                              ILOunemp2013                                                                 0.077    
                                                                                                          (0.224)   
                              grpmilhry                                                                    0.000    
                                                                                                          (0.000)   
          var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.500       0.223       0.219    
                                                                                  (0.288)*    (0.214)     (0.225)   
          N                                                                         793         628         628     
         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  totalimportgasoil probenergy rusnat2 c.Ukrainian u
> nskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry totalimport
> gasoil probenergy if easierspeakR==1 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -140.40098  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -136.90255  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -136.88465  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -136.88464  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -141.29222

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -141.29222  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -137.04602  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.96372  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.93137  (backed up)
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.92053  (backed up)
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.91346  (backed up)
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.91111  (backed up)
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.91044  (backed up)
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.91009  (backed up)
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -136.91007  (backed up)
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (not concave)
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (not concave)
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (not concave)
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (not concave)
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 21:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 22:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 23:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 24:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 26:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 28:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 29:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 30:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (not concave)
Iteration 31:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 32:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (not concave)
Iteration 33:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 34:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 35:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (backed up)
Iteration 36:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  (not concave)
Iteration 38:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91006  
Iteration 39:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.91001  (backed up)
Iteration 40:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.90922  (not concave)
Iteration 41:  log pseudolikelihood =  -136.9092  (not concave)
Iteration 42:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.90914  
Iteration 43:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.90342  (not concave)
Iteration 44:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.90314  (not concave)
Iteration 45:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.90269  
Iteration 46:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.88464  (not concave)
Iteration 47:  log pseudolikelihood = -136.88464  (backed up)

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        361
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         17

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       21.2
                                                              max =        106

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(16)     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -136.88464               Prob > chi2       =          .
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 17 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
          bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   4.585025   1.380345     3.32   0.001     1.879598    7.290452
                           |
         totalimportgasoil |   7.27e-09   2.58e-07     0.03   0.978    -4.99e-07    5.13e-07
                probenergy |  -.0943448   .3763097    -0.25   0.802    -.8318984    .6432087
                   rusnat2 |   1.053574   .3060387     3.44   0.001     .4537496    1.653399
                 Ukrainian |  -.0154391   .0068826    -2.24   0.025    -.0289288   -.0019495
                 unskilled |   .2399044   .6135059     0.39   0.696     -.962545    1.442354
                 relations |   .0430854   .2173402     0.20   0.843    -.3828935    .4690644
                    female |   .7422875   .3677633     2.02   0.044     .0214848     1.46309
                       age |   .0233974   .0155741     1.50   0.133    -.0071273    .0539222
                  univplus |  -.6596847    .285449    -2.31   0.021    -1.219154    -.100215
                  employed |   1.652444   .5265667     3.14   0.002     .6203919    2.684496
                 pensioner |    1.15177   .8230433     1.40   0.162    -.4613651    2.764905
                     rural |  -.1971188   .6869877    -0.29   0.774     -1.54359    1.149352
                  quallife |  -.1562632   .1572024    -0.99   0.320    -.4643743    .1518479
              demoverorder |  -.2553373   .1491896    -1.71   0.087    -.5477435    .0370689
              ILOunemp2013 |  -.1942192   .1584893    -1.23   0.220    -.5048525    .1164141
                 grpmilhry |  -5.21e-06   5.25e-06    -0.99   0.321    -.0000155    5.09e-06
                     _cons |   1.483683   1.238616     1.20   0.231      -.94396    3.911327
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   1.30e-33   7.00e-33                      3.26e-38    5.15e-29
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffintergas.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.102       0.528       0.507                
                                                                            (0.325)     (0.461)     (0.456)               
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.648       3.676       3.731       4.585    
                                                                           (0.988)***  (1.146)***  (1.197)***  (1.380)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.935       2.481       3.161                
                                                                            (1.465)     (1.756)     (2.104)               
                        totalimportgasoil                                    -0.000      -0.000      -0.000      0.000    
                                                                           (0.000)**    (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                        probenergy                                           0.298       0.343       0.343       -0.094   
                                                                            (0.414)     (0.426)     (0.415)     (0.376)   
                        rusnat2                                              0.779       0.860       0.850       1.054    
                                                                           (0.308)**   (0.372)**   (0.374)**   (0.306)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.040      -0.030      -0.032      -0.015   
                                                                           (0.011)***  (0.009)***  (0.009)***  (0.007)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.424       -0.102      -0.090      0.240    
                                                                            (0.260)     (0.336)     (0.334)     (0.614)   
                        relations                                            -0.164      -0.001      -0.012      0.043    
                                                                            (0.206)     (0.205)     (0.200)     (0.217)   
                        _cons                                                3.072       0.409       -0.248      1.484    
                                                                           (1.066)***   (1.075)     (1.868)     (1.239)   
                        female                                                           0.784       0.788       0.742    
                                                                                       (0.255)***  (0.254)***  (0.368)**  
                        age                                                              0.028       0.028       0.023    
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.010)***   (0.016)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.708      -0.706      -0.660   
                                                                                       (0.279)**   (0.286)**   (0.285)**  
                        employed                                                         0.905       0.904       1.652    
                                                                                       (0.410)**   (0.415)**   (0.527)*** 
                        pensioner                                                        0.258       0.287       1.152    
                                                                                        (0.593)     (0.591)     (0.823)   
                        rural                                                            0.392       0.444       -0.197   
                                                                                        (0.474)     (0.461)     (0.687)   
                        quallife                                                         0.045       0.068       -0.156   
                                                                                        (0.134)     (0.127)     (0.157)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.466      -0.461      -0.255   
                                                                                       (0.092)***  (0.092)***   (0.149)*  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 0.077       -0.194   
                                                                                                    (0.224)     (0.158)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    0.000       -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)     (0.000)   
    bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.500       0.223       0.219       0.000    
                                                                            (0.288)*    (0.214)     (0.225)     (0.000)   
    N                                                                         793         628         628         361     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  totalimportgasoil probenergy rusnat2 c.Ukrainian un
> skilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry totalimportg
> asoil probenergy if easierspeakR==0 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)
note: rusnat2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      rusnat2 dropped and 2 obs not used


Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -104.58612  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -98.710622  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -98.659006  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -98.658908  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -98.658908  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -100.57875

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -100.57875  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -99.548159  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -98.786429  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -98.724718  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -98.712093  (backed up)
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -98.709059  (backed up)
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -98.708308  (backed up)
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -98.708302  (backed up)
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -98.708299  (backed up)
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (not concave)
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 22:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 23:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 24:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 26:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 28:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (not concave)
Iteration 29:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 30:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 31:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (not concave)
Iteration 32:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 33:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 34:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 35:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (not concave)
Iteration 36:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (backed up)
Iteration 38:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (not concave)
Iteration 39:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (not concave)
Iteration 40:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708298  (not concave)
Iteration 41:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708297  (not concave)
Iteration 42:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708296  
Iteration 43:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708284  (not concave)
Iteration 44:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.708283  
Iteration 45:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.707903  (not concave)
Iteration 46:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.707899  
Iteration 47:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.706401  (not concave)
Iteration 48:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.706363  
Iteration 49:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.703483  (not concave)
Iteration 50:  log pseudolikelihood =  -98.70334  (not concave)
Iteration 51:  log pseudolikelihood =  -98.70311  
Iteration 52:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.658933  (not concave)
Iteration 53:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.658933  (not concave)
Iteration 54:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.658931  
Iteration 55:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.658908  
Iteration 56:  log pseudolikelihood = -98.658908  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        265
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         22

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       12.0
                                                              max =         38

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(16)     =     582.87
Log pseudolikelihood = -98.658908               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 22 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
          bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   4.322221   1.181966     3.66   0.000     2.005611    6.638832
                           |
         totalimportgasoil |  -8.89e-07   5.19e-07    -1.71   0.087    -1.91e-06    1.28e-07
                probenergy |    .811604   .5358229     1.51   0.130    -.2385895    1.861798
                   rusnat2 |          0  (omitted)
                 Ukrainian |  -.0624554   .0215486    -2.90   0.004    -.1046899   -.0202209
                 unskilled |  -.1981142   .5024031    -0.39   0.693    -1.182806    .7865776
                 relations |   .0318428   .2138791     0.15   0.882    -.3873525    .4510382
                    female |   .4330974   .3888224     1.11   0.265    -.3289805    1.195175
                       age |   .0359426   .0196743     1.83   0.068    -.0026183    .0745035
                  univplus |  -.4787359   .4905591    -0.98   0.329    -1.440214    .4827423
                  employed |   .0943836    .758848     0.12   0.901    -1.392931    1.581698
                 pensioner |  -.5804773   .9854667    -0.59   0.556    -2.511957    1.351002
                     rural |   1.181875   .5339078     2.21   0.027     .1354351    2.228315
                  quallife |   .3648031   .1649465     2.21   0.027     .0415138    .6880924
              demoverorder |  -.9211555   .1450461    -6.35   0.000    -1.205441   -.6368705
              ILOunemp2013 |   .4131775   .2007518     2.06   0.040     .0197112    .8066439
                 grpmilhry |   .0000151   6.89e-06     2.20   0.028     1.63e-06    .0000286
                     _cons |  -.3958753   2.527613    -0.16   0.876    -5.349905    4.558155
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   2.28e-33   2.02e-32                      6.36e-41    8.15e-26
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffintergas.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.102       0.528       0.507                
                                                                            (0.325)     (0.461)     (0.456)               
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.648       3.676       3.731       4.585    
                                                                           (0.988)***  (1.146)***  (1.197)***  (1.380)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.935       2.481       3.161                
                                                                            (1.465)     (1.756)     (2.104)               
                        totalimportgasoil                                    -0.000      -0.000      -0.000      0.000    
                                                                           (0.000)**    (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                        probenergy                                           0.298       0.343       0.343       -0.094   
                                                                            (0.414)     (0.426)     (0.415)     (0.376)   
                        rusnat2                                              0.779       0.860       0.850       1.054    
                                                                           (0.308)**   (0.372)**   (0.374)**   (0.306)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.040      -0.030      -0.032      -0.015   
                                                                           (0.011)***  (0.009)***  (0.009)***  (0.007)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.424       -0.102      -0.090      0.240    
                                                                            (0.260)     (0.336)     (0.334)     (0.614)   
                        relations                                            -0.164      -0.001      -0.012      0.043    
                                                                            (0.206)     (0.205)     (0.200)     (0.217)   
                        _cons                                                3.072       0.409       -0.248      1.484    
                                                                           (1.066)***   (1.075)     (1.868)     (1.239)   
                        female                                                           0.784       0.788       0.742    
                                                                                       (0.255)***  (0.254)***  (0.368)**  
                        age                                                              0.028       0.028       0.023    
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.010)***   (0.016)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.708      -0.706      -0.660   
                                                                                       (0.279)**   (0.286)**   (0.285)**  
                        employed                                                         0.905       0.904       1.652    
                                                                                       (0.410)**   (0.415)**   (0.527)*** 
                        pensioner                                                        0.258       0.287       1.152    
                                                                                        (0.593)     (0.591)     (0.823)   
                        rural                                                            0.392       0.444       -0.197   
                                                                                        (0.474)     (0.461)     (0.687)   
                        quallife                                                         0.045       0.068       -0.156   
                                                                                        (0.134)     (0.127)     (0.157)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.466      -0.461      -0.255   
                                                                                       (0.092)***  (0.092)***   (0.149)*  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 0.077       -0.194   
                                                                                                    (0.224)     (0.158)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    0.000       -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)     (0.000)   
    bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        o.rusnat2                                                                                         
                                                                                                                          
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.500       0.223       0.219       0.000    
                                                                            (0.288)*    (0.214)     (0.225)     (0.000)   
    N                                                                         793         628         628         361     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                             
                                                                                                        
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           4.322    
                                                                                             (1.182)*** 
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                
                                                                                                        
                                          totalimportgasoil                                    -0.000   
                                                                                              (0.000)*  
                                          probenergy                                           0.812    
                                                                                              (0.536)   
                                          rusnat2                                                       
                                                                                                        
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.062   
                                                                                             (0.022)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            -0.198   
                                                                                              (0.502)   
                                          relations                                            0.032    
                                                                                              (0.214)   
                                          _cons                                                -0.396   
                                                                                              (2.528)   
                                          female                                               0.433    
                                                                                              (0.389)   
                                          age                                                  0.036    
                                                                                              (0.020)*  
                                          univplus                                             -0.479   
                                                                                              (0.491)   
                                          employed                                             0.094    
                                                                                              (0.759)   
                                          pensioner                                            -0.580   
                                                                                              (0.985)   
                                          rural                                                1.182    
                                                                                             (0.534)**  
                                          quallife                                             0.365    
                                                                                             (0.165)**  
                                          demoverorder                                         -0.921   
                                                                                             (0.145)*** 
                                          ILOunemp2013                                         0.413    
                                                                                             (0.201)**  
                                          grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                             (0.000)**  
                      bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                            
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp              
                                                                                                        
                                          o.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      N                                                                         265     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. **Table Q17
. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  totalimportgasoil probenergy rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskill
> ed relations  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -374.42427  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -372.16858  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -372.16407  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -372.16407  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -369.34188

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -369.34188  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -367.43219  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -365.21145  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -364.96169  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -364.95258  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -364.95255  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        797
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          5
                                                              avg =       30.7
                                                              max =        117

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(9)      =      95.18
Log pseudolikelihood = -364.95255               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .1708848   .2919847     0.59   0.558    -.4013946    .7431642
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.023403   .9113435     2.22   0.026     .2372022    3.809603
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   1.389341   1.994555     0.70   0.486    -2.519915    5.298596
                                             |
                           totalimportgasoil |  -3.46e-07   1.28e-07    -2.70   0.007    -5.97e-07   -9.54e-08
                                  probenergy |  -.0055543   .5191823    -0.01   0.991    -1.023133    1.012024
                                     rusnat2 |   1.018958   .2660981     3.83   0.000     .4974155    1.540501
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0435287   .0109645    -3.97   0.000    -.0650188   -.0220386
                                   unskilled |   .4381898   .2823852     1.55   0.121    -.1152751    .9916546
                                   relations |   .0720714   .2641886     0.27   0.785    -.4457288    .5898715
                                       _cons |   2.389662   1.073591     2.23   0.026     .2854627    4.493861
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .4461779   .2517467                      .1476506    1.348283
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffintergas.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) replace

                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.171    
                                                                                              (0.292)   
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.023    
                                                                                             (0.911)**  
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.389    
                                                                                              (1.995)   
                                          totalimportgasoil                                    -0.000   
                                                                                             (0.000)*** 
                                          probenergy                                           -0.006   
                                                                                              (0.519)   
                                          rusnat2                                              1.019    
                                                                                             (0.266)*** 
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.044   
                                                                                             (0.011)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            0.438    
                                                                                              (0.282)   
                                          relations                                            0.072    
                                                                                              (0.264)   
                                          _cons                                                2.390    
                                                                                             (1.074)**  
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.446    
                                                                                              (0.252)*  
                      N                                                                         797     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  totalimportgasoil probenergy rusnat2 c.Ukrainian  unskil
> led relations female age univplus employed pensioner   rural  quallife    demover  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , f
> amily(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -245.95362  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood =  -238.4881  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -238.45551  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -238.45551  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -241.34999

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -241.34999  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -238.66456  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -237.59278  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -236.69289  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -236.66746  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -236.66729  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -236.66729  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        632
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.3
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =    1025.61
Log pseudolikelihood = -236.66729               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |    .930945   .4206618     2.21   0.027      .106463    1.755427
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.578335   1.089895     2.37   0.018     .4421797     4.71449
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   3.018943   2.288153     1.32   0.187    -1.465756    7.503641
                                             |
                           totalimportgasoil |  -1.88e-07   1.05e-07    -1.79   0.073    -3.95e-07    1.78e-08
                                  probenergy |    .141247   .4410205     0.32   0.749    -.7231373    1.005631
                                     rusnat2 |   1.111781   .3524483     3.15   0.002     .4209945    1.802567
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0329574   .0077928    -4.23   0.000    -.0482311   -.0176837
                                   unskilled |  -.1931632   .3618882    -0.53   0.594     -.902451    .5161247
                                   relations |   .2504836   .2217638     1.13   0.259    -.1841655    .6851326
                                      female |   .6483891   .2876586     2.25   0.024     .0845886     1.21219
                                         age |   .0210142   .0112623     1.87   0.062    -.0010595    .0430879
                                    univplus |  -.5786454   .2889468    -2.00   0.045    -1.144971   -.0123201
                                    employed |   .8794825   .4222615     2.08   0.037     .0518652      1.7071
                                   pensioner |   .8989112   .6486573     1.39   0.166    -.3724338    2.170256
                                       rural |    .715472   .4296962     1.67   0.096    -.1267171    1.557661
                                    quallife |  -.1169806   .1183263    -0.99   0.323    -.3488958    .1149347
                                demoverorder |  -.3660409   .1104181    -3.32   0.001    -.5824565   -.1496254
                                       _cons |  -.3511127   1.291177    -0.27   0.786    -2.881773    2.179548
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2323148   .2159603                      .0375663    1.436665
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffintergas.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.171       0.931    
                                                                                        (0.292)    (0.421)**  
                                    tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.023       2.578    
                                                                                       (0.911)**   (1.090)**  
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.389       3.019    
                                                                                        (1.995)     (2.288)   
                                    totalimportgasoil                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                       (0.000)***   (0.000)*  
                                    probenergy                                           -0.006      0.141    
                                                                                        (0.519)     (0.441)   
                                    rusnat2                                              1.019       1.112    
                                                                                       (0.266)***  (0.352)*** 
                                    Ukrainian                                            -0.044      -0.033   
                                                                                       (0.011)***  (0.008)*** 
                                    unskilled                                            0.438       -0.193   
                                                                                        (0.282)     (0.362)   
                                    relations                                            0.072       0.250    
                                                                                        (0.264)     (0.222)   
                                    _cons                                                2.390       -0.351   
                                                                                       (1.074)**    (1.291)   
                                    female                                                           0.648    
                                                                                                   (0.288)**  
                                    age                                                              0.021    
                                                                                                    (0.011)*  
                                    univplus                                                         -0.579   
                                                                                                   (0.289)**  
                                    employed                                                         0.879    
                                                                                                   (0.422)**  
                                    pensioner                                                        0.899    
                                                                                                    (0.649)   
                                    rural                                                            0.715    
                                                                                                    (0.430)*  
                                    quallife                                                         -0.117   
                                                                                                    (0.118)   
                                    demoverorder                                                     -0.366   
                                                                                                   (0.110)*** 
                var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.446       0.232    
                                                                                        (0.252)*    (0.216)   
                N                                                                         797         632     
               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  totalimportgasoil probenergy rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskill
> ed relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry totalimportgasoil
>  probenergy [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -245.15016  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -237.29455  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -237.26088  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -237.26088  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -240.10572

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -240.10572  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood =   -237.484  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -236.81214  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -235.99088  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -235.94339  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -235.94268  
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -235.94268  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        632
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       24.3
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(19)     =    1604.65
Log pseudolikelihood = -235.94268               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .8847355   .4034658     2.19   0.028     .0939571    1.675514
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.725223   1.138627     2.39   0.017      .493555    4.956892
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   4.114073     2.7501     1.50   0.135    -1.276024    9.504171
                                             |
                           totalimportgasoil |  -4.79e-07   3.37e-07    -1.42   0.156    -1.14e-06    1.82e-07
                                  probenergy |   .1583707   .4283612     0.37   0.712    -.6812018    .9979432
                                     rusnat2 |   1.103547   .3560184     3.10   0.002      .405764    1.801331
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0342221   .0089259    -3.83   0.000    -.0517166   -.0167276
                                   unskilled |   -.169115    .361123    -0.47   0.640    -.8769031    .5386731
                                   relations |   .2377573   .2157589     1.10   0.270    -.1851223    .6606369
                                      female |   .6481644   .2822202     2.30   0.022      .095023    1.201306
                                         age |   .0211676   .0114026     1.86   0.063    -.0011811    .0435163
                                    univplus |  -.5694706   .2934537    -1.94   0.052    -1.144629    .0056881
                                    employed |   .8657725   .4273377     2.03   0.043     .0282061    1.703339
                                   pensioner |   .9292646   .6419976     1.45   0.148    -.3290277    2.187557
                                       rural |   .7921518   .4206948     1.88   0.060    -.0323948    1.616698
                                    quallife |   -.087832   .1078244    -0.81   0.415     -.299164       .1235
                                demoverorder |  -.3579337   .1116986    -3.20   0.001    -.5768589   -.1390084
                                ILOunemp2013 |   .0500353   .2349314     0.21   0.831    -.4104219    .5104924
                                   grpmilhry |   5.84e-06   6.43e-06     0.91   0.364    -6.77e-06    .0000184
                                       _cons |  -.9360977   2.073849    -0.45   0.652    -5.000768    3.128572
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .2298662   .2144749                      .0369205    1.431141
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffintergas.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.171       0.931       0.885    
                                                                                  (0.292)    (0.421)**   (0.403)**  
                              tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.023       2.578       2.725    
                                                                                 (0.911)**   (1.090)**   (1.139)**  
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.389       3.019       4.114    
                                                                                  (1.995)     (2.288)     (2.750)   
                              totalimportgasoil                                    -0.000      -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                 (0.000)***   (0.000)*    (0.000)   
                              probenergy                                           -0.006      0.141       0.158    
                                                                                  (0.519)     (0.441)     (0.428)   
                              rusnat2                                              1.019       1.112       1.104    
                                                                                 (0.266)***  (0.352)***  (0.356)*** 
                              Ukrainian                                            -0.044      -0.033      -0.034   
                                                                                 (0.011)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)*** 
                              unskilled                                            0.438       -0.193      -0.169   
                                                                                  (0.282)     (0.362)     (0.361)   
                              relations                                            0.072       0.250       0.238    
                                                                                  (0.264)     (0.222)     (0.216)   
                              _cons                                                2.390       -0.351      -0.936   
                                                                                 (1.074)**    (1.291)     (2.074)   
                              female                                                           0.648       0.648    
                                                                                             (0.288)**   (0.282)**  
                              age                                                              0.021       0.021    
                                                                                              (0.011)*    (0.011)*  
                              univplus                                                         -0.579      -0.569   
                                                                                             (0.289)**    (0.293)*  
                              employed                                                         0.879       0.866    
                                                                                             (0.422)**   (0.427)**  
                              pensioner                                                        0.899       0.929    
                                                                                              (0.649)     (0.642)   
                              rural                                                            0.715       0.792    
                                                                                              (0.430)*    (0.421)*  
                              quallife                                                         -0.117      -0.088   
                                                                                              (0.118)     (0.108)   
                              demoverorder                                                     -0.366      -0.358   
                                                                                             (0.110)***  (0.112)*** 
                              ILOunemp2013                                                                 0.050    
                                                                                                          (0.235)   
                              grpmilhry                                                                    0.000    
                                                                                                          (0.000)   
          var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.446       0.232       0.230    
                                                                                  (0.252)*    (0.216)     (0.214)   
          N                                                                         797         632         632     
         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  totalimportgasoil probenergy rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskil
> led relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry totalimportgasoi
> l probenergy if easierspeakR==1 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -145.45015  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -142.65513  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -142.62787  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -142.62785  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -142.62785  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -146.77467

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -146.77467  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.79377  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.67439  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -142.62638  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -142.6231  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood =  -142.6231  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        367
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         17

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       21.6
                                                              max =        103

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(16)     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood =  -142.6231               Prob > chi2       =          .
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 17 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
               joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   4.099275   1.652435     2.48   0.013      .860561    7.337989
                           |
         totalimportgasoil |  -1.68e-07   3.01e-07    -0.56   0.576    -7.59e-07    4.22e-07
                probenergy |  -.2327818   .4449596    -0.52   0.601    -1.104887     .639323
                   rusnat2 |   1.297585   .2993038     4.34   0.000     .7109607     1.88421
                 Ukrainian |   -.020839   .0070898    -2.94   0.003    -.0347348   -.0069432
                 unskilled |  -.0380186   .6058825    -0.06   0.950    -1.225526    1.149489
                 relations |   .2566788   .3020967     0.85   0.396    -.3354199    .8487774
                    female |   .8070265   .3313424     2.44   0.015     .1576073    1.456446
                       age |   .0216085   .0146916     1.47   0.141    -.0071865    .0504036
                  univplus |  -.4380099   .2697141    -1.62   0.104    -.9666399      .09062
                  employed |   1.061221   .3918107     2.71   0.007     .2932861    1.829156
                 pensioner |    .955592   .6798985     1.41   0.160    -.3769846    2.288169
                     rural |  -.0455458   .6843057    -0.07   0.947     -1.38676    1.295669
                  quallife |  -.2811777   .1714335    -1.64   0.101    -.6171812    .0548258
              demoverorder |  -.3005967   .1402229    -2.14   0.032    -.5754285    -.025765
              ILOunemp2013 |  -.0742368    .161296    -0.46   0.645    -.3903711    .2418975
                 grpmilhry |  -2.72e-06   5.98e-06    -0.46   0.649    -.0000144    9.00e-06
                     _cons |   .9223472   1.683151     0.55   0.584    -2.376568    4.221262
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .0125635   .1364052                      7.20e-12    2.19e+07
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffintergas.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.171       0.931       0.885                
                                                                            (0.292)    (0.421)**   (0.403)**              
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.023       2.578       2.725       4.099    
                                                                           (0.911)**   (1.090)**   (1.139)**   (1.652)**  
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.389       3.019       4.114                
                                                                            (1.995)     (2.288)     (2.750)               
                        totalimportgasoil                                    -0.000      -0.000      -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                           (0.000)***   (0.000)*    (0.000)     (0.000)   
                        probenergy                                           -0.006      0.141       0.158       -0.233   
                                                                            (0.519)     (0.441)     (0.428)     (0.445)   
                        rusnat2                                              1.019       1.112       1.104       1.298    
                                                                           (0.266)***  (0.352)***  (0.356)***  (0.299)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.044      -0.033      -0.034      -0.021   
                                                                           (0.011)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)***  (0.007)*** 
                        unskilled                                            0.438       -0.193      -0.169      -0.038   
                                                                            (0.282)     (0.362)     (0.361)     (0.606)   
                        relations                                            0.072       0.250       0.238       0.257    
                                                                            (0.264)     (0.222)     (0.216)     (0.302)   
                        _cons                                                2.390       -0.351      -0.936      0.922    
                                                                           (1.074)**    (1.291)     (2.074)     (1.683)   
                        female                                                           0.648       0.648       0.807    
                                                                                       (0.288)**   (0.282)**   (0.331)**  
                        age                                                              0.021       0.021       0.022    
                                                                                        (0.011)*    (0.011)*    (0.015)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.579      -0.569      -0.438   
                                                                                       (0.289)**    (0.293)*    (0.270)   
                        employed                                                         0.879       0.866       1.061    
                                                                                       (0.422)**   (0.427)**   (0.392)*** 
                        pensioner                                                        0.899       0.929       0.956    
                                                                                        (0.649)     (0.642)     (0.680)   
                        rural                                                            0.715       0.792       -0.046   
                                                                                        (0.430)*    (0.421)*    (0.684)   
                        quallife                                                         -0.117      -0.088      -0.281   
                                                                                        (0.118)     (0.108)     (0.171)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.366      -0.358      -0.301   
                                                                                       (0.110)***  (0.112)***  (0.140)**  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 0.050       -0.074   
                                                                                                    (0.235)     (0.161)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    0.000       -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)     (0.000)   
    joincunion2         1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.446       0.232       0.230       0.013    
                                                                            (0.252)*    (0.216)     (0.214)     (0.136)   
    N                                                                         797         632         632         367     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  totalimportgasoil probenergy rusnat2 c.Ukrainian unskill
> ed relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry totalimportgasoil
>  probenergy if easierspeakR==0 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)
note: rusnat2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      rusnat2 dropped and 3 obs not used


Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -90.399589  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -82.756185  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -82.570715  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -82.569994  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -82.569994  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -81.942922

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -81.942922  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -81.608426  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -81.458978  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -81.456938  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -81.456934  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        262
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         22

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       11.9
                                                              max =         38

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(16)     =     158.57
Log pseudolikelihood = -81.456934               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 22 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
               joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |     3.3008   1.309435     2.52   0.012     .7343535    5.867246
                           |
         totalimportgasoil |  -8.90e-07   6.37e-07    -1.40   0.162    -2.14e-06    3.58e-07
                probenergy |   1.110975   .7769178     1.43   0.153    -.4117561    2.633706
                   rusnat2 |          0  (omitted)
                 Ukrainian |  -.0825165   .0307417    -2.68   0.007     -.142769    -.022264
                 unskilled |  -.1875417   .5798908    -0.32   0.746    -1.324107    .9490233
                 relations |   .4062591   .2942458     1.38   0.167    -.1704521    .9829703
                    female |  -.0474118   .4927138    -0.10   0.923    -1.013113    .9182894
                       age |   .0342517   .0240723     1.42   0.155    -.0129292    .0814325
                  univplus |  -.5935225    .620677    -0.96   0.339    -1.810027    .6229822
                  employed |   .1432199   .9594865     0.15   0.881    -1.737339    2.023779
                 pensioner |   .4595224   1.358582     0.34   0.735     -2.20325    3.122294
                     rural |   1.712375   .5063044     3.38   0.001      .720037    2.704714
                  quallife |   .1408644   .1493727     0.94   0.346    -.1519008    .4336295
              demoverorder |   -.771521   .2624482    -2.94   0.003     -1.28591    -.257132
              ILOunemp2013 |   .3650484   .3944922     0.93   0.355    -.4081421    1.138239
                 grpmilhry |   .0000154   8.64e-06     1.79   0.074    -1.49e-06    .0000324
                     _cons |  -.1569368   3.127397    -0.05   0.960    -6.286523    5.972649
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .8283668   .9008164                      .0983047     6.98025
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffintergas.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.171       0.931       0.885                
                                                                            (0.292)    (0.421)**   (0.403)**              
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.023       2.578       2.725       4.099    
                                                                           (0.911)**   (1.090)**   (1.139)**   (1.652)**  
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.389       3.019       4.114                
                                                                            (1.995)     (2.288)     (2.750)               
                        totalimportgasoil                                    -0.000      -0.000      -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                           (0.000)***   (0.000)*    (0.000)     (0.000)   
                        probenergy                                           -0.006      0.141       0.158       -0.233   
                                                                            (0.519)     (0.441)     (0.428)     (0.445)   
                        rusnat2                                              1.019       1.112       1.104       1.298    
                                                                           (0.266)***  (0.352)***  (0.356)***  (0.299)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.044      -0.033      -0.034      -0.021   
                                                                           (0.011)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)***  (0.007)*** 
                        unskilled                                            0.438       -0.193      -0.169      -0.038   
                                                                            (0.282)     (0.362)     (0.361)     (0.606)   
                        relations                                            0.072       0.250       0.238       0.257    
                                                                            (0.264)     (0.222)     (0.216)     (0.302)   
                        _cons                                                2.390       -0.351      -0.936      0.922    
                                                                           (1.074)**    (1.291)     (2.074)     (1.683)   
                        female                                                           0.648       0.648       0.807    
                                                                                       (0.288)**   (0.282)**   (0.331)**  
                        age                                                              0.021       0.021       0.022    
                                                                                        (0.011)*    (0.011)*    (0.015)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.579      -0.569      -0.438   
                                                                                       (0.289)**    (0.293)*    (0.270)   
                        employed                                                         0.879       0.866       1.061    
                                                                                       (0.422)**   (0.427)**   (0.392)*** 
                        pensioner                                                        0.899       0.929       0.956    
                                                                                        (0.649)     (0.642)     (0.680)   
                        rural                                                            0.715       0.792       -0.046   
                                                                                        (0.430)*    (0.421)*    (0.684)   
                        quallife                                                         -0.117      -0.088      -0.281   
                                                                                        (0.118)     (0.108)     (0.171)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.366      -0.358      -0.301   
                                                                                       (0.110)***  (0.112)***  (0.140)**  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 0.050       -0.074   
                                                                                                    (0.235)     (0.161)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    0.000       -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)     (0.000)   
    joincunion2         1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        o.rusnat2                                                                                         
                                                                                                                          
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.446       0.232       0.230       0.013    
                                                                            (0.252)*    (0.216)     (0.214)     (0.136)   
    N                                                                         797         632         632         367     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                             
                                                                                                        
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.301    
                                                                                             (1.309)**  
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                
                                                                                                        
                                          totalimportgasoil                                    -0.000   
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          probenergy                                           1.111    
                                                                                              (0.777)   
                                          rusnat2                                                       
                                                                                                        
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.083   
                                                                                             (0.031)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            -0.188   
                                                                                              (0.580)   
                                          relations                                            0.406    
                                                                                              (0.294)   
                                          _cons                                                -0.157   
                                                                                              (3.127)   
                                          female                                               -0.047   
                                                                                              (0.493)   
                                          age                                                  0.034    
                                                                                              (0.024)   
                                          univplus                                             -0.594   
                                                                                              (0.621)   
                                          employed                                             0.143    
                                                                                              (0.959)   
                                          pensioner                                            0.460    
                                                                                              (1.359)   
                                          rural                                                1.712    
                                                                                             (0.506)*** 
                                          quallife                                             0.141    
                                                                                              (0.149)   
                                          demoverorder                                         -0.772   
                                                                                             (0.262)*** 
                                          ILOunemp2013                                         0.365    
                                                                                              (0.394)   
                                          grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)*  
                      joincunion2         1b.easierspeakRuss                                            
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp              
                                                                                                        
                                          o.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.828    
                                                                                              (0.901)   
                      N                                                                         262     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. ***Table A18 
. gen powerservesforint=1 if Q41==5
(1,489 missing values generated)

. replace powerserves=0 if Q41<5
(1,297 real changes made)

. replace powerserves=0 if Q41==6|Q41==7
(130 real changes made)

. 
. 
. gen improverelR=6-Q12G if Q12G<6
(125 missing values generated)

. gen improverelWest=6-Q12H if Q12H<6
(227 missing values generated)

. 
. 
. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp powerserves improverelR improverelW rusnat2 c.Ukrain
> ian unskilled relations   [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -328.80959  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -325.80554  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -325.80067  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -325.80067  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -320.18147

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -320.18147  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -318.91662  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -317.40609  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -317.27658  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -317.27628  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -317.27628  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        695
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         25

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          8
                                                              avg =       27.8
                                                              max =        112

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(10)     =     104.07
Log pseudolikelihood = -317.27628               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 25 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .3312539   .2904996     1.14   0.254    -.2381147    .9006226
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.396507   1.099746     3.09   0.002     1.241045    5.551969
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   1.393701   1.626832     0.86   0.392    -1.794831    4.582234
                                             |
                           powerservesforint |   .2964724   .5576587     0.53   0.595    -.7965186    1.389463
                                 improverelR |   .1646988   .1566391     1.05   0.293    -.1423082    .4717058
                              improverelWest |  -.4633598   .1913092    -2.42   0.015     -.838319   -.0884006
                                     rusnat2 |   .9975295   .4085584     2.44   0.015     .1967698    1.798289
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0306475   .0091974    -3.33   0.001     -.048674   -.0126209
                                   unskilled |   .4367175   .3109259     1.40   0.160     -.172686    1.046121
                                   relations |  -.0399001   .2436337    -0.16   0.870    -.5174133    .4376131
                                       _cons |   2.834755    1.09114     2.60   0.009     .6961596     4.97335
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .5671723   .3036617                      .1986027    1.619738
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffinternatcont.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) replace
(note: file logitbcr2diffinternatcont.doc not found)
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.331    
                                                                                              (0.290)   
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.397    
                                                                                             (1.100)*** 
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.394    
                                                                                              (1.627)   
                                          powerservesforint                                    0.296    
                                                                                              (0.558)   
                                          improverelR                                          0.165    
                                                                                              (0.157)   
                                          improverelWest                                       -0.463   
                                                                                             (0.191)**  
                                          rusnat2                                              0.998    
                                                                                             (0.409)**  
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.031   
                                                                                             (0.009)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            0.437    
                                                                                              (0.311)   
                                          relations                                            -0.040   
                                                                                              (0.244)   
                                          _cons                                                2.835    
                                                                                             (1.091)*** 
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.567    
                                                                                              (0.304)*  
                      N                                                                         695     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp powerserves improverelR improverelW rusnat2 c.Ukrain
> ian unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  [pweight= weight_Ukrai
> ne] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -222.19852  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -213.97549  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -213.94535  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -213.94535  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -218.45905

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -218.45905  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -213.91543  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -213.61598  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -213.58594  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood =  -213.5856  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood =  -213.5856  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        555
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         25

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          6
                                                              avg =       22.2
                                                              max =         98

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(18)     =     740.57
Log pseudolikelihood =  -213.5856               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 25 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .9065546   .4559256     1.99   0.047     .0129569    1.800152
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   5.210917   1.433674     3.63   0.000     2.400968    8.020865
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   .5981607   1.791245     0.33   0.738    -2.912615    4.108936
                                             |
                           powerservesforint |   .0782314    .711421     0.11   0.912    -1.316128    1.472591
                                 improverelR |   .2183724   .1324883     1.65   0.099    -.0412998    .4780446
                              improverelWest |  -.3915734   .1848771    -2.12   0.034    -.7539258   -.0292209
                                     rusnat2 |   1.071751   .4964915     2.16   0.031     .0986452    2.044856
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0209576   .0066931    -3.13   0.002     -.034076   -.0078393
                                   unskilled |  -.1756786   .4109505    -0.43   0.669    -.9811268    .6297696
                                   relations |   .0129703   .2394441     0.05   0.957    -.4563315     .482272
                                      female |   .7517105   .2732217     2.75   0.006     .2162059    1.287215
                                         age |   .0330394   .0104151     3.17   0.002     .0126262    .0534526
                                    univplus |  -.7057804   .2350231    -3.00   0.003    -1.166417   -.2451435
                                    employed |   1.058125   .4727516     2.24   0.025     .1315488    1.984701
                                   pensioner |   .1578608   .6531523     0.24   0.809    -1.122294    1.438016
                                       rural |   .5589377   .4760939     1.17   0.240    -.3741892    1.492065
                                    quallife |   .1143232   .1468174     0.78   0.436    -.1734336      .40208
                                demoverorder |  -.4149152   .0934431    -4.44   0.000    -.5980603     -.23177
                                       _cons |  -.3750347   1.150511    -0.33   0.744    -2.629995    1.879925
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .0889633   .1178968                      .0066248    1.194672
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffinternatcont.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.331       0.907    
                                                                                        (0.290)    (0.456)**  
                                    tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.397       5.211    
                                                                                       (1.100)***  (1.434)*** 
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.394       0.598    
                                                                                        (1.627)     (1.791)   
                                    powerservesforint                                    0.296       0.078    
                                                                                        (0.558)     (0.711)   
                                    improverelR                                          0.165       0.218    
                                                                                        (0.157)     (0.132)*  
                                    improverelWest                                       -0.463      -0.392   
                                                                                       (0.191)**   (0.185)**  
                                    rusnat2                                              0.998       1.072    
                                                                                       (0.409)**   (0.496)**  
                                    Ukrainian                                            -0.031      -0.021   
                                                                                       (0.009)***  (0.007)*** 
                                    unskilled                                            0.437       -0.176   
                                                                                        (0.311)     (0.411)   
                                    relations                                            -0.040      0.013    
                                                                                        (0.244)     (0.239)   
                                    _cons                                                2.835       -0.375   
                                                                                       (1.091)***   (1.151)   
                                    female                                                           0.752    
                                                                                                   (0.273)*** 
                                    age                                                              0.033    
                                                                                                   (0.010)*** 
                                    univplus                                                         -0.706   
                                                                                                   (0.235)*** 
                                    employed                                                         1.058    
                                                                                                   (0.473)**  
                                    pensioner                                                        0.158    
                                                                                                    (0.653)   
                                    rural                                                            0.559    
                                                                                                    (0.476)   
                                    quallife                                                         0.114    
                                                                                                    (0.147)   
                                    demoverorder                                                     -0.415   
                                                                                                   (0.093)*** 
                var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.567       0.089    
                                                                                        (0.304)*    (0.118)   
                N                                                                         695         555     
               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp powerserves improverelR improverelW rusnat2 c.Ukrain
> ian unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry   [pwe
> ight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -222.19836  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -213.90263  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood =  -213.8699  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -213.86989  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood =  -218.5159

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -218.5159  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -213.87875  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -213.59819  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -213.56681  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -213.56636  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -213.56636  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        555
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         25

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          6
                                                              avg =       22.2
                                                              max =         98

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(20)     =     781.42
Log pseudolikelihood = -213.56636               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 25 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                            bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   .9098612   .4551274     2.00   0.046     .0178279    1.801895
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   5.297209   1.496647     3.54   0.000     2.363835    8.230583
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   .5395285   1.954146     0.28   0.782    -3.290527    4.369584
                                             |
                           powerservesforint |   .0621669   .6719747     0.09   0.926    -1.254879    1.379213
                                 improverelR |    .224042   .1368245     1.64   0.102    -.0441292    .4922132
                              improverelWest |  -.3897222   .1807449    -2.16   0.031    -.7439756   -.0354688
                                     rusnat2 |   1.076237   .5045385     2.13   0.033       .08736    2.065115
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0199128   .0080623    -2.47   0.014    -.0357146   -.0041111
                                   unskilled |  -.1779009   .4119042    -0.43   0.666    -.9852183    .6294165
                                   relations |   .0111408   .2354352     0.05   0.962    -.4503037    .4725853
                                      female |   .7475789    .271982     2.75   0.006      .214504    1.280654
                                         age |   .0332421   .0106642     3.12   0.002     .0123408    .0541435
                                    univplus |  -.6993176   .2527006    -2.77   0.006    -1.194602   -.2040336
                                    employed |   1.056578   .4884317     2.16   0.031     .0992698    2.013887
                                   pensioner |   .1460468    .672924     0.22   0.828     -1.17286    1.464954
                                       rural |   .5625806   .4799568     1.17   0.241    -.3781174    1.503279
                                    quallife |   .1104128   .1482364     0.74   0.456    -.1801253    .4009509
                                demoverorder |   -.413419   .0941139    -4.39   0.000    -.5978788   -.2289592
                                ILOunemp2013 |  -.0332863   .1553082    -0.21   0.830    -.3376847    .2711121
                                   grpmilhry |  -1.72e-07   2.30e-06    -0.07   0.940    -4.69e-06    4.34e-06
                                       _cons |  -.2020913   1.439382    -0.14   0.888    -3.023229    2.619046
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|    .083435   .1181662                      .0051978    1.339294
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffinternatcont.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.331       0.907       0.910    
                                                                                  (0.290)    (0.456)**   (0.455)**  
                              tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.397       5.211       5.297    
                                                                                 (1.100)***  (1.434)***  (1.497)*** 
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.394       0.598       0.540    
                                                                                  (1.627)     (1.791)     (1.954)   
                              powerservesforint                                    0.296       0.078       0.062    
                                                                                  (0.558)     (0.711)     (0.672)   
                              improverelR                                          0.165       0.218       0.224    
                                                                                  (0.157)     (0.132)*    (0.137)   
                              improverelWest                                       -0.463      -0.392      -0.390   
                                                                                 (0.191)**   (0.185)**   (0.181)**  
                              rusnat2                                              0.998       1.072       1.076    
                                                                                 (0.409)**   (0.496)**   (0.505)**  
                              Ukrainian                                            -0.031      -0.021      -0.020   
                                                                                 (0.009)***  (0.007)***  (0.008)**  
                              unskilled                                            0.437       -0.176      -0.178   
                                                                                  (0.311)     (0.411)     (0.412)   
                              relations                                            -0.040      0.013       0.011    
                                                                                  (0.244)     (0.239)     (0.235)   
                              _cons                                                2.835       -0.375      -0.202   
                                                                                 (1.091)***   (1.151)     (1.439)   
                              female                                                           0.752       0.748    
                                                                                             (0.273)***  (0.272)*** 
                              age                                                              0.033       0.033    
                                                                                             (0.010)***  (0.011)*** 
                              univplus                                                         -0.706      -0.699   
                                                                                             (0.235)***  (0.253)*** 
                              employed                                                         1.058       1.057    
                                                                                             (0.473)**   (0.488)**  
                              pensioner                                                        0.158       0.146    
                                                                                              (0.653)     (0.673)   
                              rural                                                            0.559       0.563    
                                                                                              (0.476)     (0.480)   
                              quallife                                                         0.114       0.110    
                                                                                              (0.147)     (0.148)   
                              demoverorder                                                     -0.415      -0.413   
                                                                                             (0.093)***  (0.094)*** 
                              ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.033   
                                                                                                          (0.155)   
                              grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000   
                                                                                                          (0.000)   
          var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.567       0.089       0.083    
                                                                                  (0.304)*    (0.118)     (0.118)   
          N                                                                         695         555         555     
         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp powerserves improverelR improverelW rusnat2 c.Ukrai
> nian unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry if ea
> sierspeakR==1 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -124.81298  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -121.80608  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -121.79349  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -121.79348  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -126.27764

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -126.27764  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -122.55329  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -121.93411  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -121.81397  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -121.80716  (backed up)
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -121.80676  (backed up)
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -121.80656  (backed up)
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (not concave)
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 21:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (not concave)
Iteration 22:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 23:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (not concave)
Iteration 24:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (not concave)
Iteration 26:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 27:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 28:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 29:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (not concave)
Iteration 30:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 31:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 32:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 33:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (not concave)
Iteration 34:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 35:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80655  (backed up)
Iteration 36:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80654  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80654  
Iteration 38:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80634  (not concave)
Iteration 39:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80633  (not concave)
Iteration 40:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80625  
Iteration 41:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.80069  
Iteration 42:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.79348  (not concave)
Iteration 43:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.79348  (not concave)
Iteration 44:  log pseudolikelihood = -121.79348  (backed up)

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        316
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         15

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       21.1
                                                              max =         98

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(15)     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -121.79348               Prob > chi2       =          .
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 15 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
          bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   5.158205   1.057034     4.88   0.000     3.086457    7.229953
                           |
         powerservesforint |   -.361029   .7634588    -0.47   0.636    -1.857381    1.135323
               improverelR |   .0877009    .185553     0.47   0.636    -.2759762    .4513781
            improverelWest |  -.2697404   .3364972    -0.80   0.423    -.9292627    .3897819
                   rusnat2 |   1.096355   .4524561     2.42   0.015     .2095568    1.983152
                 Ukrainian |  -.0131414   .0065829    -2.00   0.046    -.0260438   -.0002391
                 unskilled |  -.1856839   .5200068    -0.36   0.721    -1.204878    .8335106
                 relations |   -.043534   .3216854    -0.14   0.892    -.6740258    .5869578
                    female |   .6966348   .4109967     1.69   0.090    -.1089039    1.502174
                       age |   .0293687   .0145916     2.01   0.044     .0007698    .0579677
                  univplus |  -.6321331   .2388056    -2.65   0.008    -1.100184   -.1640827
                  employed |   1.617775   .6295564     2.57   0.010     .3838677    2.851683
                 pensioner |   .9897779   .8960797     1.10   0.269     -.766506    2.746062
                     rural |  -.3281824   .6409106    -0.51   0.609    -1.584344    .9279794
                  quallife |  -.0325725   .2064182    -0.16   0.875    -.4371447    .3719998
              demoverorder |  -.2503662   .1414057    -1.77   0.077    -.5275163     .026784
              ILOunemp2013 |  -.1526313   .1130867    -1.35   0.177    -.3742772    .0690147
                 grpmilhry |  -3.63e-06   1.94e-06    -1.87   0.061    -7.43e-06    1.69e-07
                     _cons |   1.322413   1.440101     0.92   0.358    -1.500134     4.14496
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   3.71e-34   7.80e-34                      6.04e-36    2.28e-32
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffinternatcont.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.331       0.907       0.910                
                                                                            (0.290)    (0.456)**   (0.455)**              
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.397       5.211       5.297       5.158    
                                                                           (1.100)***  (1.434)***  (1.497)***  (1.057)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.394       0.598       0.540                
                                                                            (1.627)     (1.791)     (1.954)               
                        powerservesforint                                    0.296       0.078       0.062       -0.361   
                                                                            (0.558)     (0.711)     (0.672)     (0.763)   
                        improverelR                                          0.165       0.218       0.224       0.088    
                                                                            (0.157)     (0.132)*    (0.137)     (0.186)   
                        improverelWest                                       -0.463      -0.392      -0.390      -0.270   
                                                                           (0.191)**   (0.185)**   (0.181)**    (0.336)   
                        rusnat2                                              0.998       1.072       1.076       1.096    
                                                                           (0.409)**   (0.496)**   (0.505)**   (0.452)**  
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.031      -0.021      -0.020      -0.013   
                                                                           (0.009)***  (0.007)***  (0.008)**   (0.007)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.437       -0.176      -0.178      -0.186   
                                                                            (0.311)     (0.411)     (0.412)     (0.520)   
                        relations                                            -0.040      0.013       0.011       -0.044   
                                                                            (0.244)     (0.239)     (0.235)     (0.322)   
                        _cons                                                2.835       -0.375      -0.202      1.322    
                                                                           (1.091)***   (1.151)     (1.439)     (1.440)   
                        female                                                           0.752       0.748       0.697    
                                                                                       (0.273)***  (0.272)***   (0.411)*  
                        age                                                              0.033       0.033       0.029    
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.011)***  (0.015)**  
                        univplus                                                         -0.706      -0.699      -0.632   
                                                                                       (0.235)***  (0.253)***  (0.239)*** 
                        employed                                                         1.058       1.057       1.618    
                                                                                       (0.473)**   (0.488)**   (0.630)**  
                        pensioner                                                        0.158       0.146       0.990    
                                                                                        (0.653)     (0.673)     (0.896)   
                        rural                                                            0.559       0.563       -0.328   
                                                                                        (0.476)     (0.480)     (0.641)   
                        quallife                                                         0.114       0.110       -0.033   
                                                                                        (0.147)     (0.148)     (0.206)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.415      -0.413      -0.250   
                                                                                       (0.093)***  (0.094)***   (0.141)*  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.033      -0.153   
                                                                                                    (0.155)     (0.113)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)     (0.000)*  
    bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.567       0.089       0.083       0.000    
                                                                            (0.304)*    (0.118)     (0.118)     (0.000)   
    N                                                                         695         555         555         316     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  bettercloserrus2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp powerserves improverelR improverelW rusnat2 c.Ukrai
> nian unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner  unskilled rural  quallife    demover  ILO   grpmilhry if ea
> sierspeakR==0 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)
note: rusnat2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      rusnat2 dropped and 2 obs not used


Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -87.777398  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -80.748839  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -80.572026  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -80.571262  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -80.571262  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -82.524808

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -82.524808  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -80.836742  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -80.709727  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -80.611506  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -80.601732  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -80.593938  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -80.593914  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (backed up)
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (backed up)
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (backed up)
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 22:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 23:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (backed up)
Iteration 24:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (backed up)
Iteration 25:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 26:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (backed up)
Iteration 27:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (backed up)
Iteration 28:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (backed up)
Iteration 29:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 30:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (backed up)
Iteration 31:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (not concave)
Iteration 32:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (backed up)
Iteration 33:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (backed up)
Iteration 34:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593913  (backed up)
Iteration 35:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593912  (not concave)
Iteration 36:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593912  (backed up)
Iteration 37:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593912  (backed up)
Iteration 38:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593912  (backed up)
Iteration 39:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593909  (backed up)
Iteration 40:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593909  (backed up)
Iteration 41:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593898  (backed up)
Iteration 42:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593854  (not concave)
Iteration 43:  log pseudolikelihood =  -80.59385  (not concave)
Iteration 44:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593847  (not concave)
Iteration 45:  log pseudolikelihood =  -80.59384  
Iteration 46:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593667  (not concave)
Iteration 47:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593649  (not concave)
Iteration 48:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593622  (not concave)
Iteration 49:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593577  
Iteration 50:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593406  (not concave)
Iteration 51:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.593132  
Iteration 52:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.571273  (not concave)
Iteration 53:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.571273  (not concave)
Iteration 54:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.571273  
Iteration 55:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.571272  
Iteration 56:  log pseudolikelihood =  -80.57127  
Iteration 57:  log pseudolikelihood = -80.571262  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        237
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         22

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       10.8
                                                              max =         36

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     452.07
Log pseudolikelihood = -80.571262               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 22 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
          bettercloserrus2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   5.142995   1.303044     3.95   0.000     2.589076    7.696914
                           |
         powerservesforint |   .4426068   .8383988     0.53   0.598    -1.200625    2.085838
               improverelR |    .528364   .2727504     1.94   0.053    -.0062169    1.062945
            improverelWest |  -.7495236   .2902056    -2.58   0.010    -1.318316    -.180731
                   rusnat2 |          0  (omitted)
                 Ukrainian |  -.0567275   .0206064    -2.75   0.006    -.0971153   -.0163396
                 unskilled |  -.1013158   .6148204    -0.16   0.869    -1.306342     1.10371
                 relations |   .2821691   .3294971     0.86   0.392    -.3636334    .9279715
                    female |   .4283993   .3907672     1.10   0.273    -.3374903    1.194289
                       age |   .0319757   .0225751     1.42   0.157    -.0122706     .076222
                  univplus |  -.6790944   .4699324    -1.45   0.148    -1.600145    .2419561
                  employed |   .5328543   .7965945     0.67   0.504    -1.028442    2.094151
                 pensioner |  -.3960285   1.031325    -0.38   0.701    -2.417388    1.625331
                     rural |   1.212626    .590998     2.05   0.040     .0542916    2.370961
                  quallife |   .3117549   .2583712     1.21   0.228    -.1946434    .8181531
              demoverorder |  -.8447119   .1609277    -5.25   0.000    -1.160124   -.5292994
              ILOunemp2013 |   .3641736   .2288482     1.59   0.112    -.0843607    .8127079
                 grpmilhry |   4.56e-06   3.44e-06     1.32   0.186    -2.19e-06    .0000113
                     _cons |   -.080317    2.35384    -0.03   0.973    -4.693758    4.533124
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   2.18e-35   2.02e-34                      2.82e-43    1.69e-27
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitbcr2diffinternatcont.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.331       0.907       0.910                
                                                                            (0.290)    (0.456)**   (0.455)**              
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           3.397       5.211       5.297       5.158    
                                                                           (1.100)***  (1.434)***  (1.497)***  (1.057)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       1.394       0.598       0.540                
                                                                            (1.627)     (1.791)     (1.954)               
                        powerservesforint                                    0.296       0.078       0.062       -0.361   
                                                                            (0.558)     (0.711)     (0.672)     (0.763)   
                        improverelR                                          0.165       0.218       0.224       0.088    
                                                                            (0.157)     (0.132)*    (0.137)     (0.186)   
                        improverelWest                                       -0.463      -0.392      -0.390      -0.270   
                                                                           (0.191)**   (0.185)**   (0.181)**    (0.336)   
                        rusnat2                                              0.998       1.072       1.076       1.096    
                                                                           (0.409)**   (0.496)**   (0.505)**   (0.452)**  
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.031      -0.021      -0.020      -0.013   
                                                                           (0.009)***  (0.007)***  (0.008)**   (0.007)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.437       -0.176      -0.178      -0.186   
                                                                            (0.311)     (0.411)     (0.412)     (0.520)   
                        relations                                            -0.040      0.013       0.011       -0.044   
                                                                            (0.244)     (0.239)     (0.235)     (0.322)   
                        _cons                                                2.835       -0.375      -0.202      1.322    
                                                                           (1.091)***   (1.151)     (1.439)     (1.440)   
                        female                                                           0.752       0.748       0.697    
                                                                                       (0.273)***  (0.272)***   (0.411)*  
                        age                                                              0.033       0.033       0.029    
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.011)***  (0.015)**  
                        univplus                                                         -0.706      -0.699      -0.632   
                                                                                       (0.235)***  (0.253)***  (0.239)*** 
                        employed                                                         1.058       1.057       1.618    
                                                                                       (0.473)**   (0.488)**   (0.630)**  
                        pensioner                                                        0.158       0.146       0.990    
                                                                                        (0.653)     (0.673)     (0.896)   
                        rural                                                            0.559       0.563       -0.328   
                                                                                        (0.476)     (0.480)     (0.641)   
                        quallife                                                         0.114       0.110       -0.033   
                                                                                        (0.147)     (0.148)     (0.206)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.415      -0.413      -0.250   
                                                                                       (0.093)***  (0.094)***   (0.141)*  
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.033      -0.153   
                                                                                                    (0.155)     (0.113)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)     (0.000)*  
    bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        o.rusnat2                                                                                         
                                                                                                                          
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.567       0.089       0.083       0.000    
                                                                            (0.304)*    (0.118)     (0.118)     (0.000)   
    N                                                                         695         555         555         316     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      bettercloserrus2    0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                             
                                                                                                        
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           5.143    
                                                                                             (1.303)*** 
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                
                                                                                                        
                                          powerservesforint                                    0.443    
                                                                                              (0.838)   
                                          improverelR                                          0.528    
                                                                                              (0.273)*  
                                          improverelWest                                       -0.750   
                                                                                             (0.290)*** 
                                          rusnat2                                                       
                                                                                                        
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.057   
                                                                                             (0.021)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            -0.101   
                                                                                              (0.615)   
                                          relations                                            0.282    
                                                                                              (0.329)   
                                          _cons                                                -0.080   
                                                                                              (2.354)   
                                          female                                               0.428    
                                                                                              (0.391)   
                                          age                                                  0.032    
                                                                                              (0.023)   
                                          univplus                                             -0.679   
                                                                                              (0.470)   
                                          employed                                             0.533    
                                                                                              (0.797)   
                                          pensioner                                            -0.396   
                                                                                              (1.031)   
                                          rural                                                1.213    
                                                                                             (0.591)**  
                                          quallife                                             0.312    
                                                                                              (0.258)   
                                          demoverorder                                         -0.845   
                                                                                             (0.161)*** 
                                          ILOunemp2013                                         0.364    
                                                                                              (0.229)   
                                          grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      bettercloserrus2    1b.easierspeakRuss                                            
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp              
                                                                                                        
                                          o.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      N                                                                         237     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. 
. 
. ***Table A19
. 
. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  powerserves improverelR improverelW  rusnat2 c.Ukrainian
>  unskilled relations [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -328.57212  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -326.06995  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -326.06597  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -326.06597  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -317.86865

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -317.86865  
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -316.17016  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -314.58706  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -314.57153  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -314.57147  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -314.57147  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        704
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         26

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       27.1
                                                              max =        109

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(10)     =     136.96
Log pseudolikelihood = -314.57147               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 26 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |    .434356   .3005145     1.45   0.148    -.1546416    1.023354
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   2.575283   1.094382     2.35   0.019     .4303331    4.720232
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   .8117791   2.579681     0.31   0.753    -4.244304    5.867862
                                             |
                           powerservesforint |   .1596062   .5178878     0.31   0.758    -.8554352    1.174648
                                 improverelR |   .2344099   .1971903     1.19   0.235    -.1520761    .6208958
                              improverelWest |  -.5886686   .1888732    -3.12   0.002    -.9588533   -.2184839
                                     rusnat2 |   1.117154   .3141745     3.56   0.000     .5013835    1.732925
                                   Ukrainian |   -.035376   .0099269    -3.56   0.000    -.0548325   -.0159196
                                   unskilled |   .4477664    .331519     1.35   0.177    -.2019988    1.097532
                                   relations |   .3267081   .2653981     1.23   0.218    -.1934627    .8468788
                                       _cons |   1.987003   1.093453     1.82   0.069    -.1561261    4.130132
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .6207187   .2830731                      .2539289    1.517321
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffinternatcont.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) replace
(note: file logitjcu2diffinternatcont.doc not found)
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.434    
                                                                                              (0.301)   
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.575    
                                                                                             (1.094)**  
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.812    
                                                                                              (2.580)   
                                          powerservesforint                                    0.160    
                                                                                              (0.518)   
                                          improverelR                                          0.234    
                                                                                              (0.197)   
                                          improverelWest                                       -0.589   
                                                                                             (0.189)*** 
                                          rusnat2                                              1.117    
                                                                                             (0.314)*** 
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.035   
                                                                                             (0.010)*** 
                                          unskilled                                            0.448    
                                                                                              (0.332)   
                                          relations                                            0.327    
                                                                                              (0.265)   
                                          _cons                                                1.987    
                                                                                              (1.093)*  
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.621    
                                                                                             (0.283)**  
                      N                                                                         704     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp powerserves improverelR improverelW rusnat2 c.Ukrainian u
> nskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner   rural  quallife  demover     [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast
> :  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -213.07648  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -204.23878  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -204.20285  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -204.20284  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -207.10503

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -207.10503  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -203.80261  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -203.04616  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -202.91542  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -202.91302  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -202.91302  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        563
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         25

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          7
                                                              avg =       22.5
                                                              max =         96

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(18)     =     793.14
Log pseudolikelihood = -202.91302               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 25 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   1.297801    .450204     2.88   0.004     .4154174    2.180185
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   4.061317   1.256445     3.23   0.001      1.59873    6.523905
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   1.361414   2.435046     0.56   0.576    -3.411189    6.134016
                                             |
                           powerservesforint |   .0641404   .6436406     0.10   0.921    -1.197372    1.325653
                                 improverelR |   .2514058    .175916     1.43   0.153    -.0933833    .5961948
                              improverelWest |  -.5555508   .2220114    -2.50   0.012    -.9906851   -.1204165
                                     rusnat2 |   1.236845   .4157764     2.97   0.003     .4219387    2.051752
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0249183   .0072245    -3.45   0.001     -.039078   -.0107585
                                   unskilled |  -.2865502   .4323105    -0.66   0.507    -1.133863    .5607629
                                   relations |   .4379998   .2618463     1.67   0.094    -.0752095    .9512091
                                      female |   .7143462   .2973375     2.40   0.016     .1315754    1.297117
                                         age |   .0248106   .0131476     1.89   0.059    -.0009582    .0505795
                                    univplus |  -.5076357   .2717347    -1.87   0.062    -1.040226    .0249544
                                    employed |   .7316205   .4667706     1.57   0.117     -.183233    1.646474
                                   pensioner |   .6128376   .6986154     0.88   0.380    -.7564234    1.982099
                                       rural |   .7496237   .4867551     1.54   0.124    -.2043987    1.703646
                                    quallife |  -.1399977   .1311849    -1.07   0.286    -.3971154      .11712
                                demoverorder |  -.3189262   .1110244    -2.87   0.004    -.5365301   -.1013223
                                       _cons |  -.7067728   1.362463    -0.52   0.604    -3.377151    1.963605
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|   .1964621   .1747038                      .0343834    1.122559
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffinternatcont.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.434       1.298    
                                                                                        (0.301)    (0.450)*** 
                                    tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.575       4.061    
                                                                                       (1.094)**   (1.256)*** 
                                    0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000    
                                                                                        (0.000)     (0.000)   
                                    1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.812       1.361    
                                                                                        (2.580)     (2.435)   
                                    powerservesforint                                    0.160       0.064    
                                                                                        (0.518)     (0.644)   
                                    improverelR                                          0.234       0.251    
                                                                                        (0.197)     (0.176)   
                                    improverelWest                                       -0.589      -0.556   
                                                                                       (0.189)***  (0.222)**  
                                    rusnat2                                              1.117       1.237    
                                                                                       (0.314)***  (0.416)*** 
                                    Ukrainian                                            -0.035      -0.025   
                                                                                       (0.010)***  (0.007)*** 
                                    unskilled                                            0.448       -0.287   
                                                                                        (0.332)     (0.432)   
                                    relations                                            0.327       0.438    
                                                                                        (0.265)     (0.262)*  
                                    _cons                                                1.987       -0.707   
                                                                                        (1.093)*    (1.362)   
                                    female                                                           0.714    
                                                                                                   (0.297)**  
                                    age                                                              0.025    
                                                                                                    (0.013)*  
                                    univplus                                                         -0.508   
                                                                                                    (0.272)*  
                                    employed                                                         0.732    
                                                                                                    (0.467)   
                                    pensioner                                                        0.613    
                                                                                                    (0.699)   
                                    rural                                                            0.750    
                                                                                                    (0.487)   
                                    quallife                                                         -0.140   
                                                                                                    (0.131)   
                                    demoverorder                                                     -0.319   
                                                                                                   (0.111)*** 
                var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.621       0.196    
                                                                                       (0.283)**    (0.175)   
                N                                                                         704         563     
               ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp powerserves improverelR improverelW rusnat2 c.Ukrainian u
> nskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry powerserves improver
> elR improverelW   [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -212.56015  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -203.51836  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -203.47124  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -203.47122  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -203.47122  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -207.31238

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -207.31238  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -203.03026  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood =  -202.6627  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -202.64334  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -202.64325  
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -202.64325  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        563
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         25

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          7
                                                              avg =       22.5
                                                              max =         96

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(20)     =    1312.53
Log pseudolikelihood = -202.64325               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                                                (Std. Err. adjusted for 25 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |               Robust
                                 joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                                             |
                           1.easierspeakRuss |   1.343593   .4731424     2.84   0.005     .4162507    2.270935
                  tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   4.328573   1.301303     3.33   0.001     1.778066    6.879079
                                             |
easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |
                                          1  |   .8778525   2.471529     0.36   0.722    -3.966255     5.72196
                                             |
                           powerservesforint |   .0177111   .6479904     0.03   0.978    -1.252327    1.287749
                                 improverelR |    .265953   .1701666     1.56   0.118    -.0675674    .5994735
                              improverelWest |  -.5530486   .2188229    -2.53   0.011    -.9819337   -.1241635
                                     rusnat2 |   1.237886    .415441     2.98   0.003     .4236366    2.052135
                                   Ukrainian |  -.0210964   .0075554    -2.79   0.005    -.0359047   -.0062881
                                   unskilled |    -.30061    .438648    -0.69   0.493    -1.160344    .5591242
                                   relations |   .4406774   .2623512     1.68   0.093    -.0735216    .9548764
                                      female |   .6952194   .2980255     2.33   0.020     .1111002    1.279339
                                         age |    .025285   .0132214     1.91   0.056    -.0006285    .0511986
                                    univplus |   -.486322   .2757958    -1.76   0.078    -1.026872    .0542279
                                    employed |   .7400487   .4977182     1.49   0.137     -.235461    1.715558
                                   pensioner |   .5833585   .7040362     0.83   0.407    -.7965271    1.963244
                                       rural |   .7640428   .4882962     1.56   0.118    -.1930001    1.721086
                                    quallife |  -.1641693   .1470886    -1.12   0.264    -.4524576    .1241191
                                demoverorder |  -.3154416   .1163774    -2.71   0.007    -.5435371   -.0873462
                                ILOunemp2013 |  -.1386388   .1426863    -0.97   0.331    -.4182987    .1410211
                                   grpmilhry |  -1.47e-06   2.89e-06    -0.51   0.610    -7.14e-06    4.19e-06
                                       _cons |   .1345524   1.756947     0.08   0.939    -3.309001    3.578105
---------------------------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                                       |
                                   var(_cons)|    .154044   .1912596                      .0135145    1.755854
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffinternatcont.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.434       1.298       1.344    
                                                                                  (0.301)    (0.450)***  (0.473)*** 
                              tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.575       4.061       4.329    
                                                                                 (1.094)**   (1.256)***  (1.301)*** 
                              0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000    
                                                                                  (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)   
                              1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.812       1.361       0.878    
                                                                                  (2.580)     (2.435)     (2.472)   
                              powerservesforint                                    0.160       0.064       0.018    
                                                                                  (0.518)     (0.644)     (0.648)   
                              improverelR                                          0.234       0.251       0.266    
                                                                                  (0.197)     (0.176)     (0.170)   
                              improverelWest                                       -0.589      -0.556      -0.553   
                                                                                 (0.189)***  (0.222)**   (0.219)**  
                              rusnat2                                              1.117       1.237       1.238    
                                                                                 (0.314)***  (0.416)***  (0.415)*** 
                              Ukrainian                                            -0.035      -0.025      -0.021   
                                                                                 (0.010)***  (0.007)***  (0.008)*** 
                              unskilled                                            0.448       -0.287      -0.301   
                                                                                  (0.332)     (0.432)     (0.439)   
                              relations                                            0.327       0.438       0.441    
                                                                                  (0.265)     (0.262)*    (0.262)*  
                              _cons                                                1.987       -0.707      0.135    
                                                                                  (1.093)*    (1.362)     (1.757)   
                              female                                                           0.714       0.695    
                                                                                             (0.297)**   (0.298)**  
                              age                                                              0.025       0.025    
                                                                                              (0.013)*    (0.013)*  
                              univplus                                                         -0.508      -0.486   
                                                                                              (0.272)*    (0.276)*  
                              employed                                                         0.732       0.740    
                                                                                              (0.467)     (0.498)   
                              pensioner                                                        0.613       0.583    
                                                                                              (0.699)     (0.704)   
                              rural                                                            0.750       0.764    
                                                                                              (0.487)     (0.488)   
                              quallife                                                         -0.140      -0.164   
                                                                                              (0.131)     (0.147)   
                              demoverorder                                                     -0.319      -0.315   
                                                                                             (0.111)***  (0.116)*** 
                              ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.139   
                                                                                                          (0.143)   
                              grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000   
                                                                                                          (0.000)   
          var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.621       0.196       0.154    
                                                                                 (0.283)**    (0.175)     (0.191)   
          N                                                                         704         563         563     
         ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  joincunion2 i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp  powerserves improverelR improverelW rusnat2 c.Ukrainian 
> unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry powerserves improve
> relR improverelW if easierspeakRus==1  [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)

Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -132.00303  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -129.57348  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -129.55262  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -129.55261  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood =  -132.5211

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -132.5211  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -129.47623  
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -129.35303  
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood =  -129.3477  
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -129.34769  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        326
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         15

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          1
                                                              avg =       21.7
                                                              max =         96

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(14)     =          .
Log pseudolikelihood = -129.34769               Prob > chi2       =          .
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 15 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
               joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   3.740545   1.367469     2.74   0.006     1.060354    6.420735
                           |
         powerservesforint |  -.1552816   .7870821    -0.20   0.844    -1.697934    1.387371
               improverelR |   .1796954   .2225611     0.81   0.419    -.2565164    .6159071
            improverelWest |  -.3178753   .2981436    -1.07   0.286    -.9022259    .2664754
                   rusnat2 |   1.369672   .3834101     3.57   0.000     .6182017    2.121142
                 Ukrainian |  -.0195268   .0085524    -2.28   0.022    -.0362891   -.0027645
                 unskilled |  -.4068646   .5676492    -0.72   0.474    -1.519436    .7057073
                 relations |   .3795152   .2399415     1.58   0.114    -.0907614    .8497918
                    female |   .8634349   .3927532     2.20   0.028     .0936527    1.633217
                       age |   .0205161   .0169292     1.21   0.226    -.0126645    .0536967
                  univplus |  -.4034243    .259125    -1.56   0.120       -.9113    .1044515
                  employed |   1.054365   .5584434     1.89   0.059    -.0401636    2.148894
                 pensioner |   .9508219   .8226129     1.16   0.248    -.6614698    2.563114
                     rural |  -.3708784   .7120477    -0.52   0.602    -1.766466     1.02471
                  quallife |  -.2928967    .194976    -1.50   0.133    -.6750427    .0892493
              demoverorder |  -.3370195   .1104325    -3.05   0.002    -.5534632   -.1205757
              ILOunemp2013 |   -.094722   .1609737    -0.59   0.556    -.4102247    .2207808
                 grpmilhry |  -4.96e-06   2.74e-06    -1.81   0.071    -.0000103    4.18e-07
                     _cons |    1.46198   2.075878     0.70   0.481    -2.606667    5.530626
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   .0942781   .2042108                       .001351    6.578905
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffinternatcont.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.434       1.298       1.344                
                                                                            (0.301)    (0.450)***  (0.473)***             
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.575       4.061       4.329       3.741    
                                                                           (1.094)**   (1.256)***  (1.301)***  (1.367)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.812       1.361       0.878                
                                                                            (2.580)     (2.435)     (2.472)               
                        powerservesforint                                    0.160       0.064       0.018       -0.155   
                                                                            (0.518)     (0.644)     (0.648)     (0.787)   
                        improverelR                                          0.234       0.251       0.266       0.180    
                                                                            (0.197)     (0.176)     (0.170)     (0.223)   
                        improverelWest                                       -0.589      -0.556      -0.553      -0.318   
                                                                           (0.189)***  (0.222)**   (0.219)**    (0.298)   
                        rusnat2                                              1.117       1.237       1.238       1.370    
                                                                           (0.314)***  (0.416)***  (0.415)***  (0.383)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.035      -0.025      -0.021      -0.020   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.007)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.448       -0.287      -0.301      -0.407   
                                                                            (0.332)     (0.432)     (0.439)     (0.568)   
                        relations                                            0.327       0.438       0.441       0.380    
                                                                            (0.265)     (0.262)*    (0.262)*    (0.240)   
                        _cons                                                1.987       -0.707      0.135       1.462    
                                                                            (1.093)*    (1.362)     (1.757)     (2.076)   
                        female                                                           0.714       0.695       0.863    
                                                                                       (0.297)**   (0.298)**   (0.393)**  
                        age                                                              0.025       0.025       0.021    
                                                                                        (0.013)*    (0.013)*    (0.017)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.508      -0.486      -0.403   
                                                                                        (0.272)*    (0.276)*    (0.259)   
                        employed                                                         0.732       0.740       1.054    
                                                                                        (0.467)     (0.498)     (0.558)*  
                        pensioner                                                        0.613       0.583       0.951    
                                                                                        (0.699)     (0.704)     (0.823)   
                        rural                                                            0.750       0.764       -0.371   
                                                                                        (0.487)     (0.488)     (0.712)   
                        quallife                                                         -0.140      -0.164      -0.293   
                                                                                        (0.131)     (0.147)     (0.195)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.319      -0.315      -0.337   
                                                                                       (0.111)***  (0.116)***  (0.110)*** 
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.139      -0.095   
                                                                                                    (0.143)     (0.161)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)     (0.000)*  
    joincunion2         1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.621       0.196       0.154       0.094    
                                                                           (0.283)**    (0.175)     (0.191)     (0.204)   
    N                                                                         704         563         563         326     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


.  meglm  joincunion2  i.easierspeakRus##c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp powerserves improverelR improverelW rusnat2 c.Ukrainian 
> unskilled relations female age univplus employed pensioner   rural  quallife   demover   ILO   grpmilhry powerserves improve
> relR improverelW if easierspeakRus==0 [pweight= weight_Ukraine] || Oblast:  , family(binomial) link(logit)vce(robust)
note: rusnat2 != 0 predicts failure perfectly
      rusnat2 dropped and 3 obs not used


Fitting fixed-effects model:

Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -73.163186  
Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -62.674311  
Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -62.430176  
Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -62.428833  
Iteration 4:   log likelihood = -62.428833  

Refining starting values:

Grid node 0:   log likelihood = -64.026383

Fitting full model:

Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -64.026383  (not concave)
Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -62.707137  (not concave)
Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -62.551112  (not concave)
Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -62.488524  (not concave)
Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -62.463391  (not concave)
Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -62.443186  (not concave)
Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood = -62.442176  (not concave)
Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood = -62.441367  (not concave)
Iteration 8:   log pseudolikelihood = -62.441286  (not concave)
Iteration 9:   log pseudolikelihood = -62.441254  (not concave)
Iteration 10:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441241  (not concave)
Iteration 11:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441236  (not concave)
Iteration 12:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 13:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 14:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 15:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 16:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 17:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 18:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 19:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 20:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 21:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (backed up)
Iteration 22:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 23:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (backed up)
Iteration 24:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 25:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (backed up)
Iteration 26:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 27:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 28:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 29:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (backed up)
Iteration 30:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 31:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (backed up)
Iteration 32:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 33:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 34:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (backed up)
Iteration 35:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 36:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 37:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (not concave)
Iteration 38:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441235  (backed up)
Iteration 39:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441234  (backed up)
Iteration 40:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441234  (not concave)
Iteration 41:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441234  (not concave)
Iteration 42:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441234  (not concave)
Iteration 43:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441233  
Iteration 44:  log pseudolikelihood =  -62.44123  (not concave)
Iteration 45:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441229  
Iteration 46:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441133  (backed up)
Iteration 47:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.441086  (backed up)
Iteration 48:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.440991  (not concave)
Iteration 49:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.440972  
Iteration 50:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.440232  
Iteration 51:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.439537  (not concave)
Iteration 52:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.439532  (not concave)
Iteration 53:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.439373  
Iteration 54:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.428835  
Iteration 55:  log pseudolikelihood = -62.428833  

Mixed-effects GLM                               Number of obs     =        234
Family:                binomial
Link:                     logit
Group variable:          Oblast                 Number of groups  =         22

                                                Obs per group:
                                                              min =          2
                                                              avg =       10.6
                                                              max =         35

Integration method: mvaghermite                 Integration pts.  =          7

                                                Wald chi2(17)     =     208.74
Log pseudolikelihood = -62.428833               Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
                                              (Std. Err. adjusted for 22 clusters in Oblast)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           |               Robust
               joincunion2 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                           |
tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp |   5.224441   1.480378     3.53   0.000     2.322954    8.125929
                           |
         powerservesforint |   .9229013   .9057408     1.02   0.308     -.852318    2.698121
               improverelR |   .6209621   .3004312     2.07   0.039     .0321278    1.209796
            improverelWest |  -1.181894   .4941988    -2.39   0.017    -2.150505   -.2132818
                   rusnat2 |          0  (omitted)
                 Ukrainian |  -.0426588   .0175937    -2.42   0.015    -.0771417   -.0081758
                 unskilled |   -.125726   .7147285    -0.18   0.860    -1.526568    1.275116
                 relations |   .5714043   .5973844     0.96   0.339    -.5994475    1.742256
                    female |   .3109657   .5518064     0.56   0.573     -.770555    1.392486
                       age |   .0454951   .0293799     1.55   0.121    -.0120885    .1030787
                  univplus |  -.5570293   .6703352    -0.83   0.406    -1.870862    .7568036
                  employed |  -.0936511   .7143426    -0.13   0.896    -1.493737    1.306435
                 pensioner |  -.2787928   1.243754    -0.22   0.823    -2.716505     2.15892
                     rural |   1.780724   .6326805     2.81   0.005     .5406928    3.020755
                  quallife |  -.0505055   .3307041    -0.15   0.879    -.6986737    .5976627
              demoverorder |  -.4994538   .2908381    -1.72   0.086    -1.069486    .0705784
              ILOunemp2013 |  -.1442179   .2561817    -0.56   0.573    -.6463248    .3578891
                 grpmilhry |   2.91e-06   3.72e-06     0.78   0.435    -4.39e-06    .0000102
                     _cons |   1.803878   2.002553     0.90   0.368    -2.121054    5.728811
---------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
Oblast                     |
                 var(_cons)|   5.30e-32   8.95e-31                      2.25e-46    1.25e-17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. outreg using logitjcu2diffinternatcont.doc, se starlev(10 5 1) bdec(3) merge

   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss                                    0.434       1.298       1.344                
                                                                            (0.301)    (0.450)***  (0.473)***             
                        tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           2.575       4.061       4.329       3.741    
                                                                           (1.094)**   (1.256)***  (1.301)***  (1.367)*** 
                        0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000       0.000       0.000                
                                                                            (0.000)     (0.000)     (0.000)               
                        1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp       0.812       1.361       0.878                
                                                                            (2.580)     (2.435)     (2.472)               
                        powerservesforint                                    0.160       0.064       0.018       -0.155   
                                                                            (0.518)     (0.644)     (0.648)     (0.787)   
                        improverelR                                          0.234       0.251       0.266       0.180    
                                                                            (0.197)     (0.176)     (0.170)     (0.223)   
                        improverelWest                                       -0.589      -0.556      -0.553      -0.318   
                                                                           (0.189)***  (0.222)**   (0.219)**    (0.298)   
                        rusnat2                                              1.117       1.237       1.238       1.370    
                                                                           (0.314)***  (0.416)***  (0.415)***  (0.383)*** 
                        Ukrainian                                            -0.035      -0.025      -0.021      -0.020   
                                                                           (0.010)***  (0.007)***  (0.008)***  (0.009)**  
                        unskilled                                            0.448       -0.287      -0.301      -0.407   
                                                                            (0.332)     (0.432)     (0.439)     (0.568)   
                        relations                                            0.327       0.438       0.441       0.380    
                                                                            (0.265)     (0.262)*    (0.262)*    (0.240)   
                        _cons                                                1.987       -0.707      0.135       1.462    
                                                                            (1.093)*    (1.362)     (1.757)     (2.076)   
                        female                                                           0.714       0.695       0.863    
                                                                                       (0.297)**   (0.298)**   (0.393)**  
                        age                                                              0.025       0.025       0.021    
                                                                                        (0.013)*    (0.013)*    (0.017)   
                        univplus                                                         -0.508      -0.486      -0.403   
                                                                                        (0.272)*    (0.276)*    (0.259)   
                        employed                                                         0.732       0.740       1.054    
                                                                                        (0.467)     (0.498)     (0.558)*  
                        pensioner                                                        0.613       0.583       0.951    
                                                                                        (0.699)     (0.704)     (0.823)   
                        rural                                                            0.750       0.764       -0.371   
                                                                                        (0.487)     (0.488)     (0.712)   
                        quallife                                                         -0.140      -0.164      -0.293   
                                                                                        (0.131)     (0.147)     (0.195)   
                        demoverorder                                                     -0.319      -0.315      -0.337   
                                                                                       (0.111)***  (0.116)***  (0.110)*** 
                        ILOunemp2013                                                                 -0.139      -0.095   
                                                                                                    (0.143)     (0.161)   
                        grpmilhry                                                                    -0.000      -0.000   
                                                                                                    (0.000)     (0.000)*  
    joincunion2         1b.easierspeakRuss                                                                       0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                                         0.000    
                                                                                                                (0.000)   
                        o.rusnat2                                                                                         
                                                                                                                          
    var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.621       0.196       0.154       0.094    
                                                                           (0.283)**    (0.175)     (0.191)     (0.204)   
    N                                                                         704         563         563         326     
   ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                      joincunion2         0b.easierspeakRuss                                   0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss                                             
                                                                                                        
                                          tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                           5.224    
                                                                                             (1.480)*** 
                                          0b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp     0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                                          1.easierspeakRuss#c.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp                
                                                                                                        
                                          powerservesforint                                    0.923    
                                                                                              (0.906)   
                                          improverelR                                          0.621    
                                                                                             (0.300)**  
                                          improverelWest                                       -1.182   
                                                                                             (0.494)**  
                                          rusnat2                                                       
                                                                                                        
                                          Ukrainian                                            -0.043   
                                                                                             (0.018)**  
                                          unskilled                                            -0.126   
                                                                                              (0.715)   
                                          relations                                            0.571    
                                                                                              (0.597)   
                                          _cons                                                1.804    
                                                                                              (2.003)   
                                          female                                               0.311    
                                                                                              (0.552)   
                                          age                                                  0.045    
                                                                                              (0.029)   
                                          univplus                                             -0.557   
                                                                                              (0.670)   
                                          employed                                             -0.094   
                                                                                              (0.714)   
                                          pensioner                                            -0.279   
                                                                                              (1.244)   
                                          rural                                                1.781    
                                                                                             (0.633)*** 
                                          quallife                                             -0.051   
                                                                                              (0.331)   
                                          demoverorder                                         -0.499   
                                                                                              (0.291)*  
                                          ILOunemp2013                                         -0.144   
                                                                                              (0.256)   
                                          grpmilhry                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      joincunion2         1b.easierspeakRuss                                            
                                                                                                        
                                          1b.easierspeakRuss#co.tottradediffRussiaEUpctgrp              
                                                                                                        
                                          o.rusnat2                                            0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      var(_cons[Oblast])  _cons                                                0.000    
                                                                                              (0.000)   
                      N                                                                         234     
                     ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                * p<0.1; ** p<0.05; *** p<0.01


. 
. 
. 
. 
end of do-file

. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/cer23/Dropbox/Ukraine foreign policy preferences cleavage/replication materials/beesleyreplication.log
  log type:  text
 closed on:   1 Oct 2019, 10:58:08
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
